thebambers
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Posts posted by thebambers
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Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan, 29/9 - 1/10
Great call, followed your instincts with medium stake and nice win - thanks for the info.:okKalmar - Malmo / Kalmar @ 2.05 Kalmar is in top form this year. They're on 5th position will less 4 points and also less 1 game. If they won this one, they will chase title and they're also a very good side to win this. Kalmar plays good at home and on the last match they won 3-0 over IFK, the 2nd placed!! This team knows that could be champions and playing at home they will have the supporters to take some advantage over Malmo. Malmo are a little irregular at this time. They're on 8th place and away from home they're not brilliant. On the last match they losed 2-1 with the poor Gefle wich is in 10th place. On the last meeting Malmo hosts Kalmar and losed by 1-2. This Kalmar will face here a very good test and they're very moralized over last victory. They canґt forget that if they won this match, they'll be chasing the title I bet on Kalmar home win. Good bets. -
Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan, 29/9 - 1/10 Djurgarden -1 AH me thinks for this match. they are solid at home and the visitors are poor away from home. head to head shows comfortable victories for Djurgarden at home to Orebro and they are fighting for the title so what other incentive do they need? :hope
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Re: Speedway Play-Off Final Hi Marron, What about Jagas for an outside bet as well as the black rider, is he called Lindback or something? He is about 100/1 and surely worth and e/w punt as my pal who follows speedway says he had an 18pt and 15 point haul in his last two meetings
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Re: Rugby World Cup 2007 - Official Thread
Thanks for that info, I know they are at home but I rate Italy a better team and they struggled to overcome Romania, so +34 looks decent value so may be worth a medium stake. ThanksBambers, based on the IRB ratings, Scotland (74.95) should beat Romania (66.51) by around 26 pts. Lots of prices now available all around the 25/26/27 mark @ 1.90. Sporting Index (always a good guide) go 25-28. Last 5 games between the two:11 Nov 2006 Scotland 48 - 6 Romania 05 Jun 2005 Romania 19 - 39 Scotland 09 Nov 2002 Scotland 37 - 10 Romania 28 Aug 1999 Scotland 60 - 19 Romania 22 Apr 1995 Scotland 49 - 16 Romania -
Re: Rugby World Cup 2007 - Official Thread Got stung on both the NZ and France handicaps by going the wrong way with both!! However I note on betfair Romania + 36.5 is currently 1.64. Looking at the narrow defeat to Italy will this have any significance? Did Italy play poorly or were Romania better than normal. My thoughts are that if Italy only managed a narrow win that Scotland won't do much better. Can someone please enlighten me - thanks Thats the only handicap available at the moment, all other bookies a bit slow!
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Re: Rugby World Cup 2007 - Official Thread Jumbo, based on what you have said I have placed £50 on them at -110.5 at 1.89 with betfair so I hope you are right!
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Re: Rugby World Cup 2007 - Official Thread I agree, if a one off match at neutral venue and no New Zealand lurking I would back Australia but for the concerns I have raised will leave well alone
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Re: Rugby World Cup 2007 - Official Thread I have taken the -110.5 on New Zealand v Portugal on betfair currently 1.89 (most other handicaps are 120 even up to 138 for similar odds!) for the following reasons - 1) They will see this as a chance to beat the world record score 2) Fringe players will do their best to stake a claim for later in the tournement 3) I believe several of their players are retiring after the tournement and one of them is close to being the all time All Blacks record try scorer 4) The fact Australia beat Japan by 88 points when Aus are not as good as the All Blacks and Japan are better than Portugal 5) I would not be suprised if Portugal rested some players saving them for a more winnable match The only downside is New Zealand could be greedy going for tries galore individually instead of a team but they are the ultimate professionals so fingers crossed they can do it! I think this bet is more reliable than the Australia bet. :hope
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Re: Rugby World Cup 2007 - Official Thread My only concerns are Australias motivation NOT to play New Zealand until the final. If they are runners up of their group they are likely to play South Africa which although will be tough, is a hell of alot easier than facing the All blacks. If they win the group they would meet in the semi finals. I know little about rugby so I suppose when Australia name their team it will give us a clue as to their intent on winning the game, and comments that they only narrowly beat Wales at home and have not won the last two times at Cardiff in front of a passionate home support is also a concern. Anyone any views?
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Re: Euro 2008 qualifiers - matches 12/9 I take your point clueless but I imagine most teams playing them would be expecting to thrash them but it does just not seem to have happened so far in qualifying this far. I know nothing about Luxemburg but their results show no losses by more than 3 goals so based on those facts the odds are very good
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Re: Euro 2008 qualifiers - matches 12/9 The half time draw England Russia seems a reasonable bet, another one to look at is Luxemburg +3 away to Bulgaria. They are not the whipping boys they once were and have not lost a game by more then 3 goals inqualifying, even to the dutch! 8 games played and 17 conceded. Ok, they are away against Bulgaria who have petrov and Berbatov but no way do I rate the Bulgarian attack as good as the Dutch. 1.92 with betfair and 1.95 with bet365 _ even if they lose by 3, money back so decent odds :hope
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Re: Rugby World Cup 2007 - Official Thread Sorry for last minutes odds but Georgia plus 44 points is 10/11 on bet365 - lump it on! :ok
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Re: Euro 2008 Matches (Sep 8) Just backed Spain in play at 2.1 with betfair as 0-0 after half an hour. This is a key game they must win and I can see them turning the screw in the second half unless there is something I don't know like they are down to 10 men or something!!
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Re: Euro 2008 Matches (Sep 8)
Scotland tip lost Germany won Russia won the ah bet but not the unders due to 2 goals in last 10 mins England clean sheet won 3 out of 5 win which gives me a slight profit, just wish I had backed Klose to score first in Wales game as I mentioned him in my write up!!First time tips but here we go:- game under 2.5 looks good to me.Scotland are no pushovers having drawn 1-1 away atLithuania , and losing 1-0 at home to France and 1-0 away toItaly . Bearing in mindUkraine only scored 2 away to the Faroes andScotland have only scored 4 and conceded 7 in 7 games I quite fancy this one. Odds on betfair for unders is 1.88Lithuania
-1 ah is a very healthy 1.95 on betfair. Can't see anything other than a german win and if only by a goal we get our stake back. AH – 1 vGermany . The loss of Giggs is a blow and the efficient Germans can cover what is needed here. Having beatenWales 2-1 in our own back yard and also winning 2-1 against theEngland they are a good side. I knowCzech Republic snuffed out the Czechs at home last time but with Klose, Podolski and Gomez to chose from up front I see a 2 or 3 goalWales win.Germany –Russia . A must win game to keepMacedonia in the hunt as they play us on Wednesday. Anything less than a win and they will struggle to qualify, however they will just do enough with one eye on the game with England mid week. They won the reverse comfortably 2-0 and the AH -1.5 ah is a decent 1.8 on betfair or under 2.5 is 2.1Russia clean sheet 1.78 worthy of interest as both teams will be nervous with so much at stake. I can see a stalemate until half time and then England to perhaps sneak one in the second half before defending for their lives and giving us all several heart attacks until the final whistle!! The strongest bet for me out of those will be the German one as they are strolling in their group and if they can beat England in our back yard then hopefully the Welsh will be easy enough to sort out. Good luck to everyone betting today and if you chose my selections, may the force be with us! ;)England -
Re: Euro 2008 Matches (Sep 8)
How about Healy to score at any time which is 2.76 with betfair last time aI checked. Worth a medium stake I would say ;)Northern Ireland 0, -0.5 Feel NI will just be to strong for Latvia and will win by two goals -
Re: Euro 2008 Matches (Sep 8)
I like your thinking mate and I will probably either go for unders or England clean sheet as well as this will be a tight game. Israel undefeated away from home since 2005 and played France and Rep Ireland in world cup qualifying group so no mugsHow about this for the England v Israel match HT Draw FT England -3/1 Israel have said they will play defensively and go for the draw. England are shite up front and will struggle..can see Israel hanging on until half time and England scraping a second half win... -
Re: Euro 2008 Matches (Sep 8) First time tips but here we go:-
game under 2.5 looks good to me.Scotland are no pushovers having drawn 1-1 away atLithuania , and losing 1-0 at home to France and 1-0 away toItaly . Bearing in mindUkraine only scored 2 away to the Faroes andScotland have only scored 4 and conceded 7 in 7 games I quite fancy this one. Odds on betfair for unders is 1.88Lithuania
-1 ah is a very healthy 1.95 on betfair. Can't see anything other than a german win and if only by a goal we get our stake back. AH – 1 vGermany . The loss of Giggs is a blow and the efficient Germans can cover what is needed here. Having beatenWales 2-1 in our own back yard and also winning 2-1 against theEngland they are a good side. I knowCzech Republic snuffed out the Czechs at home last time but with Klose, Podolski and Gomez to chose from up front I see a 2 or 3 goalWales win.Germany –Russia . A must win game to keepMacedonia in the hunt as they play us on Wednesday. Anything less than a win and they will struggle to qualify, however they will just do enough with one eye on the game with England mid week. They won the reverse comfortably 2-0 and the AH -1.5 ah is a decent 1.8 on betfair or under 2.5 is 2.1Russia clean sheet 1.78 worthy of interest as both teams will be nervous with so much at stake. I can see a stalemate until half time and then England to perhaps sneak one in the second half before defending for their lives and giving us all several heart attacks until the final whistle!! The strongest bet for me out of those will be the German one as they are strolling in their group and if they can beat England in our back yard then hopefully the Welsh will be easy enough to sort out. Good luck to everyone betting today and if you chose my selections, may the force be with us! ;)England -
Re: Rugby World Cup 2007 - Official Thread Heard about the Argies plus 11.5 bet earlier today from a mate. I don't usually follow rugby but will keep an eye on this thread. Lumped £50 on at just under evens so thats a great start to the weekend unless disaster happens in the last 5 mins!! The Ireland game handicap with namibia looks interesting if indeed the Irish coach will be playing his strongest line up. Apart from the gulf in class, is it a fair assumption that the lesser nations lack discipline and are likely to give loads of penalties away? I also heard that many of the teams playing New Zealand will play weakened teams as they dont stand a chance and would prefer to save their players for matches they have a better chance in. I would imagine that their fringe players would probably beat most teams best line ups so if its reserves against reserves I can still see them winning easily. Just need someone to confirm my thought being that I only watch rugby every 4 years!! Thanks chaps :hope
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Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 11 -13/8 thanks mate, torn between this game and Kilmarnock v Dundee Utd in Scotland
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Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan 11 -13/8 Hi G.G, where is your head pointing on the Djurgarden - Hammerby game? Home stats look good but playing at nuetral ground, only 10 mins till kick off - your thoughts please. Thanks :ok
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Re: Finland Ykkönen (Second League) 12-15 July Yes it does but at leat I got half my stake back! Will hope they play much better next time!
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Re: Finland Ykkönen (Second League) 12-15 July I have only managed to find an AH of -1 to -1.5 at odds of 1.95 but based on the info above I have placed this bet as I too hope for a comfortable home win though Atlantis have not suffered any heavy defeats away from home yet. Good luck everyone who has money on this game
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Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan, 7 - 11/7 We have conflicting news about the location of the match. Can anyone confirm for sure that it will be played at Elfsborg home ground - thanks. I take it most people favour a home win? I never saw the last game between the two, were Elfsborg worthy winners? Thanks everyone who replies
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Re: Sweden, Allsvenskan, 7 - 11/7 G.G any thoughts on tonights game?? I see they beat AIK away so that surely makes them strong favourites for the home win with the added bonus of going to the top of the league and playing on the artificial grass in front of their own fans. 3 of the last 4 games between these two at Elfsborg ground have been unders and stats these season show it to be pretty close to overs or unders and I suspect I will leave that alone. Thanks
Champions League Oct 2 - Oct 3
in Champions League Predictions
Posted
Re: Champions League Oct 2 - Oct 3 Rangers stung me ( and nearly everyone else it seems :lol for a Lyon/Sevilla double so lets try and win that money back! Ok, here goes, bets for tonight:- Schalke 0-0.5 AH at 1.8 betfair. If they draw we only lose half of stake. So Rosenborg held Chelsea does not concern me too much. Chelsea are really struggling at the moment and even with a full strength team they do not try and score goals galore. Schalke away this season have already drawn with reigning champions Stuttgart and Bayern who are in terrific form. Rosenborg are not even close to the top of their own league which is nowhere near the class of the Bundesliga Liverpool/Werder win double 1.94 betfair, 1.97 Skybet. Liverpool are awesome at home in champions league so no real need to comment other than to say Marsailles are struggling AND it looks like their ray of hope Nasri could be out with illness which is a huge bonus. Breman are now coming into form after winning 8-1 at the weekend and this team is full of goals. They played really well in the defeat to Real Madrid and Olympiacos have not only started their season domestically quite poorly but don't travel too well in europe either. Also consider Liverpool clean sheet 1.77 betfair or to win to nil evens at bet365 both very good value IMO Final one and for smaller stakes is the draw between Valencia and Chelsea. Chelsea won this game 2-1 last season and although they are struggling somewhat I still think they will be tough to beat. For me there is little between the teams and if it gets to an hour or so and its all square I may lay the bet GL everyone :hope