[League Positions]

Re: League Positions A few better performances and things are looking promising now.Come on boys hold on!!

[League Positions]

Re: League Positions Thanks for the interest lunatism:ok I have seen your thread,it makes interesting reading, long may it continue. You've hit the nail on the head with your summary. It's as simple as that. May take the difference in league positions in to account at some point in the future but just for now we will keep it simple. Be interested to see what your results show as think there could be potential in this but not quite sure. As we speak it's looking like a 50% strike rate at the mo. Hopefully the 2nd halves will change a few more in our favour.:hope

[League Positions]

Re: League Positions Thanx Guys for the interest:ok No pressure then bunnychaser!!:lol I'm a big believer in stats myself grex, you only have to look at that fulham v everton game on sunday as a good example, So maybe somewhere along the line stats could maybe help narrow the selections down. This is just a little trend i noticed while watching livescores one day. As i say it's not based on any think ground breaking as you can see. But as grex said hopefully it's simplicity will be key. Another idea i did intially toy with was backing the lower league positioned side when playing at home if they were say within 5 places of the away side. So for eg on tonights games i might have done this:- Brescia(6) v Lecce(5) Back Brescia instead of laying them. This is not a system bet, just an example. Maybe worth monitoring over time and seeing if that works better.

[Try, Try again!!]

Re: Try, Try again!! Bet6: Swedish eliteserian Ice Hockey Faejestads v Frolunda Indians Back Faejestads @ 1.97:loon:loon WON 4-2 £13.10 Stake £15 Bet 7: Swiss Super League Football Bellinzona v Winterthur:wall:wall 3-3(bellinzona were 3-0 down!!) Back Bellinzona @ 1.59 Stake £15 Bet 8 Indian Wells Tennis R.Nadal v D.Young:loon:loon WON 2-0 £3.22 Back Nadal @ 1.14 Stake £25 Bet 9: NBA Basketball Orlando Magic v Cleveland Cavaliers Back Orlando @ 1.3:loon:loon WON 104-90 £5.70 Stake £20 Bet 10 Pacific Life Open L.Davenport v Y.J.Chan :loon WON 2-1 £2.61 Back Davenport @ 1.11 Stake £25 P/L Today = £9.63 Start Bank:-£100 Current Bank:£120.71 Bets:-10 Won:-8 Lost:-2 S/R:-80% Yield:-2.588% :nana:nanaAnother profitable day and yet again just missed out on the acca.Pleased with the overall stats of this but still not quite satisfied with the staking plan. Obviously the acca lost and i will now set up a separate bank for this to protect the p/l of the winning singles. Onto day 3, and hopefully more winners. Bet 11 ULEB Cup Besiktas v Red Star Back Besiktas @ 1.25 Stake £20 Bet12 Pacific Life Open A.Radwanska v A.Harkleroad Back Radwanska @ 1.43 Stake £20 Bet13 German Ice Hockey Sinupret Ice Hockey v DEG Metro Stars Back Sinupret @ 1.56 Stake £20 Bet 14 Italian Serie B Albinoleffe v Avellino Back Albinoleffe @ 1.53 Stake £20 Bet15 Indian Wells Masters Tennis A.Murray v I.Karlovic Back Murray @ 1.38 Stake £20 £10 Placed on the acca with bet365 at odds of 3.72 Fingers crossed for today, odds are higher than they've been so far but hopefully that will mean better returns rather than less winners.:hope

[League Positions]

This is a system i want to paper trade based on backing or laying football teams depending on their league position. Have done no back testing at all hence the paper trading but just want to see if there is any mileage in it. Basically if the higher position league side is at home then we back, if the away side is the higher position side then we lay the home side. Is that clear?? If not you'll see as we go along. I will use mainly top leagues around europe. Bets will be made with betfair the morning of the games and the start bank will be 100 units (Paper trade only). Each bet will be level stakes of 10 points. Bets for tomorrow:- Wolves(11) v Scunthorpe(24) Back wolves @ 1.72 with 10pts Colchester(24) v Hull(5) Lay Colchester @ 3.3 with 4.35pts Bristol Rovers(16) v Swansea(1) Lay Bristol Rovers @ 3.3 with 4.35pts Huddersfield(15) v Brighton(9) Lay Huddersfield @ 2.68 with 5.95pts We'll see how this goes, not sure what to expect and what results we might get but hopefully the trend will continue.:ok

[100% Madness]

Re: 100% Madness Great Stuff madness:clap The thread just goes from strength to strength. Keep up the hard work.:cheers

[Short term Glory Hunt]

Re: Short term Glory Hunt Well done stewartd14:nana Keep up the good work.

[Try, Try again!!]

Re: Try, Try again!! Day 2 and another set of bets to get stuck into. Bet6: Swedish eliteserian Ice Hockey Faejestads v Frolunda Indians Back Faejestads @ 1.97 Stake £15 Bet 7: Swiss Super League Football Bellinzona v Winterthur Back Bellinzona @ 1.59 Stake £15 Bet 8 Indian Wells Tennis R.Nadal v D.Young Back Nadal @ 1.14 Stake £25 Bet 9: NBA Basketball Orlando Magic v Cleveland Cavaliers Back Orlando @ 1.3 Stake £20 Bet 10 Pacific Life Open L.Davenport v Y.J.Chan Back Davenport @ 1.11 Stake £25 Also i have placed a £10 acca with bet 365 to cover the above selections, i managed to get 4.10:loon so i'm pleased with that. Have decided on the staking front to split the £100 bank up over the 5 selections each day with more money weighted towards the shorter odd selections. Then hopefully once we've built up a bit of profit we could raise stakes and bank some profit along the way.:ok

[Try, Try again!!]

Re: Try, Try again!! Right then, the first 5 for today are as follows:- Bet 1:- Spanish Basketball Leon v Real Madrid Back Real Madrid @ 1.17:nana:nana Stake £50 Bet 2:- Ukraninan Football Dnipro v Zorya Luhansk Back Dnipro @ 1.24:nana:nana Stake £30 Bet 3:- Austrian Ice Hockey Playoffs Olimpia Ljubljana v Red Bulls Salzburg Back Olimpia @ 2.4 (Regular match odds/ no o/t):wall:wall Stake £15 Bet 4:- Pacific Life Open (Mens) A.Murray v J.Melzer Back A.Murray @ 1.16:nana:nana Stake £40 Bet 5:- Pacific Life Open(Women) M.Sharapova v E.Danilidou Back M.Sharapova @ 1.16:nana:nana Stake £50 4/5 to start with so i'll take that:cheers Starting Bank:£100 Current Bank:£111.08 Bets:5 Won:4 Lost:1 S/R:80% Yield: 2.77% Have decided from now to take madness advice and place a £10 acca on all selections. Probably with bet365 as i'm not sure i can get this type of mixed acca on betfair.

[Try, Try again!!]

Re: Try, Try again!! Thanks for the interest madness:ok I'm starting to wish i had put this in an acca as the first 2 have come in and i know i'm probably going to end up kicking myself. I'm pretty undecided how to take this further with regards to a staking plan but you are right i need to set something out. Be back later with the full results update and any picks for tomorrow

[Try, Try again!!]

Not having much luck at the mo but i won't let that stop me!! Right here we go again then. Picks are taken from pro soccer website using their top rated selections on ice hockey, tennis, basketball and football. This should give me a max of 5 bets a day with odds ranging from 1.05 up to 4. Haven't decided on a proper staking plan for this just yet, so to start will be lumping the lot on short priced selections and then either doing fixed stakes on the riskier ones or a percentage of the bank. This is a glory hunt after all, so it would make sense to put the bank on all selections to start with and then maybe review if we build up a significant size. Any suggestions on the staking plan or otherwise would be very much appreciated. All bets are taken with betfair and p/l will be without commission.:ok Starting Bank for this is £100. Right then, the first 5 for today are as follows:- Bet 1:- Spanish Basketball Leon v Real Madrid Back Real Madrid @ 1.17 Stake £50 Bet 2:- Ukraninan Football Dnipro v Zorya Luhansk Back Dnipro @ 1.24 Stake £30 Bet 3:- Austrian Ice Hockey Playoffs Olimpia Ljubljana v Red Bulls Salzburg Back Olimpia @ 2.4 (Regular match odds/ no o/t) Stake £15 Bet 4:- Pacific Life Open (Mens) A.Murray v J.Melzer Back A.Murray @ 1.16 Stake £40 Bet 5:- Pacific Life Open(Women) M.Sharapova v E.Danilidou Back M.Sharapova @ 1.16 Stake £50 I know at first look stakes add up to £185 from a £100 bank but these will be the bets for today and the stakes are from the new bank for each bet. Will update results later. I could die on my arse by bet 3 or come bet 5 i might have a decent profit for today. If prices on selections change from what is placed here then will update those too in the results section. We will see. Wish me luck:hope Please feel free to leave any comments or suggestions.:ok

[Who Dares Wins!! (hopefully)]

Re: Who Dares Wins!! (hopefully)

Bet 2 Wins Partizan 70-59 Siroki:nana£7.40 Bank after bet 2 stands: £31.60 Onto bet 3. Bet 3 Pacific Life Open(Women) S.Bammer v Y.J.Chan:wall:wall Lost 1-6 3-6 S.Bammer to win @1.36 Stake £31.60:hope

Well that lasted long, a sum total of 3 bets. I've got another idea so be back later with a proper rundown with staking and selections:ok

[100% Madness]

Re: 100% Madness Good continued results madness, your flying:dude Just wanted to say that i've been using your spreadsheets with great success. First time i started with £40 and took 2 attempts at 1.25 and turned that into £100, withdrew and started a 2nd one with £20 with 5% target and 1 attempt at 1.05 and have now reached £60. :beer here's to our continued success

[MadnessTrebles 2: "Lucky 7"]

Re: MadnessTrebles 2: "Lucky 7" Promising start for this one madness keep up the good work and good luck:ok

[Who Dares Wins!! (hopefully)]

Re: Who Dares Wins!! (hopefully)

Bet 1 wins so bank stands at £24.20 without commision. Onto bet 2 Bet 2: Adriatic League Basketball Partizan Igoekea v Siroki Primo Privo Partizan to win @ 1.37 £24.20:ok

Bet 2 Wins Partizan 70-59 Siroki:nana£7.40 Bank after bet 2 stands: £31.60 Onto bet 3. Bet 3 Pacific Life Open(Women) S.Bammer v Y.J.Chan S.Bammer to win @1.36 Stake £31.60:hope

[Who Dares Wins!! (hopefully)]

Re: Who Dares Wins!! (hopefully)

Right got £20 in my betfair account leftover from previous exploits. So going for a glory hunt to see what i can turn it in to. Bets mainly on football, Ice hockey, tennis and basketball. These will by and large be short priced selections but the bankroll will continue on to the next bets. If i win any of them!!:rollin Bet 1: Bulgarian Football Chernomorets v Vidma Rakovski Chernomorets to win @ 1.21 :clap Wish me luck:ok

Bet 1 wins so bank stands at £24.20 without commision. Onto bet 2 Bet 2: Adriatic League Basketball Partizan Igoekea v Siroki Primo Privo Partizan to win @ 1.37 £24.20:ok

[Who Dares Wins!! (hopefully)]

Right got £20 in my betfair account leftover from previous exploits. So going for a glory hunt to see what i can turn it in to. Bets mainly on football, Ice hockey, tennis and basketball. These will by and large be short priced selections but the bankroll will continue on to the next bets. If i win any of them!!:rollin Bet 1: Bulgarian Football Chernomorets v Vidma Rakovski Chernomorets to win @ 1.21 Wish me luck:ok

[Arbiter Line using Live Games]

Re: Arbiter Line using Live Games Another win from luton completes the hat trick and a decent start. Luton Town v Northampton [email protected] with betfair returns: 12.08pts after comm.:nana New arb line stands at: 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-11-12 Bet 4 is 1+12=13pts System Stats:- Bets:3 Wins:3 Profit:24.74 Starting Bank:100 Current Bank:124.74 S/R:100% Yield:8.24% Which brings us nicely on to tonights bet:- Bet4: Halifax v Grays [email protected] with betfair.

[Arbiter Line using Live Games]

Re: Arbiter Line using Live Games Just the 1 game for tonight but hopefully another winner. Luton Town v Northampton 12pts@ 2.04 with betfair i'll update the system stats after this game and also post tomorrow's matches.

[Turnlux 10 Turn]

Re: Turnlux 10 Turn At last we are off and running!!!! Bet 1: James Wade v Terry Jenkins £10@ 1.56:nana returns £15.22 after commission. Bets:1 Wins:1 Profit:5.22 Bet 2: NHL-Anaheim v Minnesota £[email protected]:hope Tough one to call i think but will side with anaheim for hopefully a 2nd winning bet.

[Arbiter Line using Live Games]

Re: Arbiter Line using Live Games :nana:nanaExcellent start with 2 wins from 2 MK Dons v Lincoln 10 pts@ 1.46 with betfair:clap Doncaster v Huddersfield 11pts@ 1.86 with betfair:clap:clap So system stats stand at:- Bets:2 Wins:2 Profit:12.66 Starting Bank:100 Current Bank:112.66 S/R:100% Yield:4.2% No more for today but back with some later. Forgot to say that the new arbiter line stands at:- 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10-11 So next stake is 1+11=12 pts.

[Turnlux 10 Turn]

Re: Turnlux 10 Turn :rollinWhat was i saying. It died spectacularly as well!!!!! Bet 1:- Stephen Lee v Jimmy Michie:wall 0-4 It wouldn't be interesting if i did it on the first run now would it. Let's try again. Bet 1:- Darts World Grand Prix Final James Wade v Terry Jenkins £[email protected] Hopefully we'll be up and running after this one:notworthy

[Arbiter Line using Live Games]

Did this a little while ago but had to stop due to the fact the pc blew up. Anyway the system is this. All live games where the home team is between 1.39 and 2.68 are qualifiers. I am going to use the arbiter line as the staking plan. so 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9 starts us off with numbers at each end of the line being added together to make the stake. for eg 1-9 =10, so 1st bet = 10pts. All games and odds will be taken at betfair and the starting bank will be 100pts. First Match is:- MK Dons v Lincoln 10pts@ 1.46 with betfair Arb line stands at 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9 Doncaster v Huddersfield qualifies as bet 2. Unfortunately I'll be out but i'll still be able to put the bet on. so if bet 1 wins then stake for bet 2 is 11 pts but if it loses then stake is 10 pts still as arb line will look like this:- 1-2-3-4-5-6-7-8-9-10=1+10=11pts if bet 1 wins 2-3-4-5-6-7-8=2+8=10pts if bet 1 loses. Hope this is clear:lol Will update results later for both games. Apologies if it is a bit rushed:unsure

[Turnlux 10 Turn]

Going to give chutey's 10 in a row challenge a go. Odds will again be around the 1.5 mark and all winnings on to next bet. All bets with betfair, updates will be taken after comm. Selections in bold First Bet:- Grand Prix Snooker:Stephen Lee V Jimmy Michie £10@ 1.67:hope Hopefully this won't die on it's arse after 1 bet.:lol

[Half Time Win?]

Re: Half Time Win? Bet4: Linfield v Derry 2-1 H/T [email protected]:nana Winner 2-1 Bet5: Braga v Naval 1-0 H/T [email protected]:nana Winner 2-1 Not a bad night in the end to put this system back on track although it did take an 86 min pen in the braga game to have a complete sweep:notworthy System stats now look like this:- Bets:5 Wins:3 Losses:2 Staked:50 pts Profit/Loss:-8.4pts S/R:60% I'M quite happy with the strike rate at the mo and thought it would level out to and stay at the 60% mark. Just need to turn in to profit now, see how the next few bets go because i may need to change the staking plan. Any thoughts from you guys on this would be appreciated:cheers