Nuecki

Seems to me the -9 spread on Duke could still be playable, although it is highest spread in the sweet sixteen together with Auburn, where i would lean towards the Wolverines +9 line. I mean to be competitive here vs Duke, Arizona Wildcats would most likely need a decent 3 point shooting night. They are not great from outside with 33% over the season. Or Caleb Love running really hot. Dont think Arizona really matches up well with the Blue Devils, they didnt impress to much vs Oregon, especially defensively. Would think double digits win Cooper Flaggs team is certainly conceivable tonight.

It doesnt explain or has a relation to many of the inexplicable results but probably players who participated in the Olympics are also in a disadvantage here compared to players who abstained from appearing in Paris like Sinner, Sabalenka, Kalinskaya, Badosa or someone who had only a brief vacation in Roland Garros like Osaka. Nontheless it is probably still wasted money to try the 14/1 outrights on Badosa or Osaka. One of them is Paula Badosa and the other one didnt reach the 3rd round of a major so far this year. Although this will happen tonight i presume. 2-1 Osaka i guess.