mindscape2
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Posts posted by mindscape2
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1 hour ago, Rey86 said:
have you made profits from xG?
i have yet to implement them in my bets, however such models exist (not for free)
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2 hours ago, harry_rag said:
Never mind this expected goals nonsense, has anyone created an expected cards model yet? Now that would be genuinely useful!
have no doubt at all that since data are available for cards, such a model will be (if there is none yet) created
expected data are not nonsense (this is not implying you will have to work less to stand a chance in the market)
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google is your friend when it comes to knowning new stuff
owning that stuff and transforming them into a context where they can produce predictions is another thing though.
requires collecting odd data along to usual stats, combining them with that analytic stats to produce somekind of a result and a prediction vs market's predictions as that is being encapsulated in the dynamic odds enviroment that describes an event.
nothing is easy in betting and progressively it will only get harder as games and probabilities surrounding them get more and more disected by the market
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On 11/28/2019 at 11:58 AM, neutrid said:
https://footballxg.com/xg-league-tables/ -> xG STATS
https://understat.com/ -> THE BEST using xG stat
how is footballxg in comparison to footystats concercing xg data? they have very different numbers in their xg data.
what makes understat best?
i am looking for the most reliable source for xg data. understat has very few leagues, footballxg has a bit more and footystats a lot more. i am wondering about each's site accuracy (who has the more precise model), since they dont publish the formula they use for producing their xg numbers
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i have got to mention that advanced goals feature is very useful and product in general highly recommended
Which statistic site do you use and recomend?
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
that almost goes without saying, why bother for something expected, when it affects minimally your market? obviously, xg, rating systems etc have more to with goal and side markets