Burran
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Posts posted by Burran
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Well I will try this and see if it's profitable. No realmoney invested for now but. I just got a feeling that this one could work. The trick is to put a live-bet on football matches when the game is a draw at the 80 minute mark. The odds is usually 1.40-1.50 at this time which means that around 65-70% of the matches must end in a draw for us to make a profit. I've been eyeing some results lately, no stats or anything, but my feeling is that when a game i drawn at 80 minutes it usually ends up in a draw. Let's see how it goes! My first bet will be on the argentinian match between Rosario and Argentinios. 1-1 at 75'...Bet will be placed at 80', if it's still a draw. Only playmoney for now remember... To make this a bit easier I will only use Bet365
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 7/12 Sorry for my absence lately...a lot of stuff to do, school etc...anyway got two in Allsvenskan for the night. Malmö 2.00@Lads If you look at the last round this certainly doesn't look as a good bet but I really feel Malmö are worth taking at this price. Malmö had a good game away vs Leksand, 5-5. After that everyone expected them to ease past Bofors at home but instead they lost 6-2. Almtuna were very impressive while beating Rögle 5-0 away. Almtuna has been playing better and better under new head coach Boork, in Brynäs earlier this season. The argument for this match is basically that I see Malmö as a much stronger team than Almtuna and I can give them slightly more than a 50% chance of winning this match. Before the Leksand game they had 3 straight wins in away games against opponents at the same level as Almtuna. Malmö at evens seems good to me. Sundsvall 1.90@Lads Sundsvall is usually a strrong home team. Visitors will be without first team goalie Holst and are left to play with backup Holmgren who isn't at as good at all. Good chance for hometeam here as they are set to take their 3rd straight victory in the league and 6th straight against Nyköping.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 26-27/11 Khimik dnb 2-6:@ Over 4.5 8 goals:ok Timrå+0.5 0-2:@ HV-Frölunda over 5.5 8 goals:ok I can live with a small loss. Interesting that it was my over-bets that worked. I usually never touch overs, at least not in Sweden.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 26-27/11 Argh. I don't know what happened in the Khimik game. 0-0 after first and then 1-0 Khimik in the begging of the 2nd. Then Cherepovec scored 4 goals inside 3 minutes!!! I'm glad I took over anyway, but the Khimik bet seems to be lost.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 26-27/11 Khimik dnb 2.21@Pinnacle Khimik are really hot atm. They are 7-1-2 in their last 10 games while Cherepovec are 4-1-5. Khimik likes playing on the road. They've won 9 of 16 away games (3 in OT) while Cherepovec aren't a very strong home team. Form and Khimiks nice awayrecord makes me like this bet. Now it's up to the boys on the ice! I also took over 4.5 goals @1.74. I feel like these two teams has enough offensive qualities to cover this low line. HV71-Frölunda Over 5.5 goals 1.97@Pinnacle HV71 is the best team in Elitserien. They've scored 82 goals in 22 games. Frölunda aren't that bad either at 69 goals. These teams met in Gothenburg on Saturday and HV managed to snatch the win 3-2 after turning things around in the last period. The stats look ok for this bet and I get the feeling we could be in for a real treat here. HV71 won the opener at home 6-5 against Frölunda. I don't expect 11 goals tonight but shall we say 5-2? I took this one at around 4 am today. Price now down to 1.78. Timrå+0.5 1.76@Bet365 Modo is having a terrible run atm. They've lost 4 games in a row. Keyplayers Sundström and Timander are still out and their are some other players who might miss this game. Timrå has 2 straight losses, but with a more or less full squad they should have good chance here. They've also won both meetings this season. 4-1 away and 2-1 at home. I think Timrå will get atleast a draw here.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 22-23/11 Fredrikshavn-AAB 4-1:@ Odense-Esbjerg 6-2:ok Leksand-Björklöven 4-2:ok Sönderjyske-Totempo 5-2:ok Bern-Basel 2-2(wtf!):@ Nybro-Malmö 2-4:ok Probably the two bets which I trusted most were lost. Anyway good night using flatbet. :cheers
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 22-23/11 Malmö-1.5 1.75@Ladbrokes Malmö has been a bit shaky so far, but in the last 3-4 rounds they've been playing better. This is a team with a lot of quality players and they shouldn't have any problems getting to the qualification series. Nybro surprised me at the beginning. They played really well and got some good results. Now they have 6 straight losses. Malmö won in last round 8-0 at home to Sundsvall and Nybro lost 7-2 away to Rögle. Two teams in totally different situation and I can easily see Malmö winning this match by 2 goals or more.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 22-23/11 Bern-2.5 1.73@Sportingbet Top against bottom. Leaders Bern against Punchbag Basel. I only see one possible outcome and that is Bern thrashing Basel. Huge difference in class and I really think we could be in for a goalfest. Bern has 5 straight wins and in each of these games they've won by 3 goals or more. They are 9-0-1 in their last 10 games. Basel has 11 straight losses. I expect Bern to win this game by 4-5 goals at least.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 22-23/11 AAB 1.90@Bwin The main reason for this bet is that these two teams have completly different formcurves. Something is very wrong in Fredrikshavn. They have 7 straight losses and 9 losses in their last 10 games. In last match against Sönderjyske they fell apart and lost 9-0. AAB has 8 wins including 2 OT/pen-wins in their last 10 games. AAB definately holds enough quality to beat the sinking ship of Fredrikshavn. 1.90 works for me. Odense 1.60 / Odense-1.5 2.00@Unibet I'm betting against Esbjerg here. They are a really poor team. They have 14!!! straight losses including 3 OT/pen-losses. Ofc they hold the last place with only 12 points in 18 games. Odense are at 5th place. Their form is good with 3 wins in their last 5 games with the losses coming against top teams Herning and AAB. 1.60 looks really good to me considering Esbjergs dreadful form Leksand-1.5 1.70@Ladbrokes I'm not sure how much value this price holds but considering Leksands homerecord I have to take it. Leksand are 10-0-0 at home with a goal difference of 43-13. They've won 9 of these 10 games by 2 goals or more. Leksand has 12 straight wins. Björklöven are 5-1-4 away which is quite good for this team. Historically they are a very poor awayteam. They have a nice run of 6 straight wins, but they haven't been playing very well in those games. In this game they must be at their best if they should stand any chance. I think Leksand will still have a perfect homerecord after this match. A win by 2 goals or more is likely. Sönderjyske-ToTempo Over 5.5 goals 1.61@Ladbrokes Over usually works fine when Sönderjyske plays and these teams should have no problems in covering this line. Sönderjyske has 7 straight overs and ToTempo has 5 straight games over this line. In last round Sönderjyske smashed Fredrikshavn 9-0. We might not see this many goal from the Sönder-side but I think they can cover this line by themselves. I'm sure Totempo will contribute with a couple of goals aswell. This line looks great to me and the price is very ok!
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 22-23/11 Wow, nice to see you back here CBG!! 2/4 yesterday for me. Really disappointed by Färjestads Performance. Comet should really have won aswell. Well Well.....
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 22-23/11
http://www.fisg.it/hockey/default.asp Choose regular season.anyone who knows where i can follow Italian hockey league live on internet? -
Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 22-23/11 Halav// Nice with some italian icehockey here. I will try Cortina!
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 22-23/11
Sport Ice Hockey Event Färjestad-Djurgården Selection Färjestad Strength 10/10 Date 22/11/2007 Bookmaker/Price Unibet @ 1.70 (Back) Reasoning Färjestad has really picked up their game after sacking their coach. They have 4 straight wins and it's been confident wins. Last home match they smashed Timrå 7-1. Djurgården might be the best away team in the league, but Färjestad is one of the toughest fixtures u can get. They got hammered at home to HV71 on monday and their confidence shouldn't be too high. 1.70 is a good price imo. Sport Ice Hockey Event HV71-Skellefteå Selection HV71-1.5 (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 22/11/2007 Bookmaker/Price Stan James @ 1.80 (Back) Reasoning HV71 tops the table and is the best team in the league. Their homerecord is really impressive. 8 reg time wins 1 OT-win and 1 draw. Skellefteå away are 0-4-6 and I don't think it will look any better after this game. Skellefteå still has some injuries which are troubling them. HV71 also has a couple of defenders injuried, but the replacements are good. This game wont be decided by HV71s defense anyway. Clear homewin imo. Sport Ice Hockey Event Trondheim-Comet Selection Comet Strength 10/10 Date 22/11/2007 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 1.80 (Back) Reasoning Trondheim has become what I refer to as a punchbag. They never hit back at the teams they're facing. They have 9 losses in their last 10 games with their only win coming against another poor team Stjernen. Comet isn't one of the best teams in the league, but they will definately go to the playoffs. Their form is good with 4 straight wins (1 OT)and I can really see them winning this game. Sport Ice Hockey Event Frisk/Asker-Vålerenga Selection Vålerenga dnb Strength 10/10 Date 22/11/2007 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 1.91 (Back) Reasoning It's quite har to seperate these two teams when Frisk are playing a home. I expect a tight match but I think Vålerenga will be the winning side in the end. I rank them as a better team than Frisk and in these big games Vålerenga usually steps up one level. As I said, this will be a tight game, but I see some value in this price. -
Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 19 - 21/11 Leksand 1.60@Ladbrokes Leksand is the best team in Allsvenskan with 10 straight wins now. Almtuna has been struggling and even with their new coaching staff I can't see them getting anything from this game. 1.60 is really good. Borås 1.75@Ladbrokes Borås has done a great job as newcomers. I'm really impressed by them in every aspect. Last round they lost to Malmö at home 2-1, but that game could have gone anyway. Before that they beat Rögle away 4-2. Extremly impressive to win in one of the toughest fixture of the season. Hammarby are 1-2-15 and I expect another loss here. Nothing is working for them and Borås definately has enough class to beat them.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 16-18/11 Two pushes for me. Jesenice dropped a 2 goal lead in the third, but on the other hand Vienna equalized in the last minute aswell.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 16-18/11 I know that it's a hot Derby, but I just can't overlook the fact that Olimpija has 7 straight losses. Ofc a new coach might have an impact but I still think 1.71 was great value. It's down to 1.61 now and that's nothing I would touch.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 16-18/11 Halav: Great Pick! Bamse: Hockey just aint logical sometimes... Found two good bets(I think) in Austria/Slovenia Jesenice dnb 1.71@Pinnacle or straight win 2.00@Bwin, expekt, unibet... Slovenian derby between 2nd placed Jesenice and 9th placed Olimpija. The home team is really struggling. 7 straight losses now. Nothing seems to be working for this team who most people thought would end up somewhere in the the upper half of the table. With Jesenice it's a whole different story. They have the best form in the league with 8 wins out of their last 10 games. They are also the 2nd best away team in the league. Everything points towards an awaywin imo. 1.71 for dnb is very good. Vienna Capitals dnb 2.21@Pinnacle Expected top team Salzburg hasn't had a good run so far. Simular to Salzburgs football team they have a lot of good players but as a team it hasn't been working. They are at 5th place atm. Vienna has been extremly good so far. They are at 1st place and also have the best away record. Their form is solid. 4 wins in last 5. To be honest I don't know why their odds is so high. I think the bookies are overrating Salzburg who hasn't shown much yet. Vienna only has 2 losses in regular time and I don't think they'll get a third here. I'm not even sure if I see Salzburg as the favourite in this one. Big value in this price! As for allsvenskan I don't see anything interesting right now
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Re: Euro 2008 Qualifiers Sat 17th Nov Finland-Azerbaijan Under 2.75 2.02@Pinnacle Looks like a nice line to me this. Finland's last 3 games has ended 0-0. Only 1 of their 10 games played has ended over 2 goals. Azerbaijan is a bad team and I don't expect them to score here. Finland has had some troubles in these "easy" games. They lost in Azerbaijan 1-0. They only got 0-0 in Armenia and at home to the same side they won 1-0. I think we will see something simular today. I predict a 1 or 2-0 victory for the hosts. Betsafe's away team not to score at 1.62 looks good in my book aswell
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 16/11 Växjö+Leksand 1.81@Ladbrokes Despite winning against Västerås in last round I don't rank Huddinge too high. Once in a while they cause an upset, but in this game I don't think they'll be able to do that. I hold Växjö as a stronger team and at home they should win easy. Leksand very solid. 8-0-0 at home. Belfour won't conced atm. Can't see anything else than an easy homewin here.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 16/11 Sundsvall-Rögle Under 5.5 1.95@Bwin A really nice odds when the other bookies holds the under as clear favourite. Stats really speaks for this game. Sundsvall has only 3 overs in 17 games. Their 6 last games and 9 of their last 10 games has ended under. Rögle is a skilled team, but they have a couple of poor performances in a row now and I think they will struggle in this one aswell. I expect a tight and close games without a lot of chances and as I've stated the under is clearly overpriced here.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 14-15/11
1-2 FT:cow Perfect result:ok Many good picks here tonight. Thanks everyone!Good value in both of these bets imo. Servette dnb 2.02, Under 5.5 2.02 Pinnacle I think this is a really nice price for the dnb option. Servette has had a really good run so far. They are 2nd overall, while Zürich are at 9th place. This is Servettes first game after the break while Zürich had a game on monday which they lost at home to Kloten 3-1. Servette is the 2nd best away team and Zürich is the 2nd worst home team. Not an easy task for Servette ofc. but I would still hold them as favourites in this game. I simply don't feel like the over should be a favourite here and many bookies agree with me. In their last 5 games, Zürich has 3 unders and Servette 5. They met one month ago and that game was level at 1-1 after 60 mins. Surely more than a 50% chance that this one will end under. -
Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 14-15/11 Good value in both of these bets imo. Servette dnb 2.02, Under 5.5 2.02 Pinnacle I think this is a really nice price for the dnb option. Servette has had a really good run so far. They are 2nd overall, while Zürich are at 9th place. This is Servettes first game after the break while Zürich had a game on monday which they lost at home to Kloten 3-1. Servette is the 2nd best away team and Zürich is the 2nd worst home team. Not an easy task for Servette ofc. but I would still hold them as favourites in this game. I simply don't feel like the over should be a favourite here and many bookies agree with me. In their last 5 games, Zürich has 3 unders and Servette 5. They met one month ago and that game was level at 1-1 after 60 mins. Surely more than a 50% chance that this one will end under.
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Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 11-13/11
Sundsvall-Almtuna Stat-bet with nice value imo. Sundsvall plays a defensive minded game. They don't concede many goals, but they don't score many themselves either. The goal difference of 34-36 tells us this, with 34 goals scored being the worst in the league. 36 goals conceded is really good though. Not much is working in Almtuna right now despite the change of coaching staff. This team can't seem to find the net either, but they concede many more than Sundsvall. Ã…kerlund has been great in net for Sundsvall the last couple of games and hopefully he can keep Almtuna from scoring in this game aswell. Let's hope Sundsvall will keep on struggling in offense in this game. 1.95 for under is too high however. Under 5.5 1.95@Pinnacle
:nana:nana:nanaIF Sundsvall Hockey - Almtuna IS 0 - 0 (0 - 0, 0 - 0, 0 - 0, 0 - 0) -
Re: Euro Hockey Leagues 11-13/11 Sundsvall-Almtuna Stat-bet with nice value imo. Sundsvall plays a defensive minded game. They don't concede many goals, but they don't score many themselves either. The goal difference of 34-36 tells us this, with 34 goals scored being the worst in the league. 36 goals conceded is really good though. Not much is working in Almtuna right now despite the change of coaching staff. This team can't seem to find the net either, but they concede many more than Sundsvall. Ã…kerlund has been great in net for Sundsvall the last couple of games and hopefully he can keep Almtuna from scoring in this game aswell. Let's hope Sundsvall will keep on struggling in offense in this game. 1.95 for under is too high however. Under 5.5 1.95@Pinnacle
Draw at 80'=Draw at FT?
in Glory Hunters
Posted
Re: Draw at 80'=Draw at FT? Ok so here goes Bet 1 Rosario-Argentinios 1-1 at 80' [email protected] 10u