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Burran

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Posts posted by Burran

  1. Re: Ice hockey World Championships 2-4 May Belarus dnb 2.47@Betsafe (homemade 22.73% on draw 4.40 77.27% on Belarus 3.20 ) I agree Mazarin. This is simply a case of finding the value again. I see this as a very even match up. Maybe a very small advantage for Switzerland, but there's no question that the price on Belarus is too high. Switzerland beat France 4-1 in the opener, but that doesn't say anything since France is the weakest team in this championship. More impressive then by Belarus to get 5-6 against Sweden. They impressed me a lot and if they play anywhere near how they did against Sweden they have a good chance here. Value Value Value!

  2. Re: Ice hockey World Championships 2-4 May Yes I watched the first two periods. Denmark was the much better team. Slovakia-1.5 2.04@pinnacle A price that holds lots of value imo. Slovakia are missing their star players from NHL like Marian Hossa/Demitra, but this is still a good team. Especially their defense looks good with NHL players Visnovsky, Mezei and Sekera. The other defenders are also high quality players from top leagues in Europe. Offensivly they look a little weaker, but still good enough to outscore Germany in this one. Germany will be fighting against teams like Switzerland, Belarus and Denmark for the last playoff spots. They are a decent team, but against the better team they don't have what it takes. Germany lost to Finland 5-1 in the opening round while Slovakia crused past Norway 5-1. I expect Slovakia to win by at least 2 goals and I certaintly give them more than 50% chance of doing so.

  3. Re: Ice hockey World Championships 2-4 May Denmark 1.75@Expekt A very good price imo. Denmark is a stronger side than italy. The team mostly contains of players from the domestic league, but they also have some real quality players who play in Sweden and ofc Frans Nielsen from NY Islanders. The italian league is worse than the danish one and this team mostly have players from the top clubs there. Denmark is no super team but they are one class above Italy imo and they should win this game.

  4. Re: Ice hockey World Championships 2-4 May I agree with you totally Mazarin! Belarus+3 1.85@Pinnacle is my first bet in this tournament. I don't like what I've seen from this Swedish squad so far. Yes sure, it's only been training games and Bäckström hasn't been playing, but I'm not sure that he can lift this team to another level by himself. Belarus usually causes Sweden some problems. Ofc, every swede remember the olympics in Salt Lake City where they won 4-3 in the quarterfinals. After that these teams have 2 times with Sweden winning both 2-1 and 4-1. I think Belarus has a good chance of keeping this game quite close. In the end I think we will se a Swedish victory, but only a narrow one.

  5. Re: Euro Hockey Leagues: 14 - 17/1 Djurgården dnb 2.11@Pinnacle Wrong favourite here imo. Mora are very weak and I'm pretty sure they'll end up in the qualification series. Their goaltending is not what is was last season and ofc they miss Brendl who scored 36 goals. Djurgården have been great on the road this season. Their form isn't good though. Only 1 win in the last 5 games. For me, this looks like a good game to get back on track for them. They should have a good chance of winning this game. Frölunda+0.5 1.86@Pinnacle I think Timrå are made too big favourites here. They usually get good result against Frölunda, but in this match they miss some really good players including Hedström and Pärssinen. Frölunda won at Djurgården last round and their squad is more or less injury free. I think they will get at least one point here. Comet+1.0 1.84@Pinnacle Might be stupid going agains Sparta when they're playing at home. Their homerecord is 13-1-1. I like this bet for some reasons. First of all the Comet is on fire atm. They have 9 straight wins. Some after OT and penalties but still very good. They beat Sparta just 11 days ago at home. On tuesday they took a very impressive win against Lillehammer away 7-0. Generally they are one of the better away teams in the league. Comet is also one of only two teams who have travelled from Sarpsborg with at least a point. In 4 meetings this season, Sparta has won at home and Comet likewise. The two other games have been draws. I expect another tight game tonight and with a +1 hcp Comet should be able to win imo. CBG// Very interesting. It's hard to believe that some of these countries have icehockey teams;)

  6. Re: Euro Hockey Leagues: 14/01 Aaah, nice to see that we're on the same side in this one guys. Brynas dnb 1.88@Pinnacle I'll start my year at SP with a bet from the scary Elitserien. My main reason for this bet is that this is two teams with two teams in totally different table situations. Linkoping are 3rd with 58 points and are more or less sure of getting to the playoffs. Brynas are 8th and they're currently holding the last playoffspot. However they have only one point down to Skelleftea at 9th and 5 points down to Lulea who are 11th which right now would send them to the qualification series. I think that Linkopings lack of motivation has been quite clear in some of their latest games. 3-4 at home to Skelleftea in particular. Brynas has begun to win some games now, 3 wins in the 4 latest, and it is crucial for them to continue with this. 3 points tonight would mean a lot tonight. Both teams are more or less injury free, and by just looking at the roster Linkoping holds a better squad. BUT, with the circumstances surrounding this match I see Brynas as a favourite. 1.88 for dnb is more than I expected and I'm willing to take that price. edit: sorry for my absence lately. Been hanging around in Poland for a while. More bets from me after wednesday, when I get back home!

  7. Best odds/All oddsv6171.gifv2.gifv6160.gifv10.gifv6018.gifv401.gif
    IK Oskarshamn1.81.651.71.651.611.79
    Draw4.754.74.754.755.4
    Nybro Vikings IF33.63.23.253.63.65
    Big day tomorrow, but only one game tonight and I think I've found a solid winner. Oskarshamn-1.0 2.15@Bet365 This is a price that holds good value imo. Oskarshamn are playing really good atm. They had 3 straight wins before going to Malmö on friday. They managed to get one point out of that game which is really good. I mostly stay out of games Nybro are playing. They're a tricky team. They usually have a lot of injuries, but still play well. Tonight important american Mike Erickson will be missed for sure. They will also put Anti Jokela between the pipes. A goalie I don't have too high thoughts about. A sv% of 87% and a GAA of 4.18 shows why. Oskarshamn is on a great run right now and I don't think Nybro will be able to stop them tonight either. I'll split my money between straight win at 1.80, -1.0 and -1.5 at 2.55
  8. Re: Draw at 80'=Draw at FT? Hehe, yep, that might be a better option...I wont go any further with this one. Ofc these bets aren't representative for all games played, but I think it looks to hard to make a profit this way. Not all glory hunts are good ones;)

  9. Re: Draw at 80'=Draw at FT? We will see....two more winners here anyway. I skipped Bayern bcs I thought they would snatch a late winner. 1.90 would have been tasty though. Should have taken the Hamburg match aswell, but I missed that one, No problem if they score late goals, as long as both teams score. 2-2 in Frankfurt. 82' 2-1 90' 2-2. Newc-Birm is my next bet if it's still a draw in 4 mins.

  10. Re: Draw at 80'=Draw at FT?

    Ok so here goes Bet 1 Rosario-Argentinios 1-1 at 80' [email protected] 10u
    1-1 FT +5u:ok We're off to a good start anyway. A whole bunch of matches tomorrow ofcourse. I will try to put as many bets I can on reasonable matches. I will stay away from games which are drawn at 80' but had a big favourite before the match started. Ofc the price for a draw in these games will be higher but usually big favs (1.40 or lower) gets the job done in the last 10 mins. An Under 20 game in Brazil being played right now. 2-1 the score now at 55' Will most probably try this one aswell if we have a draw at 80'
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