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Camden1984

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Posts posted by Camden1984

    Huge Acca! Looking Good!

    in Footy Chat & Banter

    Posted

    I'm not sure you understand how a cash out policy works the bookie will offer a cash out relative to the equity of your bet. Bet 365 and the rest will offer a cash out 10-15% less than the true equity of your bet Hills offer something like 20%, even if they gave the equivalent equity of a BET 365 in terms of equity it doesn't guarantee a profit lol the bet still needs to become profitable over time.

     You would either be very bold or very stupid to not lay France when you have 600k riding.

    Good luck either way

    Huge Acca! Looking Good!

    in Footy Chat & Banter

    Posted

    @moggis

    Thanks for such a detailed repsonse Moggis good to have some moral support.

    Unfortunately WH are known scum on their cash-out giving WAY below your true equity. Bet 365 would be something like £7k in the current position, with the true value of the bet being somewhere near £10k. Why I bet with WH I don't know as their cash-out policy is a disgrace and known amongst punters.

    If all league bets come in + Arsenal are you telling me you would let it ride and not lay France???? It would be the sensible thing to do to guarantee money on both sides.

    Yea as you say, no intention of cashing out and with the 'likelihood' of Wolves, Luton maintaining their lead (though of course this changes weekend by weekend) I'll be doing several doubles with Blackburn + EUROPE LEAGUE WINNER (ARSENAL, NAPOLI, AT MADRID)

    League 2 is the scary one. Wigan have an amazing defence but can lack a bit of fire power and Blackburn have been on a great run. Wigan play in the FA CUP this weekend, so gap could be narrowed to 2 points, then they both play on Tuesday where Blackburn have a chance to then overtake if Wigan lose. Getting towards the business end now and every match is huge!

    Thanks for the words, it's nice to know someone is watching over :)

    Good luck with your own punting and let's see how it all rides out....

     

     

    Huge Acca! Looking Good!

    in Footy Chat & Banter

    Posted

    Hi Guys! My first post here, tried to do this on the Betfair forum but I'm not active enough there to post.

    Anyway to business-was hoping for some advice/calculations for my current bet.

    Beginning of the season I placed a season acca with Hills on the following:

    City to win Prem : 2/1

    Wolves to win Championship: 7/1

    Wigan to win League 1: 7/1

    Luton to win League 2: 9/2

    Arsenal to win Europa: 7//1

    France to win World Cup: 7/1

    I bet £10, total return £619520

    Now looking at the all the league bets I'm in a great spot,  I smashed the prices early and everyone is odds on ( City=1/100, Wolves=1/8, Wigan 1/3, Luton 1/5)

    Arsenal is dodgy but I'm in with a shout, if it somehow comes in I can obviously lay France big for the world cup etc.

    Hills is currently offering me a cash-out of  £458 (hilarious really) What do you think the bet is currently worth/odds of this coming in as things stands?

    Also what would you do in my situation, do you lay/ back anything, e.g. Blackburn to win League 1 etc????

    Any advice would be greatly appreciated! Either way every weekend is currently proving to be a fun sweat :)

    I have attached the bet as a screenshot in case anyone doubts the story!

     

    Thanks

    Camden Guy

    seasonbet.png

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