bettingtime

Two years ago Paderborn celebrated making it to the Bundesliga for the first time in their history, but now they are staring down the barrel of a return to the 3rd tier in Germany. They were immediately relegated from the Bundesliga last season, and rather than bouncing back instantly they have endured a difficult season in the 2. Bundesliga and find themselves in 16th position.
This sees them occupy the relegation playoff position, with three points separating them from the bottom two clubs and one point between them and Frankfurt and Dusseldorf above them. A win on Friday could see them climb out of the playoff position, whereas a loss could put them in the automatic drop spots with just two games remaining.
Paderborn managed to pick up a point at Heidenheim on Saturday to lead on from their win at fellow relegation candidates Frankfurt the weekend before. This puts their recent record at two defeats, two draws, and one win. At home they are winless in five matches though, with three of these five ending in defeat.
Freiburg were also relegated from the Bundesliga last season, but unlike their opponents they are plotting a quick return to the top flight. They come into the final three matches of the season at the top of the 2. Bundesliga, three points ahead of Leipzig in 2nd and with a seven point cushion over the promotion playoff spot.
They managed to bounce back from their draw at Braunschweig last Monday by seeing off Duisburg 3-0 at home on Friday, taking their recent record to nine wins and one draw from their last ten matches.
Away from home they have won four of their last five and are unbeaten since the start of February, so they will feel that they have an excellent chance of potentially wrapping up promotion on Friday. The visitors have also managed to net 14 goals in their last five away days, and are coming up against a defence who have shipped ten in their last five home games and scored just one in return.
This makes odds of 17/20 for a Freiburg win look excellent value for money, and I'm going for that along with a 3-0 correct score prediction at 16/1.
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