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Jonne

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Posts posted by Jonne

  1. Re: Denmark SAS 08 Nov For value I might look into the HOrsens - AGF game, where Horsens are without their regular goalie, Jochumsen and their strong center back Kenneth Emil Petersen. AGF were looking strong against FCM, whom they beat, but they often have problems away, but I think the 2.62 for AGF might be value as Horsens' reserve keeper was looking quite shaky last match

  2. Re: Denmark, weekend, 18-20th of october I was going to say laying AAB would be a good choice, seeing as they haven't won on their own turf this season and 1.75 seems way too low. But then Bernburg is out, and while Bajram Fetai and Niclas Pedersen are strong, this is a definate weakening of the squad, still I'm not sure I'd give AAB more than 50-55 % chance to take this home, so laying AAB might still seem a good choice. FCN have lost to FCM and FCK with a 1 goal margin the latest two matches, but had 2 victories before that, AAB managed to draw against Horsens, but lost against FCK and AGF before that, so actually I'm going to say go ahead and lay AAB at 1.9 and less, if possible :)

  3. Re: Sas league 30'th of August - 1'st of September

    Sport Football (Denmark)
    Event AGF - FC Nordsjælland
    Selection AGF
    Strength 10/10
    Date 31/08/2008
    Bookmaker/Price Betsafe @ 2.30 (Back)
    Reasoning AGF beat Brøndby at Nrgi Park their last match, with Nando Rafael returning and looking promising. Today they meet FCN, who are the bottom team in the league even though they've had some play suggesting they could be higher in the table I think AGF should be clear favorites in this matchup. AGF are missing Olof Persson, Ole Budtz and Niels Kristensen, none of them I'd class as more than marginal players. FCN will be missing Santala, who's been out for a good while anyway and won't be missed. FCN barely won against a Scottish 1. division side this week, which did not impress me, except Bernburg bagging two goals in the final minutes. My rating is roughly 50-30-20 giving a value bet of 115 %.
  4. Saturday 30 August 2008 Home Draw Away BPP
    OB v Randers (16:00BST) 1.67 4.00 5.50 103.06 % Details »
    Hide « OB v Randers
    Sunday 31 August 2008 Home Draw Away BPP
    AGF v FCN (13:00BST) 2.17 3.50 3.75 101.32 % Details »
    Hide « AGF v FCN
    Esbjerg v Horsens (15:00BST) 2.00 3.60 4.40 100.51 % Details »
    Hide « Esbjerg v Horsens
    SønderjyskE v AaB (15:05BST) 4.40 3.60 1.97 101.27 % Details »
    Hide « SønderjyskE v AaB
    Brøndby v FCK (16:30BST) 2.78 3.45 2.56 104.02 % Details »
    Hide « Brøndby v FCK
    Monday 1 September 2008 Home Draw Away BPP
    FCM v Vejle (18:00BST) 1.53 4.25 7.25 102.54 % Details »
  5. Re: Danish Sas liga 9'th - 11'th of August

    Sport Football (Denmark)
    Event FC Nordsjælland - Randers
    Selection Randers
    Strength 10/10
    Date 10/08/2008
    Bookmaker/Price Expekt @ 2.95 (Back)
    Reasoning Randers are the surprise of this season, till now. They recently beat Brøndby, who everybody thought were back to former strenght 0-3. That means they beat Brøndby on Brøndby stadium. Randers also managed to get a draw against FCK aswell as a 1'st game win against AGF. In these matches Sane and Buval have been strong, while Nygaard is always a threat. The defense has also been strong, only letting in 2 goals in 3 matches against: FCK, Brøndby and AGF. FCN have not been performing especially well till now, they were lucky to get a point against Esbjerg, and lost the first match against Brøndby 0-2, Brøndby whom Randers have just beaten 0-3. I think Randers should be favorites for this match, I'm not sure how much of a favorite, but 30-30-40 is not too far off I think, giving a betvalue of astonishing 118 %. GET IN!!! :)
  6. Saturday 9 August 2008 Home Draw Away BPP
    AaB v Esbjerg (14:00BST) 1.80 3.60 4.75 104.39 % Details »
    Hide « AaB v Esbjerg
    Horsens v Brøndby (16:00BST) 4.00 3.60 2.00 102.78 % Details »
    Hide « Horsens v Brøndby
    Sunday 10 August 2008 Home Draw Away BPP
    FCN v Randers (13:00BST) 2.55 3.45 2.90 102.68 % Details »
    Hide « FCN v Randers
    FCM v OB (15:05BST) 2.60 3.40 2.90 102.36 % Details »
    Hide « FCM v OB
    FCK v AGF (16:30BST) 1.36 5.00 10.00 103.33 % Details »
    Hide « FCK v AGF
    Monday 11 August 2008 Home Draw Away BPP
    Vejle v SønderjyskE (18:00BST) 1.75 4.00 5.00 102.14 % Details »
  7. Re: Danish Sasliga 26-28 July

    Sport Football (Denmark)
    Event AGF - AC Horsens
    Selection AC Horsens
    Strength 10/10
    Date 28/07/2008
    Bookmaker/Price Betfair @ 3.00 (Back)
    Reasoning AC Horsens impressed me in their first match, where they beat SønderjydskE 2-0, they seemed really fit and were powerplaying in big parts of the game, even though they did not seem that effective. AGF did not manage to impress me in their first match against Randers (Must admit I was drunk, but nonetheless) where they were beaten 3-1. Dioh Williams was one of the only players performing in this match, despite their activity where they have gotten good players like Dan Thomassen and Nando Rafael (who may actually play in this match, we do not know that yet though. - Source: bold.dk) AC Horsens will have an interesting new right side with former Brøndby talents Molle (Morten Rasmussen) and Spellman, who was a regular for Brøndby for 1 season. I'd say 33-30-37, giving a valuebet of 111%!
    I agree on this bet, with 300 available on Betfair at this price. EDIT: Actually 500 now, don't understand this price, is at 2.55 at bookies like Sportingbet and Scandicbookmakers.
  8. Re: Danish Sasliga 19-23 of July FCK is definately a candidate, question is how big a candidate they are , I'm kind of biased seeing as I'm and FCK fan, but I'd still say value should be on Esbjerg, seeing as FCK are playing with 2 VERY young centerbacks and Esbjerg usually do well against FCK, but because I'm a fan of FCK, I'm not very good at assessing how big a chance FCK has at most games, so it's a no-bet for me.

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