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Simeone

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Posts posted by Simeone

  1. Cesena- Como
    pick: Cesena -0.75 1.95 @ Pinnacle
    Flat stake: 1/10
     
    Cesena is typical good second league team, balanced strong, not make to many mistake, and fighting very well for every ball, and that is maybe not enough for Serie A, but in Serie B they are more than good. Especially at home on small pitch, arifical grass, with their pressure many team can not handle. Djuric strong tower, Ragusa creative strikers are ideal combination.
    Como is newcomer in league, after good and enthuistic start, they fail , typical for promoted team, 3 defeats and only one draw in last 4 matches. Ebagua is back in team, but their starting strikers line two strong man upfront  Gerardi and Ebagua, IMO is bad combination, with good defenders they can easy block this duo. 
    IMO, this should be relative easy home victory.
  2. Atalanta - Frosinone pick: Atalanta -0.75 @ 2.00 Sbo stake: 1/10 Atalanta (4-3-3): Sportiello; Masiello, Toloi, Paletta, Dramé; De Roon, Migliaccio, Kurtic; Moralez, Pinilla, Gomez. A disp.: Bassi, Conti, Stendardo, Cherubin, Raimondi, Bellini, Brivio, Grassi, Giorgi, D'Alessandro, Estigarribia, Monachello. All.: Reja Squalificati: Carmona Indisponibili: Cigarini, Denis, Suagher Frosinone (4-4-2): Leali; Rosi, Blanchard, Diakitè, Crivello; Paganini, Gori, Gucher, Soddimo; Longo, Dionisi. A disp.: Zappino, M. Ciofani, Crivello, Bertoncini, Sammarco, Russo, Frara, Chibsah, Verde, Carlini, Tonev, D.Ciofani All.: Stellone Squalificati: - Indisponibili: - Newcomer in league Frosinone, no good transfers, Torino destroy Frosionone and for sure they are first candidate for Serie B. Atalanta always great record at home, solid first game against Inter many experienced players, and I believe they will easy won this match.

  3. Re: Serie B Eurobet > April 24th - 27th Spezia - Trapani pick: Spezia -0.5 @ 1.89 12bet stake: 1/10 Spezia have a lot of space for improvments, especially in their home games, when they was so much unlucky, with early red card etc. Trapani long injury list Basso, Caldara, Citro, Curiale, Lombardi, Terlizzi, Vidanov e Barillà.

  4. Re: Serie B Eurobet > April 17th - 20th Pescara - Modena pick: Modena +0.25 @ 2.02 Sbo , 12 bet Balanced game, and Modena is defensive orineted and not easy break their defensive block, when in attack have Granoche that can make a problems. Also many imp missing in Pescara Melchiorri, Salamon, Grillo, Pesoli, Lazzari, Bjarnason e Bruno.

  5. Re: Serie A TIM > April 15th - 20th Empoli - Parma pick: Empoli -1 @ 2.11 Sbo stake: 1/10 Two reason for this bet, first Parma problems that I write before Genoa match, so this should be 5 game in 15 day, is one more problem! And they looks really emotional emptied in match aganist Genoa. I believe that will be same scenario here. And second reason maybe more important is Empoli, really have nice season, coach Sarri make amazing job, have a future star in defense as Rugani, new Italian national midfielder Valdfiori balance very well between defense and attack.they are one of the surprise this season , playing nice football , have ball possesion, and deserve more points than they have. So -1 line look again as great bet!

  6. Re: Serie A TIM > April 15th - 20th Genoa - Parma pick: Genoa -1 @ 2.29 Sbo stake: 1/10 I wait that odds raise enough to take, it was expected that public will on parma side, after Juve vicotry, so I see nice Value here, so I will try with higher handicap. First it will be 4 game in 11 day for Parma. And that can be to much in this short period for that team. You all know they financial problems, and their coach in few situation said that they have problem to have normal training becuase of problem with money etc. And for sure Parma is motivated at home with great support of fans in this hard situation, and against Juventus they play over their ability ( also Juve think about Champions League) so they use that situation and won that game. And for me it is sure they emotionally emptied after that game. Genoa is good side, at home making nice results, and still have chance to come close to European League position. When Niang come on Loan from Milan they became even more dangerous in attack.

  7. Re: Serie A TIM > Saturday April 4th Verona - Cesena pick : Verona -0.5 @ 1.89 Pinnacle, 12bet stake: 1/10 Verona after long time have almost best players available. Also they are in solid form, last 5 game with hard schedule only one defeat away against Lazio. They are 11 points above safe zone, but with this 3 points they will make a big step to confirm Serie A status this year, so I believe they will be full of motiv. Cesena improve their form , but still IMO they are limited side, at home make some decent results on their small pitch and with aggressive play, but away at home is different story. Their away record is 1-3-9. And they won only against Parma (lucky won) also this draws not come as some great performance. Quality is on home side, and I believe they will take all 3 points.

  8. Re: Serie B Eurobet > March 28th & 29th Modena - Varese pick: Modena -0.5 @ 1.81 Pinnacle stake: 1/10 We have Modena that play nice at home, and Varese that is terrible away. Modena before season , I see that team in top 6 but they have some limit in midfield, but still that is should be enough for Varese. Varese in problems, need miracle to stay in league, and today have many missing:+Daniele Corti suspended and injured Varela, Simic, Rea e Neto Pereira

  9. Re: Serie A TIM > March 21st & 22nd

    Sampdoria - Inter pick: Sampdoria Ah0 @ 2.19 @ 188bet stake: 1/10 I wait to see line ups, and still do not find to many reason why odds dropping. Probably public is on Inter because Shaqiri is back, but still he is not 100 % ready, Sampdoria very offensive line up, going for all 3 points. Palacio start play better and now he is on bench for Inter. One more strange decision from Mancini, also Vidic ( have some conflict with coach) is now in starting line up, and he is far away from best day, but pitch is small in Genoa, so probably Mancini thinking that he is ideal for this match up, but hard expect after such a problem in team, he will be motivated. So lots of problem around Inter, and no chance that they are favorite here.
    1-0 Won
  10. Re: Serie A TIM > March 21st & 22nd

    Cesena - Roma pick: Roma -0.75 @ 2.02 Sbo stake: 1/10 Cesena (4-3-1-2): Leali; Perico, Capelli, Krajnc, Nica; Giorgi, Mudingayi, Pulzetti; Carbonero; Defrel, Djuric A disp.: Agliardi, Bressan, Volta, Lucchini, Mordini, Gaiola, De Feudis, Cascione, Rodriguez, Succi, Moncini. All.: Di Carlo Squalificati: - Indisponibili: Marilungo, Tabanelli, Cazzola, Yabre, Ze Eduardo, Valzania, Brienza,Renzetti Roma (4-3-3): De Sanctis; Torosidis, Manolas, Astori, Cole; Florenzi, De Rossi, Nainggolan;Iturbe, Ljajic, Gervinho. A disp.: Skorupski, Spolli, Holebas, Yanga Mbiwa, Ucan, Paredes, Verde, Ibarbo, Doumbia. All.: Garcia Squalificati: Keita (1), Pjanic (1) Indisponibili: Maicon, Strootman, Balzaretti, Totti I am going with Roma , and I wait that odds raise and that happen. They have many missing for this match but still they are few class above Cesena. and today they will start their best attacking line up IMO: Ljajic, Gervinho. Iturbe! Cesena raise in form, but still IMO they are one of the worst team in league, Roma is under pressure, will be high motivated to won this match
    0-1 Half Won
  11. Re: Serie A TIM > March 21st & 22nd Sampdoria - Inter pick: Sampdoria Ah0 @ 2.19 @ 188bet stake: 1/10 I wait to see line ups, and still do not find to many reason why odds dropping. Probably public is on Inter because Shaqiri is back, but still he is not 100 % ready, Sampdoria very offensive line up, going for all 3 points. Palacio start play better and now he is on bench for Inter. One more strange decision from Mancini, also Vidic ( have some conflict with coach) is now in starting line up, and he is far away from best day, but pitch is small in Genoa, so probably Mancini thinking that he is ideal for this match up, but hard expect after such a problem in team, he will be motivated. So lots of problem around Inter, and no chance that they are favorite here.

  12. Re: Serie A TIM > March 21st & 22nd Cesena - Roma pick: Roma -0.75 @ 2.02 Sbo stake: 1/10 Cesena (4-3-1-2): Leali; Perico, Capelli, Krajnc, Nica; Giorgi, Mudingayi, Pulzetti; Carbonero; Defrel, Djuric A disp.: Agliardi, Bressan, Volta, Lucchini, Mordini, Gaiola, De Feudis, Cascione, Rodriguez, Succi, Moncini. All.: Di Carlo Squalificati: - Indisponibili: Marilungo, Tabanelli, Cazzola, Yabre, Ze Eduardo, Valzania, Brienza,Renzetti Roma (4-3-3): De Sanctis; Torosidis, Manolas, Astori, Cole; Florenzi, De Rossi, Nainggolan;Iturbe, Ljajic, Gervinho. A disp.: Skorupski, Spolli, Holebas, Yanga Mbiwa, Ucan, Paredes, Verde, Ibarbo, Doumbia. All.: Garcia Squalificati: Keita (1), Pjanic (1) Indisponibili: Maicon, Strootman, Balzaretti, Totti I am going with Roma , and I wait that odds raise and that happen. They have many missing for this match but still they are few class above Cesena. and today they will start their best attacking line up IMO: Ljajic, Gervinho. Iturbe! Cesena raise in form, but still IMO they are one of the worst team in league, Roma is under pressure, will be high motivated to won this match

  13. Re: Borussia Dortmund v Juventus > Wednesday March 18th I watch Dortmund in few game and I am not impressed, and for me they are far away from their best day, not playing high pressure so good anymore, and Juventus know to keep ball very well, they will go for draw, and they have good chance for that. So my bet is draw for small stake. In first game Dortmund without good game play, and they only lucky scored after Juve defensive mistake!

  14. Re: Serie B Eurobet > March 13th - 16th Vicenza - Catania pick: Catania +0.25 @ 1.88 12bet stake: 1/10 What is sports, before season Catania was main candidate for promotion, experienced players, big budget for this level and just 7-8 month later they fighting to avoid relegation. All season lots of problem with injured players, coach, problems with fans etc. Also they was very unlucky in same situation. Now form raise, squad is much mroe motivated and for me have nice chance for points in this match. On other side before season, Vicenza was candidate for relegation, but with every next round, they raise in form, and now they are candidate for promotion. But still I belive they have limited squad. Some players are out or not full ready for all 90 minutes. So we can expect 3-4 change in their best line up. I see equal match and decent Value on Catania.

  15. Re: Serie A TIM > March 14th - 16th Palermo - Juventus pick Palermo (+0.5) @ 2.08 Sbo bet Flat stake 1/10 Juve more thinking about Dortmund (coach probably will rest: Chielini and Tevez) when Pogba is suspended. With good season Palermo can take points here. Dybala and Vasquez showing all season great form, They will be full of motiv , when Juve can play relaxed because they already secure another league title.

  16. Re: Serie A TIM > March 7th - 9th Sampdoria - Cagliari pick: Sampdoria -0.5 @ 1.86 12bet stake: 1/10 Sampdoria without 3 best players take a win aginst Atalanta, and now at home when situation is much better, and they are full motivated to continue that run. With Cagliari i am not impressed, and now also have some important missing: suspended Conti, Jao Pedro, when injured Balzano, Ekdal and Donsah

  17. Re: Serie B Eurobet > February 6th - 8th Modena - Catania pick: Catania +0.25 1.85 Sbo stake: 1/10 I do not like this Modena team, they have a lot of problems to create a chance, also they lucky take draw last match, and Catania that make a good job during winter break, especially in offensive part, and with new players, should take points here.

  18. Re: Serie A TIM > January 24th - 26th Serie A Cagliari - Sassuolo pick: Sassuolo +0.25 1.98 12bet stake: 1/10 CAglairi not impressed me, one more time against that team, Zola not changed to much, still have some missing, and not playing beautifl for eyes. On other side Sassuuolo good matches, just two draw in last two matches, but they deserve more points. Zaza, Berarid in great form, they will make a lot of problems to Caglairi. IMO here we have great Value. Fair line AH0

  19. Re: Serie B Eurobet > January 19th - 25th Catania - Pro Vercelli pick: Catania -0.5 @ 2.05 Sbobet, Pinnacle flat stake: 1/10 Catania in hard position, so their board was very active during this winter break many interesting players come : Belmonte (Udinese); Coppola (mid Cesena); Maniero ( Pescara); Schiavi ( Frosinone ) but what is more important many players back after injury problems, and problems wiht cards. So now finaly they good and strong line up. Still injured: Gyomber, Peruzzi, Martinho and Castro, when Spolli is doubtful. Pro Vercelli was lucky last match, Avellino was better side, but with late goal Vercelli take point, and they are not so strong in away matches. Record only 2 wins 1 draw and 8 defeats. And that two away matches won only with two late goal. 3 regular players are out: Germano, Ronaldo and Fabiano ALmost must win situation for Catania, they are full of motiv, and my favorite here.

  20. Re: Serie A TIM > January 17th & 18th Parma - Sampdoria pick: Sampdoria ah0 @ 1.99 Sbo flat stake: 1/10 Parma 3-5-2 Mirante - Costa, Paletta, Lucarelli- Cassani, Mauri, Loda, Galloppa, Gobbi - Cassano, Palladino Injured: Biabiany, Coda, Ghezzal, Jorquera, Acquah, Belfodil (int duty) Sampdoria 4-3-1-2 Viviano - Regini, Silvestre, Gastaldello, De Silvestri - Rizzo, Palombo, Obiang - Soriano- Eder, Okaka Injured: Fornasier, Mesbah (int duty) After Paletta and Cassani, back in team Parma start with better results, but Imo still not playing on high level, just was more lucky than before. And I do not know why their coach in cup game in midweek use many regular players, so Mirante, Paletta, Galloppa, Cassano lose lot of energy, for me without reason. They to much depends on Cassano, he is the only creative players in team, and for sure, other teams know that, and do not give him to much space. On other side is Sampdoria, and I am really impressed what coach Mihajlovic make with this team, not only result, but also playing nice for eyes. Gabbiadini left team, but still without hime they show that they have attacking potential. Soriano is positive surprise, when Parma defenders will have a lot of problems to stop Okaka. First Okaka is strong, but also he is quick, and if Paletta and Luccarelli stay alone with hime on big space, they will be in problems. Parma must attack, and I see that the will give a lot of space for Samporia strikes and that can be problem, we see in last match against Verona, Parma after 1-0 for Verona or on 2-1 for Verona, attack with full power, and Verona have chance with Nico and Toni to score some easy goals on counter attacks and destroy Parma, and I expect similar scenario here..

  21. Re: Serie A TIM > January 10th & 11th

    udinese are not typically strong team away. i think sassuolo enjoys being underdog hence why they are performing well
    4 time lost , 4 time they take at least point in away matches. Away they lost against Juve, Fiorentina, Milan and Torino Also won against Inter and Lazio, draw with Palermo and Sampodira. With such a hard schedule, they are performing well on away side. More focused on defense and counter attack. And resutls are nice for away matche this season. So you statment is not true.
  22. Re: Serie A TIM > January 10th & 11th

    I couldn't agree more.Sassuolo are relegation material and will find it had to stay in the league.It's just Milan made them look special.Udinese gave a hard time to Roma and i fully expect them even to win on the weekend.Sassuolo already beat Milan an year ago so it wasn't that big shock doing it again even though i didn't expect that.Without Mexes Milan are defending shitty and didn't know how to take the lead again after they scored at first.I think Sassuolo won't have that big number of chances at the weekend and Udinese will hardly lose agan.
    Ok, Serie A is weaker than usual, and with this team Sasuolo is good side for Serie A standards, I do not agree that they are relegation material. They have one of the best attacking duo in league: Zaza, Berardi, very soon booth will go in big club, they have Vrsaljko powerful right back ( now injured) also many bigger club watching him, with Consigli decent goalie, Acerbi (also called in Italian national team)Peluso (ex Juve) talented Taider (out for this match) interesting player as Sansone + many other experienced Serie A players. For me they are good team, and that is not my opinion, results are telling that. Not only results, they also playing decent, but as I said in preview they will have problem with 3-5-2 system, for sure motivation is not so high as in match on San Siro, and because odds raise on udinese +0.5 is Value. But as every bet, it will not be easy :)
  23. Re: Serie A TIM > January 10th & 11th Sassuolo - Udinese pick: Udinese +0.5 @ 1.83 Pinnacle Flat stake: 1/10 Sassuolo 4-3-3 Consigli- Peluso, Acerbi, Cannavaro, Gazzola- Missiroli, Magnanelli, Biondini- Sansone, Zaza, Berardi Injured: Pegolo, Manfredini, Vrsaljko , Taider (int duty) Udinese 3-5-2 Karnezis- Heurtaux, Danilo, Domizzi-Widmer, Kone, Guilherme, Allan, G Silva- Geijo, Di Natale Injured: Muriel, Badu, Wague, Evangelista Zapata (last 4 int duty) I like this match up, and here is just few reason. Sassuolo have problems playing against team that using 3-5-2 formation. We alredy see that against team that using similar formation (7-0 defeat against Inter, 1-1 draw with Cesena, 2-1 defeat against Palermo etc) and reason is obvious, with their formation 4-3-3, attacking line with Berardi Sansone, playing on the side, when Zaza is central striker. Very often Berardi and Sansone try go close to line and than they have a lot of space and can give useful ball to Zaza. When against 3-5-2 formation, this space near line is closed, and they can not make a difference. When with only 3 man in midfiled they are in the most case outplayed. Also we will see what Stramaccioni tactic will try, in my opinion if he try play normal game, with high pressure they have good chance to take points, I do not belive that he will use to much defensive tactic, and give a ball to Sassuolo. On the end for sure Sassuolo is now overrated after vicotry against Milan, Udinese have power to stop Sassuolo, and +0.5 is great line.

  24. Re: Serie A TIM > January 5th & 6th Udinese - Roma pick: Roma -0.5 @ 1.98 12bet Flat stake: 1/10 Udinese 4-4-1-1 Karnezis - Pasquale, Bubnjic, Danilo, Wague- Kone, Guilherme, Allan, Widmer-B.Fernande- Di Natale Suspended: Heurtaux, Pinzi Injured: Muriel, Domizzi, Piris , Badu (international duty) Roma 4-3-3 De Sanctis - Maicon, Manolas, Yanga Mbiwa, Holebas, Pjanic, De Rossi, Nainggolan - Ljajic, Iturbe, Destro Suspended: - Injured: Ucan, Skorupski, Totti, Balzaretti, Castan ,Gervinho and Keita (int duty) First i like Roma squad, and finally situation in defense is better, when in attack have many option. Totti missing is not handicap for me, when for Gervinho in some part of game Iturbe is better option and Roma will motivated after break to stay in title race with Juventus. Udinese with Stramaccioni is overrated IMo, some nice victory, but to much depends on Di Natale, and Roma will find way to stop that old man. Also they have imp missing. Suspended: def Heurtaux, and midf Pinzi, injured Muriel, Domizzi and Piris. And Badu is also out, and problems it that they are not as Roma not have good players on bench, so every missing put problems to coach. So 4 man in defense will be Wague - Danilo- Bubnjic- Pasquale. and I see lots of problem to keep one of the most talented side in league. Also coach will play with only one striker, and Thereau who is in grat form this season will be on bench. I expect that Roma will control match, have ball possion, defense working better not received to much goals in last period (also they not allow so many chance to opposite team), Ljajic play more confidence, and if Iturbe show form from last year, I expect that Roma won this match.

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