methuselah
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Posts posted by methuselah
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Re: 7's or better h2h system I must say I noticed the discrepancy when you first posted but expected some sort of retraction. 43 winners at the full 2.50 = 64.5 pure profit .Then minus the 20 losers is only 44.5 profit. Probably 9 is nearer the true profit. You have most likely misplaced a decimal point, alas.
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Re: Best-Priced Overs 2008 Second Sight here are some figures for the last eight years Premier 2 or more 70%-75% Champ 2 or more 71%-75% Premier 4 or more 23%-29% Champ 4 or more 21%-30% Premier 5 or more 8%- 15% Champ 5 or more 9%-16%
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Re: Living of betfair? Tippus.I would advise you to lay my bets to make a good profit.:rollin
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Re: Dustys Aways I wish you luck but suspect this year"s results an aberration. For the last 5 years Aways in that League have been between25% and 29%.
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Re: Quick System On checking Royal Prodigy Is 5 days on Massey but higher up than Mickmagoole who is 2 days. Maybe this is a criterion.
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Re: Quick System Sorry for the reply you got. From memory the picks are quick returners. Probably 1 or 2 days since last race.
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Re: Fleet's New Patternform System Good luck with this. Patternform throws up some really good long odd winners . It's a site I love.
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Re: Call me paranoid, but... Of course you are not paranoid. I am your friend and you may tell ME you system.
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Re: staking plans The Staking Machine. Google it and try free Download. It works well.
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Re: staking plans There is a very good staking plan piece of software available that you can trial for free. You can input expected odds and then generate random data for up to 2000 bets and see how various plans will work.
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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends My mind boggles JT. Where do you get this endless supply of stats from .? It certainly seems to work.
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Re: Looking for a reliable 50/50 bet for my betting system I am afraid I agree with the Doomsayers on this one. I have been looking at the Odds and Evens on the football and there are some runs of doble figures there that will lead to failure. You have been assuming that your runs will be nicely spaced but they will not be. Some statistic guru here will no doubt give you the odds for the runs you might expect. Still try with a paper run and see how you go.
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Re: aliando's laying football lines Still I love the idea ..It is thinking up new things all the time that makes this business enjoyable.
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Re: aliando's laying football lines I wish you luck with this but there is one fatal flaw in your reasoning. Your statement that there is one in three chances of picking a correct result are only true if you use a pin. The price of your selection is a better guide to it's true chance.
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Re: Wolverhampton - Sat 24/03 I have laid Multicultural. I think Kintbury Cross has a better chance and the odds for Multicultural are much too low.:hope
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Re: Head-to Head Meetings Would Brondby-Nordjylland fit. 5-1-0 and8-2-0 with aways included.
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Re: Step forward....the staking plan experts There is a certain software application available that has a number of staking plans on it. You can trial this for any number of times but it will only go for ten bets on the trial .It works very well and ten bets in a row gives a good idea how a system will work. If O.K. I can mention it's name.
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Re: The Loss Recovery Plan vs. Flat Bets This is the old " Retirement Staking Plan ". I have dabbled with this but never carried it through, although it seems pretty sound. I look forward to see how it compares with flat stakes.
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Re: +1.5 goals...80.55% strike rate 29 from 36 Hi Frisky, I think that the value in Juve,Lecce, And Celtic is against you and I am laying them. Maybe it will be my paltry bet that you will win.? Good Luck. [ But not too much.]
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Re: The Times "Finktank" predictions You could try Under/Over 2.5 which looks interesting. I shall probably keep an eye on this myself.
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Re: Taunton 7/12 I would agree with that. Might back for a win if B.F. odds reasonable.
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Re: Wetherby 02/12 I 'll go for Ossmoses 12.20. First time out for a while but the best horse in this race.
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Re: Leicester 13/11 Not too sure about Sunisia. Pearl King at 2.10 might be better.
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Re: Uttoxeter 11/10 Agree with you both about Magic Sky and Bermuda Pointe. Have backed B.P. but Magic Sky too short for me. Have gone for St. Wilfred in the 1720 for a win. Though a place might be more advisable , but the odds are too good to knock back.
Football Correct Scores - how to profit?
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Re: Football Correct Scores - how to profit? I bet on correct scores occasionally. I prefer the 0-0 market as I use only BF and this is the most active. I bet mainly on the o/u 2.5 market however. I basically consider scores etc as you suggest but think using Poisson is of no use. I bet 40 to 50 markets a week and my bank is much the same as it was 2 years ago.In other words I have gone sideways. I believe that a staking plan is the only answer but cannot think of one I would be game to use.