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hornet_18

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  1. Re: ***** US Masters Competition - £150 in CASH Prizes ***** Jason Day - 14s - joint favourite with Rory in my opinion. Two top 3s in three appearances and a win this year already Dustin Johnson - 16s - back on tour with a bang. Has a great game for the course and four top 6s in last 5 tournaments Brandt Snedeker - 40s - winner this year on a course that he's previously performed well on and has two top 6s here. Fantastic putter. Hideki Matsuyama - 66s - superstar waiting to happen. Three top 5s since turn of the year. JB Holmes - 66s - great game for course and in form of his life with two runner ups in last 5 tournaments. Top 25 in only previous appearance here. GL everyone!

  2. Re: The US Masters 2013 - April 11/April 14 On an additional note, no winner over the last 15 years has been over 40, and 20 of the last 21 winners have previously had a round in the 60s on the course... The age rule would take out Mickelson, Stricker and Furyk from the list, and the round in the 60s rule would take out Martin Kaymer. GL!

  3. Re: The US Masters 2013 - April 11/April 14 Sadly due to work commitments, exams and all that other fun stuff, I dont really have time to do the trend analysis every week...but on LAMPS request (and the fact that I checked in to see what people were saying about the Masters) I thought I'd throw the old trends out there and see what they say... [TABLE=width: 1099]

    [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD]Profile[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]1[/TD] [TD]Made the cut in the previous Masters[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]2[/TD] [TD]Won on US soil[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]3[/TD] [TD]Top 10 this year on a major tour[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]4[/TD] [TD]Have 5 or more wins on the major tours combined [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]5[/TD] [TD]Must have a previous top 10 in a major[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]6[/TD] [TD]Must have won in last 2 calendar years[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]7[/TD] [TD]Top 25 in a major last year[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]8[/TD] [TD]Didn’t win the week before the Masters[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]9[/TD] [TD]Ranked in the top 50 in the world[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]10[/TD] [TD]Not Australian![/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD]Rationale[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1a[/TD] [TD]No player has won on their debut since 1979.[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1b[/TD] [TD]Since Fuzzy Zueller won in 1979, every Masters Champion has played the year before.[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1c[/TD] [TD]Since that debut, every winner since has at least made the cut previously.[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1d[/TD] [TD]Only one Champion since 1979 has missed the cut the previous year - Tiger Woods in 1997.[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]2 [/TD] [TD]Only Charl Schwartzel has made the Masters his first win on US soil since Bernard Langer in 1985.[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]3[/TD] [TD]20 of the last 22 champions had already had a top 10 that year[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]4[/TD] [TD]Since 1980, only 3 winners have had less than five wins on one of the major tours previous to their win. Tiger Woods, Zach Johnson and Bubba Watson.[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5a[/TD] [TD]Only 3 players since 1970 have won without a Top 10 in a Major to their name - Zach Johnson (T17), Tiger Woods (T22) and Charl Schwartzel (T15).[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5b[/TD] [TD]In the last 21 years, 15 of the winners have had previous top 10s at the Masters[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]6[/TD] [TD]Have won within the past 3 years - last 25 winners (Zach Johnson almost to the day); 24 of these within 2 years[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]7[/TD] [TD]8 out of last 13 champions had a top 10 in a major the previous year; 28 of last 30 winners had a top 25 in a major last year.[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]8[/TD] [TD]Only 2 winners of the Masters have won the week before the tournament.[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]9[/TD] [TD]Since the rankings began in 1986, only 2 players (Zach Johnson and Angel Cabrera) were ranked outside the world's top 50 when winning.[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=align: right]10[/TD] [TD]No aussie has ever won the Masters[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] So who does that leave? [TABLE=width: 184] [TR] [TD] Tiger Woods[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Rory McIlroy[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Justin Rose[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Luke Donald[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Brandt Snedeker[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Steve Stricker[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Phil Mickelson[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Matt Kuchar[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Ian Poulter[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Lee Westwood[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Bubba Watson[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Sergio Garcia[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Graeme McDowell[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Hunter Mahan[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Nick Watney[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Jim Furyk[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Zach Johnson[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] Martin Kaymer Do with this what you will! GL[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
  4. Re: The US Open 14th of June - 17th of June Wikipedia is a wonderful tool :D On the positive side for you, it does mean the fact that Haas missed the cut in his last US Open is quite irrelevant as it wont be back there for a few years and he won at Rivieira this year - a former US Open track so he clearly has the game for it :ok

  5. Re: The US Open 14th of June - 17th of June Just as a side note, the US Open is played at a different course every year. This year it is being played at the Olympic Club where it was last held in 1998 (but it did hold the US Amateur in 2007) so course form - while relevant as the style will be similarly tough - is pretty irrelevant :ok

  6. Re: European Tour 2012: Malaysian Open 12-15 April Three long shots for me...one has come in from three figures but all three still at big prices. One thing that has stood out for me in the last two years is that both winners have been incredibly talented young players, with Mannassero at 17 and Noh at 18 winning the past two outings so that's the way I'll be looking at my bets. David Lipsky @ 80s ew Coral David Lipsky plays on the Asian Tour having won their Q School and has only played four professional tournaments. He started with 2 missed cuts, in his last 2 tournaments he has finished 1st and 2nd. Clearly his form is very very good at the moment. In my eyes that's probably enough to take the 80s on offer as his form and comfort in Asia will stand him well here; add in the success of talented young players and Lipsky more than fits the bill at a decent price. Ben Fox @ 100s ew BoyleSports Another american in Asia, Ben Fox has started his second year in asia on fire. With five tournaments under his belt this year he has finished 6-5-4-5-10. Not bad at all. He is clearly comfortable in these surroundings and while he missed the cut here last year, the experience of the course will stand well for him and he is a player who is improving in leaps and bounds. A three figure price on him looks massive to me. James Morrison @ 150s ew BoyleSports Morrison hasnt kicked on from his win a couple of years ago as I thought he would, however, he is back in his comfort zone as he clearly loves playing in Asia. Last year, Morrison played 6 tournaments in Asia yielding 4 top 15 finishes including a 13th place finish at this very course. His form has picked up as of late with two cuts made in a row and while he didnt contend in either tournaments, with 4 / 8 rounds in the 60s, his game is very much on the up. The price, in my opinion, is about 50 points too big. I'll take him all day long. GL :ok

  7. Re: Bank Holiday > Championship > April 9/10 Just to add some weight to the Blackpool argument - I was at the Watford vs Blackpool game on Friday and they were just so far superior to us (Watford) in every department. They zipped the ball around beautifully, defended well and in numbers, got forward well, have Phillips and Ince who are both a threat down the wings, Dobbie scored twice (including one awesome goal) coming through the middle. Even without Kevin Phillips, Bednar or Taylor Fletcher they are a massive threat going forward and should see away Barnsley who look like they're just about safe but are really in free fall. GL :ok

  8. Re: The Open Championship July 19th - 22nd If you're looking for a bit of early value, there is one that screams out for me... Ernie Els @ 80s ew BlueSq Ernie just missed out on going to the Masters. Some see this as the beginning of a truly downward spiral with him currently sitting at number 59 in the world - I however see it differently. His results have been pretty poor for a while, however, this year is starting to paint a different story. A playoff loss in South Africa could have been a false dawn at home, but with his last 4 stroke play tournaments showing 21-5-4-12 he is clearly getting back to his best form of the past few years. Yes, he snatched defeat from the jaws of victory recently, but I wouldn't be surprised if he wins in the next 3 months and his odds go in to The Open at about 33s. So what about his Open record? Well everyone knows the guy is a classy links player. He has missed the cut in the last two years, but as said, his form has been poor since his wins in early 2010. The reality is that between 2000 and 2009, his Open record read 10 tournaments, 1 win, 2 runner ups, 2 thirds, 4th, 7th, 8th, 18th, 34th. Not too bad. Just on this alone his odds should be 66s. Of course, the course changes every year, but Ernie's record at the course is pretty solid. Two visits resulting in a 2nd and a 3rd. He can play the course! He may not be in his pomp anymore, but if his recent form is showing the upward trajectory I believe, these odds will look pretty good in a couple of months. GL :ok

  9. Re: The Masters, Augusta 5th - 8th April 2012 I've got to be honest - I want to back about half the field!! The Hornet Criteria cuts it down to about 20 so I'll focus on my own picks this week. I took four players antepost which I'm still happy with - Bill Haas, Brandt Snedeker, KJ Choi and YE Yang, however, they're not the 5 players I'll focus on for my outright bets. Bo Van Pelt @ 101 ew BlueSq In my eyes, 4 top 10s in his last 4 strokeplay tournaments says enough by itself. Add in his top 8 finish last season and I'm not sure how you can have Bo at triple figures. Playing great golf at the moment and has improved his putting stroke no end, currently ranked 1st for putting on the PGA Tour this season, 50th for GIR, 6th for Total Driving and 4th for All Around Ranking. Crazy odds for Bo the way he's playing. Trevor Immelman @ 126 ew WillHill Trevor Immelman may not have done too much since his Masters win a few years ago, but his record here is still good, with 3 top 20s since the Green Jacket was slipped over his shoulders. Having seen other young South Africans take the mantle he'll no doubt be keen to show he's still a force. Add in the fact that he's playing better this year with 2 top 12 finishes (11th last time out) in his last 4 starts. Big odds for the former champion if he's coming back anywhere near his best. Bubba Watson @ 51 ew Boyle I love these odds. Seven tournaments this year, seven top 20s, including two top 5s leading up to the Masters. Bubba definitely has the game to win the Masters, he's 1st for driving distace and 1st for GIR as well as 4th for par 5 birdie %. Perfect stats for the Masters. He has played here 3 times and while his best finish is 20th, he's never missed the cut showing he can definitely play the course. In my opinion he's a 33s shot at best so I'll happily take him at 50s to 6 places! Jim Furyk @ 101 ew Boyle This one may raise a few eyebrows but I've got a feeling that Jim will play well this year. He has 3 top 11 finishes in his last 4 strokeplay tournaments including the playoff loss at the Transitions a few weeks ago. The difference from last year has without a doubt been his putting. He is still hitting accurately and hitting greens, but this year he is ranked 34th in putting with very similar stats to those when he won the FedEx cup a couple of years ago. People say Jim cant play the Masters but I disagree with a top 25 last year and a top 10 in 2009. He knows the course inside out and is going in here under the radar. In my opinion, perfect preparation for the experienced campaigner. Jose Maria Olazabal @ 751 ew SkyBet (small stakes!) Ok, this is a shot in the dark but his record here is fantastic with 2 wins. He has won after adversity before so why not again?! His game seems to be coming around this year having made his last two cuts and his performances in the far east were more than encouraging with two top 12 finishes in the four tournaments. The odds are just too big. David Toms - Top American @ 67 ew Tote Three top 25s in his last four chances here show he can play the course. If he finishes in the top 25 again, he'll be in the mix for the top american market and I'm willing to take a chance on one of the finest putters in the game. He has 2 top 20s in his last 4 strokeplay tournaments and in my opinion, in a limited market, these odds are too big. Johnson Wagner - Top American @ 67 ew Tote The man who is 2nd in FedEx cup points this year seems to have been completely overlooked. Four top 10s this year speak for themselves and this includes a win and a 2nd place finish. A 4th place just two weeks ago show he has retained his form and on his only appearance here back in 2008 he actually fared quite well making the cut so there's no reason he cant better that now he is clearly a better player. Top 30 for GIR, putting, all around ranking, par 4 and 5 birdie %, Johnson makes a compelling case at big odds in this market. GL :ok

  10. Re: PGA Tour 2012: Shell Houston Open 29th Mar - 1st Apr Last season, the hornet criteria picked out a nice winner in Phil Mickelson - hopefully these three simple criteria will do the same again this year. 1) 5/6 winners were top 20 in driving distance either the year of the win or the previous year 2) 5/6 winners were top 50 in par 5 birdie % either the year of the win or the previous year 3) 5/6 winners had a top 2 finish on the PGA Tour this year This actually only leaves two players: Keegan Bradley @ 18/1 ew General - 13th in driving distance this year, 20th last year - 11th in par 5 birdie % this year - playoff loss at the Northern Trust Open Kyle Stanley @ 50s General - 5th in driving distance this year. 9th last year - 2nd in par 5 birdie % this year, 10th last year - a win at the Waste Management and a 2nd at the Farmers Insurance Open GL :ok

  11. Re: WGC Cadillac Championship 8th Mar- 11th Mar Charl Schwartzel @ 26 ew VCBet I actually took Charl at the beginning of the week at 30s with 365, but it seems a lot of people soon realised this price was a little bit silly; 25s however, in my eyes, is still acceptable. Here we have the Masters Champion, a top 10 player coming off a top 5 in Florida (the state where he lives in America and where this is played) where he hit the most GIR in the field (an important stat at Doral) playing at the tournament where he first hit the world stage for the big time. Back in 2010 Charl was a good up-and-comer but had yet to make his mark. His runner up here at Doral proved him to be one to watch on the bigger stage and so it has proved over the past 2 years. Since this time, he has finished inside the top 30 at all 8 majors; as far as I can work out, the most consistent record of any player at the moment. The guy is a top class player and shows it in the best quality fields. Expect him to challenge this week, and 7 major tour career wins (including that major) under his belt, we know he can finish the job. Francesco Molinari @ 101 ew VCBet This price, in my opinion, is ludicrous. Molinari hit a bit of a sticky patch last year but is back to his metronomic best and has not missed a cut since the Open Championship having made 15 cuts in a row - including 4 top 10s and 9 top 20s; hardly the form of a guy who is struggling with his game. Last year he came into this tournament in very similar form, and finished 3rd. Not too bad. In his only other visit in 2010 he finished T14 so we know he can play the course. Sure, his win ratio isnt the best but it must be remembered that unlike most others in this top class field (McIlroy and Westwood included), he has actually won a WGC event so knows how to seal the deal in this kind of limited field. GL :ok

  12. Re: PGA Tour 2012: Honda Classic 01-04 March

    Cheers hornet! Do u still do the criteria? Looking forward to masters after your criteria helped me select Charl last year!
    The criteria is still alive...just nothing really is these early season tournaments, especially with only 5 years of course form in play. Hopefully we can get more Schwartzel style winners on the board though! :hope
  13. Re: PGA Tour 2012: Honda Classic 01-04 March International players have played well here in the past as it's a tough par 70 where the wind blows - not a typical PGA Tour course where the birdies usually flow. Likely that ball striking will be more important that putting. Sean O'Hair @ 71 ew BoyleSports Still only 29 and seems to have been in and out of sticky patches over the last 10 years. From Texas and has proved in the past that he has no problem with windy conditions. Has 3 PGA wins at tough courses with finishing scores of -4, -11 and -4 so can clearly play tougher courses. Top 25 finish here last year when in much poorer form. Has made all 4 cuts this year including a runner up in similarly windy conditions at the Sony Open. Hitting over 70% of greens so far this year. Big odds for such a big talent. Thomas Bjorn @ 81 ew BetFred Three wins last year on the European Tour and a top 5 at The Open show that Bjorn still has the ability to challenge at the highest level. Has started this year really well in strokeplay events with 4 top 25s in 4 events so far. No doubt he can play in the windy and tough conditions. Hasnt won in the USA but has finished in the top 3 at the USPGA twice (with a top 3 in Kentucky, a southern state) and he should have confidence coming into every tournament nowadays. Was 1/4 of these odds during the desert swing in equally strong fields and these conditions should suit. Mark Wilson @ 51 ew Bet365 Top 25 in the world, a win and a top 3 in his last 4 tournaments, 3 PGA Tour wins in his past 35 tournaments and a former winner at the course. With wins here, Mexico and Hawaii, he has shown that coastal and windy conditions are no problem for him - the reality is that he should be half the price that he is. Seung Yul-Noh @ 111 ew Bet365 At only 20, Noh seems to be a forgetten star. Winning on the European Tour at only 18 he seemed to have the world in his hands, but while his results in Asia have been decent he hasnt quite pushed on, until now. I've been impressed with his start to his PGA Tour life making 4 out of 5 cuts (and even in the missed cut he opened with a 65). His form is progressive finishing T16 last week in Mexico where his ball striking was excellent (7th in GIR and top 20 in both distance and accuracy) which should prepare him well for the windy conditions this week. Tournament previously won by countryman YE Yang before he went on to win a major which should hopefully inspire the young Korean. Kenny Perry @ 176 ew BlueSq It's true that Perry is now playing with the seniors, but that doesnt mean his game is in bad shape. He made the cut in Phoenix on the PGA Tour when his game didnt look in such good shape, but last time out he looked mighty impressive on the seniors pretty much wrapping up the tournament after 2 rounds. He was first for putting, first for birdies, second for distance and GIR and 13th for accuracy when winning by 5 shots in Florida (where this weeks tournament will be played!). Has finished top 20 here previously and made the cut here last year so should have some decent memories alongside a positive mindset about his game at the moment. Seems a massive price on a proven winner. GL:ok

  14. Re: PGA Tour: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am A quick comeback for the Hornet Criteria seeing as work isnt swamping me...! I'll try to keep it up but there are no promises; luckily, most of the work was done last season which makes it a little bit easier!! This week there seem to be four pretty decent trends (3 of them only back 17 years as thats how far I looked...I felt that was enough!) which leave us with 6 players - not too many, but sadly one of them is Tiger which means if he wins it just covers the other 5 to level stakes: 1) USA National - 67/70 winners - the tournament has been played 70 times, 67 times an American came out on top. I'll call that a pretty hefty trend despite the increasing globalisation of the golfing world! 2) Has some course form - 17/17 winners - another course you apparently need to know to win on; may be a case of experience. 3) Top 10 on course - 13/17 winners - following on from the above, you seem to need to have good course form as well! 4) Top 20 last time out - 13/16 winners - and apparently you need to be in decent form to win here as well. With three different courses challenging different parts of the players game you need to have a player on your side who is playing well. So a player who is in decent form, likes course, and feels at home. Easy! Tiger Woods @ 6.5 outright ToteSport 1) From the USA! 2 & 3) Past winner here 4) Finished in the top 5 last time out in the desert on the E-Tour Bryce Molder @ 34 ew Bet365 1) From the USA! 2 & 3) Top 10 finishes here in both of the last two years 4) 15th last time out Spencer Levin @ 36 ew PaddyPower 1) From the USA! 2 & 3) 4th last year 4) Top 5 last week, but I'm sure we all know about that! Pat Perez @ 67 ew Bet365 1) From the USA! 2 & 3) 2nd on debut here in 2002 - I think he kind of threw it away too so the course owes him! 4) 19th last week Chris Stroud @ 91 ew Bet365 1) From the USA! 2 & 3) 6th in 2009 4) 12th last week DJ Trahan @ 101 ew Bet365 1) From the USA! 2 & 3) 6th & 10th in 2009 and 2010 4) 4th last week GL! :ok

  15. Re: Form study & criteria Thanks CP, all exams have gone well so far...more in May/June so something to look forward to :unsure. The job, however, is keeping me out of mischief but I'm trying to get my head back into the game...hopefully someday soon! As for scorecards, the difficulty is that the PGA Tour just wipe all the results off their website at the end of each year. They have improved that this year by keeping the individual players scorecards and stats on their player profile page (under scorecards) but that does mean you have to look at each individual players scorecards. If I remember correctly, the PGA Tour website does do some data manipulation thing with some american universities so it might be worth emailing them and saying what you're after...and saying it's for, erm, "academic research / curiousity"?! Worth a try!

  16. Re: Form study & criteria Hi CP - long time! Erm, I think you can you use Yahoo Golf to find scorecards from previous tournaments...it doesn't give any stats or anything like on the PGA Tour website for individual tournaments that year but it gives the actual scorecard so hope this helps!

  17. Re: Golf: PGA Tour 2011 - McGladrey Classic All, it's been a while! Starting a new job based around exams for the first few months is not the best way to improve golf betting...but hey ho! In fact, 2 exams tomorrow so must make this quick but saw a price I thought was fantastic. John Rollins @ 67 ew PaddyPower Seems that last years tournament was all about hitting fairways and greens, not many do that better than John Rollins, and taking advantage of the par 4s. On tour this year he ranks 31st for driving accuracy, 14th for GIR and 35th for par 4 birdie %. Not too shabby. Add in his performance last week where he was top 5 in both driving stats and GIR when finishing 6th and clearly his game is in decent shape. A 3-time tour winner he can clearly finish tournaments, and he actually played well here last year finished T12 with an opening 63 and closing 65. With his showing last week and his game suited to the course, the 66s on offer at PaddyPower really looks too big. GL :hope

  18. Re: Golf: PGA Tour 2011 - Deutsche Bank Championship Had some hornet criteria but it picked up 16 players so I've used that list as the basis for my own bets...as well as adding two long shots to the mix for good measure! Dustin Johnson @ 19 outright VCBet Dustin Johnson is clearly playing great golf and his victory last week was very impressive. The second time he has won weather delayed tournaments! He has now won in four consecutive seasons and it is hardly unheard of for a player to win two FedEx Cup tournaments in a row (see Vijay and Camilo Villegas for proof!). He has played here twice finished in the top 5 on his debut so he can definitely play the course. Still feel the odds are pretty decent for an outright punt. Adam Scott @ 21 outright ToteSport Coming back to the scene of his first PGA victory should give some good vibes to Scott who is playing well at the moment. In his last five tournaments has finished 3-25-1-7-67 and last weeks 67 was all due to his final round as he was lying in the top ten after two rounds. He is playing some very good golf. Has played here 6 times, has a victory, runner up, and another top 5 (last year) so can play the course and is playing his best golf for years. His win at the WGC shows how he can demolish a field when on firm so an outright punt only for the oz. Vijay Singh @ 34 ew BoyleSports After getting on Vijay at 80s last week, 33s might seem a little skinny, however, lets put this in context. The last time Vijay had two consecutive top 10s was when he won the two FedEx Cup tournaments in a row in 2008 - he is clearly feeling much more comfortable with his game. He is coming back to a course where he has won twice (two other top 5s) and holds the course record of 61. To be honest, he should probably be more like 25s but who am I to argue? Could get a long overdue W on the board this week and I'd loathe to miss it! Gary Woodland @ 51 ew BoyleSports Woodland is a great player. A winner this year and has maintained some very good form throughout the year earning $3m already! This guy is a star in the making. His current form is good with three top 15s in his last 4 starts, and this course should be right up his street with birdies the order of the day (top 20 in birdie average, scoring average). I fully expect him to win again, and soon. Jason Dufner @ 101 ew BetFred Dufner will forever be known as the guy who threw away the USPGA in 2011, however, he should be remembered for playing some great golf there and will hoepfully have learned something from the experience. Understandably he has struggled in his two starts since that tournament but he is now coming to a tournament where he has fared well in the past. In 2009 he finished runner up and last year he hit one bad round which ruined his chances, however, still showed up with a top 20. With that course form alone, he shouldnt be three figure odds. Scott Piercy @ 101 ew BoyleSports Piercy is in great form; in his last five starts he has 6-MC-1-26-13 and that win has shown that he can indeed seal the deal which I had previously thought was beyond him. He has only played the course once - in 2009 - but he hit three rounds in the 60s to show that he can play the course. His form last week was excellent with stats of top 11s for driving distance, GIR and putting, as well as finishing with rounds of 65-64. At three figure odds I cant leave him out! GL :hope

  19. Re: Golf: European Tour 2011 - Johnnie Walker Championship

    Great course which has been used for years. Taken 3 with traditional bookmakers, and one at a big price to trade with... David Howell @ 91 ew ToteSport Has previously been a great player who has been in a bit of a slump but has been showing some form. Two starts ago finished in the top 10 and performed well again last time out having finished in the top 25. Has played well here previously with two top 3 finishes in 8 visits. He also has 4 other top 31 finishes showing that those were not a flash in the pan. With the recent passing of his mother, he may be feeling inspired to get another W under his belt to add to the 4 previous E-Tour wins. Ricardo Gonzalez @ 101 ew ToteSport Six top 20s in 12 events this year and he finished in the top 5 the last time he was in the UK at Celtic Manor. Finished 7th here in 2007, went into the final round in the top 5 in 2008 before hitting a round of 80, finished top 20 in 2009, and opened up with a 68 here last year before fading to finish down the leaderboard. Basically he loves the course, and at 3 figure odds I'll take this enigmatic Argentinian to give me a run for my money! Marcel Siem @ 126 ew VCBet Last time out, Marcel Siem finished 17th; however, that doesnt really tell the story of his form as at the halfway stage he led the field by one before fading. That might be the problem with this hothead, but he's coming to a tournament where he has a great yet strange record. Finished in the top 7 last year - and has played here 8 times, having missed the cut 5 times, and finished in the top 7 three times. Basically, it depends how he's feeling on the day which does sum him up! At this price in some decent form I'm willing to take a chance... Julien Guerrier @ 370 BetFair - to trade Guerrier is a bit of a random one, however, he actually has some substance behind him. Played this tournament last year for the second time and led after 2 rounds, and was just 2 shots off the lead going into the final round before he faded away to finish in 19th. This year he has finished in the top 20 in the St Omer Open, and was in the top 10 with a round to go at the Iberdrola so he has shown a couple of times he can get himself in the mixer. He's also coming off his best finish of the season having finished in the top 10 last week on the Challenge Tour so hopefully should be feeling good coming to a course where he performed well last year. GL :hope
    Just horrific :wall
  20. Re: Golf: PGA Tour 2011 - The Barclays 4 for me this week...it's a tough one though due to the course changes so here goes nothing! Vijay Singh @ 80s ew VCBet Vijay is now a complete mystery...however, if anybody will be able to come back from nowhere its the man who puts in an ungodly amount of time to his game. His putting may still be letting him down but having finished 4th last week (hitting 20 birdies in the process) I'd loathe to leave him out, especially at a tournament (if not a course) which he won at in 2008. Will hopefully have good memories of the area and be feeling good about his game. YE Yang @ 100s ew ToteSport Without a doubt the forgotten major champion! Whats forgotten more, however, is how since then he's finished top 10 in the Masters last year, and 3rd in the US Open this year. This is a guy who performs on the biggest stage. 3 top 20s in the majors this year further prove that point. This year may not be vintage for Yang but he still has 4 top 10s in only 14 starts and at a three figure price, he is definitely a guy who can pop up and take on anyone. Johnson Wagner @ 250s ew BoyleSports OK, so this ones a bit more random, but at the odds I couldnt resist. A two time tour winner (one this year) who grew up in nearby New York and whos game seemingly fits the bill. He is top 40 in driving accuracy, GIR and putting this year so there is no reason why he shouldnt this week; however, if he does, theres no doubt he can finish the job. Has made his last 3 cuts which includes an impressive T11 at the Greenbrier as well as a made cut at the USPGA and a solid effort last week at the Wyndham. A guy who is hard to catch when on, but is generally good to catch at big odds! Andres Romero @ 80s ew VCBet I dont think many players on tour can boast the figures this guy is showing at the moment - 3 top 6 finishes in his last 6 tour starts speak for themselves. He has won on both sides of the pond (as well as a number of South American events) so knows how to finish off a tournament. Can contend in the biggest events as shown by his 4 top 10 finishes in majors in only 13 major starts. One of the best putters on tour (20th) who will love the extra par 4 on show (3rd in par 4 birdie %) - currently 16th in all around rankings so clearly his game is in good order. Cant believe he is bigger than 50s. GL :hope

  21. Re: Golf: European Tour 2011 - Johnnie Walker Championship Great course which has been used for years. Taken 3 with traditional bookmakers, and one at a big price to trade with... David Howell @ 91 ew ToteSport Has previously been a great player who has been in a bit of a slump but has been showing some form. Two starts ago finished in the top 10 and performed well again last time out having finished in the top 25. Has played well here previously with two top 3 finishes in 8 visits. He also has 4 other top 31 finishes showing that those were not a flash in the pan. With the recent passing of his mother, he may be feeling inspired to get another W under his belt to add to the 4 previous E-Tour wins. Ricardo Gonzalez @ 101 ew ToteSport Six top 20s in 12 events this year and he finished in the top 5 the last time he was in the UK at Celtic Manor. Finished 7th here in 2007, went into the final round in the top 5 in 2008 before hitting a round of 80, finished top 20 in 2009, and opened up with a 68 here last year before fading to finish down the leaderboard. Basically he loves the course, and at 3 figure odds I'll take this enigmatic Argentinian to give me a run for my money! Marcel Siem @ 126 ew VCBet Last time out, Marcel Siem finished 17th; however, that doesnt really tell the story of his form as at the halfway stage he led the field by one before fading. That might be the problem with this hothead, but he's coming to a tournament where he has a great yet strange record. Finished in the top 7 last year - and has played here 8 times, having missed the cut 5 times, and finished in the top 7 three times. Basically, it depends how he's feeling on the day which does sum him up! At this price in some decent form I'm willing to take a chance... Julien Guerrier @ 370 BetFair - to trade Guerrier is a bit of a random one, however, he actually has some substance behind him. Played this tournament last year for the second time and led after 2 rounds, and was just 2 shots off the lead going into the final round before he faded away to finish in 19th. This year he has finished in the top 20 in the St Omer Open, and was in the top 10 with a round to go at the Iberdrola so he has shown a couple of times he can get himself in the mixer. He's also coming off his best finish of the season having finished in the top 10 last week on the Challenge Tour so hopefully should be feeling good coming to a course where he performed well last year. GL :hope

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