Mr Benn
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Posts posted by Mr Benn
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Re: New Zealand vs India - Test Series
Last time I checked this was a betting forum where people shared tips and knowledge' date=' not a place to come and moan.[/quote'] After-analysis has to be a part of that as well though, in order to see what went well and what didn't, to help with future bets. What happened in that game today has to be pretty concerning for future bets. -
Re: New Zealand vs India - Test Series I'm getting seriously fed up of having to come on here and bemoan ridiculous losses but Bangladesh have Sri Lanka at 67/8 in their one day match and they can't win the match from there? Seriously? What is the point in playing cricket if you're going to lose from positions like that and what is the point in us betting on matches if teams are going to lose from positions like that? That's just farcical.
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Re: Arsenal v Manchester United > Wednesday February 12th Nobody in the media seems to have mentioned this so maybe I'm going mad but I just can't see how you can play Rooney and Mata in the same team. They both play in the same position as far as I can see. Spending £37m on a player who plays in one of the few positions Man Utd were already alright for is madness.
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Re: New Zealand vs India - Test Series I'm gonna need all kinds of analysis on this match because I've lost out on a huge amount of potential winnings here and I'm not really sure why. Any input much appreciated, Kevshat you seem to know your cricket, I'd like to hear a breakdown of what's happened here please. How on earth can a match go 500-200-100-350 in terms of the innings scores? I've never seen anything like it.
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Re: New Zealand vs India - Test Series Ok, normally I can make good money betting on cricket but this match has tied me in knots. So much to be picked apart and analysed. Firstly, why is there no DRS in place? I don't get having different rules for different matches and there have been a couple of pretty key incorrect decisions. Secondly, I hope that all teams can learn from the mess New Zealand made of a dominant position and take the follow-on when it is offered in future. A match is only won by taking 20 wickets so you have to give yourself as much time as possible to achieve this.
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Re: New Zealand vs India - Test Series Answers on a postcard as to why New Zealand chose to bat again. Hopefully it won't cost me big money but it just might.
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Re: BDO Darts Trophy - 6-9 Feb Wesley Harms man :( The guy is spoken of as a potential PDC player but that was an absolute horror show. I hit more treble 20s than he does and that's really saying something!
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Re: Premier League - Week 1 Debutants have a history of coming out flying for the first few weeks (or longer) in the Premier League so it's a bit disappointing to read all the tips for Thornton on here.
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Re: February 3 - February 9 Why isn't everyone tipping the same bets for Karlovic - Dodig (tiebreaks, overs etc) as they did for Karlovic - Brands the other day? What's the difference here?
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Re: New Zealand vs India - Test Series
Yeah that bet stood out to me as well but I also like 8/11 on a century in the first innings. What are your thoughts on that one?1st Test preview: 4pts New Zealand 1st Inns lead 10/11 Coral New Zealand’s batsmen dominated the ODI series and I think they’ll go well in this Test series too. With Rutherford and Fulton now established at the top of the order you could argue that they are even stronger with the bat in this form of the game. They are certainly better with the ball with the excellent Boult in their attack. India may just lack something with the ball once the new ball has gone and still have a few issues with the bat so I like the home side to grab a first innings lead here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/new-zealand-vs-india-1st-test-betting-new-zealand-can-grab-early-advantage-in-auckland -
Re: Manchester City v Chelsea > Monday February 3rd
I want to get involved because I believe Man City win this over 80% of the time and they only need to win it 55% of the time to make the bet profitable.You don't do anything as the market has correctly valued both teams with H -0.50 and A +0.50 both around the EVS mark, if you could get Chelsea +0.50 @ 11/10 then that would probably be the bassline for anykind of value. As it stands you would struggle to make anykind of long term profit by betting on the AH market for this game with the way the teams have been priced. I don't know why people want to get involved in these kind of games, there's really nothing in it. -
Re: Manchester City v Chelsea > Monday February 3rd
(My last post was a reply to this, sorry.)Agree about backing against a side that lost at Stoke and Newcastle...but remember that City are averaging most of those goals at home against lesser sides. You can't really lean on stats when two top sides meet. -
Re: Manchester City v Chelsea > Monday February 3rd You are joking? How many did Man City average at home to the top teams then? (Arsenal, Liverpool, Man Utd and Spurs.)
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Re: Manchester City v Chelsea > Monday February 3rd I think the odds on Man City are unbelievably that good that things like draw no bet at 4/11 and Man City to win or draw at 1/5 come into play. Even Man City win with cover on the 0-0 is an option, I'm between these three alternatives at the moment, I'll decide nearer kick off time which to go with.
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Re: Manchester City v Chelsea > Monday February 3rd Does anyone know why Bet365 aren't doing their usual free £50 bet that they like to do on big games like this? I must admit that I had gotten used to that free source of money.
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Re: February 3 - February 9 I really enjoyed the Davis Cup over the weekend and I mean following all the ties, not just the Great Britain one. This seems like a great tournament and even though tennis is my favourite sport, the Davis Cup has barely registered with me in the past. Sadly that must be down to the British media's usual pathetic attitude of only covering events which the UK do well in. Anyway, I have some questions. Surely this is Switzerland's to lose from here and they should be heavily backed at 6/5? Why has Federer not won it before as even pre-2013 Wawrinka would have been a more than capable deputy? Does Federer usually play in these and what are the chances of him wanting to add this to his CV and therefore him and Wawrinka playing every tie this year, as this is now an excellent chance with Spain and Serbia out? Who would play doubles for Switzerland and how strong are they at doubles? Obviously the Czechs will be there or thereabouts again and are a bit of an insult to be 4/1 as double defending champions, but I'd appreciate any info with regards to the strength of Switzerland's chances. Thanks.
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Re: Manchester City v Chelsea > Monday February 3rd
The prices that the bookies have put out would suggest that Man City will win this game around 50% of the time. Do you believe that to be the case? I'd say they win it at least 80% of the time. I may be underestimating Chelsea but I think other people/the bookies are assuming because Chelsea are so close to City in the league that they are close to them in standard. They're not. Certainly not at the Etihad anyway.Benn the bookies are not foolish enough to have the win-draw-win market of the most important match of the season in the most bet on league in the world too far wrong. -
Re: Manchester City v Chelsea > Monday February 3rd
With all due respect, coming up with tactics which are successful away to Man Utd is a far simpler task than doing the same away to Man City.4pts Under 2.5 goals 11/10 Ladbrokes Although he criticised West Ham for parking the bus last week I expect Jose Mourinho to set his side up to contain and frustrate City in this match. Whether that is possible or not remains to be seen but we saw him do it with success at Old Trafford earlier in the season. At some point City are going to struggle for goals at home and with Aguero out and Negredo not 100% it could be here. I think this will be a frustrating game purely because of Chelsea’s potential negative tactics so I like under 2.5 goals here. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/man-city-vs-chelsea-betting-jose-may-be-the-one-to-park-the-bus-to-good-effect-at-the-etihad -
Re: Manchester City v Chelsea > Monday February 3rd
Really? A special team who destroy all comers at home are priced at 17/20. Do you not think that's a ridiculously long price?I think they have the win-draw-win market priced perfectly so no bet. -
Re: Australia vs England - ODI & T20 Series
I said that 2 days ago! Strangely, I'm not as confident this time around as these types of meaningless games can often throw up bizarre easy wins for the underdogs but I just HAVE to be on Australia at the prices offered. Also, what about the 10/11 on Australia in the women's match? The England team openly admitted they intended to celebrate pretty hard the other night so surely that will be their downfall here?3rd T20 preview: 4pts Australia to win 3rd T20 4/5 Stan James Australia have battered England in the two matches in this series. They’ve battered them batting first and battered them chasing so the 4/5 on them winning this match looks good to me. If this Sydney wicket spins Australia have the better spin options and you can tell their batting line up is full of confidence. England are in a rut and they don’t look like getting out of it anytime soon so the 4/5 on Australia here could be a bit of a gift. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/australia-vs-england-3rd-t20-betting-australia-can-secure-a-clean-sweep-in-sydney -
Re: Australia vs England - ODI & T20 Series I don't normally post up bets I've gone big on for fear of jinxing them but the 8/11 on Australia here looks to be another great price. Not quite the gift of 10/11 that was available for the first match but still very generous indeed. Australia have shown themselves to be a class above England whatever format of the game is being played and several of the England T20 team do not strike me as having the quality to compete with this Australia team whatsoever.
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Re: New Zealand vs India ODI series Why did the prices on New Zealand stay so high throughout the series? I think they were 11/10 for every single match despite being clearly the better team here. I've made an absolute killing on this series.
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Re: January 27 - February 2
Why do they look set to struggle?Back USA to win the Davis Cup 2014 for a 2/10 stake at 29.11 with Pinnacle Back France to win the Davis Cup 2014 for a 5/10 stake at 5.32 with Pinnacle This week seems to be the right time for getting all those Davis Cup and Fed Cup outrights in, as there is still plenty of confusion raging around. I, for one, fancy France and the United States to be very competitive this year. Both have enough options to compensate for any injuries/absences and the big players, including Spain, Serbia, and the Czech Republic, look set to struggle in 2014, so these prices could start to look very big very soon. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/davis-cup-2014-betting-the-big-favorites-look-a-bit-overrated-by-the-bookmakers -
Re: Australian Open 2014
Spot on, some people seem to be obsessed with betting on the same particular bets over and over rather than analysing each match objectively and considering ALL the bets available to them. What a bizarre and difficult situation for all involved this has turned out to be. Nadal should never be winning a set in the circumstances, very poor from Wawrinka to lose a set to someone that badly injured.owenclass - You are betting on Nadal to win the first set, yet have the logic Wawrinka can take a set from him from a set down!? I cannot see that in a month of Sundays. Nadal starts slow, and will go from strength to strength. Torque – I think Wawrinka is being given plenty of credit, he must have played outstandingly well to beat Djokovic in 5. However, he wasn’t exactly firing vs an erratic Berdych in the semi and will surely be tired. First slam final and all. Nadal is playing the best tennis I have ever seen him play on a hard court, plus boosts a 12-0 H2H record with Wawrinka, who is playing in his first slam final and will be somewhat tired/ potentially nervous for the first half a set. I couldn’t consider doing Wawrinka in a 5 set show down with Nadal in this form unless his odds were around the 18-1 mark personally. I actually cannot believe Nadal is backable at 1/6. I consider there being more chance of Barcelona dropping points to Malaga in todays football, and they are around 1/22 on. I’ve gone for Nadal to win before the semis, Nadal to win @ 1/7, and under 34 games @ 11/8. May be ambitious on the game stake, I just feel if Nadal fires early this could fly by in 2 hours or so.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday February 18th
in Champions League Predictions
Posted
Re: Bayer 04 Leverkusen v Paris Saint-Germain > Tuesday February 18th
Leverkusen didn't win the competition in 2002.