[Euro 2008 Group E Jun 2]

Re: Euro 2008 Group E Jun 2 Macedonia hosting ISrael. Hosts improved this year with Katanec as a coach. He likes organized game and that is how MAcedonia is playing right now. They have been close to surprise in their last match in Croatia and lost 2:1 after leading at HT. Israel's strong point are games at home and they rarely win away from home with stronger opponents. I believe Macedonia is strong enough not to be defeated at home with Israel so I will LAY AW, betfair @2.52. GL~

[Euro 2008 Group A Jun 2]

Re: Euro 2008 Group A Jun 2 Finland hosting Serbia. Hosts strong at home. PLayed 1:1 with Portugal and won with Jermenia. Serbia lost in Kazakhstan 2:1 which was a big embarassment. Now they have to chase pts in this game in Finland but doubt they can get something more then a draw. Maybe that's the result which is more likely to happen but still I will just LAY Serbia as I think hosts are capable of winning this if Serbia repeat another bad performance. So LAY Serbia, betfair @2.56. GL~

[Euro 2008 Group C Jun 2]

Re: Euro 2008 Group C Jun 2 Greece hosting Hungary. Home team lost their last game at home with Turkey 1:4, while Hungary won with Moldova at home 2:0. Hungary has young and talented squad. I watched them against Montenegro in a friendly and they looked decent and well organised. Greece usually wins with one goal margine and protects the lead, so I'll take this handicap as I won't be surprised if HUN can take something from this game. So pick HUN +1AH, Pinnacle @1.96. GL~

[Euro 2008 Group G Jun 2]

Re: Euro 2008 Group G Jun 2 Albania hosting Luxemburg. Hosts with a nice chance to win their first game in this group G. They are not a bad team at all with nice individuals playing accross Europe in decent clubs. Luxemburg so far played two games away from home and lost 2:0 to Slovenia and 3:0 to Romania. I think Albania is more then capable to win this with 2 goals margine just like Slovenia did. For me it's Albania -1.5AH, canbet @1.86. GL

[International Friendlies ( 30 May - 3 June 2007 )]

Re: International Friendlies ( 30 May - 3 June 2007 ) Japan hosting Montenegro in the first game of this years Kirin Cup in Japan, where else. So second game ever for Montenegro in their history and for these boys together aswell, although some of them already played with eachother or is still playing in their respective clubs - like two talents from Red Star - Burzanovic and Purovic from which we espect the most in Japan, since Vucinic and Vukcevic are absent - and they are alongside Burzanovic our best players right now. And then also a player with some experience in Europe and in S&M nt – Boskovic, is missing aswell. (Former Red Star, PSG and currently Rapid Wiena). But for most of other players in our team chance to play with Japan and Colombia is one of a kind. Plenty of players in the squad are from Montenegrin league - which is far from some high level, although in first eleven we shouldn’t see many of them – probably 2 or 3 max. (Or at least in this first game). Also worth mentioning is that majority of them haven’t played in front of 50.000 ppl never in their lives. Then there is this issue about time zone and long flight. Usually players should have till about 10 days to adobt to the new time zone, but these guys will have only 3 days and are already using this as an escuse. Plus the season is coming to an end (or is finished) and many of them are tired like they said. I really doubt we can expect some good result from these two games with such rivals as Japan and Colombia. Montenegro can be European middle class team in some future years but not yet imo. They lack EXPERIENCE and It’s not a secret that Montenegrin national team will struggle in every away game - which is typical for our mentality. At home they are full of confidence in front of frenetic crowd and can play above their capabilities but away it will be different story I’m afraid. The way I see it Montenegro will loose both games and I just hope they won’t get trashed. With Japan crucial will be first 10-20mins, in which I expect Japan to score one or more goals before we stabilise a bit and organize our defence and get used to the whole thing. Definetely I’m suggesting Japan to win. Coach Filipovic said they won’t change tactics from the first match with HUN and that they will play an open game. That’s too brave imo. He should get back from clowds cause in the end Montenegro is still green and unprepared for these kind of games, thousands of miles away from home… I see Japan winning this one rather easy … Odds are more then fair, infact I had a fear we should see something like 1.35 on HW. Although I must say that the current strength of Japan is a bit of an enigma for me, but despite all I think they should win this with a rival without experience abroad, playing their second game ever thousands of miles away from home in diffferent time zone and without 3 very important players. Naaaah, I’ll eat my socks if MN stays unbeatan tomorrow. Suggest HW and -1AH, 10bet @1.97 with high stakes, odds are very good imo although slashed by somewhat from yesterday.

[UEFA Cup final on Wednesday]

Re: UEFA Cup final on Wednesday So it's UEFA Cup final tonight in Glasgow. Two Spanish teams, last year winner Sevilla and undefeated team in this year's campaign - Espanyol. Sevilla eliminated another Spanish club in the semis, Osasuna. But only by winning at home 2:0 after 1:0 loss away. Espanyol had practically a walkover with non existent Werder, winning 3:0 at home and 2:1 away. Sevilla is superior in quality and favourite on the paper but Espanyol showed how good they are all season. They are hard working and organized team and I expect them to be hard nut for Sevilla, which lately plays great only at home, and that's where I see the chance for team from Barcelona. Espanyol likes to be the underdog which they showed in Spanish Cup with Zaragoza last year, beating them with concrete actions and well thought strategy. But to beat the last year champion it will be very tough task. Sevilla want this Cup once again and to write the history. Still, I see nice chances Espanyol not to be defeated in regular time so I'll try to pick DRAW, pinnacle @3.35. Espanyol: Gorka - Zabaleta, Jarque, Torrejón, David García - Moisés Hurtado, De la Peña - Rufete, Riera, Luis García - Tamudo. Sevilla: Palop - Daniel Alves, Javi Navarro, Aitor Ocio, Dragutinovic - Jesús Navas, Poulsen, Renato, Puerta - Kanouté, Luis Fabiano.

[Basketball, euroleague final four]

Re: Basketball, euroleague final four So it's final four time. CSKA, Panathinaikos, TAU and Unicaja will fight for top honours in Men's Euroleague this year. Panathiniaikos is main favourite as the tournament is played in Athens, their home court. Still CSKA is my favourite for winning it in the end. They are Champions from last year, and also finalist from year before when they failed to win it in Moscow. So the situation just like now with Panathinaikos, when everyone expects them to win at home it may turn to be dissapointing for their fans. CSKA is the best team in Europe if u ask me and they showed that throughout the year no doubt. Perfect defence under coach Messina is for the textbooks. I'll go for CSKA to win EL, 10bet@ 2.5. And LAY Panathinaikos, betfair @2.22. GL~ They are facing Unicaja in the first semifinal which will miss Tusek and Santiago, both very important centers and without them they won't stand a chance tonight imo. So there's the first pick, CSKA -13AH, Centrebet @1.9. Then again Under 145 pts, betway @1.9. CSKA will limit their opponent to 50-60pts tops and will score probably about 70-80. Under is very probable here like always when CSKA plays. Second one is on TAU not to loose more then 6pts. I LAYed Pana -6.5AH, betfair @2.26. I expect hosts to win it but in a close match as TAU is also exellent this year and actually kicked them out last year beating them in Athens. I'll cheer for TAU to win but it's gona be tough task, still them to loose less then 7 seems like good deal.

[Basketball, euroleague final four]

Euroleague Basketball - Fri 5/4
Game			Handicap	Money Line	Total Points	More
Fri 5/4	7001	Panathinaikos	-6 2.050	1.400	OVER 154.5 1.935	Props
11:30 AM	7002	Tau Ceramica	+6 1.870	3.300	UNDER 154.5 1.971
Fri 5/4	7003	CSKA Moscow	-13.5 1.870	1.075	OVER 143.5 1.952	Props
08:30 AM	7004	Unicaja Malaga	+13.5 2.050	11.750	UNDER 143.5 1.952

Pinnacle

[UEFA Cup Semis 2nd leg (3/5)]

Re: UEFA Cup Semis 2nd leg (3/5) Tough game once again expected. Osasuna will have defensive formation and defend 1:0 lead they have. Till now all 3 games between these 2 teams ended with 2 goals most. 2:0, 0:0 and 1:0. Two in Primera and one in Uefa cup last week. I fancy Sevilla to have the edge and clinch a qualification with a 2:0 win. Their class should prevail tonight but it won't be easy. LAY Over 3.5 goals, betfair @4, looks like sure thing.

[Champions League Semi-Final 2nd legs Tues 01/05 - Weds 02/05]

Re: Champions League Semi-Final 2nd legs Tues 01/05 - Weds 02/05 So the decisive game which will decide who will join Liverpool in Athen's final. Man.Utd have 3:2 lead after the first game. Much more patient and calm game expected imo. But calm in terms of goals. Milan will chase narrow win in order to progress as they scored 2 in England. So they won't rush things but wait for that one goal which I doubt it will happen. At first I thought about this one ending without goals, but somehow see now Manchester scoring one and finishing the job. Under looks just fine imo. For braves Man Utd to win by one, unibet @4.6, and Total goals: 1, gamebookers@ 4.25. GL~

[UEFA Cup semis 26/4 (1st leg)]

Re: UEFA Cup semis 26/4 (1st leg) So Espanyol hosting the only non Spanish team in the semis, German Werder. Hosts did great till now in Uefa Cup. In 1/4 finals they eliminated Benfica as we all know beating them 3:2 at home. Werder is not an away team for sure. They will try to achieve an active result from first leg and then to go all out at their stadium where they are strongest no doubt. Still, I see Espanyol winning this first leg. Even though they are not at the top of Spanish Primera I rate them very high. But anyway all Spanish teams are pretty strong for European standards. Look what Osasuna did to Leverkusen in 1/4 finals per example, and they are on even lower table position then Espanyol in Primera. All in all, I think Espanyol should win this first leg. Werder will be happy with scoring one and I think they are capable of doing that. 2:1 result seems fair. I'll try Espanyol to win by one, Blue Square @4.33, aswell as little try on Total goals:3, Betdirect @4.5. GL~

[Superettan, Sweden, 26/4]

Re: Superettan, Sweden, 26/4 Landskrona hosting Hacken. Two rounds played till now, home team have 2 draws and Hacken 2 wins. Hacken is one of the top candidates if not THE top candidate for promotion. They kept many players from last year in Allsvenskan and that should be enough for first places in Superettan this year. Lanskrona defenders Joakim Persson, Johan Norell, Andrew Kelly and Kalle Corneliusson, midfielder Håkan Söderstjerna and forward Mattias Eklund are all out. I believe Hacken should have the edge in this game and suggest a bet on them. Personally will try something on Hacken -1EH aswell, Centrebet @3.2. GL~

[UEFA Cup semis 26/4 (1st leg)]

Re: UEFA Cup semis 26/4 (1st leg) A clash between two Spanish teams in the Uefa Cup semis. No doubt Sevilla is favourite here but still in this first game away I see a nice fight. Osasuna at home is not bad at all and anyway in Uefa Cup they have been exellent with Leverkusen winning in both legs recently. These two teams met in Primera couple of weeks ago end match ended 0:0. I'm tempted to try the same outcome here, and low scoring Draw indeed lokos like a logical bet. So Draw it is, betfair @3.3. And for braves Zero goals in the match, betsafe @8.5. GL~

[CL semis 24-25/4 (1st leg)]

Re: CL semis 24-25/4 (1st leg) Chelsea hosting Liverpool. Tough battle is expected as always regarding these two teams, but I will try a bet on home side here to win with two goals or more. I fancy 2:0 score. Liverpool seem too confident lately and having nice record with blues I think they might underestimate a bit home side tonight. Chelsea struggled with Porto and Valencia but it's time for one good performance in front of their crowd. I'll try Chelsea to win with two or more goals, Centrebet @4.65, aswell as Total goals: 2, hoping for 2:0 in the end but also as a cover in case of 1:1, Stan James @3.5. GL~

[Allsvenskan, Sweden, 21-24/4]

Re: Allsvenskan, Sweden, 21-24/4 AIK hosting Hammarby in this Stockholm derby. Home side is expected to do much better this season. They are more of a team compared to Hammarby, which are young squad based mainly on individuals. Home team should be more motivated tonight as they didn't win against Hammarby for long time plus last year Hammarby outplayed them and took important 3pts for AIK when they chased top spot. I believe AIK should win today and finally break their bad record with their city rival. I'll try AIK to win by one goal, expekt @4, aswell as total goals: 3, eurobet @3.9, as I fancy 2:1 score in the end. GL~

[CL semis 24-25/4 (1st leg)]

Re: CL semis 24-25/4 (1st leg) So pretty much everything have been said about this one. Man.Utd with second choice back line. No Ferdinand, No Vidic, no Neville. Milan is in good momentum currently winning games very easily. I see this game ending in draw. ManU will for sure conceed tonight, and expect them to score aswell. So scoring draw it is for me. 1:1 looks like more probable but have a strange feeling it might end 2:2. I'll try Draw, fonbet @3.22, and something on Over 3.5 goals, bet365 @4.5.

[Montenegro, 18/04]

Re: Montenegro, 18/04 Decic - Petrovac Home team last on the table with 21pts. They are struggling lately. Petrovac managed to win their last game finally and get away from teams fighting not to relegate. These two teams met few rounds before and Decic made a shocking result winning in Petrovac. I doubt they can repeat it again, Petrovac is better team and should seek for a revenge. Petrovac +0.5AH, Pinancle @1.91. Low stakes.

[Montenegro, 18/04]

Jedinstvo - Kom Home team in uptrend lately. They have been dead last but improved in last couple of games, managed not to loose with leader Buducnost twice, and beat high flying Mogren 1:0 at home. They rested 8 regulars in their clash with Zeta away which lost 5:1. But they did so to concentrate fully on this domestic game. Kom won 3 games in a row and now can relax, cause relegation battle is far behind them. They don't have some higher ambitions, so I see them surrending easily in Bijelo Polje to fired up hosts. These two teams already met once in Bijelo Polje this season, hosts won 1:0. Pick Jedinstvo -0.5AH, Pinnacle @1.98. 7/10. Buducnost - Grbalj Despite wining the derby with Zeta, Buducnost keep playing like they started after the winter break. No leader in the team, no confidence, no one to put the ball in the net. They managed to get third consecutive 0:0 away from home in last round. They even missed the penalty! At home they are somewhat better of course, but not always. Just remember their game prior to derby where they played 1:1 with Jedinstvo equalising in last minutes. Also winning with Mladost 4:3 with the same scenario. Their only comfortable win was with Kom 2:0, and beating Zeta in derby 1:0. Now they play with Grbalj, which already played once 0:0 with them in first part of the season when Buducnost played their domestic games on Mladost pitch. Grbalj is having great momentum, winning their last couple of games and scoring a lot. With such rival I can't see Buducnost winning with more then one goal, although I can't put my hand in fire for it. At home Buducnost is capable of playing better then away, but under current circumstances, this offer from Pinnacle is worth a shot. Grbalj +1.5AH, Pinnacle @2.00. Lowerish stakes..

[Montenegro, 14/04]

Re: Montenegro, 14/04 Rudar hosting Buducnost. Buducnost won in the derby in last round but I think despite that win they will still keep struggling away. Rudar ath ome is very strong and I don't see how will Buducnsot win 3pts in this match. Their first meeting in Pljevlja ended 0:2 for Buducnsot but back then it was first round of the season, Buducnost had Burzanovic and Rudar not prepared for it somehow. Now I think they can and will stop Buducnost, Draw seems like fair result. Bwin @3.6. GL~

[Montenegro, 14/04]

Re: Montenegro, 14/04 Mladost hosting Sutjeska. Mladost with 29 pts and Sutjeska with 26pts. Sutjeska have the worst aay record in the leage with only one win, but that win came guess what with this rival, Mladost. Now they meed again, and I think Sutjeska have ne chances to stay unbeaten. It looks like playing on this field suits them, as they also played here when Buducnost played their games on Mladost stadium for a while, and made a good game despie loosing 1:0. My pick is Sutjeska +0.75AH, Pinnacle @1.96. GL~

[Montenegro, 14/04]

Saturday, 4PM FK Zeta 1.10 X 6.75 Jedinstvo 13.50 Grbalj 1.20 X 5.00 Decic10.00 Mladost 1.60 X 3.35 Sutjeska 4.75 Mogren 1.65 X 3.45 Kom 4.25 Petrovac 1.50 X 3.50 Berane 5.50 Rudar Pljevlja 4.75 X 3.60 Buducnost 1.55 (bwin) Mogren hosting Kom. I'll keep bakcing home team. As already stated many times they improved a lot after the break and with few aditions they look by far more solid team then in first part of the season. At home they won all games played after the break. Infact they only drew with Zeta 1:1, but won with leader Buducnost. Kom is playing surprisingly good lately winning their last 3 games. But I think that will satisfy them as they don't have some bigger ambitions then to stay in the league. Can't see nothing else then HW, bwin 1.65. GL~

[Russian Premier League (13-15 April 07)]

Re: Russian Premier League (13-15 April 07) Rubin hosting FC Moscow. Four rounds played till now, Rubin with only one win and three losses, all away from home. FC Moscow with 3 wins till now and one draw away. They made a nice litle start, they are very good,compact and working team which don't have a big name but their results have been better and bettter every year. Rubin is known for their ups and downs so I think a bet here on FC Moscow it makes sense. They started the season exellent and till they are pushing good they are worth of staking imo. Pick FC Moscow, Centrebet @3.30. GL~

[UEFA Cup quarters Thu 12/4]

Re: UEFA Cup quarters Thu 12/4 Sevilla after the win with Barca looks a bit tired, or maybe emotionaly drained, plus all those games in Primera and UEFA forced them to loose that sparkle they had and to look quite boring lately. Tottenham on the other hand turned things around when they had 5 wins in a row in PL, and then it came that loss with Chelsea in last round. But who can count on pts there anyway? Maybe fair result would be 2:1 and ET. Both teams deserves to play in semis, let them fight till the end for it... Spurs should have the edge at home, and Sevilla is definetely capable of scoring. A try on Tottenham to win by one, Centrebet @4.00, aswell as Total goals: 3 , gamebookers @4.00.

[Eurobasketball 9.4./15.4.]

Re: Eurobasketball 9.4./15.4. CSKA hosting Maccabi for this third and decisive encounter which will determine which team will go in the final four in Athens. But this one should be no brainer really. Mac cabi this year is in transition period, while CSKA is maybe playing best basketball ever. They won first game with 22pts, and then in second in ISrael a bit surprisingly lost, probably due to relaxation and also Maccabi showed how they can be good at home and showed us a glimpse of their old form few years back. But that was just a glimpse, last desperate chance and they took it. But now we are back again in Moscow, it's a decisive match and CSKA should be the real one again and dominate like they dominated the first match. First game ended with 22pts for Russians, I think now they will win again with more then 10pts and probably even more. Will LAY Maccabi +11AH, betfair @2.38. GL~

[CL Quarters Second leg - Tue 10/4 - Wed 11/4]

Re: CL Quarters Second leg - Tue 10/4 - Wed 11/4 Liverpool hosting PSV. They practically had the job done in first leg beating their rival 3:0. Now they must finish in style and win also this second game cause of their fans in the first place. But I don't expect some walk over. Slim victory will do it. I will bet Pool to win by one, Interwetten @3.7. GL~