Guardiola
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Posts posted by Guardiola
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Re: US Open 2013 Dodig to beat Verdasco. 2,70 @ pinnacle (2 pts.) Dodig (+3) to beat Verdasco. 1,90 @ pinnacle (3 pts.) Fancy the chances of Dodig here with his powerful play. He should like the conditions and had some nice results in the States until he retired against Russell two weeks ago. Verdasco with an ordinary year, except from his performance in Wimbledon. This was fantastic play. If he can manage to play at this high level, he will beat Dodig, but I am willing to take this risk here as Verdasco simply lacks the consistency these days. Matosevic to beat Robredo. 2,62 @ pinnacle (3 pts.) I see this match quite even. Matosevic is a big hitter and had some good results at Washington and Montreal (beating Paire, Davydenko, Raonic and Blake, Haas retired). The Australian has improved his overall abilities this year and is far better than before, so he can now match with someone like Robredo even in the longer rallies without losing nearly all that points. I´m not that convinced of Robredo´s hard court skills, so this price is too big in my eyes. Sela (-5,5) to beat Andrey Kuznetsov. 1,81 @ pinnacle (5 pts.) Sela is simply the far better player on hard court and he should have no real problems against someone like Kuznetsov, who has played 11 times on hard court in his entire life and lost 9 of them... De Schepper to beat Klahn. 2,59 @ pinnacle (3 pts.) Well, yes, Klahn had some really nice results on the recent US challenger events - but this is Grand Slam, no Challenger, so I don´t really know how high to rate these performances as he hasn´t beaten any top player at all there. De Schepper on the other side isn´t really a tennis player at all, he is a Karlovic...but I have to go with the value here, considering the overs as a likely result of this match, too. Cuevas (+2,5 sets) to beat Tipsarevic. 3,10 @ pinnacle (3 pts.) Kyrgios (+2,5 sets) to beat Ferrer. 2,66 @ pinnacle (3 pts.) Both of them might be worth a shot as both Tipsarevic and Ferrer are really underperforming at the moment. Ferrer makes too many unforced errors these days and Tipsarevic is out of shape the whole year. Cuevas and Kyrigios will be motivated here and a set should be fully within their ranges.
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Re: Wimbledon 2013 Picks for tomorrow: 1) BROWN (-2 games) to beat MANNARINO. 1,96 @ marathonbet (15/10) 2) KERBER (-4 games) to beat KANEPI. 1,87 @ marathonbet (9/10) 3) FERRER vs. BAUTISTA-AGUT over 29,5 games. 1,90 @ marathonbet (7/10) (all mentioned above) 4) BIRNEROVA to beat PUIG. 3,10 @ marathonbet (10/10). Massive fail from the bookies in my eyes as this match should be evens. In no way Birnerova is such a big dog here. Probably a lot of punters are backing Puig since she has defeated Errani in round no. 1. But that does not really mean much as Errani on grass is nothing more than an average player without any real weapons in her play. Puig is overrated massively here. She is 19 years old, favores the red clay but is able to play some decent stuff on the faster courts as well. She will face Birnerova here, an experienced player who loves to play on grass, it´s her best surface. Birnerova has the flexible play and - as a good double players - the volleys that are needed to finish points and put pressure on her opponents. She has beaten Lepchenko and Tsurenko here, both are very considerable results. I see massive value here. 5) SIJSLING to beat DODIG. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10) Sijsling should be considered clear favorite here. Dodig is definitively no push-over on the faster courts, has a very tenacious stlye of play and fights for every single point. But I don´t believe that this will be enough to progress here. Sijsling is in fantastic form, serving very well and precisely, has powerful baseline play and good vollies. He totally crushed Raonic today, but Dodig will be a tougher task as Dodid moves well. Nevertheless Sijsling should have more opportunities on Dodigs serve to get his break. I think the odds will drop, so I´ve taken this bet now. 6) MAKAROVA to beat KVITOVA. 2,07 @ marathonbet (7/10) Pick against Kvitova who in my opinion lacks the right movement these days, simply producing too many unforced errors. Her results on grass this year confirm that point of view since they are very disappointing for a former Wimbledon champion like Kvitova. 3 tight sets against Vandeweghe, losing to Wickmayer at Eastbourne. Makarova has what it takes to beat Kvitova here, she loves the green courts (68% winning record there) that suit her style of play. I see her as a slight favorite here. 7) PENNETTA to beat CORNET. 1,84 @ marathonbet (7/10). I am still not impressed by Cornet´s performances on grass although she had a decent and unexpected win against Hsieh in the last round. Cornet is a typical clay courter who keeps the ball in play and pushes her opponents back with her topsin. Pennetta definitively has the shots that are needed to face that game on a grass court as she plays much more flexible, has the slices and net play (as a decent double player) to create chances and put pressure on Cornet. In my eyes, Pennetta will win that game. 8) GULBIS vs. VERDASCO over 41 games. 1,94 @ marathonbet (8/10) This should be a very tight thriller between these two players. Gulbis will be very motivated here as he recognizes his chances to go far in the tournament with so many favorites already been out. Verdasco plays very good tennis at the moment, pushes a lot of pressure on his opponents by his very good forehand. But as a lefty, the forehand cross goes to Gulbis strong backhand. From that point of view, I don´t think Verdasco will crush Gulbis, but Gulbis won´t do that either to Verdasco. This game is very even, I expect at least four tight sets. 9) MONACO (-5 games) to beat DE SCHEPPER. 1,90 @ marathonbet (9/10) I am very confident with that one as Monaco has returned very well against Ram and had lots of nice passing balls. That will be enough to cause real trouble to a player like De Schepper that has only one strength: his serve. From the baseline Monaco should win nearly every point. If De Schepper has little concentration lacks on his serve, this match will be over very fast. 10) BEGEMANN/EMMRICH (-2 games) to beat HUEY/INGLOT. 1,94 @ marathonbet (9/10). Begemenn/Emmrich, probably the best German double, are in a very good constitution at the moment. I wrote something about them here some days ago. They have beaten Huey/Inglot two times in the last month without losing a set, one time in the final of Düsseldorf on clay, one time in s´Hertogenbosch´s first round on grass. They are clear favorite to do it again here over three sets. There are some more interesting match-ups tomorrow. Melzer-Stakhovsky, Janowicz-Almagro, Paire-Kubot, Youzhny-Troicki, Suarez Navarro-Bouchard...does anyone know if Youzhny is still handicapped?
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Re: Wimbledon 2013
Li d. Halep 6-2 1-6 6-0 :wall Delgado/Ebden d. Hewitt/Knowles 6-3 7-5 7-6 with Hewitt/Knowles missing set points in both 2nd and 3rd set and missing loads of break points... Zemlja vs. Dimitrov 3-6 7-6 4-6 6-4 8-7 suspended. Sijsling d. Raonic 7-5 6-4 7-6 :cigar Tomic d. Blake 6-3 6-4 7-5 Lopez d. Mathieu 6-3 5-1 w.o. :wall Gasquet d. Soeda 6-0 6-3 6-7 6-3 Pironkova d. Zahlavova 7-5 6-4 +13,79 units today (and that could have easily been more...) brings me to +37,54 for Wimbledon. :cigarPicks for tomorrow: 1) ZEMLJA vs. DIMITROV over 36,5 games. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10). This should be a tighter contest between those two than the bookies expect. Especially Dimitrov is kind of a paradise bird (is that the right word in English?) who has enormous potential but has periods of quite unmotivated play and thrilling balls in one and the same match. In my opinion, little Roger here lacks the consistenty to beat a solid grass court player like Zemlja in three sets. Braver punters might consider to back Zemlja to win that one...perhaps it´s worth a little shot. 2) SIJSLING to beat RAONIC. 3,10 @ marathonbet (7/10). This definitively looks value as Raonic is overrated here when you consider his recent poor record, even on the grass courts. I´ve watched some of his games, and above all he lacks a good movement and consistency in his shots. His serve works well, but that simply isn´t enough as Raonic has to put pressure on his opponents in longer rallies to win matches. Sijsling is solid, serves well and should have the upper hand from the baseline. In my eyes, he is only a slight dog here. 3) FERRER vs. BAUTISTA-AGUT over 29,5 games. 1,90 @ marathonbet (7/10). Of course, this can be a clear three set win for Ferrer who is the better player. But he did struggle against Alund, seems to have some problems to adapt his play to the faster grass courts. Bautista-Agut is quite a flexible player, nice straight set win against Gabashvili. The overs should be fully within the range here as long as Ferrer doesn´t improve significantly. 4) TOMIC vs. BLAKE over 39,5 games. 2,00 @ pinnacle (8/10) This smells like a tight contest between these two players. Both big serve, nice vollies; both lack consistency, have better and weaker periods. According to some rumors Tomic might be a bit injured. If he retires, this is pick is a void. 5) LOPEZ (-5,5 games) to beat MATHIEU. 1,86 @ pinnacle (8/10) There shoud be a massive gap here. Lopez serves fantastically and plays with spirit these days, powerful and flexible. His win against Simon was a thrilling performance in my eyes. Mathieu doesn´t have this level. Therefore I expect at least one clear set to get this line covered here. 6) SOEDA vs. GASQUET over 30 games. 2,04 @ marathonbet (9/10). This line looks some points too low as Soeda is no push-over on the fast courts. Of course, Gasquet is the better player, but he wasn´t very convincing against Granollers. He can improve, of course, but I don´t think he will fly though this round and crush Soeda. One tight set and this pick should be won. 7) PIRONKOVA (-3,5 games) to beat ZAHLAVOVA STRYCOVA. 1,87 @ marathonbet (8/10). In my eyes this price looks very nice as Pironkova is a grass court specialist and former Wimbledon semi finalist. She should be the better player here. Zahlavova has won some games on grass this year, the qualification and against Rybarikova. But except of the last two sets against Rybarikova she didn´t face tough opponents in my eyes. Pironkova will be that tough opponent and she looks a bit underrated here. 8) KERBER (-4 games) to beat KANEPI. 1,87 @ marathonbet (9/10). Kanepi could have gone out against Tara Moore...Kerber should be the better player overall here. The German plays a nice season, has the powerful shots that are needed on grass and will use weaker periods of Kanepi to win this match and cover this handicap. That´s at least what I think here. Additionally, Kerber should be very confident with his play here as she has beaten Mattek-Sands in round 1, an opponent that she has never beaten before and was very happy about that. HALEP to beat LI and HEWITT/KNOWLES to beat DELGADO/EBDEN as mentioned before. Already for Friday: 9) BROWN (-2 games) to beat MANNARINO. 1,96 @ marathonbet (15/10) Must be a joke. The first time since long long time I will bet over my stake limit. I simply don´t get these odds. Brown plays fantastically at the moment. I´ve watched the whole match against Hewitt, he won well-deserved and Hewitt wasn´t bad... The draw is wide open for both players here as the face Kubot/Paire in round 4, and for both players this will be one of the most important games in their life. Mannarino loves the faster courts, okay. But doesn´t he really have the class to beat an in-form Brown here who plays the tennis of his life? brown is a very cool player, too. He will have his emotions under control and play with a smile on his face, as he always does. The pressure will not cost him points. It´s time to go out for Mannarino here. He will not be able to break Brown, but Brown with his hit or miss-play will be - at some times. And that will be enough. I would have that line at -5,5 games... -
Re: Wimbledon 2013 Picks for tomorrow: 1) ZEMLJA vs. DIMITROV over 36,5 games. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10). This should be a tighter contest between those two than the bookies expect. Especially Dimitrov is kind of a paradise bird (is that the right word in English?) who has enormous potential but has periods of quite unmotivated play and thrilling balls in one and the same match. In my opinion, little Roger here lacks the consistenty to beat a solid grass court player like Zemlja in three sets. Braver punters might consider to back Zemlja to win that one...perhaps it´s worth a little shot. 2) SIJSLING to beat RAONIC. 3,10 @ marathonbet (7/10). This definitively looks value as Raonic is overrated here when you consider his recent poor record, even on the grass courts. I´ve watched some of his games, and above all he lacks a good movement and consistency in his shots. His serve works well, but that simply isn´t enough as Raonic has to put pressure on his opponents in longer rallies to win matches. Sijsling is solid, serves well and should have the upper hand from the baseline. In my eyes, he is only a slight dog here. 3) FERRER vs. BAUTISTA-AGUT over 29,5 games. 1,90 @ marathonbet (7/10). Of course, this can be a clear three set win for Ferrer who is the better player. But he did struggle against Alund, seems to have some problems to adapt his play to the faster grass courts. Bautista-Agut is quite a flexible player, nice straight set win against Gabashvili. The overs should be fully within the range here as long as Ferrer doesn´t improve significantly. 4) TOMIC vs. BLAKE over 39,5 games. 2,00 @ pinnacle (8/10) This smells like a tight contest between these two players. Both big serve, nice vollies; both lack consistency, have better and weaker periods. According to some rumors Tomic might be a bit injured. If he retires, this is pick is a void. 5) LOPEZ (-5,5 games) to beat MATHIEU. 1,86 @ pinnacle (8/10) There shoud be a massive gap here. Lopez serves fantastically and plays with spirit these days, powerful and flexible. His win against Simon was a thrilling performance in my eyes. Mathieu doesn´t have this level. Therefore I expect at least one clear set to get this line covered here. 6) SOEDA vs. GASQUET over 30 games. 2,04 @ marathonbet (9/10). This line looks some points too low as Soeda is no push-over on the fast courts. Of course, Gasquet is the better player, but he wasn´t very convincing against Granollers. He can improve, of course, but I don´t think he will fly though this round and crush Soeda. One tight set and this pick should be won. 7) PIRONKOVA (-3,5 games) to beat ZAHLAVOVA STRYCOVA. 1,87 @ marathonbet (8/10). In my eyes this price looks very nice as Pironkova is a grass court specialist and former Wimbledon semi finalist. She should be the better player here. Zahlavova has won some games on grass this year, the qualification and against Rybarikova. But except of the last two sets against Rybarikova she didn´t face tough opponents in my eyes. Pironkova will be that tough opponent and she looks a bit underrated here. 8) KERBER (-4 games) to beat KANEPI. 1,87 @ marathonbet (9/10). Kanepi could have gone out against Tara Moore...Kerber should be the better player overall here. The German plays a nice season, has the powerful shots that are needed on grass and will use weaker periods of Kanepi to win this match and cover this handicap. That´s at least what I think here. Additionally, Kerber should be very confident with his play here as she has beaten Mattek-Sands in round 1, an opponent that she has never beaten before and was very happy about that. HALEP to beat LI and HEWITT/KNOWLES to beat DELGADO/EBDEN as mentioned before. Already for Friday: 9) BROWN (-2 games) to beat MANNARINO. 1,96 @ marathonbet (15/10) Must be a joke. The first time since long long time I will bet over my stake limit. I simply don´t get these odds. Brown plays fantastically at the moment. I´ve watched the whole match against Hewitt, he won well-deserved and Hewitt wasn´t bad... The draw is wide open for both players here as the face Kubot/Paire in round 4, and for both players this will be one of the most important games in their life. Mannarino loves the faster courts, okay. But doesn´t he really have the class to beat an in-form Brown here who plays the tennis of his life? brown is a very cool player, too. He will have his emotions under control and play with a smile on his face, as he always does. The pressure will not cost him points. It´s time to go out for Mannarino here. He will not be able to break Brown, but Brown with his hit or miss-play will be - at some times. And that will be enough. I would have that line at -5,5 games...
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Re: Wimbledon 2013
I like Halep' date=' already taken her, but also Dimitrov to prove a let-down again?[/quote'] Puh, I don´t think Zemlja is capable to beat him, but....on the other hand even Sela almost did. Perhaps Dimitrov wants to have some holidays with Masha? :P I´ll take the overs there. -
Re: Wimbledon 2013
Robredo d. Mahut 7-6 6-1 7-6 :wall Darcis retires Brown d. Hewitt 6-4 6-4 6-7 6-2 Tsonga retires Cornet d. Hsieh 6-3 6-3 :wall Giorgi d. Cirstea 7-6 7-6 Begemann/Emmrich d. Kudla/Smyczek 6-2 6-7 6-4 6-1 (and were break up in the second...) Hewitt/Knowles play tomorrow. +8,5 units for today. Weird day, 2/8 have been totally wrong, but at the end of the day, there is a nice plus again. Brings me to +23,75 at Wimbledon.Some thoughts on today´s matches. 1) MAHUT (-3,5 games) to beat ROBREDO. 1,90 @ pinnacle (9/10) Mahut should have the upper hand here as we will watching a game between a grass courter and a clay courter. Mahut is in very good shape, serves well, vollies well and has some decent returns. The winner of s´Hertogenbosch also has enough confidence to get through here as he has nothing to lose: A week ago he won his first single tournament ever (and he is over 30 years old). I simply believe that Robredo doesn´t have the sort of tennis that is needed to cause real trouble to someone like Mahut here. 2) DARCIS to beat KUBOT. 1,81 @ pinnacle (9/10). I´m really surprised to read some tips that fancy Kubot here. In my opinion, Darcis is the well-deserved favorite in this match-up, and I do not overrate his win against Nadal. It was a straight set win against an injured Nadal, and it was a very convincing performance of Darcis, but: What makes me confident with this pick is that Darcis has definitively what it takes to beat decent players on a grass court as his stlye of play is very flexible. Perhaps he lacks the big strokes at some times, but he plays consistent, with his head on and is able to put pressure on his opponent. He has shown that against Nadal two days ago, he shown that against Berdych last year at the Olympics, he has shown that with his positive record on grass. And: Kubot isn´t even a decent player, he is very average. He has his serve, okay. But he lacks the consistency and because of these weak moments, he will lose here. 3) BROWN vs. HEWITT over 36 games. 1,98 @ pinnacle (8/10) Brown is able to cause some trouble to Hewitt here with his hit-or-miss play. If Hewitt plays on the same level that he has shown against Wawrinka, he will win in under games. But I don´t think he will. Some weaker moments of Hewitt mixed with a hit series of Brown, and one set is off and the overs are on. 4) TSONGA vs. GULBIS over 41 games. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10). I can see Gulbis fighting here: Big crowd, big game, his opponent as a clear favorite. Tsonga didn´t look that impressive at all, especially at his return game, so I fancy Gulbis here at least to get to some tie-breaks. If he wins one of them, the overs should be fully in range. 5) HSIEH (-2,5 games) to beat CORNET. 1,95 @ marathonbet (7/10). Fancy Hsieh here as she has the more powerful play that fits better on grass. Cornet lacks these powerful strokes as she is a typical clay-courter. Above all, Hsieh is a decent double player, therefore she has what it takes to play successfully at the net. That should be enough to beat Cornet here. 6) GIORGI to beat CIRSTEA. 2,70 @ marathonbet (7/10). I´m a bit surprised with this price here as I would see this match pretty even. Giorgi got to the forth round last year, beating the likes of Pennetta and Petrova, only losing to finalist Radwanska. And you don´t really know the result in a match in which Cirstea takes part: Does she hit or does she miss? Nice fact: Giorgi lost to Vekic last week 7-6 6-3, Cirstea lost 6-2 6-1...Of course, cross-comparisons are not really meaningful at tennis, but 2,70 is value here. 7) BEGEMANN/EMMRICH (-4,5 games) to beat KUDLA/SMYCZEK. 1,94 @ marathonbet (8/10) BEGEMANN/EMMRICH to beat KUDLA/SMYCZEK 3:0. 2,70 @ marathonbet (4/10) This should be clear win for the probably best German double at the moment. They will face two American that have no more than challenger level, and I don´t get why Begemann/Emmrich are still so underrated. They won at Düsseldorf, beating Nielsen/Sa, Huey/Inglot. They got to the final of s´Hertogenbosch, beating top doubles like Quershi/Rojer, Llodra/Mahut and Huey/Inglot on grass, losing only to Mirnyi/Tecau. Their only weaker performance in the recent weeks was at Roland Garros where they got crushed by Fyrstenberg/Matkowski. They should really have the upper hand here. 8) HEWITT/KNOWLES (-2,5 games) to beat DELGADO/EBDEN. 1,83 @ marathonbet (7/10) I fancy Hewitt/Knowles here. Knowles is 41 years old, but still has the pace to be a very good double player. And this is Hewitt, too, especially on grass. Delgado/Ebden played togehter this year at the Nottingham challengers, not very succesful. Delgado´s serve is quite weak when you consider that he is double specialist. With Hewitt big returns, there should be some opportunities. -
Re: Wimbledon 2013 One for tomorrow without big reasoning as it was mentioned before here: HALEP to beat LI. 2,72 @ marathonbet (10/10). Halep on fire the last weeks with some thrilling performances, plays the tennis of her life. Li has never been the greatest grass courter. This is even in my eyes.
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Re: Wimbledon 2013 Perhaps Go Soeda is worth a shot? Gasquet didn´t look that convincing. I took Tommy Haas as winner @ 101 pre-tournament :D Just Djokovic and Murray to beat^^
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Re: Wimbledon 2013 Some thoughts on today´s matches. 1) MAHUT (-3,5 games) to beat ROBREDO. 1,90 @ pinnacle (9/10) Mahut should have the upper hand here as we will watching a game between a grass courter and a clay courter. Mahut is in very good shape, serves well, vollies well and has some decent returns. The winner of s´Hertogenbosch also has enough confidence to get through here as he has nothing to lose: A week ago he won his first single tournament ever (and he is over 30 years old). I simply believe that Robredo doesn´t have the sort of tennis that is needed to cause real trouble to someone like Mahut here. 2) DARCIS to beat KUBOT. 1,81 @ pinnacle (9/10). I´m really surprised to read some tips that fancy Kubot here. In my opinion, Darcis is the well-deserved favorite in this match-up, and I do not overrate his win against Nadal. It was a straight set win against an injured Nadal, and it was a very convincing performance of Darcis, but: What makes me confident with this pick is that Darcis has definitively what it takes to beat decent players on a grass court as his stlye of play is very flexible. Perhaps he lacks the big strokes at some times, but he plays consistent, with his head on and is able to put pressure on his opponent. He has shown that against Nadal two days ago, he shown that against Berdych last year at the Olympics, he has shown that with his positive record on grass. And: Kubot isn´t even a decent player, he is very average. He has his serve, okay. But he lacks the consistency and because of these weak moments, he will lose here. 3) BROWN vs. HEWITT over 36 games. 1,98 @ pinnacle (8/10) Brown is able to cause some trouble to Hewitt here with his hit-or-miss play. If Hewitt plays on the same level that he has shown against Wawrinka, he will win in under games. But I don´t think he will. Some weaker moments of Hewitt mixed with a hit series of Brown, and one set is off and the overs are on. 4) TSONGA vs. GULBIS over 41 games. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10). I can see Gulbis fighting here: Big crowd, big game, his opponent as a clear favorite. Tsonga didn´t look that impressive at all, especially at his return game, so I fancy Gulbis here at least to get to some tie-breaks. If he wins one of them, the overs should be fully in range. 5) HSIEH (-2,5 games) to beat CORNET. 1,95 @ marathonbet (7/10). Fancy Hsieh here as she has the more powerful play that fits better on grass. Cornet lacks these powerful strokes as she is a typical clay-courter. Above all, Hsieh is a decent double player, therefore she has what it takes to play successfully at the net. That should be enough to beat Cornet here. 6) GIORGI to beat CIRSTEA. 2,70 @ marathonbet (7/10). I´m a bit surprised with this price here as I would see this match pretty even. Giorgi got to the forth round last year, beating the likes of Pennetta and Petrova, only losing to finalist Radwanska. And you don´t really know the result in a match in which Cirstea takes part: Does she hit or does she miss? Nice fact: Giorgi lost to Vekic last week 7-6 6-3, Cirstea lost 6-2 6-1...Of course, cross-comparisons are not really meaningful at tennis, but 2,70 is value here. 7) BEGEMANN/EMMRICH (-4,5 games) to beat KUDLA/SMYCZEK. 1,94 @ marathonbet (8/10) BEGEMANN/EMMRICH to beat KUDLA/SMYCZEK 3:0. 2,70 @ marathonbet (4/10) This should be clear win for the probably best German double at the moment. They will face two American that have no more than challenger level, and I don´t get why Begemann/Emmrich are still so underrated. They won at Düsseldorf, beating Nielsen/Sa, Huey/Inglot. They got to the final of s´Hertogenbosch, beating top doubles like Quershi/Rojer, Llodra/Mahut and Huey/Inglot on grass, losing only to Mirnyi/Tecau. Their only weaker performance in the recent weeks was at Roland Garros where they got crushed by Fyrstenberg/Matkowski. They should really have the upper hand here. 8) HEWITT/KNOWLES (-2,5 games) to beat DELGADO/EBDEN. 1,83 @ marathonbet (7/10) I fancy Hewitt/Knowles here. Knowles is 41 years old, but still has the pace to be a very good double player. And this is Hewitt, too, especially on grass. Delgado/Ebden played togehter this year at the Nottingham challengers, not very succesful. Delgado´s serve is quite weak when you consider that he is double specialist. With Hewitt big returns, there should be some opportunities.
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Re: Wimbledon 2013
1) TROICKI to beat TIPSAREVIC. 2,875 @ marathonbet (6/10) Troicki d. Tipsarevic 6-3 6-4 7-6 2) SOEDA (-4,5 games) to beat HAIDER-MAURER. 1,90 @ marathonbet (8/10). Soeda d. Haider-Maurer 7-6 7-5 6-1 3) MAHUT vs HAJEK UNDER 30,5 games. 1,99 @ marathonbet (9/10) Mahut d. Hajek 6-2 6-4 6-3 4) DJOKOVIC vs F. MAYER OVER 29,5 games. 1,97 @ marathonbet (7/10) Djokovic d. Mayer 6-3 7-5 6-4 5) GABASHVILI to beat BAUTISTA-AGUT. 2,34 @ marathonbet (5/10). Bautista-Agut d. Gabashvili 6-3 6-4 7-6 6) BEDENE (-3,5 games) to beat L. MAYER. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10). Mayer d. Bedene 6-2 6-3 6-4 7) KAMKE to beat BENNETEAU. 3,55 @ marathonbet (6/10) KAMKE vs. BENNETEAU over 36,5 games. 1,85 @ marathonbet (8/10) Benneteau d. Kamke 6-4 6-7 6-4 6-2 8) LORENZI to beat DE SCHEPPER. 2,80 @ marathonbet (5/10). De Schepper d. Lorenzi 7-6 6-4 6-2 9) EDMUND (+5,5 games) to beat JANOWICZ. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10). Janowicz d. Edmund 6-2 6-2 6-4 10) MLADENOVIC vs SHARAPOVA over 17,5 games. 1,90 @ marathonbet (7/10). Sharapova d. Mladenovic 7-6 6-3 +15,25 units. Nice and interesting start. Either totally right calls or totally wrong ones.Some thoughts on the Wimbledon matches. 1) TROICKI to beat TIPSAREVIC. 2,875 @ marathonbet (6/10) Pick against Tipsarevic who is completely out of shape. Although he has some decent stats on the green courts I don´t rate him that high on the fast surface. The last three Wimbledon appearances he couldn´t manage to get further than round 3 (1st round 2010, 1st round 2011, 3rd round 2012). On the other hand, Troicki isn´t a grass courter, but he can play decent tennis with his fast strokes and good serve on that court. In my eyes, this should be about 2,35 on Troicki. 2) SOEDA (-4,5 games) to beat HAIDER-MAURER. 1,90 @ marathonbet (8/10). Unbelievable that someone like Haider-Maurer is qualified for the main draw of a grand slam event without playing the qualifications...he is not more than an ordinary player on the challenger events on clay court...played 12 times on grass court, lost 7 of these matches. Soeda on the other hand isn´t more than a challenger player, but he has much more experience on the grass courts. It´s his 8th game only in this year, and he simply cruised through the qualies and should be decent favorite here. 3) MAHUT vs HAJEK UNDER 30,5 games. 1,99 @ marathonbet (9/10) To make it short: Mahut plays decent stuff with his serve and volley game and Hajek is a push-over. It´s not enough on grass courts to just play the balls in the court with no speed on them. Hajek is 29 years old, played 5 times on grass, lost 4.... 4) DJOKOVIC vs F. MAYER OVER 29,5 games. 1,97 @ marathonbet (7/10) Mayer with his unconventional style of play and deep slices can cause some trouble to Djokovic. Mayer will be focused, perhaps Djokovic has some problems to get in this tournament as he tends to lose a few sets in the early stages of a grand slam event. This line looks too low. 5) GABASHVILI to beat BAUTISTA-AGUT. 2,34 @ marathonbet (5/10). This should be nearly evens, I think. Bautista-Agut is a typical clay courter who grinds out a lot of balls. Indeed, he has a positive record on grass, but that´s due to the low-ranked players he has faced there in the past. Gabashvili has a decent serve, direct strokes, he can cause trouble to Bautistas serve. It´s more than a coin flip, so this should be value. 6) BEDENE (-3,5 games) to beat L. MAYER. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10). Bedene should be clear favorite here. He moves very well on the grass courts and can play flexibly, I´ve watched him against Querrey, it was quite impressive. In the rallies should have the upper hand against an ordinary player like Mayer. 7) KAMKE to beat BENNETEAU. 3,55 @ marathonbet (6/10) KAMKE vs. BENNETEAU over 36,5 games. 1,85 @ marathonbet (8/10) I fancy Kamke here to cause trouble to Benneteau. They met at Roland Garros, a match that Benneteau won in 5 sets although Kamke was the better player thoughout the whole match. But Benneteau fought impressive and was carried on the crowd´s supoort, something that he will miss here. Kamke will be very motivated to do it better here, and he is a decent grass courter, moves well and has flexible play. I don´t really get these odds... 8) LORENZI to beat DE SCHEPPER. 2,80 @ marathonbet (5/10). I have to try this one. De Schepper is "little Karlovic", and Lorenzi should make around 80-90% of the points, when it comes to longer rallies. he should have a decent chance here, especially as de Schepper struggeles at his first serve in some parts of the match. Than Lorenzi can break him. 9) EDMUND (+5,5 games) to beat JANOWICZ. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10). I dont´t think that Janowicz can cover this line. Edmund will be very motived and has the support of his home crowd. He played quited well at Eastbourne this week, forcing Simon into two tie-breaks and beating de Schepper. Janowicz wasn´t convincing recently, he lost to Basic at Halle. I see some tie-breaks in this match, and I would have this line 1,5 points lower here. 10) MLADENOVIC vs SHARAPOVA over 17,5 games. 1,90 @ marathonbet (7/10). Mladenovic has a decent serve and fast strokes from the baseline. It´s definetely possible for her to win 6 games (or 5 in a set). -
Re: Wimbledon 2013 Does anyboy know something about Rochus´ injury? I would give him some chances against Anderson if he is fit.
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Re: Wimbledon 2013 Some thoughts on the Wimbledon matches. 1) TROICKI to beat TIPSAREVIC. 2,875 @ marathonbet (6/10) Pick against Tipsarevic who is completely out of shape. Although he has some decent stats on the green courts I don´t rate him that high on the fast surface. The last three Wimbledon appearances he couldn´t manage to get further than round 3 (1st round 2010, 1st round 2011, 3rd round 2012). On the other hand, Troicki isn´t a grass courter, but he can play decent tennis with his fast strokes and good serve on that court. In my eyes, this should be about 2,35 on Troicki. 2) SOEDA (-4,5 games) to beat HAIDER-MAURER. 1,90 @ marathonbet (8/10). Unbelievable that someone like Haider-Maurer is qualified for the main draw of a grand slam event without playing the qualifications...he is not more than an ordinary player on the challenger events on clay court...played 12 times on grass court, lost 7 of these matches. Soeda on the other hand isn´t more than a challenger player, but he has much more experience on the grass courts. It´s his 8th game only in this year, and he simply cruised through the qualies and should be decent favorite here. 3) MAHUT vs HAJEK UNDER 30,5 games. 1,99 @ marathonbet (9/10) To make it short: Mahut plays decent stuff with his serve and volley game and Hajek is a push-over. It´s not enough on grass courts to just play the balls in the court with no speed on them. Hajek is 29 years old, played 5 times on grass, lost 4.... 4) DJOKOVIC vs F. MAYER OVER 29,5 games. 1,97 @ marathonbet (7/10) Mayer with his unconventional style of play and deep slices can cause some trouble to Djokovic. Mayer will be focused, perhaps Djokovic has some problems to get in this tournament as he tends to lose a few sets in the early stages of a grand slam event. This line looks too low. 5) GABASHVILI to beat BAUTISTA-AGUT. 2,34 @ marathonbet (5/10). This should be nearly evens, I think. Bautista-Agut is a typical clay courter who grinds out a lot of balls. Indeed, he has a positive record on grass, but that´s due to the low-ranked players he has faced there in the past. Gabashvili has a decent serve, direct strokes, he can cause trouble to Bautistas serve. It´s more than a coin flip, so this should be value. 6) BEDENE (-3,5 games) to beat L. MAYER. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10). Bedene should be clear favorite here. He moves very well on the grass courts and can play flexibly, I´ve watched him against Querrey, it was quite impressive. In the rallies should have the upper hand against an ordinary player like Mayer. 7) KAMKE to beat BENNETEAU. 3,55 @ marathonbet (6/10) KAMKE vs. BENNETEAU over 36,5 games. 1,85 @ marathonbet (8/10) I fancy Kamke here to cause trouble to Benneteau. They met at Roland Garros, a match that Benneteau won in 5 sets although Kamke was the better player thoughout the whole match. But Benneteau fought impressive and was carried on the crowd´s supoort, something that he will miss here. Kamke will be very motivated to do it better here, and he is a decent grass courter, moves well and has flexible play. I don´t really get these odds... 8) LORENZI to beat DE SCHEPPER. 2,80 @ marathonbet (5/10). I have to try this one. De Schepper is "little Karlovic", and Lorenzi should make around 80-90% of the points, when it comes to longer rallies. he should have a decent chance here, especially as de Schepper struggeles at his first serve in some parts of the match. Than Lorenzi can break him. 9) EDMUND (+5,5 games) to beat JANOWICZ. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10). I dont´t think that Janowicz can cover this line. Edmund will be very motived and has the support of his home crowd. He played quited well at Eastbourne this week, forcing Simon into two tie-breaks and beating de Schepper. Janowicz wasn´t convincing recently, he lost to Basic at Halle. I see some tie-breaks in this match, and I would have this line 1,5 points lower here. 10) MLADENOVIC vs SHARAPOVA over 17,5 games. 1,90 @ marathonbet (7/10). Mladenovic has a decent serve and fast strokes from the baseline. It´s definetely possible for her to win 6 games (or 5 in a set).
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Re: June 10 - June 16 Some really nice matchups tomorrow: 1) Back Tommy Haas to beat Roger Federer. 4,30 @ marathonbet (8/10). In no way Haas is such a big dog here. Both Federer and Haas are classy on the green courts and showed some nice stuff at Halle. But Haas had to beat Gulbis and a very strong Monfils to reach the semis, whereas Federer has two push-overs with Stebe and Zverev. Haa is playing nice stuff and serving well throughout the whole season, but especially these days. He seems to be very focused to defend his title here. H2H is standing 8-1 in favor of Federer, but Haas managed to beat him last year in Halle, too and I can really see Haas doing it again tomorrow. 2) Back Lleyton Hewitt to beat Marin Cilic. 2,32 @ marathonbet (8/10). I fancy Hewitt to reach the final here. He is by far the better tennis player in this match. When it comes to longer reallies, he should make araound 80% of these points due to his flexible and very solid baseline play on grass courts. Hewitt is a former All England champion, he really knows how to play on grass and above all, he showed some form in the recent days at Queens. He managed to beat Del Potro, and Cilic should not be a tougher task here. I don´t overrate his win against Berdych. He served well, but Berdych didn´t move well, but Hewitt will do, and with his return play that is still one of the world´s best, he will be able to cause damage to Cilic´s serve. This match is at least even, pure value in my eyes. 3) Back Donna Vekic to beat Magdalena Rybarikova. 2,16 @ marathonbet (8/10). I fancy the 16 years old Vekic here. Her play was quite impressive. Good serve, consistent baseline play, nice shots. She seems to love the grass courts that suit her style of play. Beating Cirstea that convincing as she did is really a statement. On the other side Rybarikova is a solid player on grass court with a nice record, but she is definitively beatable and tends to gift some points at some stages of the match. I hope Vekic will be able to profit from that.
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Re: French Open 2013
Seems to be a very nice bet. If you have an acoount at marathonbet, it would be even nicer... Sara Errani to serve more than 0,5 aces. 4,55 (!) @ marathonbet (7/10).Back Sara Errani Total Aces - Over 0.5 for a 2/10 stake at 2.37 with Paddy Power It is quite hard to call the match between Errani and Williams in terms of handicap lines and total games, but I think that this prop bet might have a decent chance of going through. Kuznetsova, Vinci, and Garcia all managed to serve an ace against Williams and Errani will have to try to serve out of her comfort zone today, so chances are that she will hit an ace at some point as well. I would probably have this at evens, so this price looks worth taking. -
Re: French Open 2013 Back Go Soeda (+2,5 Sets) to Beat João Sousa. 1,73 @ pinnaclesports (8/10) Agree with you Czech. Soeda shouldn't be priced so high here. Two players without any sort of shape meet here. I dont think this is Ending in three sets.
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Re: French Open 2013 Rafael Nadal vs. Daniel Brands under 27 games. 1,97 @ marathonbet (8/10) Nadal vs. single-handed backhand...I can´t see Brands here to be a tough guy to beat for Nadal. Although one should be very cautious at the first stages of a tournament when it come to handicap or under-betting in favor of favorites, I think this line is value and too high. 6-3 6-3 6-3 would be cash-back...when you keep in mind that Brands lost to Hajek 6-1 6-0 the last week, I can´t imagine him to win 9 games against Rafael Nadal. Back Igor Sijsling to beat Jürgen Melzer. 1,96 @ marathonbet (6/10) Perhaps Melzer is the better player, for sure he has the more potential. But he doesn´t get his skills shown on the court too often. His shape is quite bad, he has a losing record of 2 wins vs. 8 losses on clay this year, losing in straight sets against Anderson, Nishikori and Monfils recently. Sijsling has played nice stuff at Düsseldorf, especially against Kohlschreiber, and he could easiliy make it to the final there. His powerful style of play and big serve will cause trouble to Melzer. I consider Sijsling to be favorite here. Back Horacio Zeballos to beat Vasek Pospisil. 1,71 @ marathonbet (9/10). I consider Zeballos to be massive favorite here. Pospisil on clay has challenger level, but nothing more, He has his service, but except of that nearly no weapons, especially when it comes to baseline rallies. Zeballos on the other hand is a very solid player, clay is his best surface. Zeballos´ serve is good enough not to be broken too many times in such a game against an anti-clay courter. This match should be Zeballos´ ticket to round 2.
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Re: May 20 - May 25
Monaco wins ATP Power Horse Cup Anjudar gets to the semis. + 14,8 units here. :nanaTwo outrights for these week´s tournaments: Back Pablo Anjudar to win Nice Open. 12,25 @ pinnacle (2/10) I fancy Anjudar here to have some chances to win a tournament. He is in quite a decent shape, playing his solid style of tennis once more. The next round he´ll face Lu. Seppi managed to lose here anyway and I simply don´t know how he achieved that as Lu is simply a push-over on clay court and wasn´t in big shape on hard as well...But well, it is Seppi. So after that match, which Anjudar simply has to win, he will face Simon. He is not favorite there, but he has his chances as Simon has no big shot to hurt a solid player like Anjudar is. Perhaps Simon has the French Open in his head yet. After that the draw would we wide open for Anjudar. Back Juan Monaco to win ATP Power Horse Cup. 5,2 @ pinnacle (4/10). Monaco might be the strongest player here as Haas is a bit tired after his winning row at Munich and Madrid. Monaco is in the easier half of the draw, facing only an out-of-shape Tipsarevic on his way to the final. In the other half there are players like Haas, Kohlschreiber, Nieminen and even Gulbis to beat. So these odds seem to be value. -
Re: French Open 2013 First French Open pick for me: Back Benoit Paire (-5,5 games) to beat Marcos Baghdatis. 1,99 @ marathonbet (6/10) Back Benoit Paire (-2,5 sets) to beat Marcos Baghdatis. 2,25 @ marathonbet (3/10) This should be a clear straight set victory for Paire. He played impressive stuff at Rome, getting to the semis there. Big serve, powerful baseline play and nice returns as well. The home crowd will cheer for him here. Baghdatis is far worse than he was at some times, totally out of shape. He could win a single set in three clay court matches this year, against Robredo, Koroley (!) and Dimitrov. Clay is perhaps his worst surface. Everything in favour of Paire in this match-up.
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Re: May 20 - May 25 Two outrights for these week´s tournaments: Back Pablo Anjudar to win Nice Open. 12,25 @ pinnacle (2/10) I fancy Anjudar here to have some chances to win a tournament. He is in quite a decent shape, playing his solid style of tennis once more. The next round he´ll face Lu. Seppi managed to lose here anyway and I simply don´t know how he achieved that as Lu is simply a push-over on clay court and wasn´t in big shape on hard as well...But well, it is Seppi. So after that match, which Anjudar simply has to win, he will face Simon. He is not favorite there, but he has his chances as Simon has no big shot to hurt a solid player like Anjudar is. Perhaps Simon has the French Open in his head yet. After that the draw would we wide open for Anjudar. Back Juan Monaco to win ATP Power Horse Cup. 5,2 @ pinnacle (4/10). Monaco might be the strongest player here as Haas is a bit tired after his winning row at Munich and Madrid. Monaco is in the easier half of the draw, facing only an out-of-shape Tipsarevic on his way to the final. In the other half there are players like Haas, Kohlschreiber, Nieminen and even Gulbis to beat. So these odds seem to be value.
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Re: May 20 - May 25 Back Fyrstenberg/Matkowski (-3 games) to beat Ramos/Anjudar. 1,90 @ marathonbet (8/10). This line is too low in my eyes. Fyrstenberg/Matkowski is a top10 double with an experience of over 500 matches played together. Ramos/Anjudar both have the focus on the singles, both are grinders and obviously without any ambitions in the doubles. Expect a clear win here.
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Re: May 13 - May 19
Federer d. Paire 7-6 6-4 Monfils d. Goffin 5-7 6-1 7-5 Oudin d. Khromacheva 6-1 6-0 Williams d. Halep 6-3 6-0 + 12 units. Nice end of the week. A pity that Goffin couldn´t win. That pick had definitively value, too.Back Benoit Paire to beat Roger Federer. 7,10 @ marathonbet (2/10) Back Benoit Paire (+1,5 sets) to beat Roger Federer. 2,88 @ pinnacle (3/10) Back Benoit Paire (+5 games) to beat Roger Federer. 1,83 @ pinnacle (5/10) Benoit Paire vs. Roger Federer over 20,5 games. 1,94 @ pinnacle (6/10) Okay, first of all, the most likely scenario here is a win of Roger Federer. But nevermind, these odds are too high, especially the lines. Benoit Paire is playing a fantastic tournament, beating Monaco in round 1, struggling against Benneteau and then playing thrilling stuff against Del Potro and crushing Granollers. I wrote something about his style of play yesterday, and I think that he has skills needed to cause trouble to former world no. 1. Especially his very good serve this week and his big groundstrokes makes him nearly unbreakable. So, I cannot understand lines like +5 oder over 20,5. They are far too low. In my opinion there are still questionmarks about Roger Federer´s shape on clay court, although he has beaten the grinders Starace and Simon quite comfortably. But they really lack weapons against such a player as Federer is. Yesterday Federer beat Janowicz, but the games wasn´t that thrilling at all as Janowicz never was a real threat in baseline rallies. But Paire will be. And even yesterday Federer could have easily lost a set, he had set point against him. Back David Goffin to beat Gael Monfils. 2,92 @ marathonbet (8/10). Opposing the same player two times in a row, and the second time at high stakes might be silly. Although Monfils won yesterday 6-4 7-5 I would pick that bet ever again. Goffin is simply one class above Alund and is really able to compete with Monfils. These odds are even more ridiculous than yesterday´s. In my opinion you should better consider if this an even game. Monfils 1,45 favorite? wtf... Back Melanie Oudin (-4,5 games) to beat Irina Khromacheva. 1,85 @ marathonbet (7/10). Oudin is playing here against an 18years-old Russian who has never managed to get to WTA level untl now. Even on ITF level she has a negative record this year. There should be a massive gap between these players and the line seems one or two games too high. Simona Halep vs. Serena Williams under 15,5 games. 3,45 @ pinnacle (4/10). This is indeed a real risky one, but in my eyes worth a little shot. Halep has played a fantastic tournament so far that today will be over for her. Against Williams she cannot play her mix of technical and powerful play as Serena will completely dictate the points and push Halep into the defense. But Halep´s strength is a mixed and balanced play and so she was able to beat JJ, dictate the points when it was necessary and grind them out when propiate. That won´t work against Serena. And there is one more massive disadvantage in this match-up for Halep. The serve. Against "normal" WTA players she is able to break a lot and hold her serve. But Williams is a serving monster that gives only a few opportunies to break through. And she will crush Halep´s weak serve. 6-2 6-1 is possible here. -
Re: May 13 - May 19
You haven´t seen many tennis matches, have you?halep/jankovic was the worst ever tennis match, bye bye -
Re: May 13 - May 19 Back Benoit Paire to beat Roger Federer. 7,10 @ marathonbet (2/10) Back Benoit Paire (+1,5 sets) to beat Roger Federer. 2,88 @ pinnacle (3/10) Back Benoit Paire (+5 games) to beat Roger Federer. 1,83 @ pinnacle (5/10) Benoit Paire vs. Roger Federer over 20,5 games. 1,94 @ pinnacle (6/10) Okay, first of all, the most likely scenario here is a win of Roger Federer. But nevermind, these odds are too high, especially the lines. Benoit Paire is playing a fantastic tournament, beating Monaco in round 1, struggling against Benneteau and then playing thrilling stuff against Del Potro and crushing Granollers. I wrote something about his style of play yesterday, and I think that he has skills needed to cause trouble to former world no. 1. Especially his very good serve this week and his big groundstrokes makes him nearly unbreakable. So, I cannot understand lines like +5 oder over 20,5. They are far too low. In my opinion there are still questionmarks about Roger Federer´s shape on clay court, although he has beaten the grinders Starace and Simon quite comfortably. But they really lack weapons against such a player as Federer is. Yesterday Federer beat Janowicz, but the games wasn´t that thrilling at all as Janowicz never was a real threat in baseline rallies. But Paire will be. And even yesterday Federer could have easily lost a set, he had set point against him. Back David Goffin to beat Gael Monfils. 2,92 @ marathonbet (8/10). Opposing the same player two times in a row, and the second time at high stakes might be silly. Although Monfils won yesterday 6-4 7-5 I would pick that bet ever again. Goffin is simply one class above Alund and is really able to compete with Monfils. These odds are even more ridiculous than yesterday´s. In my opinion you should better consider if this an even game. Monfils 1,45 favorite? wtf... Back Melanie Oudin (-4,5 games) to beat Irina Khromacheva. 1,85 @ marathonbet (7/10). Oudin is playing here against an 18years-old Russian who has never managed to get to WTA level untl now. Even on ITF level she has a negative record this year. There should be a massive gap between these players and the line seems one or two games too high. Simona Halep vs. Serena Williams under 15,5 games. 3,45 @ pinnacle (4/10). This is indeed a real risky one, but in my eyes worth a little shot. Halep has played a fantastic tournament so far that today will be over for her. Against Williams she cannot play her mix of technical and powerful play as Serena will completely dictate the points and push Halep into the defense. But Halep´s strength is a mixed and balanced play and so she was able to beat JJ, dictate the points when it was necessary and grind them out when propiate. That won´t work against Serena. And there is one more massive disadvantage in this match-up for Halep. The serve. Against "normal" WTA players she is able to break a lot and hold her serve. But Williams is a serving monster that gives only a few opportunies to break through. And she will crush Halep´s weak serve. 6-2 6-1 is possible here.
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Re: May 13 - May 19
Monfils d. Alund 6-4 7-5Back Martin Alund to beat Gael Monfils. 3' date=60 @ marathonbet (4/10) Am I missing something? It´s a Bordeaux Challenger quarter final game. Monfils is the favorite, I totally agree. But 3,60 on Alund? At a clay court he is no push-over, a typical Argentinian clay court grinder whom Monfils has to beat first and foremost. Above all, when you consider that this is not the kind of game Monfils likes. In my eyes there are many uncertaintys in that game. Has Monfils pleasure to play anyway? Can he motivate himself for a challenger? I´ve seen so many cruel performances of Monfils in recent days that I am willing to back any opponent of Monfils at a certain price. Alund is for sure not in his greatest shape, but at least he went through here to the quarters without losing a set. I can see him win (or lose in straight sets) here. These odds seem to be value and worth a shot.
Australian Open 2014
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Re: Australian Open 2014 Jeremy Chardy (FRA) to beat David Ferrer (ESP). 3,95 @ pinnacle (8/10). I really think Chardy has a decent chance in this match-up. My bet was against Ferrer both against Gonzalez and Mannarino. Both bets won as I´ve chosen the overs and against Mannarino winning a set. But now, it is time to go out for Ferrer. In these days he lacks the consistency to push every ball back as he used to in his best days. His serve isn´t impressive and has never been, but when it comes to longer rallies, he was the better except when he was playing against the likes of Djokovic and Nadal. But this year, his baseline game is not that convincing anymore with Ferrer producing unforced errors and lacking depth and power. So Chardy with his powerful serve and strokes should have any chance here. The fast conditions will suit him. Almost 4,0 is ridiculous, I would have chosen odds around 2,5 maybe. I am also looking foward to the handicap and set winning lines. Edit: Torque´s picks are NOT ridiculous. It is only ridiculous when some people cannot handle them and expect his outright picks to win. All of his three picks yesterday were good ones as in all three ties the handicaps and overs have been reached. Keep on going Torque!