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alun

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Posts posted by alun

    PhD - Betfair - horse odds data - trading system - looking for collaboration

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: PhD - Betfair - horse odds data - trading system - looking for collaboration yeah feel free to send it to the following email address send it to al and thats at parrysongs DOT co DOT uk Is it odds extractor that u use. I have that but the fact that you have to sit there all day to harvest makes it too tedious a job. I don't know why it can't be written to preselect markets and start x mins before the market starts. Maybe I should ask them for that upgrade Al

    Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at -2% )

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +5.99% )

    Alun' date= Nope, i simply make a guess. Nothing more than that. Look at the average, i'm currently using www.betexplorer.com with the odds from Betbrain ( without the eastern european bookies ) and sometimes double check with other odds comparison sites. Then i look at the market on Betfair and apply a bit of experience. Early markets can be misleading, some rise in price some fall, i make an initial guess and set the price a bit high. Then i have a look at the average and Betfair every now and then, say twice a day no more, and adjust the price according to how the market goes. Usually lower the price i want as long as i'm reasonably above average. Many times the prices drops below average and i let it go, in most cases i let the price i want ride right until kick-off and make a final descision then. ( time permitting ) In the end it comes down to betting at a price reasonably above average. That simple.
    Thanks DP. But don't you have a minmum that you can't go under or it will cut your profits?

    Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at -2% )

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Soccer Hot Favourites System ( at +6.18% )

    21-03-2006 20:00 Barcelona v Getafe Spanish First Division Average 1.22, Getafe is half way the league table but still no match for Barcelona at home, i'll take 1.28. 21-03-2006 19:30 Ayr v Gretna Scotland Division 2 Average 1.30, it's on the edge of the odds range and an away match so not everybodies cup of tea, but Gretna seem to pulverise any oppositions and don't seem to care if its home or away. I'll have a shot at 1.35 but doesn't look like i'll get matched. 22-03-2006 18:30 Basel v Aarau Swiss Football League Average 1.25, top against bottom team with Aarau showing bad recent for to top it off, i'll have a stab at 1.30 22-03-2006 19:45 Celtic v Inverness Scottish Premier League Average 1.20, looking at the stats i think Celtic may have a match on teir hands here, average price seems quite low considering Inverness are half way the league table and second in the away table, going to sleep on this one and see what the price does by kick-off. Probably going to stay on the cautious side and not bet. 22-03-2006 20:05 Chelsea v Newcastle NOT English Premiership but FA CUP Average 1.30, on the edge of the odds range and a Cup game, i'm giving it a miss. 22-03-2006 20:00 Internazionale v Udinese NOT Italian First Division but CUP Average 1.31, average odds too high and a Cup game, no bet for me.
    Why these prices ordered? Is there a mathematical formula you're using?
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