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Jonesy Knows

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    Golf: PGA Tour 2010 - BMW Championship 8-12 Sep

    in Other Sports & Novelty Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Golf: PGA Tour 2010 - Crowne Plaza Invitational 27 May - 30 May Last round looks like it's going to be quite exciting here with a congested leaderboard. I'm going to have an outright win on: Brian Davis @5.50 Paddypower **** England's Davis has another chance here to record his 1st win on the PGA Tour and I think he can do it! He was so unlucky against Furyk in The Verizon a few of weeks ago when he called a penalty on himself in the play-off. It shows guts on his behalf to have something like that happen and then become competitive in another event soon afterwards. He has only had one bogey in 3 rounds here so far and that came in the first round. :hope

    BBOTD - Sunday May 30th

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: BBOTD - Sunday May 30th 4.05 Newmarket - Nota Bene EW BOG @26.00 Paddypower *** This horse has 3 wins from 5 visits to this track in a range of distances and ground. Elsworth it's trainer thinks quite a bit of this horse having entered it up in The Investec Dash at Epsom next month and The Wokingham at Ascot. It will have to put behind it a poor effort on it's seasonal debut, however with engagements like those mentioned his trainer believes a good showing today will vindicate his decision. :ok

    Best bet of the day - Sat 29th May

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Best bet of the day - Sat 29th May I'll take a bow myself too :notworthy Romps in at 6/1 :nana

    3.25 - Catterick - Hajoum BOG @6.50 Paddypower ***** This ex Saeed Bin Suroor horse I believe to be a lot better than a class 3 handicapper! It's now in the very capable hands of Mark Johnston who has had quite a mediocre season for his standards so far. However the signs are that the stable are about to turn the corner and I'm expecting it to explode with winners very soon. Hajoum had it's 1st ever run for Johnston earlier this month in a 5f sprint hcp at chepstow where it was run off it's feet from the offset, however it made headway in the final furlong to finish 5th. I think the horse will be a lot more competitive over this 7f today and judging by it's entries this is a stepping stone onto bigger and better things! :ok

    Best bet of the day - Sat 29th May

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Best bet of the day - Sat 29th May :notworthytake a bow, Fin son!!! awesome!

    Sorry to be so keen but most firms have priced this race up already.... 3.20 Newmarket This looks a mouthwatering contest and I think the trio to concentrate on are Bagamayo, Pastoral Player and SWILLY FERRY. The last two clashed over course and distance in April and Swilly Ferry was unlucky when meeting trouble in running. The last named then met Bagamayo over the same track and trip last time out when both were behind Jack My Boy, but this race is likely to be run much differently and I think there is a good chance Barry Hills' colt can reverse the form. 20/1 VC Bet, 1 pt win

    Best bet of the day - Sat 29th May

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Best bet of the day - Sat 29th May 3.25 - Catterick - Hajoum BOG @6.50 Paddypower ***** This ex Saeed Bin Suroor horse I believe to be a lot better than a class 3 handicapper! It's now in the very capable hands of Mark Johnston who has had quite a mediocre season for his standards so far. However the signs are that the stable are about to turn the corner and I'm expecting it to explode with winners very soon. Hajoum had it's 1st ever run for Johnston earlier this month in a 5f sprint hcp at chepstow where it was run off it's feet from the offset, however it made headway in the final furlong to finish 5th. I think the horse will be a lot more competitive over this 7f today and judging by it's entries this is a stepping stone onto bigger and better things! :ok

    Best bet of the day 28th May

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Best bet of the day 28th May ;)

    6.40 Haydock - The Last Alzao BOG @3.25 Paddypower ***** Lady riders event that has more clues to the riders in the field with only 4 of them having tasted success before! By far the most experienced lady rider is E J Jones, however she hasn't had a winner in 2010 in 7 attempts and has only ever ridden 1 winner before for Kelleway from 8 rides. Hawaana the horse has failed to win on the turf since it's 2 year old days back in 2007 on it's 2nd ever start over 7f! The next jockey to concentrate on is Richard Fahey's horse & daughter Vicky Fahey on The Last Alzao - she rode this horse last season to a win in a lady riders race at Beverley over this same distance and ground beating Gala Sunday by 2 1/4 lengths. In fact the only time the horse has taken part in a lady rider event. The horse has had one spin this season when a highly encouraging 2nd to Spirit is Needed over 1m 4f who has a big chance to win at Newmarket earlier in the afternoon. The next jockey to concentrate on his Miss H Cuthbert who has tasted success only 1 time before in 32 rides which was on the same horse she rides today Edas. That was in Oct 09 at Musselburgh on G/S over 1m 1f. The horse an 8 yr old has never come back from a break to win, today is it's seasonal debut after 212 days off. This will aso be the trainers 1st flat horse of the season. The last jockey to concentrate on is Miss Angela Barnes who has 2 wins from 18 rides. The last win was back in 2007 for this same trainer since then she's had 10 rides for the trainer without success! The horse Weetfromthechaff has never won a race before! My suggestion here is The Last Alzao who comes here after a highly encouraging seasonal debut. Is ridden by a jockey who has won on it before and from the all conquering Richard Fahey stable! :ok

    RP Live Reporter

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: RP Live Reporter 2.45 Newcastle 2:38pm Don't underestimate Clubber Urban Clubber catches the eye in the paddock and looks fit and well for his seasonal debut. He comes from the in-form Howard Johnson yard. Sposalizio and Widezain look well.

    RP Live Reporter

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: RP Live Reporter 2.20 Newmarket 2:14pm On the way to post wafiera looks a lovely filly with a nice action to post Pearl Haven was keen and looked like she might like some give underfoot. Al Sharood went nicely to post and Cape Dollar was another who gives the impression she has ability.

    RP Live Reporter

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: RP Live Reporter Newcastle 2.10 1:57pm Paddock Mysterious Bounty looks the part and is expected to get his act together much more effectively today after running green when a beaten favourite on his debut. His trainer Michael Dods has his horses in excellent form. Dark Dune (Tim Easterby) isanother who is fancied to step-up on his fourth-placed debut performance. Ahtoug looks fit and well. Of the newcomers, Tom Tate's pair, Downtown Boy and Eland Ally are likeable sorts.

    Best bet of the day 28th May

    in At The Races - Racing Forum

    Posted

    Re: Best bet of the day 28th May 6.40 Haydock - The Last Alzao BOG @3.25 Paddypower ***** Lady riders event that has more clues to the riders in the field with only 4 of them having tasted success before! By far the most experienced lady rider is E J Jones, however she hasn't had a winner in 2010 in 7 attempts and has only ever ridden 1 winner before for Kelleway from 8 rides. Hawaana the horse has failed to win on the turf since it's 2 year old days back in 2007 on it's 2nd ever start over 7f! The next jockey to concentrate on is Richard Fahey's horse & daughter Vicky Fahey on The Last Alzao - she rode this horse last season to a win in a lady riders race at Beverley over this same distance and ground beating Gala Sunday by 2 1/4 lengths. In fact the only time the horse has taken part in a lady rider event. The horse has had one spin this season when a highly encouraging 2nd to Spirit is Needed over 1m 4f who has a big chance to win at Newmarket earlier in the afternoon. The next jockey to concentrate on his Miss H Cuthbert who has tasted success only 1 time before in 32 rides which was on the same horse she rides today Edas. That was in Oct 09 at Musselburgh on G/S over 1m 1f. The horse an 8 yr old has never come back from a break to win, today is it's seasonal debut after 212 days off. This will aso be the trainers 1st flat horse of the season. The last jockey to concentrate on is Miss Angela Barnes who has 2 wins from 18 rides. The last win was back in 2007 for this same trainer since then she's had 10 rides for the trainer without success! The horse Weetfromthechaff has never won a race before! My suggestion here is The Last Alzao who comes here after a highly encouraging seasonal debut. Is ridden by a jockey who has won on it before and from the all conquering Richard Fahey stable! :ok

    Golf: PGA Tour 2010 - BMW Championship 8-12 Sep

    in Other Sports & Novelty Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Golf: PGA Tour 2010 - Crowne Plaza Invitational 27 May - 30 May Going to add a couple more 1st round leader bets purely because those going off earlier will have an advantage of less heat. In the afternoon here in Fort Worth Texas the temperature will be 90+ and with that sort of temperature comes the added risk of thunder storms so players could get caught up in some gusty winds making shot making more hazardous. The early morning tee times should see the temperature at a more managable 70 + thus giving a greater possibility of lower scoring. Steve Marino EW @51.00 Paddypower (1/4 odds - 1,2,3,4,5 places) I tipped up Marino on here last year for 1st round leader in an event and he obliged at 100/1 odds for me! (although there was a tie split 2 ways). Although I don't fancy him for the outright for this event he was a notoriously fast starter last year, however this year he's not recorded the same sort of 1st round scores. He's played here every year since 07 and has recorded 3 x 1st round scores sub 70 - 09 he hit 66 - 08 he hit 68, 07 he hit 69 for his 1st round scores. Marino also has the benefit of going out on an early tee time 7.41 am which should be much more manageable to achieve a lower score in the less hot and humid conditions that other players will experience in the late morning and afternoon. Kenny Perry EW @46.00 Bet 365 (1/4 odds - 1,2,3,4,5 places) Perry has been slow to get into his rhythm this year, however last weekend in The Byron Nelson he improved significantly enough to finish 16th. Last year here he hit a 64 for his 1st round and he was also a notoriously fast starter last year as proven when he lead from start to finish in The Travelers recording a 61 for his 1st round score there. He importantly also goes off on an early morning tee time at 8.04 am. :hope

    Golf: PGA Tour 2010 - BMW Championship 8-12 Sep

    in Other Sports & Novelty Predictions

    Posted

    Re: Golf: PGA Tour 2010 - Crowne Plaza Invitational 27 May - 30 May Experience is the key to this week's Crowne Plaza Invitational. In 60 years of this tournament there has only ever been 8 first time winners and since 1996 all the winners have won an average of 10 PGA Tour events. Accuracy in driving is also an important stat along with scrambling - because of the firmness of the greens, balls tend to roll off the back and sides. So scramblers always do well at Colonial.

    How the winners have scrambled in past seven years:
    Year Player Scrambling stat/rank
    2009 Steve Stricker 12 of 16 (75.00%) ranked T14th
    2008 Phil Mickelson 14 of 20 (70.00%) ranked T16th
    2007 Rory Sabbatini 19 of 24 (79.17%) ranked 3rd
    2006 Tim Herron 15 of 22 (68.2%) ranked T26th
    2005 Kenny Perry 14 of 16 (87.5%) ranked 1st
    2004 Steve Flesch 20 of 26 (76.9%) ranked T2nd
    2003 Kenny Perry 7 of 9 (77.8%) ranked 6th
    2002 Nick Price 20 of 28 (71.4%) ranked T9th
    2001 Sergio Garcia 212 of 17 (70.6%) ranked 10th
    Predictions: EW 1/4 odds - 1,2,3,4,5 places Phil Mickelson EW Outright - @9.00 Paddypower EW 1st Round Leader - @15.00 Paddypower It's only a matter of time when Phil Mickleson ovetakes Tiger Woods for the No1 spot in The World Rankings. If he wins here then he becomes No1. Phil has a good record here winning it in 08 & 00, 2nd in 01, 5th in 94, 11th in 99 and 13th in 03. Mickelson also has a very good key stat for here being 13th in scrambling. Jim Furyk EW Outright - @17.00 Paddypower EW 1st Round Leader - 23.00 Paddypower Furyk is on a crest of a wave this season having been in Golfing mediocrity for several years, after winning 2 events already this season. His key stats are very good for the season being 5th in scrambling and 7th in driving accuracy. Furyk has also a decent record here having finished 2nd in 07 & 98, 5th in 03, 8th in 00 & 97 and 9th last year. Sean O'Hair EW Outright - @41.00 Totesport EW 1st Round Leader - 46.00 Skybet O'Hair has only played here twice before - last year when he finished 18th and in 08 when he finished 26th. He also has a good key stat for scrambling being ranked currently at 23rd. O'Hair's season has been steady so far with a 4th at The Mercedes and a 12th at last weekends Byron Nelson. Brian Gay EW Outright - @46.00 William Hill 1st Round Leader - @46.00 William Hill I've picked out Brian Gay here because his key stats are: 2nd in driving accuracy and 8th in scrambling. He's played well here before coming 2nd in 01, 10th in 08, 12th in 06 & 14th in 04. Gay advertised the fact he's coming here in decent form after a 2nd place finish last weekend in The Byron Nelson. Pat Perez EW Outright - @81.00 Totesport 1st Round Leader - @71.00 Skybet Perez has also played well here before although he never competed last year he finished 6th in 08 & 4th in 07. He is another who has a decent key stat for scrambling being ranked at 26th. His form could be better however it is positive he comes here having not missed the cut in his last 2 outings. Charlie Wi EW Outright - @126.00 Totesport 1st Round Leader - 126.00 Skybet Wi is another who has played well here before - in only 2times that has played this tourny he finished 13th last year & 15th in 08. He also has a good key stat for scrambling, being ranked 11th. :hope
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