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CiderHead

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  1. Re: England vs New Zealand - ODI Series The last ODI takes place tomorrow at Trent Bridge with England hoping to put in a better performance to set them up for the champions trophy. With Broad and Finn both possibilities to play the bowling attack could be much stronger. Games at Trent Bridge in the 40 over domestic game have been fairly high scoring and I expect the same to happen again tomorrow. The matches in the ODI series have been high scoring and in particular the last one with bowlers really struggling to exert any kind of controNew Zealand have demonstrated their ability with the bat and ball so far in the series and have plenty of players capable of finding the boundary and clearing the ropes. The England top order have been getting out far too early in the game to allow the likes of Morgan and Buttler to come in and play their natural aggressive games towards the end of the innings. I don't see this pattern changing with England likely to keep the same batting side and order. Over 48.5 Boundaries 1.83 Over 6.5 Sixes 1.83 New Zealand Most sixes 1.83 All with WilliamHill

  2. Re: England vs New Zealand - ODI Series Good couple of calls in that one Kev Awful England performance though, Dernbach and Bresnan are not England quality. Would like to see Trott open the batting if he's going to be in the side and encourage the others to be more aggressive in their approach. New Zealand will start as outsiders again in the last ODI and depending on the price and England selection could be well worth a bet

  3. Re: England vs New Zealand - ODI Series Cheers Kev, let's hope for a better performance from England today Couple for me today Over 5.5 sixes 1.83 WilliamHill The outfield at Lords was still slow and England struggled to have anyone stay in and build on the scores they started with. This time around they will be desperate to put in a better performance this time round. Both sides have plenty of players capable of hitting sixes and Guptil hit four by himself in the last ODI. Over 45.5 Boundaries 1.83 WilliamHill At Lord's there was 46 boundaries hit on an outfield that was quite slow and in a match which was fairly low scoring. The YB40 matches at the Rose Bowl this year have seen high scores posted and I can see this being repeated here. Both sides have players capable of finding the boundary and I expect this line to be covered quite comfortably Jos Buttler 36 & Over Performance Points Bet365 1.83 I took this bet in the first match at a lower threshold and Buttler managed to make the mark. That was in a game which wasn't set up for him to come in and play his natural game as others got out far too early and he couldn't afford to expose the lower order to early. If Buttler can come in towards the end of the innings he will look to score runs quickly. I'd fancy him to take a catch or two in the innings which will take the pressure off for the number of runs he needs to make to cover the line

  4. Re: England vs New Zealand - ODI Series Taken two bets involving Butler today. With him being the wicketkeeper I can see him having a good impact on the game taking plenty of catches. He can be devastating with the bat aswell and will be looking to cement his place in the side for the champions trophy. Butler 30 and over player performance points at 1.83 Bet365 & a small bet on Butler MOTM at 17.00 WilliamHill

  5. Re: England vs New Zealand - ODI Series Cook over 28.5 runs at 1.83 Ladbrokes - Cook was in good form in the two test matches just played, especially with the second innings knock of 130 odd. I fancy him to keep his run going and should easily make this line against a weakened bowling line up without the impressive Boult.

  6. Re: Championship > 26th Feb - 2nd March

    Blackpool vs Bristol City Paul Ince's side host 23rd Bristol City here and I think that goals are not guarenteed as many will think they are. Gone are the free-scoring days of Blackpool under Holloway as they have now developed a little more of a stricter approach firstly under Michael Appleton and now Paul Ince. They drew 0-0 at home to Leicester last time out with their last 3 games going under 2.5 goals. As for Bristol City they have lost their last 6 on their travels and have only scored a skinny 16 goals on the road this season which is the 2nd worst. Under 2.5 Goals - Evens William Hill
    As a Bristol City fan I feel I should add a little more to this. We have only scored three in our last six away games and two of those have been own goals scored in the last minute of the game. Away from home under O'Driscoll we just don't look like creating anything never mind scoring, we are however slightly harder to break down at the moment so I can't see us taking a battering.
  7. Re: Man UTD v Wigan > September 15th I see Man United coming out to attack Wigan from the off. Sir Alex will want the game wrapped up in the first half so he can rest players with the champions league in mind in midweek. There are slight doubts over Van Persie and Kagawa but I have faith in the other creative options they have in Hernandez, Valencia and Scholes. They should have enough about them to beat Wigan who have looked slightly vulnerable defensively this season. Man United lead at half time in 24 of there 38 games last season and went on to win 23 of these games. Man United HT/FT 1.73 BetVictor

  8. Re: Stoke v Man City > September 15th

    Asian Corner Match Bet: Man City -1.5 @ 1.80 Bet365 (10 points) I know corners can be a minefield betting wise but I strongly fancy this one. In Stoke's 3 league games so far they have accumulated a grand total of 4 corners. They had 1 corner in the last match against Wigan whilst in their last home match they got 0 corners against Arsenals 11. Last season Stoke were utilising the long throw regularly with Shotton or Delap. We didn't score often from it but it did create panick and could keep the pressure on. Without it this season, Pulis is attempting to try and keep possession more and whilst we are still direct, we are not quite as quick to hit the long diagonal ball and as such we are evidently gaining less corners. You would expect Man City to be the team doing the majority of pressing in this match anyway. Stoke will no doubt put up a defensive performance and be hard to break down. But I expect Man City to have plenty of posession and in turn they should be doing more of the attacking which could potentially result in corners. You can never fully predict how matches will turn out but on paper this looks like a pearler of a bet.
    Just a bit more to add to this. Stoke won 7 of there corner match bets last season and averaged 5.5 corners. Man City won 12 of there corner match bets last season averaging 6.1 corners. Man City will try to create space and play a tight passing game through the middle of the pitch which will require plenty of last ditch tackles and blocks from Stoke. Man City -1.5 Corners 1.80 Bet365
  9. Re: Norwich V West Ham > September 15th This is a game that IMO could go either way. Last season West Ham were very good away from home winning 13 times the most in the division. They have plenty of attacking options in Cole, Maiga, Vaz Te and Nolan. They are good on the counter attack using the pace they have in wide areas and direct style that Allardyce employs. Norwich don't convince me defensively this season and weren't particularly good last season conceding 30 goals. Last season 68.4% of Norwichs home games both teams scored in BTTS 1.67 Bet365

  10. Re: Stoke v Man City > September 15th I can see this game being a tight affair with Stoke making it difficult for Man City to get any tempo into their game. Man City have struggled at Stoke in the past and I can't see it being any different for them this time. As has been pointed out Man City score most of there goals in the second half with 67.7% scored in the second half. On that basis I'll take Highest Scoring Half 2nd Half: 2.10 WillamHill

  11. Re: Swansea v Sunderland > 1st September

    ]I can't help but be wary of this game' date=' the main reason I am always worried about form, Swansea's run has to come to an end eventually, for the exact same reason i am wary of backing Blackpool this weekend. Yes, yes i know we're only two games into the season, but Swansea have attracted a lot of attention following the start of the season they have had.[/b'] Following on from Rodger's departure in the summer people were questioning whether Laudrup and his management style could cut it in the prem, admittedly so far they have. Know they have shown their 5-0 thrashing of QPR on the opening day wasn't luck, lets see how they fare against Martin O'Neill and Sunderland. But what better, (or perhaps worse in swansea's case), test to come against than one in the form of Sunderland, led Martin O'Neill, a man renowned for his man management his well put together squads rigidly assembled to be hard to beat. With a newly trumped set of forwards including Fletcher, Johnson, Sessegnon, McClean, they will pose a threat. They aren't going to let themselves be overrun by Swansea, yet they will know they cannot match their passing. I think it could be a game similar to that of Sunderland v Man City last season at stadium of Light. For that reason i would go with a double chance bet. Sunderland or Draw 8/13 (PaddyPower) Under 2.5 goals @ 1.83 (Betfair)
    Taking a bet because something "has to come to an end" is a sure fire way to loose money as I found out. If say a side lost four games in a row they aren't any more likely to pick up a result in the next game than they were in the previous ones. Man City last season won 18 home games if you opposed them after say two or three games you would of lost a lot of money backing against them.
  12. Re: Swansea v Sunderland > 1st September I have spent most of the week trying to think of a reason not to take Swansea in this and I can't find one. It seems an obvious bet like Jase has said but I can't go against them. Swansea have been impressive in their first two games winning them both scoring eight goals in the process and keeping two clean sheets. Michu in particular has proved to be a fantastic signing filling the whole left by Sigurdsson, scoring three goals already. Sunderland have only played one league game drawing 0-0 away at Arsenal were they were dominated and only came away with a point due to Arsenals poor finishing. They have since strengthened bringing in Fletcher and Johnson who will provide creativity going forward. With Saha and Fletcher in the squad Sunderlands striking options have improved but Swansea have coped well with Cisse, Cole and Maiga so far this season who are a similair quality to Sunderlands strike force. Swansea will dominate possession with Sunderland sitting back and looking to hit them on the counter attack using the pace of Johnson, Sessegnon and McClean. Swansea 2.2 BetVictor

  13. Re: Wigan v Stoke > 1st September Wigan have picked up were they left off at the end of last season minus the first 10 minutes of the Chelsea game where Ramis lost the plot and cost them the game. After that initial bad start I felt they played quite well against Chelsea and created more chances than Chelsea. They impressed me again against Southampton when they were under pressure and still game out of the game with a 2-0 victory away from home. Stoke have started quite poorly this season which is why pulis is looking to bring in re inforcements. Apart from a mistake from Federci in the first match against Reading they didn't really create a lot. The same was the case against Arsenal at home were they barely threatened the Arsenal goal. The lack of creativity in the centre of the pitch is a concern which is something that they need to address. Last season Stoke averaged just 39% possession in away matches and playing against a Wigan side who look to dominate possession will see them struggle to retain the ball. In the four matches that these two sides have played at Wigan in the premiership three have finished in draws and the most recent finishing 2-0 to Wigan. With Stokes awful away record last season which saw them pick up just four wins and score 11 goals this will be a difficult game. I can't see Wigan loosing this game so I'm happy to take a punt on them at their current price. Wigan 2.25 WilliamHill

  14. Re: Southampton v Wigan > Sat 25 August

    Southampton gave a good performance in their opening fixture away at Manchester City with several good performances from Lambert, S Davis and Ward-Prowse in particular. They created some good chances in the match and took two of them very well. Nigel Adkins made a bold selection by failing to include Lambert in particular. I would expect Lambert and Steven Davis to come into the side at the weekend giving them extra potency especially going forward. I would expect Southampton go play a 4-4-2 formation with allows Lallana to be more involved, which will be crucial in providing goals. He scored eleven goals last season and created a further thirteen. Wigan defensively and in particular Ramis was shocking and failed to cope with the Chelsea attack. Offensively they have strengthened with the signing of Kone who will be more of a goal threat than Di Santo. Moses looks to be on his way with a bid being accepted by Wigan from Chelsea, so this does make them less potent upfront. Last season 74% of Wigans away games went over 2.5 goals. 56.5% of Southamptons home games went over 2.5 last season. Over 2.5 at 2 Ladbrokes
    Southampton took there chances last week and failed to do so this week which cost them
  15. Re: Man United v Fulham > Sat 25 August

    Fulham played well against a poor Norwich side last weekend. They are normally very strong at home and shocking away from home. They won just four times away from home last season, they don't concede many goals though, conceding just 25 away goals last season. After Man Uniteds defeat at Everton they will be determined to win this game and do it well to show there intentions for the season. I would expect Van Persie to start this match and he looked to link up quite well with Kagawa in the short time he was on the pitch. Last season Man United lead at half time in 24 of there games last season and went on to win 23 of these games. Man United/Man United Double Result 1.75 WilliamHill
    Take a win out of this. Fulham and particularly Dembele were impressive in this one
  16. Re: Aston Villa v Everton > Sat 25 August

    Everton were fantastic against Man United and thoroughly deserved the win but I think people are getting a bit carried away. They are normally slow starters in the league and one win won't change this. There record at Villa is awful only winning once since 1986 and I can't see that changing here. Villa weren't too bad against West Ham, they had more shots on and off target than West Ham. I think Lambert is a very good manager and has bought some astute signings to make up for the poor signings made under previous managers. In the last five meetings at Villa Park three of the games have finished up as draws; 1-1, 2-2, 3-3. The games between the sides tend to produce goals, the last 0-0 draw was in 2003. The best bet I feel is on the draw and therfore the most likely scorelines being 1-1 or 2-2, so I'll put small stakes on both of these. Draw 1-1 at 6.5 WilliamHill Draw 2-2 at 17 WilliamHill
    Everton fully deserved the win
  17. Re: Swansea v West Ham > Sat 25 August

    I would expect this to be a tight match, Swansea are very difficult to beat at home and last season West Ham had a brilliant away record losing just four times. Swansea as they always do will look to monopolise possession and last week they looked more potent going forward than they did under Brendan Rodgers. West Ham will look to hit Swansea on the counter attack exploiting the holes Swansea leave at the back. Last season Swansea collected the lowest number of yellow cards (40). West Ham have a very physical prescence and I can see them trying to get amongst Swansea like a typical Allardyce side. West Ham Most Booking Points 1.75 WilliamHill
    Won this comfortably. Swansea look like they will have another good season
  18. Re: Swansea v West Ham > Sat 25 August I would expect this to be a tight match, Swansea are very difficult to beat at home and last season West Ham had a brilliant away record losing just four times. Swansea as they always do will look to monopolise possession and last week they looked more potent going forward than they did under Brendan Rodgers. West Ham will look to hit Swansea on the counter attack exploiting the holes Swansea leave at the back. Last season Swansea collected the lowest number of yellow cards (40). West Ham have a very physical prescence and I can see them trying to get amongst Swansea like a typical Allardyce side. West Ham Most Booking Points 1.75 WilliamHill

  19. Re: Southampton v Wigan > Sat 25 August Southampton gave a good performance in their opening fixture away at Manchester City with several good performances from Lambert, S Davis and Ward-Prowse in particular. They created some good chances in the match and took two of them very well. Nigel Adkins made a bold selection by failing to include Lambert in particular. I would expect Lambert and Steven Davis to come into the side at the weekend giving them extra potency especially going forward. I would expect Southampton go play a 4-4-2 formation with allows Lallana to be more involved, which will be crucial in providing goals. He scored eleven goals last season and created a further thirteen. Wigan defensively and in particular Ramis was shocking and failed to cope with the Chelsea attack. Offensively they have strengthened with the signing of Kone who will be more of a goal threat than Di Santo. Moses looks to be on his way with a bid being accepted by Wigan from Chelsea, so this does make them less potent upfront. Last season 74% of Wigans away games went over 2.5 goals. 56.5% of Southamptons home games went over 2.5 last season. Over 2.5 at 2 Ladbrokes

  20. Re: Man United v Fulham > Sat 25 August Fulham played well against a poor Norwich side last weekend. They are normally very strong at home and shocking away from home. They won just four times away from home last season, they don't concede many goals though, conceding just 25 away goals last season. After Man Uniteds defeat at Everton they will be determined to win this game and do it well to show there intentions for the season. I would expect Van Persie to start this match and he looked to link up quite well with Kagawa in the short time he was on the pitch. Last season Man United lead at half time in 24 of there games last season and went on to win 23 of these games. Man United/Man United Double Result 1.75 WilliamHill

  21. Re: Aston Villa v Everton > Sat 25 August Everton were fantastic against Man United and thoroughly deserved the win but I think people are getting a bit carried away. They are normally slow starters in the league and one win won't change this. There record at Villa is awful only winning once since 1986 and I can't see that changing here. Villa weren't too bad against West Ham, they had more shots on and off target than West Ham. I think Lambert is a very good manager and has bought some astute signings to make up for the poor signings made under previous managers. In the last five meetings at Villa Park three of the games have finished up as draws; 1-1, 2-2, 3-3. The games between the sides tend to produce goals, the last 0-0 draw was in 2003. The best bet I feel is on the draw and therfore the most likely scorelines being 1-1 or 2-2, so I'll put small stakes on both of these. Draw 1-1 at 6.5 WilliamHill Draw 2-2 at 17 WilliamHill

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