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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

saamk

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Posts posted by saamk

  1. Re: Saamk's Martingale $32.00 to ???

    What I meant is that if you lose 5 times in a row you won't have enough money to make the 6th ($32) bet. 1+2+4+8+16 = $31 so for the 6th bet you remain with 1$.
    Ok got it, thanks for correcting me once again.

    Are you going for evens or over then as that would be needed each time for recovery bets good luck but will be hard

    Sorry I didn't understand the question, are you asking if i will be betting on odds of only 2.00 or higher too. I know it will be very hard and that it is very hard make a profit on the long term using martingale(the pl forum is filled with failed martingales) and that is why my limit is of 32 and not higher. i just want to see how long i can go before going broke.
  2. Re: Saamk's Martingale $32.00 to ???

    Actually martingale goes : 1 > 2 > 4 > 8 (not 6) > 16 > 32 and you only have money to place the 5th ($16) bet. In any case if you choose your games wisely hope you never have to go that far :) GL
    Oops:$! My bad, thanks for correcting me. What do you mean when you say

    you only have money to place the 5th ($16) bet.

    I thought that martingale did not have a limited # of times you can bets you can place Bet #1 won Bet #2: http://i.imgur.com/rddai.png
  3. Re: Home favorites system 5 bets for this weekend all of them with pretty low odds. Im not including fenerbahce, panathinaikos and psv because they are all playing teams just bellow them in their leagues [TABLE=width: 500]

    [TR] [TD]Home T[/TD] [TD]Away T[/TD] [TD]Bet[/TD] [TD]Stake[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [TD]W/L[/TD] [TD]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Benfica[/TD] [TD]Beira-Mar[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.14[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Dortmund[/TD] [TD]Werder Bremen[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.33[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]D Coruna[/TD] [TD]Alcoyano[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.33[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Real Madrid[/TD] [TD]Malaga[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.16[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]AZ[/TD] [TD]NAC[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.20[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
  4. Re: Home favorites system

    I know the system is base on pure stat. at home but checking opposition form can give one edge some time... e.g Benfica vs Porto Olympiakos odd is too short to risk against inform Aris Salonika that yet to loose a match since late January.....
    You are right checking oppositions form and stats can help a lot, of the teams that have lost so far 3/4 have lost against teams that are considered strong in their leagues. Personally i didn't see Aris as a strong opponent against Olympiakos because although they didn't loose since late January Olympiakos have been in a great form winning their last 5 games.
  5. Re: Home favorites system

    [TABLE=width: 500] [TR] [TD]Home T[/TD] [TD]Away T[/TD] [TD]Bet[/TD] [TD]Stake[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [TD]W/L[/TD] [TD]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Greuther Furth[/TD] [TD]Aachen[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.4[/TD] [TD]W[/TD] [TD]4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Braga[/TD] [TD]Uniao Leiria[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.22[/TD] [TD]W[/TD] [TD]2.22[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Porto[/TD] [TD]Academica[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.14[/TD] [TD]L[/TD] [TD]-10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bayern Munich[/TD] [TD]Hoffenheim[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.25[/TD] [TD]W[/TD] [TD]2.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Olympiakos[/TD] [TD]Aris Salonika[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.25[/TD] [TD]W[/TD] [TD]2.50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Montpellier[/TD] [TD]Caen[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.50[/TD] [TD]W[/TD] [TD]5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Montpellier FC Porto[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Double[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.71[/TD] [TD]L[/TD] [TD]-10[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Greuther Furth Braga[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Double[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.71[/TD] [TD]W[/TD] [TD]7.71[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bayern Munich Olympiakos[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Double[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.56[/TD] [TD]W[/TD] [TD]5.60[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
    Not a good weekend, won 7/9 bets and made only 8.42 units in profit Starting bank:100 Current bank:137.79 Total staked:320 Number of bets:30 Winning bets:24 Losing bets:6 Strike rate:80% Yield:11.80% Profit (or Loss):+37.79
  6. Re: Home favorites system Decided to make it a table, i apologize for not including in the the date, the reason im not including it because there are doubles and triples on the system and they sometimes are at different times. Here are this weekends selections [TABLE=width: 500]

    [TR] [TD]Home T[/TD] [TD]Away T[/TD] [TD]Bet[/TD] [TD]Stake[/TD] [TD]Odds[/TD] [TD]W/L[/TD] [TD]Profit[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Greuther Furth[/TD] [TD]Aachen[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.4[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Braga[/TD] [TD]Uniao Leiria[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.22[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Porto[/TD] [TD]Academica[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.14[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bayern Munich[/TD] [TD]Hoffenheim[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.25[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Olympiakos[/TD] [TD]Aris Salonika[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.25[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Montpellier[/TD] [TD]Caen[/TD] [TD]H[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.50[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Montpellier FC Porto[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Double[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.71[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Greuther Furth Braga[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Double[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.71[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Bayern Munich Olympiakos[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Double[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]1.56[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
  7. Re: Home favorites system

    On pick for friday: -Deportivo Coruna @1.61 12 units Benefica is playing too but against porto so...

    Deportivo won:clap And it was a good idea to not bet for benficia, they lost 2-3 Saturdays picks: -Fenerbahce @1.53 12 units -Man City @1.12 12 units -Trixie: Man City, Fenerbahce, Barca @1.86 Sunday's: -Real Madrid @1.13 12 units - [email protected] 12 units -Panathinaikos @1.70 12 units -Treble: Real Madrid, Anderlecht, Panathinaikos @2.45 12 units
  8. Re: Home favorites system Late update for mondays bets: Braga won and reims let us down, maybe it wasn't such a good idea to put them on a double with their odds at @2.15. On pick for friday: -Deportivo Coruna @1.61 12 units Benefica is playing too but against porto so...

  9. Re: Home favorites system Apparently i choose the wrong sporting(Sproting CP) this weekend, so i apologize for it. The Sporting that is part of this system is playing on monday. Here are Monday's selections: -Sporting Braga @1.66 12 units -Double: Sporting Braga & Reims @3.58 12 units

  10. Re: Home favorites system Here are this weekends selections: -Man City vs Blackburn @1.16 10 units -Celtic vs Motherwell @1.33 10 units -Duble: Man City & Celtic @1.55 10 Units -AZ vs Heerenveen @1.61 10 units -PSV vs Feyenoord @1.40 10 units -Sporting CP vs Rio Ave @1.44 10 units -Porto vs Feirense @1.12 10 units -Double: Porto & AZ @1.80 10 units -Double: Sporting & PSV @2.02 10 units -Triple: Sporting & PSV & Porto @2.27 10 units[TABLE=width: 199]

    [/TABLE]
  11. Re: Home favorites system

    Hi Sophocles, as i had said before I don't mind you posting here, i just had stopped posting because you and me had almost the same picks so i didnt see the point of posting.... On the theme of Dortmund and Zwolle, the original original thread said teams with perfect record which in our case would be only Man City, Panathinaikos and Beneficia so instead of going with teams with only perfect record i decided to go for teams with almost perfect records too, and decided that teams with 80% or more wins in home games would be considered for this system. But I think i should increase the bar to 85% which would decrease the the # of the eligible teams from 20 to 13, which would hopefully increase the yield and strike rate.

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