chambta
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Posts posted by chambta
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Re: Stoke v Manchester United - £50 Free "In Play" Bet - Existing Customers too! It can't be hurting them too much. I've not lost my initial bet yet since they started doing this a couple of years back and have probably won 50% of the in-play bets at modest-ish odds. Fair play to them - keep it up!
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Re: Conference 26th December and 28th December It's still a mystery fella!
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Re: Conference 26th December and 28th December Looking through the entire Boxing Day coupon in all divisions I cannot fathom why Macclesfield are the odds they are at home to Grimsby. I know Grimsby are the bigger club but other than that can someone shed any light on the pricing?
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Re: Leicester City v Tottenham Hotspur > Friday December 26th Leicester have lost more than half their league games, many against worse sides than Spurs. Basic analysis of the league table.
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Re: Leicester City v Tottenham Hotspur > Friday December 26th Spurs look good value at odds against to me.
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Re: Serie B Eurobet > Wednesday December 24th Having a dabble on this division as there's not a lot else happening today. The amount of draws don't give too much confidence in predicting the outright winners of games, so all four legs of my yankee are handicaps. Frosinone 0.0 @ 1.575 Carpi @ 8/15 (dnb) Catania 0.0 @ 1.900 Vicenza 0.0,+0.5 @ 1.800 Nothing scientific in who I've chosen - just looked at the league table and recent form and taken what I perceive as value. We'll see!
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Re: Sky Bet League 2 > December 19th & 20th I'm struggling to understand why bookies consistently price up Luton as they do at home. Huge value to me.
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Re: Sky Bet Championship > December 19th & 20th Can't see much value about Millwall tomorrow night. Bolton seem to me to be on more of an upward curve (I know Millwall won at Brighton last week but Brighton are in chronic form) and I'm happy to take then with a goal handicap tomorrow night. Bolton +0.5, 4/5 @ BetVictor
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Re: Sky Bet League 1 > November 25th - 29th As a Chesterfield fan I've backed the opposition three times at similar prices draw no bet (Crewe away and Sheffield United/Barnsley at home) and twice I've lost my cash. Delighted to do so again at tempting odds (2/1 draw no bet).
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Re: Sky Bet Championship > September 13th & 14th Birmingham at 6/5 does not scream value to me. I can see a few goals and of course Birmingham may win but the price does not appeal.
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Re: Johnstones Paint Trophy Final > Sunday March 30th I think we (Chesterfield) are good value at the prices above!
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Re: England > Johnstones Paint Trophy > Tuesday 10th December I'm happy to back against my own side tonight. We (Chesterfield) may be 2nd in the league but the manager's starting to scratch his head at a few issues and injuries tonight mean a threadbare squad at Oldham. They're in the league above, not a bad side, and will want revenge for us beating them to get to Wembley two years ago in the same competition. Oldham to win @ 11/10 with various bookies.
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Re: Yorkshire Bank 40 2013 I'm a Derbyshire fan and expect us to lose today. We threw ourselves into the 4 day game last year and it paid off. Not sure we'll have too much confidence today.
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Re: League 1 > 1 April I was staggered to see the price on Doncaster. Has to be value, especially if taken on the asian handicap.
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Re: FA Cup > 1st & 13th April Both sides to score and Man Utd to get through for me. Benitez seems to have lost the plot at Stamford Bridge (that's if he even had it there) and after a defeat at Southampton are hardly in form - even allowing for rotation of the squad. I can see United winning 2/3-1.
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Re: Aston Villa v Manchester City > Mon 4th March Difficult to trust Manchester City at that price. I was expecting them to be closer to 1.75 and even then I'd be in two minds. Villa haven't looked too bad recently and they're more than capable of a goal or two. With that in mind I'll be tempted to back BTTS or go over 2.5 goals in the game.
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Re: Arsenal v Aston Villa > Sat 23rd February I think it's one I'll leave alone. Arsenal should win but I see no value at all.
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Re: Weekend > League 1 > 6-7 April
As a Chesterfield fan I completely agree. You can't get evens now but anything close is a huge price - rumours are that he will give several (poor) fringe players a game with a view to next season. Walsall -1 AH is 6/4 at Bet365 which as well as the straight Walsall win offers value.Early suggestion from me is to take Wallsall at 2.00 with Betfred. They have been a completely different side since the arrival of Emmanuel Ledesma who adds even more creativity to their midfield alongside Florent Cuvelier. The two are a great pairing who are creating numerous chances everygame for them and they have seen an upturn of results and are starting to score goals. They picked up 5 points in 3 games against teams in the top 8. Chesterfield look doomed for a return to league 2 football next season. 2 consecutive 4-1 defeats has near enough put them on the brink 10 points behind 20th place Walsall who just sit above the dotted line. They have not picked up a victory in a month losing 3 consecutive games on the bounce. -
Re: Weekend > League 1 > 10 March Stevenage v Chesterfield Chesterfield are much improved recently but with David Davis being recalled by Wolves and no replacement yet we're left very lightweight in central midfield. Stevenage looked a very strong outfit v Spurs midweek and whilst I'd be delighted to see anything else I can see little else other than a home win. We are reliant on the clever but ageing (and hardly scoring at the moment, frankly) Jack Lester and the naive Jordan Bowery. With that forward line it may be enough to sneak 1-0 home wins but I cannot see it troubling Stevenage. On that basis I'm going for.. Stevenage to win to nil @ 7/4 with several bookmakers. Correct score Stevenage 2-0 @ 7/1 with William Hill
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Re: Midweek > League 1 > Feb 28/29 Chesterfield are my team and I'm tentatively backing us tonight. We've won the last two home games 1-0 against higher placed sides (Bournemouth & Sheffield Wednesday) which suggests our defensive issues at home are easing. Charlton possess an outstanding season record BUT have slipped up against sides seemingly 'there for the taking' though admittedly twice this was at home. With this in mind I'm considering the following.. Chesterfield +0.5 @ 5/6 (VC) and a small speculative bet on Chesterfield 1-0 @ 11/1 (VC)
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Re: Weekend > League 1 > 25/26 Feb
Not looked at the last ten results? Not 'are', more a 'were'. I'm mightily tempted to go the other way but will probably leave alone.My team Notts County look good to me' date=' which is unusual! Close to evens and at home to [u']Chesterfield who are truly woeful.Notts won under the new manager(Curle)the other night against a decent Stevenage team and have now won 3 from 4 and have only lost 2 at home all season one of which was to Charlton. -
Re: Chelsea v Bolton > Sat 25th Feb A 'leave alone' for me. Chelsea cannot be trusted at the moment but Bolton can be awful too.
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Re: Liverpool v Spurs > Mon 6th feb Liverpool are too short surely? Failed to win 7/11 home league games, regardless of the fact they are unbeaten. Spurs +0.5 on the A/H has to be the call.
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Re: Weekend > League 1 > 27/28 January
Clarke's left. Westcarr will play wide and Mendy's been dropped due to poor form. I'm a Chesterfield fan and usually leave us alone but fancy us to get something tomorrow. True, we're bottom but things have taken a small turn for the better recently (1 defeat in 6, cup included). We won 3-0 at Bournemouth earlier in the season and can climb off the bottom for the first time in months if things go well. Chesterfield +0.5 @Bet365 is 7/10any thoughs on Chesterfield v AFC Bournemouth ? id say BTTS or 2DNB. Bournemouth is getting very well by few weeks (months?) and getting more points in away games (23 vs 17 at home). Chesterfield is awaful last, but can score (32 goals in 27 matches). Last time not expected win in Colchester 2:1. Chesterfield not scored with Exeter, Sheffield U, Huddersfield, Colchester (first meeting), Leyton (one and only 0:0), Tranmere and Preston. that's 7 of 27 matches. Well, that's more than 70% chances that they score at home. only strikers are scoring: Clarke, Westcarr, Bowery. Noel Mendy is playing but not scoring (1 goal). Bournemouth begun their streak at Leyton Orient (13.09) with 3:1 win. From that time they lost only 3 times, but tied 7 times, only once 0:0. Only twice they not scored away (Tranmere + Charlton). Summaring is 6 times that they not scored in 27 matches! Thats even bigger chance to score away. Good form of Wesley Thomas (10 goals). Don't know about any injuries or excludings.
Premier League > Dec 28th - 30th
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Crystal Palace have to be value at odds against. I know Swansea stumbled to three points on Boxing Day but I expect the home side to have too much.
Manchester City well under odds on at Leicester seems like a definite lay at this point.
The biggest question is how to play the Bet365 offer on a game I'd be leaving well alone otherwise.