chala
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Posts posted by chala
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Re: Fri: 2.40 Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle
Good stuff mate - Thanks:cheers2.40 Cheltenham - 2pts win Brindisi Breeze @ 10/1 (Hills) The winners of this race tend to have run at Cheltenham before, and have already run over 3 miles in their hurdling career. Lucinda Russell's animal hasn't done the former, but has proved his stamina in no uncertain terms. His victories have led to people query whether he needs deep ground, but I'll take a chance that he doesn't, as he's been very impressive when wiping the floor with some smart animals. The favourite of this does have a nice profile, but he's yet to race this far - despite shaping like a stayer. I think Brindisi Breeze will be hard to peg back, even if he's unlikely to get a soft lead, as he's a strong stayer with plenty of class. His last run at Haydock was very good. He won by an eased-down 12l from some very good novices. The 2nd, 3rd, and 4th were all previously unbeaten over obstacles, and the 5th franked the form in no uncertain terms next time. I think he's a bit overpriced purely for the stable he represents, because you can't fault what he's done so far over hurdles. He will get home okay as long as he doesn't go crazy, and looks sure to run pretty well. He may prefer softer conditions, but I can't see it being the be all and end all. -
Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 10-12 September
Agree with this Western Skies. Yes Liverpool have undoubtably improved under Dalgleish, but it's far too early to be backing them at short prices away from home. Stoke are pretty formidable at home and in Palacios and Crouch they've made another 2 solid signings that will fit into their style of play perfectly. Woodgate and Upson (provided they both can stay fit) will provide an even more robust defence than they've had in the last few seasons. I actually fancy Stoke to have a good chance of taking all 3 points, so think I'll back them on the 0 AH at 2.68 (betfair) for 10 points. Use the standard win market to get these odds, as the liquidity is better: stake 7.06 points - Stoke @ 3.8 stake 2.94 points - Draw @ 3.4Only one Premier League game interests me today, Stoke v Liverpool - LAY Liverpool @ 2.28 with Betfair Liverpool are just too short here. Stoke reminded everyone how stubborn they can be at the Britannia when they ground out a 0-0 draw with Chelsea on the opening day. To be fair, The Potters more than held their own in the 1st half, causing the Chelsea defence problems with an aerial bombardment into the box, before finding themselves pinned back and defending resolutely in the 2nd half. They lost just 5 games at home last season, taking all 3 points against Liverpool and Arsenal, and sharing the spoils with Chelsea and Manchester City, and I like the way they've started this season as well, conceding just 1 goal in their opening 3 league games. They've also taken European football in their stride, winning all 4 games again for the loss of only 1 goal. As far as Liverpool are concerned, I think it's still too early to start trusting them on the road against tough opposition. In Suarez, they have a player who can worry even top class defences, but I'm still unsure about their midfield. I think they'll miss Meireles, who helped turn the game when he came on against Arsenal and, without a fit Steven Gerrard, most of the responsibility for creating falls on Charlie Adam's shoulders. He's a technically gifted player for sure, but I'm not convinced he's ready to carry that much expectation on his shoulders just yet. All in all, at this price, Liverpool just have to be opposed. -
Re: UEFA Champions League Final: FC Barcelona v Manchester United - Saturday 28th May Bet365 are giving away a free inplay matched bet of up to £50 if you place a bet on the game before kick-off. Another good offer, particularly for anyone who wants to back Barcelona.:ok
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Re: X-Factor I've taken Paige to go next at 11 on betfair. Belle Amie are the clear favs to go next, but that was also the case last week when they weren't in the bottom 2. Wagner seems short at 4.8 with the facebook campaign behind him and Treyc was in the bottom 2 last week, meaning anybody who likes her will probably make the extra effort to vote for her this week. So I'd be suprised if she's in the bottom 2 again this week. I'm going for Belle Amie and Paige to be in the bottom 2, the judges possibly being split and the public vote keeping Belle Amie in.
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Re: Italy not to Qualify
I had similar thoughts myself at the start of the tourney, but didn't have the bottle to go with it. Fair play to you Libbert, hope it comes in for you.Prediction: Italy not to qualify to the quarter final. To lay Italy to qualify is 1.51. This prediction is mostly a hunch, but Italy didn´t play very in the Qualifying round. Also they didn´t qualify at the EURO2004. /Libbert -
Re: Italy v Romania (Friday)
Unlucky bagzi, you were nearly spot on!:okRomania are good side and certainly wouldn’t mind if the match ended in a draw but in order to get to the quarterfinals they need at least one group win. Piturca thinks that the6y stand some chance against Netherlands who they won in the qualifiers but they will try to celebrate against the Italians. Coach’s biggest hope is Mutu but the rest of the team led by Chivu will also have to give their best. Romani will have hard time handling Italy since their offensive potential is greater than France. They will, of course, have more space but there are great challenges ahead of them. They can’t afford conceding early since their chances will grow as the match goers by. Maybe it is time for Italy to go down in group stage. Romania win by 2-1:hope :cheers
Vitalyo, I wouldn't be so quick to dismiss others in future.Maybe it's time to stop fantasizing? Draw is always possible yes but to go down to Romania NO ! And how they gonna do that/ scoring 2 goals ,who is gonna score ??? All they do seat back every game hoping for a Draw .Lousy team VS The Champs with a pride to bounce back from the loss. Yes They been living off their reputation as World Champions.And they are been do in it for the last 50 or 60 years by beating shit teams . And Romania is the team to beat them :clap:clap:clap Who is next to go down to the Team Romania ? Brazil or Argentina? Kaka and Messi are keeping there fingers crossed not to be drawn in the same group with Romania.:rollin:rollin:rollin Good luck !!! No Way Through - Italy To Keep A Clean Sheet 2.10 bet365 for $ 200 Itlay win @ 1.69 betfair for $500 Italy -1.5 @ 3.32 betfair for $ 100 Reasons why Italy are gonna win are posted by the other punters above .I have nothing to add . Waste of time for you and me. I would consider to argue with all 3 of you if Romania had a recored of beating world class teams So far they beat nobody . And to be honest with you let's keep it that way ! Head to head recored : Mar 24, 2001 WC Qualifying Europe Romania 0 - 2 Italy i Oct 7, 2000 WC Qualifying Europe Italy 3 - 0 Romania i Jun 24, 2000 European Championships Italy 2 - 0 Romania i Apr 16, 1983 European Championships Romania 1 - 0 Italy i Dec 4, 1982 European Championships Italy 0 - 0 Romania i Jun 25, 1967 European Championships Romania 0 - 1 Italy i Nov 26, 1966 European Championships Italy 3 - 1 Romania i GL. -
Re: Racing & Football Outlook- Euro 2008 Betting Guide
I wouldn't say they had any main bets, they've got loads of write up's by different people all with different opinions. One bet that suprised me was Tony Cascarino who went for Baros golden boot. Now we've all seen Baros under perform in the Prem, but Cascarino argues that he's a diffferent player when playing for the Czech's and loves playing with Koller. At 66/1 it's not a bad shout for a player who will be the Czech's likely top goalscorer. Personally I don't fancy the Czechs this time around, but they are on the easier side of the draw, so there could be some value in it. Oh and he's 75 on betfair at present.What were their main recommended bets? -
Re: Racing & Football Outlook- Euro 2008 Betting Guide
Today's RP had a 64page pull out which is a decent read imo, unfortunatley I'm still none the wiser, they make good cases for so many teams and players, which further confirms to me how wide open this competition will be.I missed the Racing Post version on Monday. Anyone know if it's worth trying to get hold of a copy or is it the usual predictable shite that you can rely on people like Mark Lawrenson to spout. I don't need anyone to tell me Germany are in with a shout at winning it. I want someone to give me an angle I haven't considered or some other original ideas at least. -
Re: Champions League (Feb 19th) I'm gonna buck the trend here and go with a Liverpool win at juicy of odds of 2.84 (betfair). This is the only competition that Liverpool can still win this season, and let's be honest, it's pretty much what Rafa gears his whole season towards anyway. You can be rest assured that his best 11 will be playing, and that means a welcome return for Gerrard, Reina & Torres amongst others. Of the first team that were embarrassed by Barnsley at the weekend, I'm pretty sure their pride will be hurt, particularly after all the criticism they've received. Furthermore, let's not forget Liverpool probably had the better of the game against Chelsea last week, even without their main goal threat in Torres. Had Torres played, I think we could have well seen an end to that long unbeaten run at Stamford Bridge. I dunno what it is about European nights at Anfield, but the crowd really seem to get up for it (particularly in the later stages) and again I expect the crowd to create a deafening atmosphere. If Liverpool don't win this game, they'll have a very difficult task to go to Milan and get a result. They need to have a lead to take to the San Siro imo and they should have enough to take it by the odd goal. 5pts Liverpool @ 2.84 - Betfair
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Re: There's only 1 Result Possible! Isn't There? Cardiff - 1.77 Swindon - 1.65 Both at Betfair
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Re: There's only 1 Result Possible! Isn't There? Cheers Bedlam:ok I'll update and get back to this soon.
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Re: There's only 1 Result Possible! Isn't There? Cardiff - 1.90 Southampton - 1.52 Sunderland - 1.61 Huddersfield - 1.79 Swindon - 1.81
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Re: There's only 1 Result Possible! Isn't There? Lincoln -1.61 :@ -3.05 Stockport - 1.98 :@ -4.90 Bristol City - 1.88 :D +4.95 Notts Forest - 1.66 :@ -3.30 Preston -1.87 :D +4.95
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Re: There's only 1 Result Possible! Isn't There? Lincoln -1.61 Stockport - 1.98 Bristol City - 1.88 Notts Forest - 1.66 Preston -1.87 Arsenal - 1.30 All bets with Betfair.
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Re: Slow and steady, wins the race I tried a similar thing last season, 3 teams not to lose. I didn't do very well, but think there could be some potential here. If you want the same return, whatever result comes in, then you can use a dutching calculator (see link below). You put in the odds of all the outcomes and the total stake you want to put on. It will then calculate how much you need to put on each outcome, to guarantee the same return.:ok http://www.oddschecker.com/betting-tools/dutching-calculator.html
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Re: There's only 1 Result Possible! Isn't There? Time for an update: Reading - 1.88 :@ -4.4 Bolton - 1.57 :D +4.95 Chelsea - 1.37 :@ -1.85 Man Utd - 1.17 :@ -0.85 Stoke 1.78 :D +4.95 Sunderland 1.66 :@ -3.3 Blackpool 1.57 :D +4.95 Yeovil 1.93 :D +4.95 Starting Bank: 100 Bets: 8 Wins: 4 Current Bank: 109.4 P/L: +9.4
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Re: Laying HO's Keep it going Hodgey, I'm certain a system like this has real potential.:ok
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Re: There's only 1 Result Possible! Isn't There?
Cheers Hodgey, I'll take a look at your system:ok Bet 5: Stoke 1.78 Bet 6: Sunderland 1.66 Bet 7: Blackpool 1.57 Bet 8: Yeovil 1.93 All lays with Betfair.Good luck Chala. I'm doing a similar thing with my Laying HO's. I think there is some potential here. :ok Not much lost last night with Bolton drawing. :ok -
Re: There's only 1 Result Possible! Isn't There? Cheers for the good wishes lads:ok Bet 2 Bolton - 1.57 (betfair) Bet 3 Chelsea - 1.37 (betfair) Bet 4 Man Utd - 1.17 (betfair) I feel that the majority of punters would feel this is a pretty much nailed on treble tonight. Hopefully 1 of them will fail.
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Re: There's only 1 Result Possible! Isn't There? Bet 1: Reading - 1.88 (betfair)
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I've noticed this season more than most, the amount of times you look at a coupon, and straight away a couple of teams will stand out at you (regardless of the odds) and you think their a nailed on banker. Well imo, if they were, then we'd all be rich and there would be no bookies. I don't have to tell you guys gambling is not an easy game, if it was everyone would be doing it and winning. For this GH, I'm going to trial laying teams, that I think your average punter would look at and say "they'll win easy". This may prove a tad difficult, and I'm sure my own subjective opinions will creep into selections, but my aim is to have a quick scan down of the teams and objectively lay those teams I think most punters would be on. I'll start with a bank of 100pts, and each lay will be for a fixed stake of 5pts. Let the laying commence!
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Re: Champions League Winner 2006/7 Just had 5pts on Arsenal @ 15. They play the best football in England & on their day can destroy teams. Despite slipping up on their travels when they've played battling teams, when they've come up against other more footballing teams they've shone through (Wins at Old Trafford & Anfield & draw at Stamford Bridge). What's more they won't come up against any team in the champions league that will give them a more physical game than the premiership teams. Arguably Europe suits Arsenal better, as they are given more time to play, and with them long out of the Premiership they will be able to focus mainly on the champions league. Finally, Henry has had a nice rest mid-season, so he should be raring to go for the second half of the season.
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Vegas 2006
in Poker
Re: Vegas 2006
Cheers Ubermonkey:ok Have a top time in Vegas Lads!:cheersbecome a member of virgin flying club (the links on virgin atlantics site)you need to do this anyway to get the deal. then just buy the points on the flying club homepage ,i think the buy points bit is on the bottom left of the page:ok :nana :nana :nana :nana :nana 2 days to go:nana :nana :nana :nana :nana -
Vegas 2006
in Poker
Re: Vegas 2006
Quite like the idea of flying direct. How do I buy v points??i found the cheapest way is to become a vigin flying club member,got my direct gatwick to vegas flights for £285+2000 vpoints about 2 months ago . the v points are pretty easy to win on virgin poker :hope or you can buy 2000 for £60 . the 2000 points knocked £200 off, so even if i bought the points it still would only cost £345:ok
Tottenham Hotspur v Norwich City > Sat 14th September
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Re: Tottenham Hotspur v Norwich City > Sat 14th September I'm going to go against the grain here. Think Norwich are a bit overpriced at 9.4 (betfair). Spurs have signed an awful lot of new players and it will take time for them to gel. They are yet to score from open play in their first 3 games and they no longer have Bale to dig them out with a wonder goal from nowhere. Norwich have made some decent signings this summer and I think they should be looking to improve on last season's finish. Top 10 is a realistic target for them this year imo. Redmond looks like the one to watch and was an absolute snip at £3m. Van Wolfswinkel's workrate has impressed me so far and he will certainly get goals in this league given half a chance. They have the bonus of having Hooper back on the bench today and with Elmander also to bring into the equation they certainly have goals in the side. I certainly think Norwich could get a draw here and maybe even nick a 1-0 win, so I'm going to take them at 7.18 draw no bet on betfair. To get this I'll be backing them to win at 9.4 for 7.87 points and backing the draw at 4.7 for 2.13 points.