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Everything posted by dajkula

  1. Fortuna vs Wolfsburg Wolfsburg @ 2.25 £20 single
  2. Paderborn(1) @ 2.50 Liverpool vs Arsenal, over 2.5 @ 1.44 £20 Double
  3. Wolfsburg(1) 1.90 Atletico Madrid(1) 1.44 £20 double
  4. It is the last round of the Paraguayan apertura and Nacional welcomes Guarani. Nacional is on fifth with 30 points while Guarani is on second with 43 points. Nacional already gave up on the apertura some time ago and there is little hope for them in the cummulative table as they are woping 17 points behind Libertad. Guarani on the other hand will finish second in theapertura but the points will do nicely for the cummulative table and for Copa Libertadores and SudAmericana. Nacional is in bad form form for some time now and the players just wait for some time off especially with the Copa Libertadores semis in months time. So the coach will give rest for the first squad and the reserve players will be given a chance. Some of those have not played a minute this season. Guarani is in excellent form lately with 7 wins from the last 8 matches. And that 5:5 draw against Cerro Porteno was like a win as they came back from 4:1 at half time. The lineup for the guests is not confirmed but as I read threw their articles they want this win and will field almost the best squad. When these two teams meet the guest usually take more points and with the imperative and strength clearly on the away side this could be a huge away win. Convocated for Nacional:“ Oscar Agüero, Eduardo Giménez, Miguel Jacquet, Marcos Miers, Angel Almiron, Sandino Sosa, Fabián Balbuena, Juan Arguello, Enrique Araujo, Hugo Cabrera, Julio Santa Cruz, Marco Prieto, Jorge Achucarro, Benjamín Pedrozo, Luis Rodríguez, Carlos Ruiz Peralta, Rodrigo Aguilar y Douglas Martínez.“ Probable for Guarani:“ Silva; Bartomeus, Cabral, Cáceres y Cristaldo o Aranda; González, Palau, J. Mendoza y Ocampo; S. Mendoza y Conejo Benítez“ guarani @ 1.88 pinnacle 7/10
  5. Hi, can someone say what is happening with this months yield table?, no sign of it for the last 5 days.
  6. CROATIA CUP Event Dinamo vs VArazdin Selection VArazdin 0 (Asian-handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 11/05/2011 Bookmaker/Price Sportingbet @ 10.00 Reasoning This is quite a long shot I must admit and not much is behind this bet, maybe some psychological factors. Varazdin is on 11`th place in the league with 2 rounds to go and I don`t think they will be relegated except if they really want to. So I expect they will give their best in this cup final matches though they have reached the EL place just by being in the finals. Bad luck for them that this final is played in two games so any slip ups by Dinamo can be corrected. Dinamo is already the champion and this is a bonus for them. In 14 home games they won 11 with 2 draws and a loss but a few were really convincing. But that is their deal this season, they will score but will not let the opponent score, of course this was till the coach Vaha resigned last week. Still, Dinamo hasn`t won over Varazdin this season which makes Varazdin the only team to do so and they have proved to be quite resilient in those games. As I said coach HAlilhodzic resigned after the director Mamic stormed in half time of the Inter game and said some curse words about the game (and his mother was involved) which is something VAha could not tolerate. This is not the first time so the coach could have know something like this would happen but I guess he was still surpriced. He resigned later and now the assistant Mario Tot willlead the team. I know most of the players liked VAha much so I don`t know how they have excepted this. VAha was certainly one of the best coaches that Dinamo has had but I guess winning the league is not good enough anymore so same old, same old. Varazdin players have not been payed in months so they started to rebel in the games after the cup with Cibalia which is to be expected. With threats of suspension and not a promising future they carry on with the league. But the cup is different, they can make a mark here and though they have played the final 5 times and lost them all they still covet for it. The team is very young and very talented while they have two experienced players - Safaric and Vugrines that are holding the team together and always giving a boost. Vugrinec could make life difficult for Dinamo if is not guarded at all times. There are problems for Varazdin - first goalkeeper Dreven is injured as is middfielder Aganovic while Dinamo has defender Biscan and BArbaric out, all else are good. Coach Toplak is announcing attack from Varazdin as the are assured that defending will not be the right approach so GL to VArazdin.
  7. Re: Japan J League 2011 Thread Event Sendai vs Fukuoka Selection Sendai -1.5 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 03/05/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 3.20 Reasoning Sendai is on second place after 3 rounds of the J league with 2-1-0 and 3:1 goal difference. The last two were wins over Kawasaki away and Urawa at home so we could say they did great against formidable opponents. Against Kawasaki they won in the dying minutes of the game and all the country rejoiced for the tsunami stricken Sendai, even the home supporters shed a tear or two. Afterwords they played a very controlled game against Urawa and the guests could not break the pressure of the home team threw out the game, it could have ended with more than 1:0. I could say that Sendai is playing for the people at the moment and their spirit will not be broken easily. On the contrary, Avispa`s spirit is already broken as they have quickly realized that J1 is not J2. They have lost all 3 games so far against Kashima, Shimizu and Niigata and are a big relegation candidate. The two have played some games in J2 recently and both teams have 3 wins on home turf. IMHO Sendai will have easier time to handle a team they know very well than the J1 teams and could just show what they are capable of. 13/09/2009 J2 Avispa F vs. Sendai 2:0 13/06/2009 J2 Avispa F vs. Sendai 1:0 05/05/2009 J2 Sendai vs. Avispa F 3:1 07/09/2008 J2 Sendai vs. Avispa F 3:0 25/05/2008 J2 Avispa F vs. Sendai 2:0 20/03/2008 J2 Sendai vs. Avispa F 1:0 Another one for the pride of Sendai.
  8. Re: South Africa » Premier League 2011 Thread Event Mamelodi vs Kaizer Chiefs Selection over 3 Strength 10/10 Date 01/05/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 3.00 Reasoning Mamelodi is on 4th place in the league with 8 points behind the leader and slim chances for first place, maybe champions league. Kaizer is 6 points behind the leader and with a win here would be only 3 points so they have plenty to play for. Kaizer is 6-5-2 away and has 19:12 goal diff. while Mamelodi is 9-2-2 at home and 30:14 goal diff. which makes it over 3 goals per game. Sundowns have been leaking goals of late on home ground but their offense has been terrific which was clearly shown in last home match. They were trailing 0:4 against Ajax but with a furious second half were able to level on 4:4. In other home games have beaten Vasco 1:0, Arrows 3:2, Bidwest 3:1 and SAntos 3:0. But this time the opponent will be a bit stiffer as it is a derby and Kaizer has not played over in last 6 games, mostly drawing, jet their last mutual game on this turf ended 2:2 so some chances of a firecracker game still remaine. Both teams have best strikers of the league, Kaizer has Knowledge Musona who leads the league with 13 goals and Mamelodi has Katlego Mphela with 12, so much is expected from them in this game.
  9. Re: Spain - La Liga - 30 April - 2 May Event Real Sociedad vs BArcelona Selection Real Sociedad Strength 5/10 Date 30/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price Ladbrokes @ 7.50 Reasoning Sociedad is on 12`th place and Barca first in the league. Barca has a comfortable 8 point lead while Real is only 3 points over relegation places coz of their poor run in the second part of the season. Real has 9-1-6 at home and have been quite unpredictable for lower league teams but better teams have known how to handle them. They are missing some points and will not go down easily if Barca takes them lightly. And with the return CL match ahead they might just do that. Some 5 B team players are expected to go on a trip with a chance to play. Iniesta will probably not play as well as Messi who is the main goalscoring machine with Pedro and Villa being in such poor form. They are also missing Abidal, Maxwell, Adriano, Bojan. Real is mising Labaka, De la Bella, Sarpong, J.Llorente, Agirretxe so also have problems. Desire alone could make the difference.
  10. Re: South Africa » Premier League 2011 Thread Event Golden Arrows vs Santos Selection over 4.50 Strength 5/10 Date 30/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price Victor Chandler @ 5.75 Reasoning Golden Arrows are on 10`th place with 8-6-13 and 5-3-5 at home with 23:21 home goal difference. Santos is on 8`th place with 7-12-8 and 2-6-5 away with 10:17 away goal diff. Both teams after good runs in the championship have shown indifferent form at the end and have changed coaches. Although both teams have improved scoring wise they have great problems with defenses. In last 5 games Arrows have scored 12 and conceded 16 while Santos has in last 3 games scored 6 and conceded 9. Arrows have 5 over 3.5 at home while Santos has 4 3.5 overs away. Both teams have little to play for and are scoring for fun lately so why not over 4.5 again.
  11. Re: South Africa » Premier League 2011 Thread Event Orlando Pirates vs Super Sport Selection over 4.50 Strength 5/10 Date 30/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price Victor Chandler @ 6.50 Reasoning Orlando is second with 3 points less than Ajax and a game less so victory is paramount against Super Sport. The current champions Super sport have had a horrible season and are on 9`th place at the moment. They kept most of their players till the winter break but their performances have been catastrophic all season long. Nobody knows why are they so poor this year. They have had only one win away all year long bitthis team still has some great players like Hartog, Glen Salmon and Morgan Gould that can score big. Super Sport has Mogogi Gabonamong suspended for this match while the hosts have bigger problems. they are missing their captain Lucky Lekgwathi, middfielder Isaac Chansa and first goalie Senzo Meyiwa aswell as second so the third goalie Jacob Mokhasi. will be at the post. There could be a surprice here but goals seem better.
  12. Re: Croatian Prva HNL 2010/2011 Event Inter vs Hrvatski dragovoljac Selection Hrvatski dragovoljac 0 (Asian-handicap) Strength 6/10 Date 15/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bwin @ 4.60 Reasoning Inter is on great 4`th place with only two points behind 3`rd Split with 40 and a place for EL qualification. So this is a unique opportunity for the hosts that hasn`t come in a fair number of years. Inter usually plays to avoid relegation but this year their coach, a very experienced Ilija Loncarevic, made good progres with the team that consists of mostly very young players. Still, they are not a top team and prone of putting bad performances when you least expect them - like vs Zagreb at home. Inter actually has the same number of loses at home as away but with only one draw at home. They are 7-1-4 at home which gives dragovoljac some chances although two of those loses came from Dinamo and Hajduk. Hrvatski dragovoljac is bottom last and only a miracle can save them, a win would be fantastic and really their only option. After a catastrophic first part of the season Hrvatski dragovoljac has made great results this spring - they are undefeated in 7 games in which 3 were won and 4 drawn. Actually I believe a draw is most likely here but the away win gives better odds and you never know. They have played 3 times before with 2 draws and a win for Inter. Inter is missing their important player Bernard Gulic while the guests are missing Leko and Janjetović cause of injuries. I think a goal could decide this enounter.
  13. Re: Belarus April 2011 Event Bate Borisov vs Dinamo Minsk Selection Dinamo Minsk 0 (Asian-handicap) Strength 6/10 Date 15/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 2.62 Reasoning Dinamo Minsk is currently on third place with 1-2-0, the same as sixth placed Bate but better goal difference. Neither team started great this seson but Bate is especially lousy as they build up lead early on every season. Bate had bad periods in the end of last season when just about anyone could beat them ( was related with games in Europa league). In the begining of this seson they had games of Europa league with PSG in which they were eliminated but I think it made a mess of their preparation for the league timing wise. Shortly after that they won the Supercup but won only one in next four with 3 draws. Bate is missing their best striker Rodiinov, Alex and defender Yurevich while Dinamo is missing the striker Furlan. Bate usually has little competition in the league but this season Dinamo has invested a lot to be number one, including buying some NT players. Bate is out of form and this is a chance for Dinamo to win like in last season.
  14. Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday 14 April Event Twente vs Villareal Selection Twente -1 (Asian-handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 14/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 2.85 Reasoning After demolishing 5:1 in first round Twente has to make it right in front of home fans and sold out stadium. Chances of proceeding are almoast non existing but a win should happen. Villareal often in group stages underestimated their opponents and after the 5:0 thrashing by Valencia could realize that are neglecting their league a bit and put it in focus. 5:1 is a big win and should make them relaxed although the CL spaniards proved us otherwise. Twente is a force at home and no one can count on points although have striker Janko questionable but others are fit. That cannot be said for the visitors who have 6 players out: "Nilmar and Santi Cazorla(suspended), Marcos Senna, Gonzalo, Angel Lopez and Xavi Oliva are all injured." This is a big blow and a chance for Twente to maybe make a miracle. I don`t think it will happen but a good win is possible.
  15. Re: Singapore Sleague Event Home vs Etoile Selection Etoile 0 (Asian-handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 14/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 2.50 Reasoning Etolie is currently fifth in the league with 5-1-2 while Home is third with 5-2-1. Both came from loses against other tittle contenders and a win would be greatly desired. Home is traditionaly a tough home side but is yet to be tested as have just played Wellington, Albirex and Gonbak at home. The new Etoile Team will be a good enough test. The French have lost 2 games so far - against Tampines and Gombak and we could say that in both Tampine games they lost(league and cup) were missing their resolution in finishing the game after leading but lost in the final of both games. Deffinetly some more time is neccesary for them to sinc as are all new in this outfit. They have their quality striker Jonathan Justin back but is very questionable if he will play. Home has bigger concernes with their players as are missing their striker Qiu Li, Sufian Anuar and Juma while their best midfielder Kim Dae Eui is not tottaly fit but could play. Etoile can beat anybody, especially if they don`t have big missings so will give them a chance here.
  16. Re: MEXICO Primera Division 2011 Thread Event UANL Tigres vs Pachuca Selection Pachuca 0 (Asian-handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 14/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 3.20 Reasoning Tigres is currently third in the league wwith 6-5-2 while Pachuca is only 12`th with 4-4-5. Pachuca is better away than in home games and have 2-2-3. After the change of coach Pachuca started to play much better and have two wins and a draw with only a goal conceded - conceding was a big problem before. They won over second Monarchas 3:1 and drew with first Pumas - both away which is a big worning for Tigers. Tigres has been very good at home with 4-1-1 and although are big favorite they have not won over Pachuca at home since 2007 - there have been mostly draws in their meetings. Pachuca is a very streaky team and often go on good and bad runs so are very inpredictable butthe momentum is on their side.
  17. Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 13 April Event Tottenham vs Real Madrid Selection Tottenham 0 (Asian-handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 13/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price 188bet @ 2.40 Reasoning As like Barca yesterday, Real could take the begining of the match lightly as really nobody expects Tottenham to qualify and that is the biggest chance for Tottenham to win. 4:0 in the first leg was really to much but there is little to do when you play vs Real with 10 men the entire match. Tottenham has the power to return from the dead and Real has maybe better things to worry about for the weekend. Alan Hutton and Peter Crouch are out and Corluka and Kranjcar doubtfull for Tottenham while Lenon is back. Lennon and Bale will test the flanks of Madris while Pavluchenko, Van den Vart and Defoe will have to show how good they can score, the sooner the better. Tottenham is great at home winning 4/5 in CL and that draw vs Milan was a matter of tactics rather than Tottenham`s inability to create chances. Real has concernes with yellow cards as Ricardo Carvalho, Sergio Ramos, Raul Albiol, Cristiano Ronaldo and Angel Di Maria are one card from suspension so some may not even start but if they play could be exploited from Tottenham. Besides, they have Pepe missing so things could be better for the guests. The hosts have nothing to lose and can very well win this.
  18. Re: AFC Champions League 2011 Event Sydney vs Kashima Selection Kashima Strength 3/10 Date 13/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price Sportingbet @ 2.30 Reasoning Both teams have two points from two games in the gruop so they need wins bigtime. Australian championship ended some two months ago while J league started in march but paused cause of the tsunami. So both teams are not in competitive mode but still I rate the Japanese butter prepared. I watched the Suwon - Kashima game and I must say Kashima was a much better team, especialy in first half, like the break did them good. The difference in leagues is noticable and really Sydney could do something if the Japanese had other plans and don`t take this games seriously, this time they only have this competition so no distractions. Away win.
  19. Re: Copa LIBERTADORES 2011 Thread Event Penarol vs Independiente Selection Penarol -1 (Asian-handicap) Strength 3/10 Date 13/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 2.10 Reasoning Penarol is currently first in the group 8 of Copa Libertadores and they wanna keep it that way as it brings them home field advantage in the next phase. Independiente is last in the group and has been piss poor this far and now needs a win over Penarol with a miracelous 8 goals difference to reach the next phase, ofcourse if Quito draws with Godoy. Independiente humiliated Penarol on their turf and now the hosts have everything planned for revenge and payback. Even the fans have things ready with a humongous flag to show their support and will be there in great numbers – around 60000 people. The coach of Independiente realizes that they have no chances so will field alternative players as he finds their domestic league of more importance. The hosts will play with first team squad and will only be without their attacker Nicolas Freitas. Should be at least a win but with handicap probably. Formations:“ Peñarol: Sebastian Sosa, Matthew Corum, Carlos Valdez, Alejandro González, Darío Rodríguez, Luis Aguiar, Nicolas Domingo, Fabian Estoyanoff, Antonio Pacheco, Juan Manuel Olivera and Jonathan Urretaviscaya. Coach: Diego Aguirre. INDEPENDENTE: Gabbarini Adrian, Carlos Matheu, Julian Velasquez, Leonel Galeano, Mareque Lucas, Fernando Godoy, Roberto Battión, Leandro Gracian, Ivan Perez, Facundo Parra Jairo Castillo. Manager: Antonio Mohamed.”
  20. Re: UEFA Champions League > Tuesday 12 April Event Shakhtar vs Barcelona Selection over 3 Strength 3/10 Date 12/04/2011 Bookmaker/Price 188bet @ 2.47 Reasoning Barca has not been very effective in away games threw the last couple of seasons of CL but do their work at home. So Shakhtar has chances to win here if Barca is not focused and their 5:1 win for sure makes them a bit comfortable. Even if the team will be mixed the reserve players will do their best to show they belong in this team. Besides, Villa will play coz he is missing goals lately and Messi will probably play one half. Iniesta is suspended while Carles Puyol, Eric Abidal and Bojan Krkic are injured. That is nothing to the troubles that Shakhtar has missing 4 standard defensive players: captain Srna, Chygrynskiy, Kucher and Razvan Ratz while their striker Luiz Adriano is questionable. Shakhtar has options in attack but will be tested a lot in defensive part so I see this as a very open game with at least 3 goals.
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