[May 8 - May 14]

I don't bet on tennis very much. Last night I had a bet on Cibulkova and watched the match from time to time. That girl Dodin that played against her was far superior and I was pretty much ashamed that I haven't heard about her yet. To those who follow tennis on a dailly basis, I have to ask on opinion about Dodin. Could she be the next big thing in tennis or Cibulkova just had a bad day

 

[FC Porto v FC Basel > Tuesday March 10th]

Re: FC Porto v FC Basel > Tuesday March 10th

Personally' date=' I thought that was brilliant from FC Porto.[/quote'] I also thought that the quality of their pressing was amazing. Both free kick goals came after they stole away the ball in the opponent's half. Anyway, watched both matches and final result could have been much more worse for Basel. It will be interesting to see what Porto can do further on. If they continue with this quality games they could certainly be dark horse and get very far in the competition.

[Coupe de la Ligue > March 3rd - 5th]

Re: Coupe de la Ligue > March 3rd - 5th

Watched the game on Sunday and got the feeling that PSG ripped Monaco totally apart. There were several intervales during the match where almost every attack PSG made was dangerous' date=' but really bad finishing cost them. Monaco is a side built for defensive football which they are constantly showing very successfully during entire season but they had great deal of luck against PSG and Arsenal but that can't last forever. According to my source tonight they are without four regular centrebacks (Raggi and Cravalho are long time absentees, but Abdennour and Wallace are fresh). I hate to go against the trends such as defensive style of Monaco, but PSG to sore more than 1,5 and 2,5 goals looks to me like outstanding bets.[/quote'] 2-0 FT. Lazy finishing again, couple of unreal misses at 2-0, shame that it didn't went in

[Coupe de la Ligue > March 3rd - 5th]

Re: Coupe de la Ligue > March 3rd - 5th Watched the game on Sunday and got the feeling that PSG ripped Monaco totally apart. There were several intervales during the match where almost every attack PSG made was dangerous, but really bad finishing cost them. Monaco is a side built for defensive football which they are constantly showing very successfully during entire season but they had great deal of luck against PSG and Arsenal but that can't last forever. According to my source tonight they are without four regular centrebacks (Raggi and Cravalho are long time absentees, but Abdennour and Wallace are fresh). I hate to go against the trends such as defensive style of Monaco, but PSG to sore more than 1,5 and 2,5 goals looks to me like outstanding bets.

[African Cup of Nations 2015 Thread]

Re: African Cup of Nations 2015 Thread Fully agree with MPLouis, watched most of the games and in my impression the matches from this group (except Kongo vs CV) produced biggest number of chances.

[African Cup of Nations 2015 Thread]

Re: African Cup of Nations 2015 Thread Just love when this happens. I was on overs in Ghana match, but was very pleased at the end because Algeria never attempted anything in the second half. Beside some ten minutes in the first game where Southafricans collapsed, they are playing terrible and at the moment I just don't see how they could Senegal in any way. Plenty of attacking potential, but something just isn't clicking for them.

[International Friendlies 12th-14th November]

Re: International Friendlies 12th-14th November I am not sure where on this forum I can make post on this subject so I would ask the moderators not to hold any grudge if this isn't appropriate place. I am currently in dispute with local betting shop over first goalscorer for Argentina in last night's match. One of their arguments is that FIFA's official site claims that Ansaldi scored disputable goal although his shot was heading off goal and if the ball hadn't touched Aguero it certainly wouldn't had gone in. Based on some of my previous experiences from similar situatons, goal is always given to the player who altered the path of the ball. What I would like to know is who is in charge off giving the final verdict and is there some specific rule that could be applied in this situation.

[Anderlecht v Borussia Dortmund > Wednesday October 1st]

Re: Anderlecht v Borussia Dortmund > Wednesday October 1st Hosts are dominant side in Belgium and they will almost certain take the title so i am sure that they will see this as a great chance to establish themselves as legitimate candidate to qualify to the next round. Anderlecht played very good first match and were the dominant team in Istanbul where not many teams from Europe would be favorites, if they were little more focused they could have easily won the match 0-2, 0-3 but thanks to a late goal they only drew. As was indicated in the previous posts, group consists of many extremely talented youngsters together with couple very experienced players. Regarding Drtmund, they are struggling big time. They are struggling with injured players from long time and have done fairly good job but since Mkhitaryan injured (their biggest offensive threat with Reus) they manage to take one point from three games in Bundesliga vs far inferior opponents. I was on Arsenal against them but they somehow pulled through magnificent performance but it seems that they just can't achieve some decent level of consistency. Therefore, I just gotta take Anderlecht DNB @4, local

[UEFA Europa League > Thursday September 18th]

Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday September 18th

I wouldn't back Partizan in anyway' date=' Spurs probably will rotate but still its enough to beat Partizan. I cant remember the last time Partizan played a really good match in europe besides against some poor teams from Faroe's, Azerbaijan, Luxembourg etc.[/quote'] Although it doesn't have to mean anything, historically Partizan always gave their best games against British clubs, just ask Newcastle fans ;). One of my friends always jokes that their downfall began when we kicked them out of Champions league and that they never got on their feet after that which is not far from true. Anyway, that was way back in the past. About today's Partizan: they got kicked out of Champions league from Ludogorets on away goals, in Belgrade they shot themselves in the foot. They came back from 0-2 to 2-2 but the defender got stupid red card and that was that, after that, pretty comfortable win over Neftchi. Important thing is that Partizan did what they were expected to do, get in the group stage and from now on they willl play without pressure. Spurs will pass this group no matter what happens tonight and it's certainly not a matter of life and death for them to win tonight. I somehow have the feeling that draw will suit for both teams. One more thing, pitch is in the pretty bad shape. When French team played friendly match 10 days ago, Schneiderlin and Benzema gave some comments that they never played on worse pitch and after this match the ground will be replaced. I think there is a lot more better choices for tonight. My money is also on Y boys. Slovan should have been out of Europe long time ago, Sherrif side dismantle them, but somehow lost. Swiss are far more stronger and experienced side and that will be proven tonight. Home win @1,75 is great choice, couple of units on all available handicaps also. Goodluck to all.

[FC Bayern München v Manchester City > Wednesday September 17th]

Re: FC Bayern München v Manchester City > Wednesday September 17th Even if they got the draw against this weakened side what good whould it do for them. This team certainly wasn't built to lose in 1/8 finals and I don't see them getting further with this game plan. That could do with Chelsea but City just don't have the defensive mentality to play on 0-0. Bayern is better team then them whether they play bunker or some run and gun style but to me it seems that in some open play they might even get some chance while this way it is just one way street.

[FC Bayern München v Manchester City > Wednesday September 17th]

Re: FC Bayern München v Manchester City > Wednesday September 17th

Bayern @1,6, high stakes Third time in last four years these teams are together in the group stage of Champions league. Some may say that City have two wins but if you take a closer look both of them came in the final rounds when Germans already secured first place. When it mattered, Bayern had no problems, especially last year at Ettihad where they destroyed them with ease. Regarding this season and current form, i don't like what i saw from City. Beside solid win against Liverpool they shown very little. Undeserved win at Newcastle, home defeat vs Stoke and 15 minutes of good play vs Arsenal (five in first and ten in second half). Didn't had the chance to see Bayern this season but from the results, even with numerous missings they somehow get the job done. With Benatia and Alonso they will probably gain more defensive stability then before. Truth to be told, i don't know what to expect from Pellegrini, but when I remember matches against Barca and his ultra defensive tactics i don't believe that he has what it takes to make success in Europe. If City repeat the display from Saturday, there is no hope for them, because Bayern isn't Arsenal. Goodluck to all!

Came in the dying seconds, but fully deserved. Could have been 3-0 after 20 minutes but Hart had one of those monster games, also some of the penalty calls went against Bayern in the second half. City were pretty poor, defended most of the time as expected, even against this depleted Bayern side.

[FC Bayern München v Manchester City > Wednesday September 17th]

Re: FC Bayern München v Manchester City > Wednesday September 17th Bayern @1,6, high stakes Third time in last four years these teams are together in the group stage of Champions league. Some may say that City have two wins but if you take a closer look both of them came in the final rounds when Germans already secured first place. When it mattered, Bayern had no problems, especially last year at Ettihad where they destroyed them with ease. Regarding this season and current form, i don't like what i saw from City. Beside solid win against Liverpool they shown very little. Undeserved win at Newcastle, home defeat vs Stoke and 15 minutes of good play vs Arsenal (five in first and ten in second half). Didn't had the chance to see Bayern this season but from the results, even with numerous missings they somehow get the job done. With Benatia and Alonso they will probably gain more defensive stability then before. Truth to be told, i don't know what to expect from Pellegrini, but when I remember matches against Barca and his ultra defensive tactics i don't believe that he has what it takes to make success in Europe. If City repeat the display from Saturday, there is no hope for them, because Bayern isn't Arsenal. Goodluck to all!

[Borussia Dortmund v Arsenal > Tuesday September 16th]

Re: Borussia Dortmund v Arsenal > Tuesday September 16th Being that terrible as they were, Welbeck still had two great situations to put them in front in the first half, not that it means that would change something, considering how bad they were. When he was in United whenever I watched him it seemed that he just doesn't have that killer instinct in front of goal and that he needs a lot of chances to convert one. Maybe that match against Swiss was just a fluke, we'll see later on in the season.

[Borussia Dortmund v Arsenal > Tuesday September 16th]

Re: Borussia Dortmund v Arsenal > Tuesday September 16th I'm on Arsenal DNB. Saw Dortmund against Leverkusen and they looked pathetic and clueless to say at least. Since then victories over Augsburg and Freiburg but I don't see them nowhere near the level of Arsenal. They have problems upfront, Immobile doesn't look good, new guy Ramos is yet to show himself at this level of play, Reus injured, Kagawa scored on debut but I could compare him with Sahin who has been shadow of old himself since he return and he is also yet to prove himself. Only real threat for me is Mkhitaryan. Many injured players also doesn't favourable for them. Arsenal for 80 minutes was superior over City and should have had probably higher lead but they fell apart completely in the last minutes and lucky not to have lost the game. They have great pace upfront and i believe that Welbeck and Sanchez will give big headache to Dortmund defenders. Last year teams were also in the same group, both road wins. Goodluck

[Euro 2016 Qualifying > Tuesday September 9th]

Re: Euro 2016 Qualifying > Tuesday September 9th I am also on the Holland team tonight. I saw most of last week's match between Czech and Usa as i had a bet on goals and what I saw from Czech was pretty horrible. USA had most of the possesion during the match and in terms of the possesion comparing to Czechs they looked on the level of Barcelona. They scored only goal from mistake by Cech and Darida but they held ball most of the time and ndidn't really had any desire to go forward. If they were motivated I'm positive that they would score couple more goals. Czechs had only one good chance but Rosicky blow it up. Anyway, very discouraging performance from their side. I haven't watched previous Czech games with Vrba in charge (who did brilliant job at Plzen, that has to be said), so maybe some Czech friends can say more information, but if the level of their is like the one shown in the match versus USA this is the bet of the year. About Holland. New coach, but he has been there before so he knows what he should do to get the job done. Far more quality individuals with very good performance in the World Cup behind them. As I remember they are very reliable team in this qualifing rounds and they tend to be among the first teams to qualify. Probable

• Cech - Kaderabek, Prochazka, Kadlec, Limbersky - Darida, Vacha - Pilar, Rosicky, Krej?i - Lafata
• Cillessen - Janmaat, De Vrij, Veltman, Blind - De Jong, Wijnaldum, Sneijder - Kuijt, Van Persie, Depay Holland @1,95 8/10 local

[Euro 2016 Qualifying > Monday September 8th]

Re: Euro 2016 Qualifying > Monday September 8th

The moment i saw this match I thought that is screaming for goals and i couldn't believe my eyes when i saw tha over 2,5 goals is well above evens. Not much quality reasoning from my side beside the general story about how both teams are attackingly oriented, but i got to follow my hunch on this one. In last qualifing cycle these teams were in the group and home teams prevailed with 2-1 results. Over 2,5 goals @2,2 local 8/10

I don't recall harder loss in a long period of time, but heck, it happens. I haven't been able to watch the match so I can't give any comment. Anyway it still seems to me as that I made right call. Sorry if anyone followed.

[Euro 2016 Qualifying > Monday September 8th]

Re: Euro 2016 Qualifying > Monday September 8th

Austria - Sweden Austria's goal is to try and get in between Sweden and Russia to get the ticket for Euro 2016, something which is accesible as from now on 2 teams of each group go straight to Euro or at least be in the 6 best 3rd teams.They need a qualification like this as it is something they chase for years and their only presence in a final stage of an international cup is in Euro 2008 but they got the ticket there as hosts.Kavlak is injured and won't be playing tonight but the fans are expected to fill the stadium in Vienna. Sweden is one of the favourites for the qualification and they need to prove it on court today against a strong opponent.Ibrahimovic is reaching 100 caps with Sweden today and maybe he is in a mood to party! It's a game very likely to end with 3 or more goals. Over 2,5 @ 2.26 Marathonbet

The moment i saw this match I thought that is screaming for goals and i couldn't believe my eyes when i saw tha over 2,5 goals is well above evens. Not much quality reasoning from my side beside the general story about how both teams are attackingly oriented, but i got to follow my hunch on this one. In last qualifing cycle these teams were in the group and home teams prevailed with 2-1 results. Over 2,5 goals @2,2 local 8/10

[UEFA Champions League Qualifying > August 19th & 20th]

Re: UEFA Champions League Qualifying > August 19th & 20th Celtic played very good game. They were in control most of the time and should have scored more goals but thanks to the misfortunate Johanssen (defended clear goal for Celtic at the goal line ,epic situation :), and missed one on one later in second half) they didn't. In some period of game the were too careful and with more direct approach the probably would have gained a better result. Anyway, Maribor should be the happier side with the the today's result

[UEFA Champions League Qualifying > August 19th & 20th]

Re: UEFA Champions League Qualifying > August 19th & 20th Well, guess had to happen sometimes. 12 wins in Champions league qualifiers for Arsenal but not tonight. Turks played very good with much more desire and probably should have won. In the end Ox could have saved most of us totally against the run of play, but it seems it wasn't meant to be. Nice pick with Malmo

[UEFA Champions League Qualifying > August 19th & 20th]

Re: UEFA Champions League Qualifying > August 19th & 20th If my memory serves me correctly, Arsenal was very reliable in these qualifiers during the past years and they played quite a number of matches since they finished fourth on numerous occasions. I remember very comfortable wins over Udinese and Fener, teams which are far superior than this Besiktas side and Gunners were in my opinion less stronger than today. From my experience Arsenal never had the problems with this middle class European teams (I can't remember some unexpected loss, please, correct me if I am wrong). I heard from some sites that Turks will be without their best player Hutchinson so that would be another thing that goes in the favour of Arsenal. For me, this is one of the better bets of the season and I will pull the trigger on Arsenal without much hesitation, because I think that they are far superior than the opponent and because of the importance of the match. Arsenal @1,65 10/10

[Ligue 1 Orange > August 15th - 17th]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > August 15th - 17th I never like to bet on teams who overperforms in the previous round which I think is the case with Lorient. I think there is too much influence on the price from that game. In my eyes Lorient and Nice are pretty much equal teams and there is no reason for such big favouring of the home side. Nice also had very good match with Touluse scoring three goals along the way. Just my saying, anyway, goodluck with the bets

[Ligue 2 > February 28th - March 3rd]

Re: Ligue 2 > February 28th - March 3rd Almost another ht/ft jackpot :D. Not much of knower of Ligue 2, but I thought this was a very quality game, especially in the first half. Seemed to me that Lens was quite lucky to not be even more behind, they looked clueless for most part of the second half before the set piece goal and a penalty, in the end could have even turned it around. Anyway, glad that the overs went in, many thanks to Meatman for the information about defensuve missings

[Ligue 1 Orange > January 17th - 19th]

Re: Ligue 1 Orange > January 17th - 19th Psychology of a mass does wonder :). This forum reminds me very much of the mentality of my people (Serbian). When things go well everybody does the tapping by the shoulder, but as soon as something goes wrong everybody races who will be the first to drown the guy deep in the mud. We have a guy here who every week brings twenty great previews of Ligue 1 and 2 (just to write that amount of useful info should be enough to put a statue) and of top of that suggest very useful picks. People expect wonders, nobody can hit every single pick, but to come here with a story "even I can hit Real + Barca" is really rude. Anyway, thanks to Meatman, and a wish for a bad streak (happens to everyone) to ends as soon as posibble. Cheers!

[Europa League > Thursday 8th Augist]

Re: Europa League > Thursday 8th Augist Although I hate betting on our teams because I think they are very weak in european competitions, tonight Zvezda seems to me like a very good choice based on from what I saw in first match. Some may call me foolish beacuse result was very much in favour of Ukrainians, but that was not the whole picture. First half was pretty much even, Zvezda had great chance to take the lead but bad defensive reactions costed them two goals. In the second half, unlike in some previous years, where Zvezda would probably fell apart and conceded some more goals, Zvezda played very brave and attacking which gave them goal and a couple more opportunities before they conceeded naive penalty. Tonight in defense should start new player Martinović who arrived from China, but was a captain of Steaua for some time, in my opinion a very decent defender who should be able to make defense much tighter than in the first match. With the attacking aproach from the first game and the fact that Chernomorets plays much worse away I am very happily backing the home win which is 1.9 at bet365

[Champions League > 6th & 7th August]

Re: Champions League > 6th & 7th August Looking by the past results of Partizan, after the close first match, rematches in Belgrade were pretty much always very tight (Genk, Shamrock, Apoel, Tromso, Shirak) so i wouldn't be that sure about goals in Belgrade. Although the hosts dominated pretty much the whole first game they didn't made a lot of clear chances. Partizan goal and second Ludogorets goal were huge defensive mistakes so the fair result should have probably be something like 1 0. Some rumours for this match is that CB Ostojić is coming back in the Partizan defense and that CB in first match Obradović is moving to the RB instead of Aksentijević who is in very bad form right now. Ostojić has many games together with Ivanov and the defense should look much better than in first match. Obradović is certainly not that kind of offensive threat as Aksentijević but is much more stable in defense so Partizan should look a lot safer at the back than in the first match. Everyone who saw Partizan matches this season saw that the team struggles a lot in the offense. Huge lack of creativity and forwards who are out of shape, especially Šćepović. For this game U19 european champion Mitrović is eligible and that gives great deal of optimism to Partizan fans. But I am not so sure that a 19 year old kid, no matter how good is he, could be main attacking weapon at this international level, not to mention that he can be extremely crazy at some moments (red card against Neftchi and 4 matches ban in Europe). With all the given said my best choice would be under which is around 1.7 in local bookies. Goodluck!