georgebest
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Posts posted by georgebest
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Re: October 6 - October 12 What a great call with Cengiz, Shambata....thanks mate...respect!
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Re: Indian Premier League
On fire last few days Kev' date=' good work![/quote'] You can say that again...remarkable...many thanks! -
Re: Shanghai Masters 16-22 Sept Followed your advice on both of those.....many thanks! Sorry....trying to delete this repetition but it's proving beyond my rudimentary IT skills
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Re: Shanghai Masters 16-22 Sept Followed your advice on both Robertson and Mavis there Kevshat......many thanks!
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Re: US Open 2013 Great call on Evans...only wish I'd had the balls to follow it up!
Hi guys, my first post here, been watching this excellent forum for a while - great job you're doing here, really aprecciated:) I can see some value in few bets: 1. D.Evans to beat K. Nishikori @ 7.75 Bwin It's a risky bet but worth taking for a small stake. There is something wrong with Nishikori lately, when I watched him play last time he seemed to be injured. He lost 3 of last 5 matches he played, being beaten soundly by Baghdatis and losing to Feliciano Lopez, who isnt a hard court specialist. On the other side is Evans, who's reached 2 challenger finals on hard lately and came without bigger problems throug quallies. I think Evans must be taken at these odds. 2. A combo: Bradley Klahn to beat Kenny De Schepper @ 1.55 BWin P.Petschner to beat J. Sock @ 2.5 Bwin Not too much to say about this one - Klahn in much better form, playing constantly and well (almost 70 % of his first service in every game), while De Schepper lost his last 5 matches with terrible stats Similar with Sock match - Sock lost 6 of 8 he played, retired against Goffin (this could be of course tactical) while Petschner had a good rest before this tournament and came through quallies nice and easy. I also think about taking Matosevic against Robredo, agree with Guardiola on this one. GL! -
Re: June 17 - June 23 Damn.....missed it............good call.....GOOD PRICE.......on Malisse!
Back Xavier Malisse to beat David Ferrer @ 5.80 Betfair Malisse caused Del Potro all sorts of problems last week at Queen's, taking him to three sets and serving for the match. Although Malisse fell short in the end, I think he will have been happy with the way he played. He should feel that he can be competitive here against Ferrer, especially as this is Ferrer's first match since losing to Nadal in the French Open final. Last year in this tournament Ferrer had a far easier first match which allowed him to get used to conditions, but I think Malisse is good enough on this surface to put him under pressure from the start. If that happens, errors could creep into Ferrer's game and Malisse might be able to knock out the defending champion. Back Igor Sijsling to beat Stanislas Wawrinka @ 3.10 Betfair Wawrinka is another player that hasn't played since the French Open, and as he doesn't have the greatest record on grass, he could find Sijsling a tough nut to crack. The Dutchman gave a good account of himself at Queen's last week, making the third round and taking a set against Tsonga, and so he should be feeling good about playing another match on grass. He won a couple of matches here last year, and as the home player he is likely to get good support. Wawrinka has done very little on this surface in the last year, and I think it's possible that he won't be too concerned if he loses this match. -
Re: US Open 13-16 Jun Indeed.......and this wasn't bad either ........further congrats to Kevshat! 2pts J.Day Top Australian Player 13/5 Paddy Power Jason Day was right in the mix at Augusta before losing it over the final few holes but he should go well again this weekend. It is no surprise the last time the US Open was played on a soft course, Day was second to McIlroy. I say that before Day has a very high ball flight so the SPIN he should get on these soft greens should be very helpful. As long as he can put the ball in play from the tee I expect Jason Day to be in the mix again this weekend and with that he can be the Top Aussie.
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Re: French Open 2013 Sorry for being tired and lazy and offering no analysis just now, but can anyone really doubt the value of a Nadal/Williams championship-winning double at a tasty 2.45 or thereabouts on the eve of the semis?
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Re: French Open 2013
Interesting' date=' thanks for that input. Still tempted, but perhaps not the entire mortgage![/quote'] Regarding the Aces bet....... 11-4 to Djokovic! Thankfully I opted out in the end.....courtesy in part of Czech's comments. -
Re: French Open 2013
Interesting, thanks for that input. Still tempted, but perhaps not the entire mortgage!That does look tempting and I wouldn't want to put you off by any means, but a closer look at the meetings between the two where statistics are available shows that Haas probably indeed deserves to be that underdog in that market. In Miami this year, Djokovic 2 aces, Haas 0. Shanghai 2012, Djokovic 4 aces, Haas 2. Toronto 2012, Djokovic 4 aces, Haas 3. (His level went up after 2012 of course, so it is not a one-sided story by any means, but I think that the odds are probably correct.) -
Re: French Open 2013 Hi guys. Quick consultation (possible tip?) regarding Djokovic-Haas game today. Looking at the most aces served market, and my local (Spanish!) bookies have priced Nole 1.6 and Tommy 2.15. So far, in 13 sets, Djokovic has hit 10 aces (average 0.77 per set). Haas, in 14 sets, has managed 34 (average 2.42). Sure, Nole's the best returner of serve in tennis, but I don't know if that fact really translates into him actually being on the receiving end of far fewer aces.....I don't seem able to dig up that stat. As for RG 2013 thus far, in 4 matches, Djoko has received 12 aces (average 0.92 per set) Now, Haas has seen 33 fly past him, BUT.....27 of those were served by Isner! If we discount that 'anomaly', Haas's average reception of aces is 0.67 per set, superior, as it were, to Nole's. Conclusion: I have a fair degree of confidence in Haas's capacity to serve up more aces than his opponent, so 2.15 or similar looks like a tempting price. What do you reckon?
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Re: World Championship 20 Apr - 6 May You beat me to it! 8-8. My money's on Murphy and I hope he pulls his finger out, but I was wondering how our knowledgeable friend would prefer his words: fried? scrambled? poached perhaps?
I wonder if grumpyman will be putting his head above the parapet re Dott #clueless -
Re: FC Bayern München v FC Barcelona > Tue 23rd April Well, well. First time I've bet against Barcelona and had such an easy ride. Actually live in Bilbao....Barça are playing here at the weekend.....might be worth a punt!
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Re: Indian Premier League 2013 One for this afternoon's game. Got to fancy M.S.DHONI's player performance 31 & over @ 1.83 Bet 365. In the four games to date he's managed totals of 61, 0, 88 and 35 points, but in that second game he didn't get to bat. A stumping alone earns him 25 points, and he's managed one in each of the last two games.
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Re: April 14 - April 21 What a good call re Fognini! I missed the boat initially but managed to hop aboard in play....thanks and well done.
Taking some early market odds: T. Berdych vs F. Fognini @4.550 Pinnacle (2/10) Berdy did not look good at all vs. Granollers. He was broken first in both sets, and was lucky Marc always choked the lead away. Berdy has been complaining about fatigue lately and that was also the reason he did not join CZ Davis Cup team in Astana (KAZ) 10 days ago. I'd say that he is still tired. Foggy already did beat him on clay - namely in this very tournament 4 years ago, so there are chances. -
Re: World Championship qualifiers 4-14 April Thanks Kev!
Sunday streamed match previews: 4pts D.Dale (-1.5 frames) to beat A.Burden 8/11 Ladbrokes I like Dominic Dale here. He’s a very solid player now who scores heavily given the chance and who is a good safety player. He has had a good season and with a few more favourable draws in the first round of the bigger tournaments Dale could’ve won even more matches but he has a nice draw here and I would expect him to take advantage of that and book his place at the Crucible. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/dale-vs-burden-betting-dominic-dale-can-take-his-place-in-the-crucible-line-up-on-sunday-20130414 4pts R.Milkins (-2.5 frames) to beat J.White 10/11 Coral I thought Jimmy would go out in the last round but Xiao played a horrible match against him. I don’t expect Milkins to do that and sadly I think this one will be a match too far for Jimmy. Milkins is playing well at the minute, scores heavily and has enough of a safety game to have Jimmy in trouble for large parts. Not only do I think Milkins will win but I think he’ll win with a bit to spare. Full preview here: http://www.punterslounge.com/milkins-vs-j-white-betting-robert-milkins-can-end-jimmy-s-crucible-dream-20130414 -
Re: Barcelona v Milan > Tue 12th March
I agree. The price is down to 1.66 now, but to me is still attractive. Barca are really struggling. They've conceded at least one goal in each of their last 13 games, whilst Milan are unbeaten in 9, having scored in the last 8. I expect the Italians to find the net in Camp Nou, and that would leave Barca having to score 4 to qualify, which I feel is too tall an order.I think Milan to qualify is a good option.Bet365 offers 1.75.Barca lack ideas upfront.We saw that in Italy and now at Camp Nou.They have to score at least two goals which would be too hard to be done especially against very well organized defence like Milan's.Personally i am not sure if Milan are going to park the bus.It is very likely Barca to be outplayed once again at Camp Nou but even if that don't happen i think they cannot cover -2 handicap.Milan to qualify Gl -
Re: La Liga > 1st - 4th March A rare incursion from a resident of Bilbao. I profited from butdidn't get round to seconding the Madrid Cup bargain, and agree that this weekend's league match is a much harder call, with both teams focussed on next week's CL ties and sure to field unfamiliar line-ups. What I do suggest is a punt against my home team, Athletic Bilbao. Having a pretty disastrous time of it after the highs of last season, interrupted only by a shock defeat of Atletico Madrid a month or so ago. Tomorrow they travel to Pamplona to take on Osasuna. A tough prospect at the best of times, and all the more so just now. Osasuna are unbeaten in 4 games and have won their last 3 at home, whilst Athletic have managed only one point from the last 12, conceding ten goals and scoring only three. All is far from well here in Bilbao: the LLorente saga will drag on until he finally leaves for Juve, Bielsa is being questioned ,not least over the current goalkeeping dilemma/disaster. First choice Iraizoz was dropped after a series of blunders, only for number two Raul to suffer the same fate after his part in last weekend's 1-3 defeat to Real Sociedad. The defence has more holes than all the courses at the R & A put together, and at 2.30 or thereabouts I feel that Osasuna have to worth a bob or two.
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Re: June 11 - June 17
Pleasant surprise for you! I had backed Nalbandian with 365 and was rather hoping they'd void it. Still, he deserved it, though I don't really feel that I did!Just checked my Bet365 account and they've settled the Cilic bet as a winner which was a pleasant surprise as I thought they would just void it. That means it's +21.12pts from this week in Queen's which is a decent warmup to Wimbledon. Will take next week off as I'm a little busy but GL to everyone who gets involved. :ok -
Re: Copa del Rey 2011-2012 Not exactly breaking news here after last night's amazing display, but I do feel Athletic Bilbao offer a bit of value at 7s or thereabouts for the final in Madrid on May 25th. The league finishes on May 13th so plenty of time to prepare, whilst Barcelona may well be contesting the Champions League Final on the 19th. Athletic drew 2-2 at home to Barsa earlier this season (a certain Mr Messi equalising in injury time) and are playing better than ever now after a stuttering start to the year.
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Re: Rugby World Cup 2011
Why didn't Wales win? Because they were unfairly reduced to 14 players for an hour, you tool. It's little wonder France have only scored 15 tries in the tournament (compared to 39 new Zealand and 27 Wales, for example). The only flair they demonstrated in the semi-final was in their histrionic reaction to Warburton's tackle. And no single Welsh kicker missed five kicks. Anyway, the criticism has been aimed more at the (half-French) ref rather than at the poor French team itself. Not that one should be unduly surprised at the method of France's qualification....memories of one Mr Henry's unortodox use of his hand in November 2009 spring readily to mind.all the welsh english NZ and australian players and newspapers criticizing and blaming france are so pathetic and laughable, if france was so bad and wales so good why didnt wales win ? the welsh kicker missed 5 kicks, that is beyond pathetic at that level, if exactly the same thing happened in france with the french kicker missing 5 kicks the newspapers would all have had titles about the kicker '' dont show your face again '' or '' ban him for life '' or '' miserable'' but instead of blaming their own team and kicker they blame france for winning and reaching the final??? the point of playing is not to win? did i miss something? :lol:lol:lol all in all i think it will help and motivate french players and they should stay in the 17 points handicap. also i would like to understand why people think wales should / might but australia ? -
Re: Cooperative Championship Midweek 17th August Yep, very good call and convincingly supported. Just wish I had got my act together and followed up on your advice!
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Re: Tennis - The French Open
Indeed......well done too!As was I? :unsure -
Re: Tennis - The French Open
Ten double faults from Sharapova......you were spot on. ps And one would think that Schiavone will be considerably better equipped to deal with the wind - which is supposed to get even stronger - than Bartoli. Just taken her at 1.8, -2.5 games.Sport Tennis Event Sharapova v Li Selection Li Strength 10/10 Date 02/06/2011 Bookmaker/Price Sportingbet @ 2.81 Reasoning Neither are natural clay court players, but both getting through so far. Can't help but feel Li has shown the better form. Sharapova has had a pretty soft draw, and Petkovic was dreadful yesterday. Li on the other hand has stepped up in last few matches, and showing the grand slam form she had earlier this year in Australia. Li was superb yesterday against Azarenka and a similar performance should see her through. Weather forecast in for it to be windy today, which should surely cause Sharapova more problems on serve. I see this as a really close game, I'd have Li priced more like 2.20.
October 20 - October 26
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Re: October 20 - October 26 If I'm not mistaken that was 3 out of 3 today....unfortunately I wasn't able to follow any of the tips, but hats off. Jarlskog made a mockery of her 2/1 with a double bagel!