BookiesNo1Enemy
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Posts posted by BookiesNo1Enemy
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Re: Sky Bet Championship > August 8th - 10th Hi all, Yes Wayne both Forest players were loaned back straight away, the only problem was that it was against the wishes of Pearce. The board should be back in the good books today however as they broke their transfer record, set back in 1997 by no less than Pierre van Hooijdonk! Britt Assombalonga has joined for 5.5m from peterboro a player I rate highly and should link up well with the squad already at Forest. I looked at the Forest v Blackpool match about a month ago and knew of the Tangerines problems. The main worry, apart from the obvious price change on Forest is it is the first game of the season and strange things happen. I am also one of these punters that try to avoid the 'public bet'. No doubt every man and his wife, dog and goldfish etc will include Forest in their acca, they will probably ride in but the value is shot. I prefer to now look at the handicap bet or another team. This team is Brentford! They host Charlton on the first day of their championship adventure and i really think they will be dark horses in the race for promotion, probably top 8. They have been a team I have watched out for for the last 3 years, surprised by the transformation in style and quality they have gathered up front. Will Grigg has been allowed to leave on a loan deal to Mk dons which shows the options they have. Andre Grey has signed from conference winners Luton for 500K, the most impressive Scott Hogan from Rochdale for 750K and probably the best signing Odubajo from Orient for a a cool 1m! Money doesn't always guarantee success but tell Man City that! In all seriousness Warburton has invested wisely and if Brentford can keep the 'stars' fit then they can go a long way. I inverted 'Stars' because they have no real star player but a squad of quality, Alan Judge and Pritchard on loan from Spurs are yet to be mentioned. My super single on the opening weekend of the League is Brentford, 13/10 is avaliable and that, for me, is value. Just don't all get on straight away because I have yet to back them so I still want those odds!!! Good luck all and, wow, the football is finally back!!!!!!
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Re: Sky Bet Championship > Tuesday April 8th Hi all, Is there any chance anyone knows what Leicesters celebrations have been like since the weekend? I know the old, 'we will concentrate to the end of the season' etc will be rolled out but they need a maximum 9 pts from 18 to guarantee the title with promotion secured. If they were to let a game slip then this would be the one for me against a Brighton team still in need as of many points as possible for the play-offs. If the Leicester players have went a bit overboard and Brighton play the sort of football they can, then the 10/3 avaliable on them could hold some value. Craig Mackail-Smith is back in the squad and could start and they also have loads of experience running through the team. Lua Lua offers pace and power, with Ulloa a good finisher even if he hasn't shown it recently. Any opinions are very welcome, especially if some inside knowledge to Leicesters preparations are shared!!
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Re: Serie A > January 5th & 6th I only take the stats for home teams when looking at the home teams stats and the same for the away. Teams generally play a different game dependant on if at home or away. Lazios last two at home saw them beat on corners by Livorno and Napoli. They beat Genoa by 1 in the game previous to that (just taking into account league games for consistancy) and lost on corners again the game before that at home to Calgiari. That make 3 out of the last 4 home league games which they have lost on the corners with Napoli as the only top team. It finished 5-4 to Lazio but watching the game was a real dissapointment because Inter had alot of possession down the wings, Corners can bite you because as I said earlier, they are the bye product of an attack, no attacking team sets out to win a corner, they happen because the defending team has either blocked the ball or the keeper put it behind from a shot. I have been betting on corners for around 4 years and although you do have set backs, betting is betting! Watch how teams play closely, study the stats, correctly, and look for an angle from which you can profit. I will continue to do this as I have found it profitable and in general you will find a bet on them which you might feel isn't correctly priced. If you do this in the long term you won't go wrong.
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Re: Serie A > January 5th & 6th
Hi Ziener, I usually use flashscore.com or Soccerway to find the match stats, if you click on the individual fixture on flashscore and select H2H (Head to Head) in the pop up box it will give you all the teams individual matches and as long as it was a main match (league, main cup etc) and the main stats, possession, corners etc. Hope this helps mate. I will be waiting for the line-ups before taking my bet as Lazio have a new coach but if all is as expected i will be having large stakes plus a corner for Inter, medium stakes on Inter to take more corners and small stakes on minus 1 inter. It is a risky stategy because ocasionally strange things happen on corners but I find all the odds very resonable. Hope to hear from you soon and good luck if you follow.Thanks I will look into it. Totally offtopic but as you say you specialize in corners do you perhaps know of a good website where to find reliable info on corner statistics? Corners market seems very interesting to me but I do not have a good source yet. -
Re: Serie A > January 5th & 6th Hi all, I haven't posted for a while but keeping my eye out for potential good value. As im at work the early games are a no bet for me but the Lazio v Inter game catches my attention. I specialise in Corner betting as I find it both interesting and profitable (although very fustrating at times due to the nature of the beast) Although corners are the bye product of an attack they often offer an angle on a match which would otherwise be a no-bet. Today sees struggling Lazio under a new coach but even if their form improves the one thing that could remain is the low corner make up. Recent home matches have seen them beaten on corners to lesser sides and even with a + handicap I would struggle to back them. Inter on the other hand do not usually struggle to rack up the corners. They have an attacking approach to games and an stretch the play with quick direct players such as Gaurin, Nagatomo, Palacio and Johnathan. Inter to win more Corners are avaliable at evens, 8/5 (-1) and 4/6 (+1) all Hills. I would recommend the evens for most corners and for small stakes (-1). The 4/6 (+1) might only appeal to big hitters but I would strongly reccomend the bet. Cant see Lazio winning more corners than Inter. If it finishes level on corners or with more Inter corners its a winner. Good Luck all
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Re: Real Madrid v Juventus > Wednesday October 23rd Great write up Toto, i completly agree. I can't really add much apart from the value on the Real full backs, expected to be Marcelo and Carvajal, to score could prove to be good ones. Although neither are anywhere near prolific the formation Juve play encourages the right and left backs to get forward supporting, and perhaps getting beyond, Reals wingers. Also really fancy the straight -1 and -2 handicaps as Juve probably play the exact sort of game and formation Real would choose to play against, an ageing central 3 defenders complemented ( from Madrids view) of a quality, yet slow, central midfield. To add to this the legs of the team Pogba and Asamoah tend to get forward happier than defending so could leave space for Madrid to take advantage. If Juve go for a front 2 of Tevez and Lorente then they will create a few chances but will really need to take them to have any real opportunity of getting a point. I expect at least 3 if not 4+ for this Madrid line-up that should have too much movement and skill for a side which comes from the, now, 4th biggest league in europe.
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Re: Sunderland v Arsenal > Sat 14th September Smithy i couldn't have put it better, again, myself. Im a Villa fan an was at yours for the win and that is exactly the point I was trying to make. Ozil is HUGE!!!! What a signing, congratulations for your club bringing such a world class player into the premiership, i rate him so much, bet its even sweeter for you because shhhhhh B**e more or less allowed the move to go through! I see a 3-1 win for yourselves, see above, but it is a combo of Sunderland being in bits at the moment and being impressed with you already this season. Walcott has moved on massivly in the last few years and in starting to appreciate the movement and temperment of Ramsey. The likes of Cazorla is slightly out of place because for me he would play where Ozil will. For the injuries you have experienced, Rosicky the most recent although really finding his mojo, Arsenal are a team on the up, forget the media!
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Re: Manchester United v Crystal Palace > Sat 14th September This could be the perfect time to have a small dabble on the HT Draw/Full Time Man U bet. I can see Palace doing the usual against United even though olly is known for going for it. For what its worth I think Palace might even nick a goal at OT, lets face it there should be no team going there without the thought of getting on the score sheet, Gayle is a little livewire and Chem with a point to prove are both good shouts but for me Puncheon is the man and from the wing im taking the brave call to take Jason as the man to open the deadlock at 25/1.
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Re: Sunderland v Arsenal > Sat 14th September Well I appreciate the point you are making but there is no way Mertersaker can be considered a 'solid' defender. As a Villa fan I have seen at first hand what a little bit of pace can do against him. This is not a character assasination by any means because it was not the individuals performances I wanted to point out, rather that Arsenal can concede against lesser sides, especially away from home, the forward Sunderland should start is Altidore alongside Giaccerini as a winger, Per will have to deal with pace. The passing completion percentage is, quite frankly, irrelevant. He plays for Arsenal and Germany (if this stat covers internationals) as they both employ a play-making midfielder to drop deep and pick up the ball. This involves a LOT of 2 yard passes that Sunday league players would be expected to make. If we were talking a central midfielder with such a percentage then Barca will be slightly jealous. it is not and the release from defence is very simple, even more so for teams such as this with quality ballers. You say he is efficiant and state the caps per has, again we are talking about the present and in particular this match, this means not picking a certain quote of mine but giving a contrasting view of why he will deal with Sunderland and get a clean sheet, something which I don't think Arsenal will. Although I feel they will win. I am not against Mertersaker in any way, good pro, strong in the air and commanding. He is however, a poor defender against quick forward lines. I think others, and please comment either way, will agree with all that I have said. In the air, against teams like Stoke, he is in his element, get it out, get something on it, an old fashioned defender. The problem for him is the Premierleague finds this out. Again the best bet is Arsenal to win but BTS, having said that I can't see Sunderland scoring more than once so 2-1 or 3-1 Arsenal is my idea of a scoreline. Good luck all and hope for some opinions.
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Re: Sunderland v Arsenal > Sat 14th September It looks as if Ozil will make his debut from the start which will also give Arsenal a boost, Rosicky is said to be a major injury doubt, although he and the midfield unit in general have been playing well the inclusion of such a world class talent can only improve it more. Sunderland have looked lost under Di Canio this season as he seems to be confused to what his best line-up is and has also been slating his players, John O'Shea in the last round of fixtures and Phil Bardsley has only just returned to the squad after a tweet directed at the teams performance when he was out injured. All this in-fighting can only hinder the teams morale, for me Di Canio is a few lost games away from the sack even though the squad has been moulded by him throughout the summer. Lots of players have been brought in but the cohesion seems to be missing, Altidore has not hit the ground running and others such as Giacherrini, Cabral and Moberg Karlsson are struggling to make their mark. The Arsenal win makes alot of appeal but taking a wincast with the in-form Giroud or, if he starts Ozil, could boost the value. It will be interesting to see how Arsenal shift the midfield to fit around Ozil, Ramsey has been getting forward alot this season but he will most definately miss out in the attacking pecking order. I would expect a midfield 3 of Ramsey, Wiltshire and Ozil and Walcott and Cazorla either side of Giroud. If a correct scoreline had to be predicted then a 3-1 Arsenal win, they are liable to concede at least one with the one paced (very slow) Metersaker proving not all Germans can play efficient football. Looking forward to the Premiership returning after the tedious Internationals. Good luck all, look forward to hearing everyones thoughts.
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Re: Sky Bet League 2 > Sat 7th September Jase, its a shame your lot had Connolly sent off last weekend because with him in the starting line-up i would strongly have fancied the away win. Cheltenham have been very shaky at the back and the price is nice for pompy IF it was a first choice line-up. The mention of Ryan Bird sounds promising and I will be placing pompy of my shortlist. Chesterfield were my pick to win the league and very happy to have 12's on them pre-season. The game at home v Stanley looks a home 'banker' but as we all know there is no such thing. Stanley have been poor but have some decent talent in the squad. The sprities have been consistant but solid rather than full of goals. The signings made in pre-season, especially Gary Roberts (as i flagged up in my ante-post L2 tips) are impressive so do have the quality to unlock any defence. For me 4/9 is too short as many surprises have popped up in recent weeks in all leagues.
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Re: Sunderland v Fulham - Sat 17th August A fair few changes for Sunderland here but under Di Canio's regime all new recruits should know what is exected. Giaccherini was't a player i really knew much about before the confed cup but showed up well. At 28 he has came under the radar and needs to hit the prem running. Diakite, Altidore, Karlsson, Ba and Cabrel will all be of Di Canios liking so should all be involved to some point. The win, albeit in a mudpit in Indonisia, against Spurs pre-season, shows to a part, that they will compete well against a Fulham side of small change. At Fulham the change at the top will have had the fans talking as much as the signings, although Taarabt will spice up the midfield. Amorebieta was impressive when in spain although Bilbao struggled last season, it will still be an adjustment to the physicality of the premiership as will be the pace for Boateng. Stekelenburg is a no brainer really, very good, proven keeper and with a full pre-season should know his defence now. I think a narrow sunderland win looks on the books although the draw could come into it. 2-1 Sunderland with the improved, matured Altidore man of the match.
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Re: Swansea City v Manchester United - Sat 17th August I do agree with the general concencus here that this will be a tight game and although the striking talent on show is second to none (Van Persie) and very good (Michu and Bony) for me is a under 2.5 goals match. Both teams will keep the ball well, probing and searching but overall goalscoring chances should be on the low side. As the opening game of their seasons that shoud add to the unders as both sides won't take as many chances playing in the middle, although both play out from the back, and possesion should be about equal. All in all the unders and draw appeal and going against seemingly general sense, No goalscorer could prove a strong candidate, lots of potential scorers but a real chance of a nice passing, possesion game from each limits chances. Again good luck all
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Re: Arsenal v Aston Villa - Sat 17th August Villa fan here and although I don't bet on my own team we should not be underestimated. I expect a BTTS game as we are incapable of keeping a clean sheet but equally think Benteke will show what he's all about and cause a right handful for Mertesacker, Koscieny et el. The formation we play, switching from 4-3-3 when attacking to 4-5-1 when defending, allows our secondary strikers (auxillary wide midfielders) abandon to fly forward and support Benteke but cover our right and left backs whilst defending. If Arsenal can get the ball to Walcott and Chamberlain quickly then they can cause problems against our expected full backs of Luna (left) and less so against Lowton (right). This is a position in which it looks as we have brought in a automatic first teamer in Luna, Bennett was a weak area for defence last year. So assuming Giroud will play in the lone striker role waiting for service and Walcott and another supporting, the full backs have an important role in deciding the outcome of this game. Gibbs or Monreal will have to get forward beyond the winger but to do that will leave space for us to exploit. If arsenal decide to play a tighter more precise formation involving Carzola, Arteta, Wiltshire etc then they will struggle as out backbone is far stronger. We are pretty strong in the middle now, if Baker plays instead of Clark as he has a few mistakes to get out of his system. Westwood can be a worldclass central mid and partnered with Sylla provides cover for two no nonesense centre backs. We thrive when on the counter attack so anytime an attack breaks down and we can find Weimann, Gabby or hit Benteke to hold it up we will cause alot of problems. It is important to note the chaos Drogba caused in pre-season against a cumbersome Per and, although more dependable, Koscielny. In my opinion this is a solid BTTS pick and also a questionable home lay (or back Villa X2) Good luck all, the prem is back, Get in!!!!
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Re: League Two 2013/14 > Winner Yeah that would appear to be the case but the drop down might inspire him to recapture the desire and attitude as the skill is there. Had he continued with the form of a few years bk the no doubt Chesterfield would have had no chance of getting him. It looks a wide open l2 again but feel they offer some value. Thanks for the input, looking to get my bets on on a few weeks, my main picks so far are Chesterfield,reading in the champ and possibly chelsea in the prem. Wolves should get l1 but again its a wide open league with Preston another fancy!
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Re: League Two 2013/14 > Winner Just to add to my thoughts earlier on Chesterfield, they have just signed another midfielder/winger who we all will have heard of, Gary Roberts. When I first saw him play it was for Huddersfield a few seasons ago and he was easily the best player on the pitch. He scores and creates goals and I am really surprised to see him drop into L2, Chesterfield must be paying him a sufficient amount, probably a good L1 wage at least, plus reasurances that they will be backing up his capture with others to gain promotion next year. This has just re-affirmed my thoughts that Chesterfield will be the team to beat in the promotion race. Are any Sprities on here as confident and are the signings as good from your angle as they are from this neutral (well until I stick my wedge on you then im a fan for the season at least)
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Re: League Two 2013/14 > Winner I have to disagree slightly with the price avaliable on Portsmouth compared to the rest, particuarly Chesterfield, as Jase points out they have a good chance of promotion next season and are a much bigger pull to players than most in L2. The main reason I would back Pompy however would be the fans as they are the real force behind any potential pheonix rising from the flames. I expect Fratton Park to be a real fortress next season so promotion should really be based on the away form. The reason I baulk at the price on offer for Pompy however is that we have aften seen teams put together almost from scratch and then struggle for the first half dozen games whilst they put the work on the training ground to practice. If I were to back Portsmouth the best way to elevate the price is to wait and gamble that this slow start will be the case. The odds will therefore drift and once the team settles into their style begin to come back in. Onto the second fave Chesterfield. They are my pick for league winners this year as the signings made are astute and keeping together much of the squad from last year, which finished just outside the play-offs, is also essential. Winger Jimmy Ryan could prove to be the star of L2 next season after signing from Scunthorpe on a free, just a year or two after been linked with playing for Championship high-flyers. Eion Doyle has also signed from Hibs and although Not a player I know a whole lot about I did see him play a few times in the SPL and looks a real handful. He is a worker and could settle in well as a strike partner for the Previously prolific Marc Richards. Youngster Darikwa looked promising last season and could be a feature in the starting IX. Talbot has signed on for another 2 years adding some stability. They also seem to have one of the bigger budgets in L2, the signing of Ryan proves as much as I would have thought clubs in L1 will have offered a contract. @ 10/1 Id rather take a chance on the Sprities but it will be a wide open league this season as it is most years. Good luck all on whatever you take.
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Re: Championship 2013/14 > Winner Hi everyone, a bit early to be putting any serious money down but I like the look of Ipswich as a longshot. With McCarthy settled into the managers role and a strong-ish finish to the season they can be in with a shout. It will be interesting to see what signings they can make having already made a good start aquiring Murphy from Celtic, Tabb from reading and Skuse from Bristol City. Bolton also look interesting but, as said previously, I worry about consistancy from them.
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Re: Arsenal v Wigan Athletic > Tue 14th May Looking at the corners market for this one, am waiting for Ladbrokes to hopefully put up their race to 9 corners market. Arsenal have been dominating teams on Corners including Man U. They regularly hit 8-9-10+ and I don't expect Wigan to get more than 4. Alternativly take a Corner handicap although WillHill are on a massive -4 Arsenal to get just over evens. Id prefer the race to 9 if the odds are decent but will wait until the market appears to make up my mind.
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Re: Championship > 30th April - 4th May Remember Cardiff have Malky Mackay in charge and knows he can do a massive favour to the other club in his heart after such a history with them, watford. Deny Hull the full 3 points and he gives 'his' club a chance of automatic promotion. I call a 1-1 draw here, do just enough and end the season without a defeat, also remember some Cardiff players will be playing for a place in the squad/first team in the prem next year!!
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Re: Barcelona v Milan > Tue 12th March Just had a quick look at the stats from the first leg and Milan had 3 corners to Barcas 4, this was with 65% possession to Barca. I expect it to be more 70%-30% to Barca for this second leg but as the stats show its not always the percentage of the ball you have but what you do with it. I am more than likely going to take the +5 handicap but just deciding on stakes.
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Re: Barcelona v Milan > Tue 12th March Cheers lads, its still very much a bet under consideration because Barca will have 65-70% of the ball and it depends on deflections/saves as to how many corners they will gain. I do feel Milan should get around 3 corners so anything under 8 from Barca would see the bet in. I would also fancy Milan as more likely to turn 1 corner into 2 as they must see themselves as the superior team from set peices and also that it is one of Barcas key weaknesses. Ladbrokes have 6/5 on Milan to take more than 2 corners which may be a better bet as although the odds are shorter the likelyhood is that they will force a few and always have the chance of a lucky deflection or may sustain pressure from a set peice. If feeling a bit more of a gamble coming off then a massive 13/5 is avaliable on Milan more than 3 corners, a huge jump when considering that is based on just 1 more corner. Be back soon as I should be teaching at this moment!!
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Re: Barcelona v Milan > Tue 12th March Hi all, So glad the conversation of corners has came up, as Bomber said Barca do not play a game that generally generates lots of corners, even when they do win one it never goes directly into the box, rather a short play that usually goes central. This brings me to a bet which screams value at me, 29/20 Milan +5 on the corner Handicap! William hill I would fancy Milan to win a few corners as any foray upfield will involve the direct pace and power of Boateng, El Shawwary and Niang. Given that Milan have the advantage they may also aim to win a few if in wide positions to give their midfield/ defence a rest from the pressure we have to expect Barca to build. I would welcome any other thoughts but on a night where value seems difficult to find, this sticks out to me as an overaction from the bookies in expecting Barca to destroy Milan from all fronts. Good luck all:ok
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Re: Serie A > 26th Feb - 3rd March Im liking the look of siena's price at home to Atalanta. I was on Torino @ home to them a few weekends ago and although a tight scoreline the game was very much one sided with Torino dominating the game. Siena have put a few good results together at home to much better sides than inconsistant Atlanta and was surprised to see the price above evens, was expecting around 5/6. The point deduction for Siena distorts the table and have won their last three at home. I would be interested to hear any injury/suspention news from any followers as this may influence my pick or stake. Thanks all :ok
Sky Bet Championship > August 8th - 10th
in Championship Predictions
Posted
Re: Sky Bet Championship > August 8th - 10th Should I say the Sale of Darlow and Lascelles was against Pearce's wishes, not the fact they were loaned back!