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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

deux

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Posts posted by deux

  1. Re: Working System?Coincidence?Suggestions?

    Looking good so far' date=' how do you choose what leagues to analyse, as there is quite a bit of work to be done going through every match. I went through all the European leagues William Hill are offering over 2.5 market and found 30 picks, so there must be some way of reducing this number.[/quote'] You are absolutely right. I forgot to mention that in the first post. I only concentrate on, Austria, Belgium, England PL, Germany1 and 2, Dutch1 and 2, Spain and Turkey. Now considering also Scotland 2 and 3 due to their high scoring characteristics.
  2. Re: Working System?Coincidence?Suggestions? and here are the ones for Saturday... [TABLE=width: 402]

    [TR] [TD]Austria Wien [/TD] [TD]Kapfenberger SV [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2,79[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Gent [/TD] [TD]RAEC Mons [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2,81[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Chelsea London [/TD] [TD]Bolton Wanderers [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3,01[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Manchester City [/TD] [TD]Blackburn Rovers [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3,50[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]VfB Stuttgart [/TD] [TD]Freiburg [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3,04[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]VVV Venlo [/TD] [TD]Heracles Almelo [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2,51[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roda JC [/TD] [TD]De Graafschap [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2,88[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Kardemir Karabukspor [/TD] [TD]Ankaragücü [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2,78[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
  3. Re: Working System?Coincidence?Suggestions? [TABLE=width: 471]

    [TR] [TD]Dynamo Dresden[/TD] [TD]MSV Duisburg[/TD] [TD]:wall[/TD] [TD]3,08[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]AGOVV Apeldoorn[/TD] [TD]BV Veendam[/TD] [TD]:clap[/TD] [TD]3,13[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Emmen[/TD] [TD]SC Cambuur Leeuwarden[/TD] [TD]:clap[/TD] [TD]2,57[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Dordrecht[/TD] [TD]Almere City[/TD] [TD]:clap[/TD] [TD]3,17[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Go Ahead Eagles Deventer[/TD] [TD]FC Oss[/TD] [TD]:clap[/TD] [TD]3,08[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Not a bad start...I hope it will be better tomorrow...
  4. Re: Working System?Coincidence?Suggestions? That seems no suggestions up to now...So for Friday following games are popped up from the system as over 2,5 [TABLE=width: 471]

    [TR] [TD]Dynamo Dresden [/TD] [TD]MSV Duisburg [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3,08[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]AGOVV Apeldoorn [/TD] [TD]BV Veendam [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3,13[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Emmen [/TD] [TD]SC Cambuur Leeuwarden [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2,57[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Dordrecht [/TD] [TD]Almere City [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3,17[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Go Ahead Eagles Deventer [/TD] [TD]FC Oss [/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]3,08[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Hope it will be a nice start...
  5. For years I am trying to get something out of statistics for games across Europe and was successful with some of them for a short period of time. This time I wanted to use a different one by using the things that I was not considering before. Briefly this is how it goes ; I thought that the major leagues that have high scoring percentages should be taken into account such as Belgium 1, Dutch 1-2 etc... The selection of games is done by checking the home and away team stats of home scoring, home conceding averages as well as clean sheet and failed to score percentages. For instance; Roda vs De Graafschap...I am taking average goals that Roda scored at home + Average De Graafschap conceed away...This gives a possible scoring margin for Roda..Doing the same thing for De Graafschap as well...Then Clean sheet of De Graafschap away + Failed to score percentage of Roda at home gives possibility of home team "not to score"...and for sure inverse will give possibility percentage of home team Roda to score...Finally doing the same thing for the away team will yield 4 values of Home team and away team possible goals amount + their possibilities...As in probability manner I multiply the percentages with goals will give 2 final values of predicted total goals in the match. The whole table is like this; [TABLE=width: 1193]

    [TR] [TD][/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Scored[/TD] [TD]Conceed[/TD] [TD]Clean[/TD] [TD]Failed[/TD] [TD]Scored[/TD] [TD]Conceed[/TD] [TD]Clean[/TD] [TD]Failed[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]Average[/TD] [TD]Average[/TD] [TD]% H[/TD] [TD]%A[/TD] [TD]Home[/TD] [TD]Away[/TD] [TD]Total[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Roda JC [/TD] [TD]De Graafschap [/TD] [TD]2,36[/TD] [TD]1,36[/TD] [TD]0,27[/TD] [TD]0,18[/TD] [TD]0,8[/TD] [TD]2,4[/TD] [TD]0[/TD] [TD]0,4[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD]2,38[/TD] [TD]1,08[/TD] [TD]0,91[/TD] [TD]0,665[/TD] [TD]2,1658[/TD] [TD]0,7182[/TD] [TD]2,884[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] I am using the games that gives a total value larger than 2,5... As a test I used this for the last week games and I got a nice profit out of it...Games were as follows; [TABLE=width: 471] [TR] [TD]Real Madrid [/TD] [TD]Racing Santander [/TD] [TD]3,35[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Volendam [/TD] [TD]Willem II [/TD] [TD]3,32[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Helmond Sport [/TD] [TD]SC Telstar Velsen [/TD] [TD]3,25[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Almere City [/TD] [TD]Fortuna Sittard [/TD] [TD]3,20[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Utrecht [/TD] [TD]AZ Alkmaar [/TD] [TD]3,14[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Heerenveen [/TD] [TD]NAC Breda [/TD] [TD]3,14[/TD] [TD]NOT[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Schalke 04 [/TD] [TD]VfL Wolfsburg [/TD] [TD]3,14[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]raec mons [/TD] [TD]genk [/TD] [TD]3,11[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Zwolle [/TD] [TD]MVV Maastricht [/TD] [TD]3,05[/TD] [TD]NOT[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]SC Cambuur Leeuwarden [/TD] [TD]Sparta Rotterdam [/TD] [TD]2,99[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Heracles Almelo [/TD] [TD]Roda JC [/TD] [TD]2,94[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Mechelen [/TD] [TD]germinal beerschot [/TD] [TD]2,91[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]AGOVV Apeldoorn [/TD] [TD]Go Ahead Eagles Deventer [/TD] [TD]2,78[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]De Graafschap [/TD] [TD]VVV Venlo [/TD] [TD]2,76[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]vfl bochum [/TD] [TD]union berlin [/TD] [TD]2,72[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Fenerbahce [/TD] [TD]Sivasspor [/TD] [TD]2,71[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]FC Oss [/TD] [TD]FC Eindhoven [/TD] [TD]2,68[/TD] [TD]NOT[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Groningen [/TD] [TD]PSV Eindhoven [/TD] [TD]2,64[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]hamburger sv [/TD] [TD]werder bremen [/TD] [TD]2,61[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]rsc anderlecht [/TD] [TD]westerlo [/TD] [TD]2,58[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]fc nürnberg [/TD] [TD]fc köln [/TD] [TD]2,53[/TD] [TD]Over[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] This look quite satisfactory but of course I am not sure whether it is an outstanding coincidence or not...will surely check the coming week and decide whether to go further or say that I was "Lucky" the previous weekend...any suggestions will be appreciated...Hope we can get something out of this...
  6. Re: Beat the goalkeepers for "Over 1,5" Goias - Sport 1,21 :nana Portuguesa - Americana 1,15 :wall what a bad start! Unbelievable chances are wasted in Portuguesa match...But this is football and this is why we love it...So my final portion of the bank.. Kobenhavn - Shamrock 1,15 Benfica - Trabzonspor 1.21 Remaining bank : 0 Stake : 14 odd : 1.39 Possible pay out : 19,48

  7. After trying many unsuccessful systems to gain profit from soccer betting, I will give a try for new one which will show whether it is logical or not in a week or so...This will not be a paper work and I will bet those selections on Betsson...Hope to get something out of this...Starting bank will be 28 euros which I have in my account right now...How it goes is like this...I will bet half of my bank for over 1,5 doubles and if it succeeds after 2 consecutive bets I will divide my amount to 2 halves and continue like this.. Strikers bring me fortune!

  8. April 02-03-04 Here are the new selected ones for the upcoming weekend. Good luck for every one of them... 02.Apr Empoli - Lecce 1.31 @Betsafe 03.Apr Portsmouth - Blackburn 1.31 @Bwin 03.Apr Frankfurt - Leverkusen 1.18 @Bwin 03.Apr Ahlen - Duisburg 1.30 @Bwin 04.Apr Birmingham - Liverpool 1.33 @Bwin 04.Apr Hamburg - Hannover 1.18 @Bwin 04.Apr 1860 Munc. - Cottbus 1.27 @Bwin 04.Apr Atl. Madrid - La Coruna 1.25 @Bwin 04.Apr Willem - PSV 1.15 @Bwin

  9. Re: Back in the net for over 1.5 26.03 Paderborn - Oberhausen 1.3 (Bwin) :ok 27.03 Roda - Heerenveen 1.18 (Bwin) :ok 27.03 Alkmaar - Heracles 1.15 (Bwin) :ok 27.03 Wolves - Everton 1.31 (Bwin) :wall 27.03 Mallorca - Barcelona 1.15 (Bwin) :wall 27.03 Malaga - Tenerife 1.25 (Bwin) :ok 28.03 Real - Atl. Madrid 1.10 (Bwin) Not a good start for the weekend but hope for better results in following games... Won : 4 Lost : 2 Rate : 67%

  10. March 26 - 27 - 28 Picks for this weekend;Hope for a good start...:hope 26.03 Paderborn - Oberhausen 1.3 (Bwin) 27.03 Roda - Heerenveen 1.18 (Bwin) 27.03 Alkmaar - Heracles 1.15 (Bwin) 27.03 Wolves - Everton 1.31 (Bwin) 27.03 Mallorca - Barcelona 1.15 (Bwin) 27.03 Malaga - Tenerife 1.25 (Bwin) 28.03 Real - Atl. Madrid 1.10 (Bwin)

  11. Hi all, First of all its a novel but not a prodigious system for over market in betting. I am sure that many of us are placing same bets involving over market and regarding it as a decent choice with higher probability. Here I will propose a system which will lead us to obtain games having higher probability for over 1.5. I will give only the selections of the system and anyone can pick one or more of them for their single or combo bets. I have not thought of a money management system for this strategy yet so I stake reasonable amounts on my selections. I hope these selections bring good luck for all of us. Here how it goes, My selections involve the following leagues ; Turkey Turkcell Super League, Holland Casino Eredivisie, Bundesliga I and II, England Premier League, Italy Serie A and B, Spain Liga BBVA. Last 5 games of each team will be taken into account and first of all the matches which involve two teams who have totally maximum of 2 draws in ten matches (5 each) will be considered. (means 0-0 0-1 0-2 1-1 2-0 1-0). Then among those selections we will search for both home and away side to score and concede at least 5 in their last 5 games and a minimum of 13 for their FOR+AGAINST total. For instance for the last week a suitable match was Cagliari vs Lazio. Cagliari scores 9 and concede 11 in their last 5 games (regardless of Home-Away) and for Cagliari it is 5 to 8. Both numbers exceeds the level of 5 and total level of 13. Also for their last 5 games they have both one draws which makes total of two. So a suitable selection yielding 2 goals before half-time. This is how it goes. I will share my selections on Thursdays for weekend and Mondays for midweek. As I said before this is not a genius system for the ones want to have high amount of money but can be useful for someone else like me. Also any comment for further improvements will be appreciated.

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