[Newcastle v Stoke - April 21st]

Re: Newcastle v Stoke - April 21st Of course Stoke always have the potential to throw a spanner into the works but they're real strength is generally reserved for their home displays. It also goes without saying that Newcastle don't need any incentive to get all 3 points bearing in mind Spurs and Chelsea have been doing all they can to gift them the 4th Champions League spot. Is a home win a value bet at the prices on offer? I believe it is. Newcastle win 1.75 VC

[Npower Football League Two Oct 8]

Re: Npower Football League Two Oct 8

Oxford look a touch short to me. Only 1 league win at home this season, with draws against the likes of Accrington, Bradford, and Aldershot. Rovers remain frustratingly inconsistent under Paul Buckle so far, but they showed what they are capable of with a 3-2 win at Morecambe a fortnight ago. Not had a proper look at it yet, but I'm tempted to lay Oxford at that price.

Definitely look too short :ok

[England > Weekend > League 1 > 1 October]

Re: England > Weekend > League 1 > 1 October

I think the best value in this league this weekend is Carlisle and Oldham. However i am just sticking with a bet on Carlisle... They have done really well away from home with 3 wins on the road thus far, Walsall i think are a poor side and have only won 1 from 5 at home, good chance for the away side to get 3 points. Carlisle WIN @ 19/10 Boylesports

I came to the same conclusion, both are decent prices. Good luck :ok

[England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September]

Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September

Suprised with the amount of punters on here backing Blackburn in some form :unsure Think i'm the only one on Newcastle so far.

Maybe it's the Jason Roberts factor :lol

[England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September]

Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September

Blackburn have won their last 6 games at St James Park. Confidence will be high after beating Arsenal and Geordies struggling to score goals. 3/1 for Blackburn is very tempting

They're available at 4/1 tote and betfred :ok

[England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September]

Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September

Blackburn have won their last 6 games at St James Park. Confidence will be high after beating Arsenal and Geordies struggling to score goals. 3/1 for Blackburn is very tempting

Last 5 mate :ok

[England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September]

Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September :welcome TO pl Barney :ok Seems like you've gone for some adventurous picks for your first post which is commendable, well done.

[England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September]

Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September Newcastle v Blackburn Just a few stats for those considering getting involved with this one. Newcastle haven’t beaten Blackburn in the last 7 encounters 2007-11 and Blackburn have won the last 5 at St James 2006-11. For those who heavily lean towards past head to heads this should provide useful information. My own advice is to take this info into consideration along with both teams current form, injury status etc and make your judgement as this is not an advice to follow stats blindly. I really have no overriding feelings to add for this latest match up as I see both teams on about the same level in terms of playing personnel. Newcastle currently trade odds on which is too short for my palette and that's regardless of the current 'bogey side' phenomenon. The value lies with Blackburn who currently trade 5.0 at tote and betfred.

[England > Weekend > Championship > 23-25 September]

Re: England > Weekend > Championship > 23-25 September Unbelievable stat that was last season just 1 away win for Palace. Sorry to remind you boys ;) Granted there's only been 1 away win since Freedman took over but even in defeat they haven't been hammered since January. All have been by the odd goal which is again surprising. I think we can leave the poor away record in the past where it belongs in my opinion. They've had a good win at Hull which I know would have surprised a few and went down very late to Leeds which is never an easy place to pick up anything. Doncaster are now 2 wins in their last 30. It's clear their poor performances have carried over from last season. 2 goals scored and 12 conceded is not happy reading for the Yorkshire boys. Maybe they should give one or two of the Belles a chance in the starting line up. Bit below the belle that one :lol If you don't play like southern softies I wager you've got a half decent chance of coming away with all 3 points at tasty odds :ok

[England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September]

Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September

Yes they are, but I have not decided 100%. Will do some more research and post my reasoning if I find something. As I said Arsenal might be a good pick considering their record against Bolton.

I know you said might be a good pick considering their record against Bolton. That's why I asked you to elaborate but you've made it clear that stats are enough for you. To each his own I guess. Good luck with that approach :ok

[England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September]

Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September

Are previous head to head meetings not enough for you?

They're definitely not enough for me. Are they for you?

[England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September]

Re: England > Weekend > Premier League > 24-26 September

Top teams playing so called weaker sides and I guess outsiders can be taken in some sort of a handicap, especially Swansea and if Villas Boas will play Torres again I can't see them beating Swansea by many goals. Arsenal might be a good pick considering that they won last 9 out of 10 games against Bolton (lost the last one). Might even take it in a double with Man.United who beat Stoke in all 7 games since they were promoted to Premier League.

Is that your only reasoning for considering backing Arsenal? Would you elaborate a bit more on why you think Arsenal might be a good shout?

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21

Surely you really need to include the year these results occurred in order to highlight if they have any real significance?

I see you've already made some points regarding this further in the thread so no real need to respond again :ok

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21

Hate to say it but Pav was as terrible as Sandro's new hair-do! Couldnt even tuck his penalty away :unsure

Well I did take your advice partially so thanks for the heads up regarding him. I did lower my stake because of your warnings which just shows posting your recommendations can be beneficial as it allows others to give you input you might not have considered. Stating the obvious I know but if I'd have kept my recommendation to myself my bank would have been a little lighter. Keep up the good work :ok

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21

Brighton v Liverpool One bet that jumps out to me here is 4 goals or more to be scored in the game.... Brighton v Liverpool previous history: Brighton 2 - 2 Liverpool Brighton 3 - 3 Liverpool Brighton 2 - 2 Liverpool Brighton 1 - 4 Liverpool All games have had 4 or more goals scored in this fixture, the draw was tempting me but i think Liverpool should be too strong for them, add to the fact its a cup tie and there should be a good few goals in this one. 4 Goals or More to be Scored @ 7/4 Betfred

Surely you really need to include the year these results occurred in order to highlight if they have any real significance?

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21

Man City - Birmingham under 2.5 Mancini said that he is gonna rest 5-6 players from the first team which means that Nasri, Dzeko, Aguero, Silva, Y. Toure and maybe someone else won't be in the starting squad or even play at all. Owen Hargreaves will probably make his debut. I'm quite sure that Balotelli will start and maybe Tevez. Birmingham is one of those teams which are not easy to play against plus Mancini is having bigger priorities on CL and PL. http://www.thesun.co.uk/sol/homepage/sport/football/3822939/Owen-Hargreaves-set-to-make-Manchester-City-debut-against-Birmingham.html

Birmingham are difficult to play against? Surely that was last season. A helluva lots changed since then. Middlesbrough, Braga and Southampton have all scored 3 or more against them this season. I think regardless of who Mancini selects it's a dangerous game to be playing unders on this one :ok

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21

Your probably right I ve had a nightmare so far this season with my betting :wall

Well don't expect any sympathy on here :lol Only kidding, keep the faith mate :ok

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21

I think apart from a couple of the CL games we played last year we never set up defensively. My point is more that, yes we can set up to attack, and get men forward, but if none of those forwards are any good enough at putting the ball in the net, then it wont necersarilly lead to us scoring goals... just conceding them! If Pav, Kane, Giovani, Falque play as our attackersi cant see us scoring that many. If you start putting the likes of VDV, Defoe etc in there then things change. Having said that if Stoke play they did Sunday we may have a chance with Gomes up top :rollin My prediction is 2-1 to spurs :hope

That'll do me :ok

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21

Anyone thinking about bookings points in the Leeds/United game? Coral have 5 cards or more @ 1.91

How cynical of you to suggest that this might turn out to be a lively encounter ;)

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21

I'm not sure. There are rumours it will be Pav on his own up front. I think it's best to wait until the teams are announced though.

Fair enough. Didn't Harry give Pulis his start in football back in the day? Hopefully they have a nice little chat before the game and decide attack is the best policy to eliminate this one dragging into extra time. Well we can wish can't we;)

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21

Yeah' date=' Pav can find the net (sometimes) but does little else worthy of note. I definitely think if we play him as a lone striker it decreases the chances of over 2.5. We didn't really look like scoring in Greece with this system, despite playing well. Although it seems our team will be stronger tonight than on Thursday.[/quote'] Surely Harry will not have them set up defensively for this one? I have to admit I'm banking on him to throw caution to the wind in order to encourage Stoke to come out of their shells.

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21

I think spurs will struggle for goals tonight. I assume Pavluchenko will start up top as he did on thursday and the only decent effort he had was from a free kick :unsure If you havent already placed your bet it might be worth seeing the teams. VDV didnt start on Saturday so may well play tonight and if he did that would be a big boost to your chances, plus Gallas and holding midfielder Sandro should be back so that will hopefully sure our defence up![/quote I was surprised when I looked at Pav's goal ratio at Spurs. Premier League 20 in 45 (29) FA Cup 7 in 6 (4) League Cup 7 in 8 (1) Brackets denote substitute appearances.

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21 Stoke v Tottenham (Tues) What we have here is two clubs with similar itineraries as both have the distraction of playing in this seasons Europa League. Stoke off the back of a long trip to The Ukraine did not fare so well on Sunday going down 4-0 to Steve Bruce’s Black Cats. It’s commendable that Stoke’s manager Tony Pulis has not resorted to leaning on excuses as most managers do in circumstances like these but one cannot get away from the fact that Stoke have been racking up the air miles in the last few days both internationally and nationally. All I can say is they’re lucky they were drawn at home for this one and fortunate not to get Newcastle away! Tottenham’s Sunday went swimmingly after their Greek Med exertions giving King Kenny’s boys a 4-0 roasting down at the Lane. I must confess I didn’t see that one coming. I have to be honest I’m really starting to like how this Tottenham team plays. I watched them in the first leg of the Europa League prelim against Hearts and thought to myself this team knows how to move the ball around but I dismissed it as the opposition was clearly inferior. However having watched them deliver a good performance against Man United for 60 minutes and the demolition on Sunday I’m beginning to believe they have a very credible chance of finishing in the top four and Harry’s crazy notion of them winning the league might not be as far fetched as I originally thought. Maybe I'm going over the top a bit;) Anyway back to this match. I’ve decided to avoid the win market as both teams are likely to usher in a whole raft of changes. I’m sure both teams will be hoping they’re not level at 90 minutes for fear of the dreaded 30 minutes overtime, so I’m envisaging quite an open game as both clubs have bigger fish to fry this season. If that attitude is adopted by both teams along with wholesale changes it could be a recipe for quite a few goals. The sides have met 6 times in the Premier League era. I don’t think it’s worth going back any further as previous to the that the last meeting was way back in 1985. The last 3 encounters have all ended over 2.5 and only 1 of the 6 encounters ended under 2.5. On that basis I think this one has a good chance of going over 2.5. I'm surprised Hills have both unders and overs at 1.91 under the circumstances. Total Match Goals over 2.5 1.91 @ Hills

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21 Leeds v Man United Just an update on my previous post. Just came across this taken from Goal.com: "All the players are desperate to play as you would expect, but I'd be lying if I said team selection won't be made without having an eye on our game at Brighton on Friday," he added. I didn't factor that in but it's just what I wanted to hear.

[England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21]

Re: England: Carling Cup Sept 20-21 Leeds v Man United (Tues) In years past I would have been a bit reluctant to go anywhere near this kind of match up in the League cup. Ferguson had a habit of fielding very weakened sides to the extent that it was disrespectful to the competition. It was only three seasons ago when United came a cropper at the hands of Coventry losing 2-0 at Old Trafford. This was the team that was guilty of Old Trafford heresy that night : Kuszczak, Bardsley (Brown 45), Evans (Carrick 56), Pique, Simpson, Nani, Martin (Campbell 45), O'Shea, Eagles, Dong, Anderson. Subs Not Used: Heaton, Eckersley. If we look at the squad this time round that Alexc has dutifully obtained via Teamtalk: Man Utd (from): Lindegaard, Amos, Fabio, Jones, Evans, Giggs, Park, Carrick, Fletcher, Valencia, Owen, Berbatov, Macheda, Diouf, Pogba, W Keane, James, Brown, M.Keane, Thorpe, Fryers. we see that the personnel for this battle is a few grades higher than the one that brought shame to the hallowed turf on that dark night. Who Sir Alex starts with is anybody’s guess. If the opposition were any other Championship side I’d be a bit wary of who he chooses to start with but because of the tribal rivalry that this fixture provokes I expect him to start with a solid core as surely he would not like to endure a second successive defeat at the hands of those pesky Yorkshire pudding eating men. Am I allowed to say that, is it not politically correct :p The competition for places in the United first team is very high right now. It’s even a triumph to actually make the bench these days. Ask Berba about that one. Maybe not :\ So anybody selected will have to take this serious to ensure that they’re kept in the managers long term thinking. For this reason I expect United to be adequately up for it. A great atmosphere will be provided so all is set for a lively tussle. I expect Leeds will give it a good go in front of a passionate home support but if the other United, in every sense of the word, can quell the early pressure it will be they who come out on top in this war of the roses. I’m banking on a tasty a mix of experience allied to the exuberance of youth to be able to put a few past a Leeds team that has a propensity to leak as many as they score. Ee bah gum it should be a cracker:ok Man United @ 1.53 most places I was considering adding over 2.5 goals to the bet but decided not to be greedy. Man United and over 2.5 is 1.85 at hills for those interested in being a tad more adventurous.