Spannar
-
Posts
100 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by Spannar
-
-
Only recently started to log into the forum again and I'm not very familiar with the characters here in the tennis section but I think a ban may be harsh Atko. I don't think he has to prove himself but maybe he sometimes feels he does (hence his gunslinger style) but we can all agree his tips are excellent and his input appreciated by many myself included. There seems to be many good tennis betters here. You seem a bit older and wiser Atko I'm sure he'll take your advice onboard.He's ok. We all have different ways of putting things across. Sent from my ST18i using PL Forum
-
Ruffin tb Dusan Lojda @ 4/9 in Ostrava Chardy tb Ilhan 2-0 @ 10/11 in Tunisia Lopez tb Tonic @ 4/6 in Munich Treble over 7/2 Stake €25 I guess all 3 picks can go wrong and sorry I can't give much insight but in theory all 3 should win if they serve well although Tomic is a real threat to Lopez. Small stake of £25 on the treble. Good luck with everyone's picks today awkward fixtures this week. Sent from my ST18i using PL Forum
-
Kerber tb Wozniaki @5/4 stake £50 at Stuttgart I guess Kerber is one of the form players atm. The other one is very blonde and I can't see much evidence that she is spectacular on this surface. Its a gamble but I think the fav is worth taking on in this match. Sent from my ST18i using PL Forum
-
Re: UEFA Champions League > Tuesday 5 April Dissapointed obviously. Anyone lucky enough to take Schalke pre match @ 11/2? Lord knows what they were at 1-0 or 2-1 down!
-
Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 6 April Anyone else think that apart from a half dozen matches at the start of the Premier league season Chelsea look predictable? Ballack & Deco were luxury players but i think they added important weight and depth in Midfield especially in the CL. I'm a Utd fan but i hate watching Utd play away games in the CL. Always the same tired, negative 4-5-1 with Rooney on the left . Chances are though Taggart does the same thing here yet again. It dosn't help Utd and i think the only way he beats Chelsea is 4-4-2 with Scholes and Fletcher in the middle with Valencia & Nani out wide , Rooney Berba up front. Can't bring myself to back Utd though knowing how negative Fergie lines up. In the league there are always goals (over 2.5) between these sides and nearly always 2-1 to Chelsea ,not sure about the Cl though, this could be a very catious boring game.
-
Re: UEFA Champions League > Tuesday 5 April Watching the match Madrid v Lyon i should really have been impressed by the score 4-0 to Madrid but i wasn't. Lyon had some good chances in that game , chances i think Spurs would have gobbled up. Marcello the right back who scored the goal looked supremley dodgey when defending (imagine what Lennon could do to him) , in fact they're entire defence looked gutless including the keeper. Also Madrid gave the ball away as much as they've ever done. The price on Tottenham +1 looks amazing . This is a team who really take to this competition and would much rather play Madrid than Wigan anyway. I think the price on Spurs+1 is around 15/8 and this is worth taking. Madrid are no Barcelona, not even close.
-
Re: EURO 2012 Qualifiers - Saturday 26 March
I agree that Ireland will 'probably' win but as you say the injuries especially in defence are massive. Westwood's 1st competitive start in goal- maybe i'm being pessamistic but i just don't think he's a very competent goalkeeper and most of our 1-0 wins (of which there are quite a few ) have been largely down to Shay Given. Dunne will start but hasn't played in weeks. Kilbane is slow and Foley& O'dea are risky at this(international) level. Not alot of people exactly queing up to back Ireland @ 4/9 over here. Team is built on defence (which isn't at a safe level) and fighting spirit (which is effective against teams in the top tier of football but hardly relevent or necessary against a team like Macadonia). Don't know much about Macadonia but there is a good chance they will have more of the ball than us (because of our akward tactics and fear of passing the ball ). Keane might be a little ring rusty and possibly hinder us until he's substituted for Long. Wouldn't rule Macadonia out of scoring a goal here. I'd back Ireland at 4/7 no probs but 4/9 considering our injuries just feels like a scam to me. Might have a look at the overs for more value but undecided yet . England -1 @ 6/5 is the only thing i see against Wales . England suffer the same passing deficencies as all the teams on these shores despite the big names, and against competent continental teams they can come unstuck. I can't see this happening against Wales . I can see alot of posession for England here against a team who have bigger ball retention issues of their own. I think Rooney can be reborn here and England can take off the shakles associated with Wembley. I have a gut feeling for Italy to beat Slovenia. If Italy can score here they have the defence to shut the hosts out. I know how good Slovenia are and i originaly thought that they were value @ 5/2 but i have done a uturn here cause i expect the Italians to start playing with pride again, they still have decent players and match winners and i'm unsure if Slovenia's defence can hold them out for 90mins . Obviously the draw is a big concern. Loving Albania +1 against Belarus.RoI who will be looking to get back on track after losing a 3-2 thriller last time out. Ireland have a few defensive injury concerns but should be okay seeing as they will be doing the majority of attacking. -
Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday 17 March Cheers yea im not really sure now. If they win with a clean sheet they progress but its unlikley . Considering overs even over 3.5 goals at 12/5 but my betting has gone well south latley. Its asking for trouble i think.
-
Re: UEFA Europa League > Thursday 17 March
Hi! I post in America´s thread. I´m looking to bet in a parlay PSG wins/PSG qualify' date=' because I see odds for win in PSG vs Benfica very equilibrated but the odds to qualify are totally different. If PSG wins Betfair pays 2.88, but if they qualify equally Betfair pays 3.05. The two events are totally correlated, for if one happens the other too. If we consider PSG win have more than 2.88 chances, then play qualification alone have value, but to play in a parlay offer better odds. In this stage all could happen, but if we stick with the bookmakers win of PSG at 30%, then if we could find a bookie who offers a parlay in this combo the odds will rise to 9/1, far away better than the original odds on win, and with the same chances. Aditionaly PSG have been not beaten in home in this Europa and Benfica besides leaking goals don´t score many as visitors. How I say all could happen but this seems very good to me to be real.[/quote'] Very true boss. Not totally sure why this is myself. Maybe bookies are convinced that Benfica go through here based on they're overall performance in the last leg coupled with their impressive away results so far. I guess they expect Benfica to score in this game (which they probably will) meaning PSG will need 2goals just to take it to extra time. Personally i really want the 2/1 on PSG to qualify here but i think im slightly blinded by the odds rather than the pobable outcome of the match itself. Any french league followers here know if PSG are taking this competition as seriously as the league? They have Marseille away on Sunday so maybe they might start with one or two of their better players on the bench. -
Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 9 March I can't see Milan winning , just too many problems. They had their chance in the first leg and If Spurs get an early goal here Milan's spirits could drop and they may resort to rugby tackles and roundhousing. They're best chance of scoring imo is a corner or set piece and i can see them targeting Gomez as such. Spurs will need Crouch and tough defending to help prevent this as Gomez can be such a dumbass at times. I think Roma could tire easily as well if things don't start off well. Huge task for both Italian teams and i'll give the home sides a try. Spurs Shaktar double i think is fair value. Good luck.
-
Re: UEFA Europa League > 22-24 Feb What an absolutley disgusting card. Couldn't be having Liverpool or any of the home teams at those odds. Rangers are the kind of tight, gritty scroungy team who can go to Portugal and bring it into extra time at least, so maybe a theres +1 hcap there but im not sure about the rest. Half of these games will end in draws and the other half in narrow 1 goal home wins. Couldn't trust Benfica away either after last week (Still sore about them not covering the goal hcap in a 44/1 acca) but i think that sums up Europa leauge. Taking 2 or 3 valuless home wins in a multi-bet at evens or above is madness guys. This is Europa leauge the twilight zone of football.
-
Re: UEFA Champions League > Wednesday 23 February Decidedly underwhelmed by both ties. May have a small bet on under 1.5 goals in france. Rooney will be shunned to the left and the team as an away fixture rule, will be sent out to bore Marseille to death.
-
Re: Rugby League: Super League Round 2 & National Rail Cup Judging from last season i would say off hand that Warrington look great with -6 hcap v Hull kr. Wolves lost against the giants last week and maybe there is an overeaction to that defeat here, i was expecting at least -10 tbh. I don't know have warrington lost players in the off-season? Or have Hull Kr improved that much? All i know is that last season the line would have read -10 or -12 for a wolves home match.
-
Re: Magners Celtic League-Aironi vs Dragons Hey man. I personally thought about taking Aironi with a +4 handicap at 10/11 . This is the only bet that would even tempt me. But i'm not betting cause its the worst time to bet on Magners league. Too many players off on 6 nations and the ones that do come back for club duty don't get time to gel with team mates. This is why there are so many disjointed tripe matches at the moment. Leinster are tripe without their star players so i wasn't surprised that Aironi nearly beat them last week in Ireland. I really don't think dragons warrant the 1/2 odds here and you would have too think Aironi at home and boosted by their last week display might even win. But thats just my opinion.
-
Re: Tennis - 14-20 February I was looking for a friday banker and had considered Melzer at 8/13 (Ladbrokes). Last time i saw Melzer play was australia and i thought he was decent enough against Murray. Problem is i havn't seen Tursunov play in years so i can't gauge him. Has anyone seen Tursunov play recently ? Reason im asking is that i really thought he'd be around 2/1 here instead of 6/5(ladbrokes). From what i remember of Tursunov i was never that impressed with any general aspects of his game. Bad temper too. Thanks.
-
Re: UEFA Champions League > Tuesday 15 February I do think Spurs have an awesome strike force and some of the older men of Milan will hate Lennon. They are around 9/4 to score over 1.5 goals wheras Milan are only around 5/6. Must check the odds but can anyone else see a red card in this game? I am thinking Spurs over 1.5 at the moment.
-
Re: Euro 2012 > 8th - 9th October Whats happened to this place?
-
Re: Euro 2012 > 8th - 9th October The only bet that even remotley tempts me in the Ire- Russ game is under 2.5 goals and tbh the Irish defence will have to put in double time to achieve that. The lads havn't really settled in well in the new stadium and we tend to play our worst football at home. Our centre mid-field will most likley be Whelan and Green. Green from what i've seen from him so far is pretty appaling and tbh i don't actually know what club he plays for! Due to us giving the ball away and playing counter attack, a good passing team like Russia and Arshavin isn't what the doctor orded at all. Even though they lost ,i thought Russia were decent against Slovakia and won't bet against them winning at the Aviva
-
Re: Champions League 31st of March My poetic licence taking there Jase , used to empazise a point i didn't mean to mislead anyone by it , im not a stats man myself. Anyway , over 3.5 goals currently stands at around 15\8 . Usually this market stands between 5\2 and 4\1 so the bookies are worried about it , If both managers stay true then in theory this bet has a decent chance
-
Re: Champions League 31st of March
Mainly Denilson ,Diaby and Song who are young and in the big matches are still making the wrong decisions between staying back aod going forward. Mainly they all like to go forward and forget alot of the time about getting back , !What younger players would that be then? It's another point I would like to add here actually. We've got a much more experienced team than we have over the last few seasons. Look at the teams that played against United last year. Almunia, Sagna, Djourou, Toure, Gibbs, Walcott, Song, Fabregas, Nasri Van Persie, Adebayor And Roma the year before; Almunia Sagna, Toure, Gallas, Clichy, Eboue, Diaby, Denilson, Nasri Van Persie, Bendtner You would have to admit that our team this year looks a lot stronger, and a lot more mature than those previous years. -
Re: Champions League 31st of March Arsenal went toe to toe with Man utd and Chelsea with about 70% of posession and absoloutley no tactical plan whatsoever and they got slaughtered both times. Its hard to know in a Cl game if Wenger will apply tactics or if his younger players may even understand what that word means. Arsenal like to play champagne football and it may take more than a week to teach tactics and may not be appreciated by alot of the players either. However barca will not play like Utd and Chelsea in that they will have most of the posession which in turn may actually help Arsenal who can hurt them in a counter attack. Seeing that both teams have dodgey defences (eg Is Pique better than Gallas or Campbell?) and, potent attacks, you should in theory get alot of goals -thats in theorey anyway. If your an Arsenal or Barca fan obviously your opinion would be invaluable here
-
Re: Champions League 30th of March That Schweinsteiger is a good player but he wont play. Dont really rate Van Bommel and he will play. Utd in theory could win this game by half - time. Fergie hopefully wont fill the players heads with horrible negative tactics and with any luck will unleash the Berb at some stage cause with two strikers utd could qualify in the 1st leg here. In Bayern's favour is the clubs pride and history in this cup and no doubt will have spent the week watching motivational vidios to that effect. They are also praising Rooney no doubt to soften him up a bit. I am going to trust Eergie here and hope he sends the team out to attack as 11/8 is a fair price to take. Of course you can't legislate for bad refereeing which is now standard in these Ueafa games. Also, the ref may decide to send Vidic off, Scholes may accidenty kill someone with a sliding tackle and Rooney might miss a tap and subsequently not hit a cows arse with a banjo. Ultimatley Bayern will have to take chances and this can only help Utd. The away win is worth the risk. Staying away from the French game as Bordeux will fustrate their rivals and could even nick it . 50/50 game
-
Re: CHELTENHAM 2010 - Ante Post bets & discussion Cheers boss good luck to you as well. Guy i know watches re-runs of past races over and over again studying the horses breathing , if its expending unnecessary energy how lucky/unlucky it was etc etc and takes it very seriously. He's pretty good at it and is either capped or barred from most firms now. Anxway its hard to get tips from him as he'd sooner peel an orange in his back pocket and isn't well liked by most round here. Anyway he's backed what a friend e/w(around 25/1) for the gold cup and i have to admit i'd agree with him. Definatley a progressive type and you'd feel able to challenge the likes of Denman and Imperial commander for a place. Anyway top Forum lads and will reading it.
-
Re: CHELTENHAM 2010 - Ante Post bets & discussion Hi gents , basically a football punter here so pretty useless to anyone but i love the Cheltenham. Quick question ,wondering if you guys (or would be proffesional horse bettors) record major jump races throughout the year and play them back a few times comming up to Cheltenham before making up your mind . I imagine that alot of the professionls would do this . Obviously i dont but i have often wondered if it makes any difference to visualising a winner as opposed to listening to endless tv and radio punters who say and do all the right things apart from actually picking winners. Thanks
April 30-May 6
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted