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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

iamblichos

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Posts posted by iamblichos

  1. Re: Third qualifying round, 1st leg > 2 August I have two bets for today´s round Tromso vs Metalurg Doneck - TROMSO Hosts have arteficial grass, so this can be an advatage, weather conditions in both countries are different and Doneck have 0 poinst from three league games with score 1-5 Tromso for 2.4 with sportingbet is IMHO worth a try with medium stakes Ruch Chorzov vs Plzen - Ruch DNB Plzen is actually better team than Ruch, has experiences from Champions league, but for today they must perform without Marek Bakos / three matches ban/, by far the best scorer, and without Cisovsky, regular defender-i think these are significant missings Ruch Chorzov DNB 2.05

  2. Re: Ligue 2 - April 7-9 Hi Atko, have you any infos about team news in Boulogne and Sedan /missings, suspensions/? I think these two teams are more motivated than their opponents /Boulogne-Istres, Laval-Sedan/, so i think about backing Boulogne and Sedan /here with draw cover/

  3. Re: Serie A - 9-11 March

    Napoli vs Cagliari Napoli conceded just 13 goals in 13 games home while in last 5 games conceded just 1 goal! Caglairi scored 10 goals in last 13 games, but 7 were scored in 2 games! In last 10 away games, Cagliari scored just 4 times. Napoli: De Santis - Campagnaro, Cannavaro, Aronica - Maggio, Gargano, Inler, Zuniga - Hamsik, Lavezzi - Pandev. Cagliari: Agazzi - Pisano, Canini, Astori, Agostini - Dessena, Conti, Nainggolan - Cossu - Nene', Thiago Ribeiro Pinilla, El Kabir, Rui Sampaio and Eriksson are out for Napoli, but only Pinilla taken from palermo is a big miss, the guy scoring twice in last 6 games. Expect Napoli to have a clean sheet @ 2.10 with Ladbrokers
    Funny, i will go into the opposite direction. Napoli will be without Cavani, with heads full of crucial match against Chelsea, nad Cagliari made draws also with Juve and Udinese...so Cagliari +1 /1.98 with Betfair/ is IMHO worth a try with low-medium stakes
  4. Re: Brazil Serie A 2011 THREAD

    This round will be very very hard, many derby matches, arch rivals, relegation and title battles. Bahia - Ceara This one is tough but i belive it is good time to pick Ceara, at least DNB option. @2.13 with pinnacle looks tasty. Bahia is already in safe position and coach gave rest to many starting players, they have small chances for international competition but i realy don´t belive they will use their maximum on very low chances. Atletico GO - America Mineiro Atletico need only one point to qualify for Copa Sudamericana, on the other hand America MG is playing realy great lately, with 4 wins out of last 5 matches, this is very impressive for this relegated team. Atletico PR - Coritiba Great derby between arch rivals, Atletico PR needing to win to avoid relegation to serie B, and Coritiba playing for place in Copa Libertadores and to relegate his biggest rivals. Avai - Figueirense Another arch rivals derby game, Avai is already relegated but the players will fight hard to beat the rival and to prevent their big rival not to go to Copa Libertadores next season. Corinthians - Palmeiras One of the biggest derby tonight at Sao Paulo state. To become champions Corinthians need just a point, but will have three major missings, Ralf, Danilo and Emerson are all out of the match. Palmeiras will do anything to prevent rivals in title battle. Botafogo - Fluminense Another derby and my money will go on Fluminense tonight, Botafogo is in crisis lately and Flu needs just one point to secure place in Copa Libertadores, i belive in Flu victory.
    Hello Bagzi, could the death of Socrates have an impact on Corinthians performance? Wil they be more motivated?
  5. Re: Euro 2012 Playoffs > Friday 11th November Well, early thoughts fot tomorrow, but i will wait for team news -Portugal not to loose..Bosnia will have three missings in defense, Papac, Mujdza,Sandza. I can´t see portugal loose this game. Portugal DNB or even Portugal straight win. Both to score is also an option -Estonia DNB Ireland away wins in qualification were vs Armenia, Macedonia, San Marino, Andorra, all others were draws or loses. Ireland will have some missings-according to some news are in doubt even Dunne, Given and O´Śhea. Estonia will have on its side also so called "euphoric" factor, they can achieve first really big success in history

  6. Re: Germany - Bundesliga II - 5-8 August

    Cottbus - 1860 Munich: Cottbus @ 2.20 (Pinnacle) 10/10 This is a decent price being offered for Cottbus' win. The hosts have started the season in a positive way with 2 wins (at home against Dresden 2-1 and away against Duisburg 1-2). The guests have a loss at Braunschweig (3-1) and a win at home against Karlsruher (2-1). There may be some "pay back" motivation on Cottbus' side since 1860 Munich defeated the hosts 4-0 at Munich last season. Cottbus appears to have started the season in a bit better shape. Munich isn't anything special and the 3-1 loss to Braunschweig may indicate weakness in away matches and in the defense. The home team should win this.
    Agree with this. Munich seems to have some troubles in defense, so i am also towards home win
  7. Re: MLB: June 14th Picks Lets hope for a better day... Tigers to beat Indians Verlander is 5-0 and 2.14 ERA from his last 7 games, 2-1 vs Cleveland. I think that he and whole team will continue on winning wave. Athletics to beat Royals Both pitchers in poor form, but i trust more Trevor Cahill with 3-1 vs Royals and Athletics have suffered plenty of defeats in past days, but the team is capable to start winning again Blue Jays vs Orioles After two crushes with Red Sox /score 5:30!!/ is time to win again and Villanueva can make things turn around. But when i look closer on the statistics, Jakubauskas starts only occasionally, but make a good performance. I will probably go with better odds, that means Orioles and hope, that Red Sox games will be still on Blue Jays minds... Brewers to beat Cubs I presume that Gallardo will not dissapoint me for second time and that the Brewers offense will start scoring again and one interesting game Yankees vs Rangers Sabathia is 5-2 in last games and 2-1 vs Rangers, but in last 2 games vs them has allowed 9 runs and in last 7 games 24 runs. On other hand Ogando for Rangers allowed in last 7 games only 11 runs, while 5 were in one game vs Royals. I will go with smaller stakes with Rangers

  8. Re: MLB: June 13th Picks

    Mariners to beat Angels 2.15 with Bet365 Vargas for Mariners is 3-1 in his last games, opposite to Haren. In head to head comparation are th statistic quite similar, 1-1 for Haren and 1-2 for Vargas, but Angels are 9-14 vs LHP and i will go for better odds, and there are better on Mariners Mets to beat Pirates 2.06 with Bet365 Pelfrey for Mets is 2-1 in last games and 3-1 vs Pirates, while Maholm is 1-3, resp. 0-2 vs Mets. Mets have good record vs LHP. Rockies to beat Padres 1.64 with Betfair Bass will make his MLB debut for Padres and I trust more the home side with Cook, who has record 2-0 vs Padres Cubs to beat Brewers 1.92 with Bet365 Dempster seems to be in good form with 4-2 in last games and 4-0 in games vs Brewers.
    Very well.... :( 1-3
  9. Re: MLB: June 13th Picks Mariners to beat Angels 2.15 with Bet365 Vargas for Mariners is 3-1 in his last games, opposite to Haren. In head to head comparation are th statistic quite similar, 1-1 for Haren and 1-2 for Vargas, but Angels are 9-14 vs LHP and i will go for better odds, and there are better on Mariners Mets to beat Pirates 2.06 with Bet365 Pelfrey for Mets is 2-1 in last games and 3-1 vs Pirates, while Maholm is 1-3, resp. 0-2 vs Mets. Mets have good record vs LHP. Rockies to beat Padres 1.64 with Betfair Bass will make his MLB debut for Padres and I trust more the home side with Cook, who has record 2-0 vs Padres Cubs to beat Brewers 1.92 with Bet365 Dempster seems to be in good form with 4-2 in last games and 4-0 in games vs Brewers.

  10. Re: MLB: June 11th picks

    So, tonight we have games that are really hard to predict... Rays to beat Orioles and Tigers to beat Mariners. Based on pitchers statistics /Price, resp. Scherzer/ 1.76, resp. 1.82 with Bet365 Reds to beat Giants. Lincecum doesnt convinced me yet, that he is in previous years form, team has problems with scoring. For Reds Leake is 4-1 in last games, team has better batting statistics and also odds are better fore Reds. 2.44 with Bet365 Astros to beat Braves. I think Lyles has shown some good performances recently so i will try Astros vs Minor with poor form and record 0-4. 2.05 with Bet365 Dodgers to beat Rockies. Lillyhas score 4-1 vs Rockies and can turn Dodgers on winning streak after three consecutive loses. Neverthless, Kemp could be a big miss for Ddodgers tonight. 2.38 with Bet365 :hope
    Not bad Rays, Tigers, Reds, Dodgers, :clap Astros:eyes
  11. Re: MLB: June 11th picks So, tonight we have games that are really hard to predict... Rays to beat Orioles and Tigers to beat Mariners. Based on pitchers statistics /Price, resp. Scherzer/ 1.76, resp. 1.82 with Bet365 Reds to beat Giants. Lincecum doesnt convinced me yet, that he is in previous years form, team has problems with scoring. For Reds Leake is 4-1 in last games, team has better batting statistics and also odds are better fore Reds. 2.44 with Bet365 Astros to beat Braves. I think Lyles has shown some good performances recently so i will try Astros vs Minor with poor form and record 0-4. 2.05 with Bet365 Dodgers to beat Rockies. Lillyhas score 4-1 vs Rockies and can turn Dodgers on winning streak after three consecutive loses. Neverthless, Kemp could be a big miss for Ddodgers tonight. 2.38 with Bet365 :hope

  12. Re: MLB: June 10th picks

    Well, for tonight i will consider these games Yankees to beat Indians Carmona for Indians is 1-4 in his last games and 1-3 vs Yankees, while Nova for Yankees is 3-2. Carmona in hist last 5 games allowed 29 runs and 7 homer runs, Nova 19 runs 3 home runs. Mets to beat Pirates. Here could it be little tricky, and i will go for better odds /and the attack is IMHO better on Mets side/. Dilon Gee is 5-0 in last games and 1-0 vs Pirates, he has faced Pirates 2 times with 3 runs and 11 strikeouts in 13 innings. But Morton for Pirates seems to be also in good shape. Marlins to beat D´backs. Anibal Sanchez will terminate 8-game losing streak for Marlins. I agree with blackcrow, that Rays will beat Orioles, although i will not go for handicap And one underdog: Cubs to beat Phillies. Zambrano is 4-1 in games vs Phillies, while Halladay on opposite 0-3 vs Cubs...odds round 2.75-2.95 are wirth a try
    Yankees, Mets, Marlins :clap Cubs, Rays :eyes
  13. Re: MLB: June 10th picks Well, for tonight i will consider these games Yankees to beat Indians Carmona for Indians is 1-4 in his last games and 1-3 vs Yankees, while Nova for Yankees is 3-2. Carmona in hist last 5 games allowed 29 runs and 7 homer runs, Nova 19 runs 3 home runs. Mets to beat Pirates. Here could it be little tricky, and i will go for better odds /and the attack is IMHO better on Mets side/. Dilon Gee is 5-0 in last games and 1-0 vs Pirates, he has faced Pirates 2 times with 3 runs and 11 strikeouts in 13 innings. But Morton for Pirates seems to be also in good shape. Marlins to beat D´backs. Anibal Sanchez will terminate 8-game losing streak for Marlins. I agree with blackcrow, that Rays will beat Orioles, although i will not go for handicap And one underdog: Cubs to beat Phillies. Zambrano is 4-1 in games vs Phillies, while Halladay on opposite 0-3 vs Cubs...odds round 2.75-2.95 are wirth a try

  14. Mariners to beat Tigers /2.86 with Betfair/. Verlander has score 1-4 vs Mariners, has lost his previous game, while Fister won his game vs Tigers and overall Mariners plays better vs RHP than Tigers. The odds on Mariners are IMHO too generous and are worth a try, although i will play with smaller stakes. Confid. cca 3-4/10 Blue Jays to beat Royals / 1.74 with Bet365/. Reasoning-better pitcher, better attack, better form on Blue Jays. Also over is an option. 5-6/10 White Sox to beat Athletics /1.91 with Bet365/. Athletics are on terrible run with 9 games losing streak and i don´t think that things would change tonight. I think that A´s have also some interpersonal problems between coach and players and i simply trust more White Sox. 5/10 Brewers to beat Mets /1.56 with Bet365/ Main reason here is Gallardo´s form. 7/10 And three games, where I have more feeling than reasoning for pick. Giants to beat Reds /1.95/, D´backs to beat Pirates /1.83/, Dodgers to beat Rockies /2.04/ :hope

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