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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

Subtlebydesign

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Posts posted by Subtlebydesign

  1. Re: Mix N Match II [s01B05] V. Williams vs. K. Clijsters - K. Clijsters £6.47 @ 1.12 (WBX) - Won (after commission): £0.74 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 5 Bets Won : 5 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£2.20 Surplus : £0 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £28.34 Average Odds : 1.08 Current Bank : £7.20 An image is available for uploading should anyone require proof. It would have been posted already but only just realised I am unable to post attachments.

  2. Re: Mix N Match II [s01B04] R. Nadal vs. F. Verdasco - R. Nadal £5.96 @ 1.09 (WBX) - Won (after commission): £0.51 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 4 Bets Won : 4 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£1.47 Surplus : £0 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £21.88 Average Odds : 1.07 Current Bank : £6.47

  3. Re: Mix N Match II

    Hi! I feel this well-layed out thread deserves a comment! It looks like you have thought long and hard about the strategy, rather than piling 'all-in' every bet so I wish you luck with this... Am I correct in assuming that, say you acheive stage 4, for example, but fail at some point during stage 5, you would have an offline bank of £75 and yet only your 1st of £5 'lives'? Thus, leaving you with £95 + £75 still to continue future efforts?
    Danny, thanks for your comments, much appreciated. I have thought long and hard about it and tried to make it better but can't and this is the result. Your assumption is absolutely spot on you would have an offline bank of £75 from the 1st life. This would as you quite rightly suggested would leave a bank of £95 + £75 still to continue. One other thing, every bet at odds of 1.07 would achieve a stage target. In fact it would achieve every stage, 180 bets in total. Anything above 1.07 would also leave a surplus bank.
  4. Re: Mix N Match II [s01B03] C. Wozniacki vs. D. Cibulkova - C. Wozniacki £5.59 @ 1.07 (WBX) - Won (after commission): £0.37 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 3 Bets Won : 3 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£0.96 Surplus : £0 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £15.92 Average Odds : 1.06 Current Bank : £5.96

  5. Re: Mix N Match II [s01B02] R. Nadal vs. F Lopez - R. Nadal £5.33 @ 1.05 (WBX) - Won (after commission): £0.25 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 2 Bets Won : 2 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£0.59 Surplus : £0 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £10.33 Average Odds : 1.06 Current Bank : £5.59 Need to get average odds up to at least 1.07 to achieve the stage target.

  6. Re: Mix N Match II [s01B01] J. Melzer vs. R. Federer - R. Federer £5.00 @ 1.07 (WBX) - Won (after commission): £0.33 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 1 Bets Won : 1 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£0.33 Surplus : £0 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £5.00 Average Odds : 1.07 Current Bank : £5.33

  7. Overview

    Back for another attempt at this, the first failing before it had even started. This strategy and method is based on a combination of all the different strategies that I have come across in the last year or so. I don’t have the nerves for an 'all-in', well not a full 'all-in' on every bet so I have bought together various strategies into one which I believe will work for me. I have tried this offline previously and have completed, what I will refer to as Stage 5, but then hit a loser during the next. This was offline and was just a bit of fun but now I want to try it again. A profit was made but has been tweaking the theory to make it better. I know the sports that I am good at and so I need a disciplined way to go forward with this and make it work. Objective I have £100 in my WBX account so the objective is this, turn £100 into well this will be explained below. A profit will do and there are no time limits. If I take a week to find one solid bet then that is acceptable however I suspect that this will not be the case. I may even use some of the expert tips made by the various people on this forum but possibly backing them in play when certain conditions are met. Selections will be posted as and when a solid opportunity is highlighted. This maybe one a day or one a week but as long as the selection is solid I will deal with the outcome whatever it be. Start Bank £100 split into £5 per pot so 20 shots at making this work Target Bank As I have said the target is irrelevant, a successful 10 Stages would be superb. I always find a target the undoing of a strategy as you are chasing all the time to stay on track. I will have short term targets which will be manageable and achievable as long as the winners keep coming in. The rest will take care of itself. Process There are 10 stages each consisting of 18 bets. Average odds of 1.10 will be used as this will achieve the desired outcome. At each stage the target is to treble the initial bank within the 18 bets. The 18 bets will run its full course whether the bank is achieved before the full 18 or not at all. At the end of a complete stage, 2 things will happen; 1. The initial bank will be removed from the bank at this point. 2. Any surplus over and above the target will also be removed thereby creating an Offline Bank. An example: Stage 1 - £5 into £15 then bank £5 (18) Offline Bank: £5 Stage 2 - £10 into £30 then bank £10 (18) Offline Bank: £15 Stage 3 - £20 into £60 then bank £20 (18) Offline Bank: £35 Stage 4 - £40 into £120 then bank £40 (18) Offline Bank: £75 Stage 5 - £80 into £240 then bank £80 (18) Offline Bank: £155 Stage 6 - £160 into £480 then bank £160 (18) Offline Bank: £315 Stage 7 - £320 into £960 then bank £320 (18) Offline Bank: £635 Stage 8 - £640 into £1,920 then bank £640 (18) Offline Bank: £1,275 Stage 9 - £1,280 into £3,840 then bank £1,280 (18) Offline Bank: £2,555 Stage 10 - £2,560 into £7680 then bank £2,560 (18) Offline Bank: £5,115 If so assume average odds at the end of Stage 1 a balance of £25.61 would be accrued. The surplus (£25.61 – £15) for Stage 1 is £10.61. This would also be added to the Offline Bank. If a full set of 10 stages, 180 bets were completed with average odds for every bet of 1.10, an Offline Bank of £15,969.91 would be achieved. Add this onto the completion of Stage 10 which would amount to £13,112.76 and overall return for a full set would be £29,082.67.

    Strategy All calculations are based on 1.10 for simplicity but you can hit all targets with 1.07 shots. The surplus at the end of each stage is smaller but I will aim for 1.10. I feel that's a comfortable level to strive for, however I suspect that the odds may go as low as 1.07 or maybe lower if a solid selection is found. To say that these will be very hot favourites is an understatement. I know hot favourites go down but I intend to dodge the bullet that brings this down by being selective. Sports NFL, Cricket, Football, Rugby League, Tennis, Golf, Rugby Union, Snooker, Darts. In the main most bets will be on Football, Rugby and Tennis.

  8. Re: Mix N Match [s01B09] Wigan vs. Chelsea - Chelsea X2 £13.10 @ 1.05 Just to confirm all bets with WBX. All bets will become a little shorter now as I will be taking the safety option of the draw instead of the outright. The other bet considered today was Liverpool vs Hull, but very short and quite right but lots of unknowns and wanted the safety of the draw included. Wont be taking shorter prices because they are short it will merely be the strength of the team in question with added safety to see out this first stage with 9 bets to go should this win today. Aiming for average odds of 1.10 so with this one today, the average comes down to 1.13. Well within my initial target. :hope Going to the hospital to see my baby daughter now who was born last night.

  9. Re: Mix N Match [s01B08] Monaco vs. Riba - Monaco £11.86 @ 1.11 - Won (after commission): £1.24 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 8 Bets Won : 8 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£1.24 Surplus : -£1.90 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £64.50 Average Odds : 1.14 Current Bank : £13.10

  10. Re: Mix N Match [s01B07] Arsenal vs. West Brom - Arsenal 1X £10.65 @ 1.12 - Won (after commission): £1.21 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 7 Bets Won : 7 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£1.21 Surplus : -£3.14 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £52.64 Average Odds : 1.14 Current Bank : £11.86 Not going to tempt fate by saying anything, just going to keep putting up the selections and cross my fingers.

  11. Re: Mix N Match [s01B06] J. Monaco vs. J. Silva - J. Monaco £9.40 @ 1.14 - Won (after commission): £1.25 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 6 Bets Won : 6 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£1.25 Surplus : -£4.35 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £41.99 Average Odds : 1.14 Current Bank : £10.65

  12. Re: Mix N Match [s01B05] Real Madrid vs. Xerez - Real Madrid £8.51 @ 1.11 - Won (after commission): £0.89 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 5 Bets Won : 5 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£0.89 Surplus : -£5.60 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £32.59 Average Odds : 1.14 Current Bank : £9.40

  13. Re: Mix N Match [s01B04] West Ham vs. Liverpool - Liverpool £7.15 @ 1.20 - Won (after commission): £1.36 One thing I have learnt from watching this game, Liverpool although they won have not got a side to win the Premier League. The strength and depth just isnt there for the team and there is also too much reliance on Torres and Gerrard. The one player who is missed alot and that is Alonso, so for these reasons Liverpool will only be considered if the right circumstances are achieved and are fully in my favour. Too high a risk from now on to put faith in a team who just arent playing very well at all. Anyway a round up of current progress..... Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 4 Bets Won : 4 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£1.36 Surplus : -£6.49 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £24.08 Average Odds : 1.15 Current Bank : £8.51

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