Subtlebydesign
-
Posts
93 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by Subtlebydesign
-
-
Re: The 110 PDC World Championship [s01B10] Van Barneveld vs. Richardson - Van Barneveld: £11.25 @ 1.12 (Betfair) Was tempted by Green Bay Packers @ Kansas City Chiefs at a rather tasty 1.18 to start and then this one but playing safe. Quite sure Green Bay will cruise in the first half as they normally do and then relax in the 2nd half. However Barneveld should have no problems with Richardson.
-
Re: 3 Banks - Aggressive! Nicely done Aldric, going to follow this with interest. :ok
-
Re: The 110 PDC World Championship [s01B09] Wright vs. Klassen - Klassen: £9.61 @ 1.18 (Betfair) - Won (after commission): £1.64 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 9 Bets Won : 9 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£6.25 Surplus : -£3.75 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £63.23 Average odds : 1.10 Current Bank : £11.25 Klassen had me worried when he lost that set......Next bet coming up shortly if conditions go my way.
-
Re: The 110 PDC World Championship [s01B09] Wright vs. Klassen - Klassen: £9.61 @ 1.18 (Betfair) (In Running 0-2 Sets) Cannot see wright pulling this back so for the sake of profit, here goes....
-
Re: The 110 Cheers Aldric it is going to plan so far but keeping an open mind. I have probably made it sound a lot more complicated than it really is. A few years ago I was able to hit 78 short priced favourites ranging from 1.06 to 1.16 at a fixed stake of 5 points, then hit a loss. This is where this idea came from. The 18 bets for each stage is based on average odds of 1.07. So given this I could potentially get to Stage 4. I know this is obvious but each bet profit is rolled over to the next upto 18 based on average odds. The idea being to treble the starting bank, return the original starting stake and then continue. I like to think of it as a compounding of short priced favourites with banking when the bank is trebled. It has to run to 18 bets if the odds are 1.07 average whereas I try to hit about 1.09. This gives me a profit over my original target bank on completion of a Stage. I dont like to make assumptions but for the purpose of this if average odds of 1.09 is achieved for the remainder of Stage 1 a bank of £21 will be achieved. Given that Stage 2 starts with £10 to become £30 the rest is profit minus the original stake. Hope this makes sense, should have wrote it like this to start with.....thats me over complicating things.
-
Re: The 110 [s01B08] Newton vs. Van De Rijck - Newton: £8.70 @ 1.11 (Betfair) - Won (after commission): £0.91 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 8 Bets Won : 8 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£4.61 Surplus : -£5.39 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £53.62 Average odds : 1.09 Current Bank : £9.61 Slightly ahead of target here and well not saying anymore. Possibly 3 to come tomorrow
-
Re: The 110 PDC World Championship [s01B08] Newton vs. Van De Rijck - Newton: £8.70 @ 1.11 (Betfair)
-
Re: The 110 [s01B07] Buffalo vs. San Diego - San Diego: £8.23 @ 1.06 (Betfair) - Won (after commission): £0.47 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 7 Bets Won : 7 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£3.70 Surplus : -£6.30 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £44.92 Average odds : 1.08 Current Bank : £8.70
-
Re: The 110 American Football [s01B07] Buffalo vs. San Diego - San Diego: £8.23 @ 1.06 (Betfair) (In Running 0-16 Q2 03:52)
-
Re: The 110 I want to complete Stage 1 before commenting on anything really as this then becomes a natural conclusion and temporary lull in proceedings, assuming things proceed that is. Ordinarily, I wont add comments to selections for obvious reasons really. This whole process is going to be slow, very slow. Would like to hear comments along the way and thanks for the comments so far. Whether I can do this, or whether it can be done or have I got the proverbial to complete it are all questions that will be answered as long as winning bets keep coming in. Have 1 or maybe 2 tomorrow but certain criteria needs to be met first......
-
Re: The 110 [s01B06] Man Utd vs. Wolves - Man Utd DNB: £7.72 @ 1.07 (Betfair) - Won (after commission): £0.51 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 6 Bets Won : 6 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£3.23 Surplus : -£6.77 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £36.69 Average odds : 1.09 Current Bank : £8.23
-
Re: The 110 [s01B06] Man Utd vs. Wolves - Man Utd DNB: £7.72 @ 1.07 (Betfair) No reasoning needed after midweek.....
-
Re: Hoopy's New £100 to £1000 football lays Good luck, will follow with interest.
-
Re: The 110 [s01B05] H Berlin vs. Schalke - Under 4.5 Goals: £6.99 @ 1.11 (Betfair) - Won (after commission): £0.73 Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 5 Bets Won : 5 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£2.72 Surplus : -£7.28 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £28.97 Average odds : 1.09 Current Bank : £7.72
-
Re: The 110 [s01B05] H Berlin vs. Schalke - Under 4.5 Goals: £6.99 @ 1.11 (Betfair) (In Running 80 minutes 1-2)
-
Re: The 110 [s01B04] FC Basel vs. Man Utd - 2 or more goals: £6.11 @ 1.15 (Betfair) - Won (after commission): £0.87 Not exactly what I was expecting but I will take it. Going to need a few more bits of luck along the way. Should have taken the under 5.5 really @ 1.07. Note to self, dont go for the higher odds. Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 4 Bets Won : 4 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£1.99 Surplus : -£8.01 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £21.99 Average odds : 1.09 Current Bank : £6.99
-
Re: The 110 [s01B04] FC Basel vs. Man Utd - 2 or more goals: £6.11 @ 1.15 (Betfair) Goals are coming......
-
Re: The 110 [s01B03] Chelsea vs. Valencia - Chelsea to Win: £5.68 @ 1.08 (Betfair) - Won (after commission): £0.43 This is going to be slow progress but as long as they keep winning thats fine by me. Potentially nothing until Thursday but you never know, have my eye on a few markets so will monitor. Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 3 Bets Won : 3 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£1.11 Surplus : -£8.89 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £15.87 Average odds : 1.07 Current Bank : £6.11
-
Re: The 110 [s01B03] Chelsea vs. Valencia - Chelsea to Win: £5.68 @ 1.08 (Betfair) (In Running 2-0 38 minutes) Cant see Chelsea losing this from here.
-
Re: The 110 [s01B02] Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns - Baltimore Ravens to Win: £5.19 @ 1.10 (Betfair) - Won (after commission): £0.49 Baltimore played exactly how I expected them too. Took control and never look in any danger. Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 2 Bets Won : 2 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£0.68 Surplus : -£9.32 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £5.00 Average odds : 1.07 Current Bank : £5.68
-
Re: The 110 American Football [s01B02] Baltimore Ravens vs. Cleveland Browns - Baltimore Ravens to Win: £5.19 @ 1.10 (Betfair) (In Running) Baltimore 10-0 up at the end of the first half. Baltimore currently 8-3 on a streak of 2 Wins. Cleveland are 4-7 and lost last time out. Ray Rice should continue running rings around the Cleveland defence. Baltimore got the Cleveland offence wrapped up in the first half, can only see this continuing.
-
Re: The 110 [s01B01] Spain vs. Argentina - Spain to Win: £5.00 @ 1.04 (Betfair) - Won (after commission): £0.19 Fairly straight forward that one. Nadal delivered and this hunt delivered its first winner. Long may it continue. Odds slightly less than I would have wanted but not too bothered about that right now. Stage 1 Progress Start Bank : £5.00 Target Bank : £15.00 Bets Placed : 1 Bets Won : 1 Bets Lost : 0 Profit/Loss : +£0.19 Surplus : -£9.81 Offline Bank : £0 Total Stakes : £5.00 Average odds : 1.04 Current Bank : £5.19
-
Re: The 110 Davis Cup 2011 Winner (Tennis) [s01B01] Spain vs. Argentina - Spain to Win: £5.00 @ 1.04 (Betfair) (In Running) Spain currently 2-1 up. Nadal destroyed Monaco and Ferrer comfortable against Del Potro. One game for Nadal or Ferrer to win outright, although suspect Nadal will tear Del Potro apart. Shorter than would like but go for what I hope will be a winning start.
-
Overview
WBX, Betdaq and Betfair accounts so the objective is this, turn that £100 into well this will be explained below. A profit will do and there are no time limits. If I take a week to find one solid bet then that is acceptable however I suspect that this will not be the case. I may even use some of the expert tips made by the various people on this forum but possibly backing them in play when certain conditions are met. Selections will be posted as and when a solid opportunity is highlighted. Posts maybe one a day or one a week but as long as the selection is solid I will deal with the outcome no matter what happens. Start Bank £100 split into £5 per pot potentially 20 shots at making this work and make a profit. One stage completion of 18 bets will turn a profit. Target Bank As I have said the target is irrelevant, a successful 10 Stages would be superb but somewhat unrealisic. This is not defeatest its the reality of the fact. Certain other factors will come into a full set however the biggest by far will be having a pair big enough to go through with it. I always find a target the undoing of a strategy as you are chasing all the time to stay on track. I will have short term targets which will be manageable and achievable as long as the winners keep coming in. The rest will take care of itself. Process There are 10 stages each consisting of 18 bets. Average odds of 1.10 will be used as this will achieve the desired outcome. At each stage the target is to treble the initial bank within the 18 bets. The 18 bets will run its full course whether the bank is achieved before the full 18 or not at all. At the end of a complete stage, 18 bets, 2 things will happen; 1. The initial bank will be removed from the bank at this point and added to the Offline Bank. 2. Any surplus over and above the target will also be removed thereby creating an Offline Bank. An example: Stage 1 - £5 into £15 then bank £5 (18) Offline Bank: £5 minimum Stage 2 - £10 into £30 then bank £10 (18) Offline Bank: £15 minimum Stage 3 - £20 into £60 then bank £20 (18) Offline Bank: £35 minimum Stage 4 - £40 into £120 then bank £40 (18) Offline Bank: £75 minimum Stage 5 - £80 into £240 then bank £80 (18) Offline Bank: £155 minimum Stage 6 - £160 into £480 then bank £160 (18) Offline Bank: £315 minimum Stage 7 - £320 into £960 then bank £320 (18) Offline Bank: £635 minimum Stage 8 - £640 into £1,920 then bank £640 (18) Offline Bank: £1,275 minimum Stage 9 - £1,280 into £3,840 then bank £1,280 (18) Offline Bank: £2,555 minimum Stage 10 - £2,560 into £7680 then bank £2,560 (18) Offline Bank: £5,115 minimum So assume average odds at the end of Stage 1 a balance of £25.61 would be accrued. The surplus (£25.61 – £15) for Stage 1 is £10.61. This would also be added to the Offline Bank. If a full set of 10 stages, 180 bets were completed with average odds for every bet of 1.10, an Offline Bank of £15,969.91 would be achieved. Add this onto the completion of Stage 10 which would amount to £13,112.76 and overall return for a full set would be £29,082.67.
odds may go as low as 1.07 or maybe lower if a solid selection is found. To say that these will be very hot favourites is an understatement. I know hot favourites go down but lets see how this pans out Sports NFL, Cricket, Football, Rugby League, Tennis, Golf, Rugby Union, Snooker, Darts. In the main most bets will be on Football, Rugby and Tennis. Wish me luck, I am going to need it.......realisticly Stage 1 complete would be a great start. Long term we will see about that......
how hard could it possibly be to hit 30 winning bets? 30 BETS REACHED!!!
in Glory Hunters
Posted
Re: how hard could it possibly be to hit 30 winning bets? Good luck with this would love to see something like this done. Good bet lay cesena ht/ft @ udinese, cant see Cesena scoring at all. :hope Incidentally following this thread with interest.....