[Home only on Draw No Bet markets - Random picks -]

New to all of this posting stuff. Been messing around with systems etc all season and had nothing of any note....so,given that most leagues have 45 to 50% or so home wins 25% draws and 25 or 30% aways..underlying trends should mean that blanket coverage should work right? All games for the 5th of May, random selections with no other logic than the above. Take 1000 points as starting bank - with 10 point bet on each - Here goes - :dude Skeid 2.05 Angelholms FF 1.727 Trelleborg 1.825 Hacken 1.80 Vannes 1.615 Dunfermline 1.666 Shonan Bellmare 1.181 Shimizu S-Pulse 1.30 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 1.45 Vissel Kobe 1.615 Kashiwa Reysol 2.80

[Staking on "Odds on Games" some help needed]

I’m a lurker new to the forum. Couple of questions that I’d like some insight on - <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" />

Say if one had a system that could predict the outcome of a football games 60% of the time, would I be a complete idiot in saying that provided I bet on odds that were more than 1.41 every time…then over time I would show a profit?

Also, whilst I clearly understand the Martingale theory and certainly not arguing for it, is there some sort of bet recovering system that given you have a high % predicting capability and you know in advance what odds are for your next 2 or 3 bets, could you not structure your starting stake to work in quasi Martingale way should you loose.

Basically try and iron out some of the exposure in the Martingale System….i.e.

Game 1 - odds of 1.40

Game 2 in the sequence is odds of 1.56

Game 3 is 1.78

Game 4 is 1.47

Is there a system / staking plan approach that would reduce the risk if

My first bet on game 1 was .56, meaning that if I lost the first game my next bet on game 2 would be 1 to recover the .56. And more interestingly finding a way of taking into account some sort of staking relationship from game 3 and 4 for when and if the loss hit in this 4 or 3 game sequence.

Or should I go back to rock I’ve crawled under from and forget this line of thought???

Thanks in advance for anybody that decides to pay the slight attention to this…and I agree with who ever said “gambling is the hardest way to make easy moneyâ€:unsure