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J-unit
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Re: Sweden Allsvenskan September 18th-20th 2010
Sport Football (Sweden) Event Djurgården - Malmö Selection Malmö -0.25 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 20/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Ladbrokes @ 1.96 Reasoning Current league leaders Malmö travel to Stockholm to take on Djurgården after winning the Skåne derby and top meeting against Helsingborg 2-0 and without two of their best strikers Daniel Larsson and Agon Mehmeti, both back for this fixture. Djurgåden been in nice form lately but they have no real agenda, ofc a string of bad result could make them back to the wrong end of table again. After 4 consecutive wins they lost away to Åtvidaberg and should be warry of not losing form. Malmö is just to good at the moment. The best team of Allsvenskan with great motivation a deep roster, hungry talents and confidence. Clear edge against a Djurgården thats too vulnerable and have had a great run. You cant expect more then that from this team really and without a clear agenda it willb etough to resist the superior hosts thru 90 minutes. -
Re: Sweden Alllsvenskan September 22nd 2010 Very tough matches this round...
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Re: Sweden Superettan September 17th-20th 2010 I see some value on Assyriska here AH best choice but HQ is also good for smaller , Wont put a preview up as its less then an hour left and I m stressed up. But the away fans will boycott the derby cause they feel Assyriskas fans have done so inofficially the last couple fo times Syrianska had Home ground to mess with their economy. So they will do the same here(only smal group of hardcore fans will go there) not expected to be many. lots on stakes for Syrianska ofc as they have a very good chance of getting to top division when the season ends, being 2nd in table and Norrköping losing badly at home this round. This is a hot derby and Syrianska is on hell of a run but they had very tough matches and this one should be very close. Assyriska have had a dissapointing one but if they win here the fans will forgive them and there will be some celebration tonight. Lot of rivalry here and there could be some tough scenes on and off the pitch. One of Assyriskas players got shot to death some months ago in a tragic shooting betwen criminals and they will honour him today. AH on home side should be best here. GL
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Re: Sweden Allsvenskan September 18th-20th 2010
Sport Football (Sweden) Event IFK Göteborg - Åtvidaberg Selection IFK Göteborg -2 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 19/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 3.20 Reasoning IFK have 2 wins in row now and want to make a late push to perhaps salvage anything from this season, in form of a European place. Bärkroth and Stiller are missing, and Sana could replace Stiller and make a very offensive home team. Åtvidaberg is a classic team and have fought against relegation all season. Recently they are on a good run and have caused some upsets. This is their third match in a week and I expect their overperformance to balance out here with a flat match. Lot of nerves and pressure here in front of a motivated hometeam in good form with good support. -
Re: Sweden Superettan September 17th-20th 2010
Sport Football (Sweden) Event IFK Norrköping - Landskrona BOIS Selection Under 2.5 goals Strength 10/10 Date 17/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 2.25 Reasoning 5 rounds left of Superettan when division leaders Norrköping take on, play off hopefuls, Landskrona. Norrköping Come str8 from a loss away to Syrianska. They looked to get away with 1 point from the tough away match but conceded 2 goals on overtime to walk away empty handed from a ugly match in which Syrianska closed the gap and are no second with 3 points up to the number 1 spot. Now they look to wrap up the league with a major step here and give them self some peace. At home were they area very strong on their artificiell grass. Home form: After losing 0-1 to Ängelholm they have 4 wins and one 0-0 draw their between against Assyriska. Scored 10 and conceded 2 during thoes 6 matches. Tobias Rickhammar will sitout together with Tankovic and "matchwinner" Imad Khalili who still have not recovered properly. Landskrona are placed 4th and have only 2 points up to the "Allsvenskan" qualifying place. A very important match. After losing away to Falkenberg The guests are now on a run of three concecutive wins and come here with the hope of causing an upset. The BOIS played there last match just three days ago against the 2th from bottom Trollhättan and won 3-0 but still they should feel it in their legs the more the match progress. I think a point here will make them pretty happy. Last 6 away they scored 7 and conceded 14 in 3W-2D-1L. Usually these two teams score a lot when they matchup. But Landskronas poor away form and a match 3 days ago they will try not to lose and maybe create something on counters. Norrköping looked a little off in their last away game and even thou Södertälje is not a good place for them, khalilis missing is hurting them. I expect both teams to take a cautious approach. Weather is windy and its been raining on and off all day, pretty cold. These conditions will help us. Landskrona want to hold it tight as long as possible and they usually dont score to many away. Norrköping is a little bit off at the moment, Väsby and Landskrona are not the same kind of teams, and they look a bit pressured by the 1 position and a little bit nerves are showing. They will concentrate on not to concede and score a goal and close the match. -
Re: UEFA Europa League > 16th September
Sport Football (Europa League) Event PSV - Sampdoria Selection Draw Strength 3/10 Date 16/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price 888Sport @ 3.50 Reasoning I think the draw probability in this one is way higher then these odds. Sampdoria didnt show defensive stability away at Juve but they already look a little tired. At the start of the season the condition is not yet optimal and matches are coming fast and thick for them. Usually tight away Samp should look to hold the tempo down and save some energy. The concentration will ofc be on the home games and 9 points there (more or less) and next round is a fact. PSV will want to win but I dont think a draw will be a too big of a dissapointment. Samp where pretty tired in the end of the Juve game. and Juve did enough to win the tie but Cassano and CO got a valuable point from Turin. The new Samp Coach Domenico Di Carlo introduced a couple of young guns and they looked exciting. Pazzini will prob play or else Pozzi is ready to score for his second concecutive match and Cassano will despite starting not play the whole match. PSV will miss defenders Stanislav Manolev and Francisco Javier Rodriguez and with telented Isaksson, who could be erratic from time to time, they lack the stability to be able to close out this game I think. The draw is where the value is imo and this should be tight. -
Re: UEFA Europa League > 16th September
Sport Football (Europa League) Event Lille - Sporting Selection Lille -1.5 (Asian-handicap) Strength 3/10 Date 16/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Gamebookers @ 3.60 Reasoning Even matchup here. Neither side been in scoring form. Lille got their first win in the Ligue 1 this weekend winning 4-1 away to a Lens that fnished the match with 9 men on the pitch. So we shouldnt take to much from that. The confidence will serve well aas this unit wiht young talented players need just that to play their best. Sporting been a solid side without much flash. Lowscoring games and miminum effort seem to be their thing right now. Its important for Lille to get the momentum going, they will probably rotate the squad but even with that they should have enough for Sporting to win this one. The coach wants them t o play attacking football and they have been creating chances even though they had trouble converting. But in last match they should be good and with a Sporting side close to mediocracy it will be a good platform for starting a run. Sporting will miss suspended Liedson and Maniche, Pedro Mendes, Leandro Grimi and Marat Izmailov thru injuries. -
Re: UEFA Europa League > 16th September
Sport Football (Europa League) Event Stuttgart - Young Boys Selection Stuttgart -1 (Asian-handicap) Strength 5/10 Date 16/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price 188bet @ 2.19 Reasoning Have to take a shot here. Feels like YB are a bit overrated here coming in without Emiliano Dudar, David Degen (twin brother in Stuttgart Phillip also suspended) and Senad Lulic. They have been a positive suprise in Europe so far but I feel like they arae a bit overambitios. They can get very naive defensively and in attack they can create a lot and miss to many chances. Stuttgart have been suffering in Bundesliga but this is a different competition. Gross knows his country men well and he is also a great motivator. Home side have a chance to turn things and I belive they have good chances of doing so here. YB not as strong away and their strong acomplichment of knocking out Fenerbatche where a lot thanks to the turks. Gross will know how to play YB and motivate his team. A team with quality and crowd in their back. YB without 3 good players and the fairy tale could get a twist here. -
Re: UEFA Europa League > 16th September
Sport Football (Europa League) Event Laussane - CSKA Moskva Selection Over 2.5 goals Strength 7/10 Date 16/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Betsson @ 2.05 Reasoning Moscows pride as a football city is @ stake when Swiss division 2 outfit Lausanne look to pull another upset on on their second consecutive Moscow outfit in Europe, followin their knock out of CSKAs city rivals Lokomotiv. It will for sure be a harder task. Showing great capability when taking out danish Randers before that also to eventually qualify for the group stage of the competition. The task here will be a lot harder though. This is the real deal and CSKA is a team on fire. Lokomotiv and Randers where having tough times deomestically when they matched up againsT Laussane. Still a great accomplishment but here the high flying side will be put back to ground. Ironically CSKA lost to Lokomotiv this weekend in a game with 2 red cards and a little mixed starting line up. This comp will be a distraction, yet pleasent, for Lausanne but you have to wonder how they will handle playing on two fronts with a smal squad. The value on CSKA is drained wont touch them for under 1.65 at least, but as they have conceded and are in goalscoring form and Laussane score and concede to. I think the value is in over 2.5 goals. -
Re: UEFA Europa League > 16th September
Tip Detail Sport Football (Europa League) Event Sparta Prague - Palermo Selection Palermo 0 (Asian-handicap) Strength 7/10 Date 16/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price 10bet @ 2.08 Reasoning Going with the better team here. Palermo area a team built for counterattack but they got enough weapons to score either way. Looks like a under ofc with Sparta Prague showing a toothless attack previously in the Europa Qualies and also domesticly. They got dangerous players like Sionko and Wilfried. Palermo however got Pastore, Maccarone and Hernandez. The Sicilians play in Europe with pride and they are excited even though their long term goal is CL the EL is very good for experience and to be out in Europe are a great deed for president Zamparini. Against Bari the defense werent good and they conceded two cheap goals. They woke up in second half and really put them under pressure. Nocerino is suspended for the host and Miccoli is still out... I give Palermo an edge here the UNDER is priced without value so the DNB here is a bet I like. Hard to see Palermo losing this one, and have enough to edge it out at this price. -
Re: UEFA Europa League > 16th September
Event Napoli - Utrecht Selection Over 3.5 goals Strength 10/10 Date 16/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Victor Chandler @ 3.80 Reasoning Napoli coming off an entertaining 2-2 draw @ with Bari. No doubt a big letdown for the Sicilians who took the lead for the first time in the end of the match only to see Bari equalising almost in the next attack. More will be needed from this defense but one thing is sure even if they concede they will certainly score some too. Caviani, Lavezzi and Hamsik all look really good. This is a very driven and spirited team and @ home they will be fired up. Utrecht are sticking up in Holland and are aiming higher with every year. Weak away they lost to Celtic 2-0 before beating them 4-0 at home. So they will struggle against a tough home team for sure. Napoli are enjoying there football it seems but they are to much up and down in a game, that together with there poor defensive form at the moment will provide Van Wolfsvinkel and CO with scoring chances. Could be a lot of goals and I primarly thought of -2 on Napoli I belive they will have good chances to score 3-4 goals here but the odds are imo they will concede 1-2 or two so over is the choice for me here. -
Re: UEFA Europa League > 16th September
Sport Football (Europa League) Event Besiktas - CSKA Sofia Selection Over 2.5 goals Strength 10/10 Date 16/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Paddy Power @ 2.01 Reasoning Besiktas is cathing form as they scored 4 goals in their three last matches. Guti, Bobo and even Quaresma, who acutally complete passes now and his crosses dont go behind the goal but infront, are playing well and they be relishing showing their form in Europe. The bulgarians can score but they also concede. They conceded 2 goals away to TNS and 1 away to Clifftonville in the Europa league Qualies and are bound to concnede here. They recorded a 1-1 draw in their recent match @ home against Litex Lovetch and won 3-1 away @ Slivetn prior to that in the domestic league. Traveling to Turkey against an inform powerhouse is not an easy task for Sofia. I contemplated on the -1.5 but I will go with the over 2.5 goals. Besiktas will prob score more then 2 goals imo and sometimes these Big teams spec Turkish ones lately can concede against lesser opponents cause of bad focus. -
Re: UEFA Champions League > 15th September
Sport Football (Champions League) Event Real Madrid - Ajax Selection Real Madrid -1.5 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 15/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Victor Chandler @ 2.02 Reasoning Real have had difficulty scoring at the start of the season. Mainly because of the poor form of Ronaldo and Higuain, but also Mourinho want to strenghten the defense first and then focus on attack. Starting to build a team from the right side of the pitch so to say. Ajax looking good still they are not famous for their defending qualities and without Verthongen and their main attacking threat and captain Luis Suarez they could struggle on both ends. Real have many other that can step up and score when the top players are out of form plus one good finish from either Ronaldo or Higuain will change that. They look better for everygame and you cant really compare Osasuna, a solid defensive side, against "total football" experts Ajax of Amsterdam. Real with enough quality here to score and this game could not have come in a better timing for real imo. To meet a defensively suspicious side when going thru a little dry spell in the scoring department. -
Re: UEFA Champions League > 14th September
Sport Football (Champions League) Event Bursaspor - Valencia Selection Draw Strength 3/10 Date 14/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Betsafe @ 3.30 Reasoning Valencia being touted as favourite here is jot not right imo. Bursa a young talented team playing @ home in Turkey where its never easy for guests. Valencia will miss banega and Vicente. Now the latter isnt the bigest missing but Banega is the heart of this team. Making crucial tackles defensively and splitting the opponents defense with his quality passes. Valencias counter play will be hurt by his absence as Im not sure if anyother can take that role. Fernandes is not really there yet in form and lack the same quality. Bursa have won there home games this term by 1 goal only, they dont score many but dont concede neither. So they wont attack recklessly and give Valencia the counter space they need. But I can see Valencia getting nervy here in front of fanatic crowd and with some players that might not have the mentality to be cool here. Like Navarro, Maduro other new unproven players at this level and they are usually prone to red cards. Ceasar in goal are not to be trusted 100% either as he likes to mix it up and childish misstakes are not uncommon from him. Conclusion they are to unstable to be concidered favourites as this is a even matchup. Concidering the home advantage and Banegas missing. Together with Valencias (club) experience at this level I think the draw is the most likely outcome and have a shot at that. Any team can edge it out but the draw is a result both teams will more or less be happy with -
Re: UEFA Champions League > 14th September
Sport Football (Champions League) Event Man U - Rangers Selection Man United -1.75 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 14/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Paddy Power @ 1.80 Reasoning Manchester Uniteds attack are starting to heat up. Scoring three away against Everton that have been pretty tight defensively and on top of that creating enough to score 3 more. All that without their best attacker Ronney. Today at home where they are the strongest Rooney will start and Sir Alex said he expects a big performance from him. Rangers cant compete with United and the home team and Wayne Ronney have apoint to prove here so it will be a long night for Fergusons compatriots at Old Trafford. -
Re: UEFA Champions League > 14th September
Sport Football (Champions League) Event Twente - Inter Selection Inter -0.25 (Asian-handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 14/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price SBOBet @ 1.80 Reasoning Dutch Champions have been quiet good on defense so far and Inter have had trouble scoring and their defense is also solid as usual. The obvious choice would be Under here but you never know how Twente will react. This is a big game for them and Benitez is a good "Cup" coach. I like the bet on Inter more. Because of bad performances so far the odds are higher then expected and looks like somewhat of a trap. On the other hand the quality is very much on Inter side and the CL will be a good platform to gain form imo. Doubt Twente can sit back and defend and will sooner or later give chances to Etoo and Milito on counter. I take the Draw cover for the sake of it. But a -1 wouldnt suprise me either. Good news is that Maicon will prob start and thats a big boost. Also expect Snejider to perform well in Holland and have already been showing promising form. -
Re: UEFA Champions League > 14th September
Sport Football (Champions League) Event Lyon - Schalke 04 Selection Over 2.5 goals Strength 10/10 Date 14/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price SBOBet @ 2.25 Reasoning A bit of a contradicting bet as both teams have struggled domestically and goals have not come in numbers for either side. Still its two teams with a lot of qualities. Spec on attack you can find players like Gourcuff, B.Gomis, Briand and Lisandro for the home side and Rakitic, Huntelaar, Farfan and CL legend Raul on the other. factors behind this bet beside the wealth of attacking talent are the fact that both sides struggle defensively so far and Lyon will miss Cris and Cissokho tonight and their backline is very different fromt he one last year with new, young and uncoherent players. Also both teams see this as a chance of turning the season (I know its just been a few games) and get a good result to build on. Lyon are desperate for a win which was evident after the weekend game and Schalke have the attackers to expolit the oppositions weakened defense. -
Re: Sweden Allsvenskan 10-13 September 2010
Sport Football (Sweden) Event Kalmar - Brommapojkarna Selection Draw Strength 5/10 Date 13/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Pinnacle Sports @ 4.24 Reasoning @ the moment not much are seperating these sides. Kalmar have a great record against BP as they have never lost to them in 5 meetings. Both are just above the relegation zone with Kalmar having collected 2 points more then BP. Both sides have been in a downtrend with big difficulties scoring and winning matches. Today I expect a tight match with Both teams looking not to lose first and foremost. Then ofc kalmar will be the team dominating. But it will be difficult for their out of form players to break down BPs wall and a draw is very much on cards here imo. And that something BP will bemore happy with. 1-1 is my call and the odds on draw represent value to me. Gabriel Petrovic is out for BP and Kalmar have a couple players back from injury but their form is questionable. -
Re: Sweden Allsvenskan 10-13 September 2010
Sport Football (Sweden) Event IFK Göteborg - GAIS Selection Under 2.5 Strength 10/10 Date 13/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Betsson @ 1.78 Reasoning Sold out arena in a hot derby. Unfortunatley between two teams that struggle to find the goal. That should however not take anything out of the expected battle and fighting spirit on the picth. IFK need points here in the end to qualify for Europe but thats not too realistic. GAIS who with a win here can equal Göteborg in the table on points, need to be careful in order not to get drawn in the relegation battle. Göteborg have had trouble scoring lately and these derby matches usually are tight with a lot of battle in the midfield. Last meeting between them ended 0-0 and GAIS Last 6 away matches in Allsvenskan ended with Under2.5. Here I expected another tight match with Göteborg prob coming off as victors spec if late call Reuben Ayarna wont play in GAIS midfield. But it should still be 1-0 or 2-0 imo . Bärkroth is a doubt for the home team but will prob play and if Ayarna get the nod a lowscoring draw is not out of the question. -
Re: Sweden Superettan September 9th-13th 2010 2.87 @ paddy power
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Re: Sweden Superettan September 9th-13th 2010
Sport Football (Sweden) Event Upplands Väsby - Hammarby Selection Over 3.5 goals Strength 10/10 Date 13/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Boylesports @ 2.75 Reasoning The Swedish leagues are reaching their final stage some fight for Championship/promotion, some for staying in their leagues and other just wait for the season to end with no competetive agenda left. Home team are last in the league and need to get as many points as possible in the last 6 matches to have a chance of playing in Superettan for another year. Hammarby on the other hand are fighting hard to get back to Allsvenskan. They are not in a very good position but they need to take as many points as they can to have a chance for a play off spot. The Classic club are also surrounded by turbulence with several club officials resigning recently. Both teams reports good preparation and training during the international break and come into this clash looking for no less then 3 points. Uppland Väsby have conceded 49 goals, most in the league, and their last 6 home matches : 0-3 Assyriska, 2-2 Trollhättan, 1-1 Ängelholm, 2-2 Örgryte, 1-1 Landskrona and a 3-2 win versus ljungskile. No new big injuries but Da Silva Santana miss thru suspension. Hammarbys last 6 away: 4-3 Öster, 0-2 Brage, 0-1 Norrköping, 2-2 Sundsvall, 0-0 Falkenberg and 0-3 loss to Örgryte. Practically a full squad and Castro-Tello and Genoas new signing Linus Hallenius will start upfront in a deadly partnership. As you can see these two teams both concede and score and today only 3 points will be good anything else will make their tough situations look pretty much hopeless. i expect an open and attacking game with lots of goals. -
Re: Tennis - US Open
Sport Tennis Event R.Nadal - N.Djokovic Selection Nadal -1.5 sets Strength 10/10 Date 12/09/2010 Bookmaker/Price Boylesports @ 1.70 Reasoning Nadal goes into his first US Open Final without dropping a single set. Here he matchup against a tired Djokovic that played the match of his life last night beating Federer in an epic incredible 5 setter to advance to the second US open final of his career. The odds for Nadal win are too low but expected as majority will take him after Djokovic tough tough game. He would have been a favourite anyhow but things got a little craxy now and if he would lose it would become a big sansation. In my mind Djoko can keep this one tight so the handicap is not so good choice and the -2.5 sets a bit risky as I think Djoko can take the first one which will prob be the tightest and a tiebreak could very much be on cards. I just take the safer bet IMO as I dont think Djoko can mustard anything against Nadal after the first set and after the first it will more or less go downhill. -
Re: Tennis - US Open R. Nadal - F. Verdasco Under 33.5 games @ 2.16 with Pinnacle 10/10 (flat staking) I dont think this looks low concidering the way Nadal have played. He is very focused and have cruised thru so far. Confidence is high and his serve is working great. Its really suprising the way Verdasco came thru after going down two sets to fellow spaniard Ferrer. He have played a couple of tough matches and I think he is too suprised at being here. Now being tired is not big reason for this bet, but going against Nadal you need to be in top shape. I dont think he would have big chances even in this form, over last months, and now going up against on fire and focused Nadal he is just happy to be here and it will show. Clear class difference 10-0 to the world number one H2H and he is much better then 2009 when they played 5 sets in AO. The handi on Rafa being -7.5 most places is really no value imo, neither is -2.5 in sets, wich I belive in. The Under 33.5 games on Pinnacle however @ 2.16 when many other bookies have U31.5 @ 2.1 looks good to me. Nadal to go in 3 sets and with some margins in case 1set goes tight.
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Re: Can I change my name?
Cant you change his then?;) This guy have not been here for a while:Already in use I'm afraid. ;)- Last Activity: 10-05-2007 17:35
- Join Date: 27-11-2004
I have Rainman on SP and it would be more practical to have the same @ PL. This guy might not even be alive. Hopefully he is thou, Just saying you could change his name or e-mail him that he need to get active again if he wants to keep his Nick.
Sweden Superettan September 17th-20th 2010
in Other European Leagues Football Predictions
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Re: Sweden Superettan September 17th-20th 2010