staffy
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Posts posted by staffy
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Re: Spurs v Norwich > 1st September Selection Tottenham (Normal Bet) Strength 10/10 Date 01/09/2012 Bookmaker/Price Paddy Power @ 1.40 Reasoning Spurs only have 1 point from there first 2 games but think they will kick start their season with a win against Norwich. Norwich won this fixture last season but I feel this season is going to be a lot tougher for them and can see them being towards the bottom of the table at the end of the season.
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Re: Grosvenor Poker GUKPT September League - Over £1000 Added - Starts Weds Sep 5th! Awesome value as ever. Be nice to get 50+ runners in this.
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[TABLE=class: couponTable]
[TR] [TH=class: firstColumn]Tuesday 4 September 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]
[/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Chesterfield v Oldham Athletic (19:00 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.25 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.3 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.9 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]109.23 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row1]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Exeter City v Aldershot Town (19:15 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.82 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row0]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Port Vale v Tranmere Rovers (19:15 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.8 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.3 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.60 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row1]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Rochdale v Fleetwood Town (19:30 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.87 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.25 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.64 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row0]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Rotherham United v York City (19:30 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.8 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.5 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]109.13 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row1]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Accrington Stanley v Morecambe (19:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.1 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.25 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.25 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]109.16 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row0]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Bristol Rovers v Yeovil Town (19:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.6 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.3 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.5 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.76 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row1]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Carlisle United v Preston North End (19:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.37 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.3 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.75 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.77 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row0]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Coventry City v Burton Albion (19:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.57 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.9 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 5 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]109.28 %[/TD]
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[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row1]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Crawley Town v Gillingham (19:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.8 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.5 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]109.13 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row0]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Dagenham & Redbridge v Stevenage (19:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.82 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row1]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Northampton Town v Milton Keynes Dons (19:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.9 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.5 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.2 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.51 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row0]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Portsmouth v AFC Bournemouth (19:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.25 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.87 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.64 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row1]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Scunthorpe United v Notts County (19:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.5 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.5 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]109.41 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row0]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Southend United v AFC Wimbledon (19:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.72 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.6 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.33 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]108.75 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[TR]
[/TR]
[TR]
[TH] [/TH]
[TH=class: firstColumn]Wednesday 5 September 2012[/TH]
[TH]Home[/TH]
[TH]Draw[/TH]
[TH]Away[/TH]
[TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH]
[/TR]
[TR=class: row0]
[TD][/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Oxford United v Swindon Town (19:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.1 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.1 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]109.29 %
[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]
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Re: England > Capital One Cup > August 28-30
Another winner profit for the season now up to 9.40 points.Match Everton v Leyton Orient Selection Everton @ HT (Normal Bet) Strength 10/10 Date 29/08/2012 Bookmaker/Price Skybet @ 1.50 Reasoning Another one of those games you should probably ignore. However I do think Everton will go and win this comfortably. They are another side who will think they have a chance of winning this competition. The fact that they are at home against a weaker side will help. Everton have started the season superbly and they will continue that tonight. They will want to get off to a good start so I see then being ahead at half time. Seasonal record 10 bets 100 points staked 4.40 points profit 4.4% yield -
Re: England > Capital One Cup > August 28-30 Match Everton v Leyton Orient Selection Everton @ HT (Normal Bet) Strength 10/10 Date 29/08/2012 Bookmaker/Price Skybet @ 1.50 Reasoning Another one of those games you should probably ignore. However I do think Everton will go and win this comfortably. They are another side who will think they have a chance of winning this competition. The fact that they are at home against a weaker side will help. Everton have started the season superbly and they will continue that tonight. They will want to get off to a good start so I see then being ahead at half time. Seasonal record 10 bets 100 points staked 4.40 points profit 4.4% yield
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Re: England > Capital One Cup > August 28-30
Happy with that. Comfortable in the end. Puts in in profit for the season for the first time. +4.40 points now.Match Aston Villa v Tranmere Selection Aston Villa Strength 10/10 Date 28/08/2012 Bookmaker/Price Coral @ 1.53 Reasoning Right I know I should leave this cup alone but I cant ignore the odds here for Villa. Villa have quite a good record in this competition and Tranmere dont. Villa will see this is there best chance of winning anything this season. OK Villa are woeful and have had a terrible start this season another reason why they need to kick starts their season and learn how to win again. Villa all the way for me especially with home advantage. I would expect them to win this game most of the time so the odds are way to high. -
Re: Staffy's cash poker Thats exactly where I am going wrong. I am putting to much int he pot with top pair. Ill get there may just take time.
Not guaranteed at this stage that you are doing something wrong - however to be 8 buy ins down (on EV) after about 8k hands, I suspect its more likely than not that you are playing losing poker overall (Sorry - it doesn't help you I dont think to be falsely encouraging :$) - so as you say - you need to approach it from the perspective not that "I'm getting unlucky" - but "something I'm doing isn't working and I need to tweek my approach" - don't make massive changes at once, and don't let results of individual hands overinfluence you - just make small changes and be honest with yourself about the impact it has. Remember how much deeper stacked you are than in tournaments, and therefore how much stronger a hand you require in order to put all your chips at risk! Top pair top kicker is a great hand when you're in a tournament with an M of 5 - its maybe not a hand you would want to risk a 100xBB stack on! (or maybe you will, depending on your opponent!) -
Re: England > Capital One Cup > August 28-30 Match Aston Villa v Tranmere Selection Aston Villa Strength 10/10 Date 28/08/2012 Bookmaker/Price Coral @ 1.53 Reasoning Right I know I should leave this cup alone but I cant ignore the odds here for Villa. Villa have quite a good record in this competition and Tranmere dont. Villa will see this is there best chance of winning anything this season. OK Villa are woeful and have had a terrible start this season another reason why they need to kick starts their season and learn how to win again. Villa all the way for me especially with home advantage. I would expect them to win this game most of the time so the odds are way to high.
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Re: Broadway Casino Trip Any feedback on the cardroom etc. What was the standard like. I understand they have quite a few cash tables going also? Quite a lot of the old timers from walsall go there so might pop down 1 weekend.
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[TABLE=class: couponTable] [TR=class: row0] [TD]
[/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Southampton v Manchester United (16:00 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 7.9 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 4.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.53 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.60 %[/TD]
[TD=class: tvListings][/TD]
[/TR]
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[TABLE=class: couponTable] [TR=class: row1] [TD]
[/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Newcastle United v Aston Villa (16:00 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.79 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.8 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 5.5 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.36 %[/TD]
[TD=class: tvListings][/TD]
[/TR]
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[TABLE=class: couponTable] [TR=class: row0] [TD]
[/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Liverpool v Arsenal (13:30 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.38 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.5 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.00 %[/TD]
[TD=class: tvListings][/TD]
[/TR]
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[TABLE=class: couponTable] [TR=class: row1] [TD]
[/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Manchester City v Queens Park Rangers (17:30 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.22 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 8.6 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 19 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]98.71 %[/TD]
[/TR]
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[TABLE=class: couponTable] [TR=class: row0] [TD]
[/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Wigan Athletic v Stoke City (15:00 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.3 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.45 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]100.96 %[/TD]
[TD=class: tvListings][/TD]
[/TR]
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[TABLE=class: couponTable] [TR=class: row1] [TD]
[/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] West Bromwich Albion v Everton (15:00 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.8 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.35 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.78 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.54 %[/TD]
[TD=class: tvListings][/TD]
[/TR]
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[TABLE=class: couponTable] [TR=class: row0] [TD]
[/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Tottenham Hotspur v Norwich City (15:00 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 1.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 5 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 10 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.43 %[/TD]
[TD=class: tvListings][/TD]
[/TR]
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[TABLE=class: couponTable] [TR=class: row1] [TD]
[/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] Swansea City v Sunderland (15:00 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.3 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.45 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.88 %[/TD]
[TD=class: tvListings][/TD]
[/TR]
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[TABLE=class: couponTable] [TR=class: row0] [TD]
[/TD]
[TD=class: firstColumn] West Ham v Fulham (12:45 BST) [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.62 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 3.4 [/TD]
[TD=class: selectionBestOdd] 2.94 [/TD]
[TD=class: bppWidth bpp]101.59 %[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE] -
Re: Staffy's cash poker Although I will still continue. Its not costing me lots of money as its low stakes. Maybe I will work it out one day.
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Re: Staffy's cash poker I totally agree with the above regarding the AA hand. I was going to delete the post but then forgot. More importnantly overall my all in EV is well below Zero. SO doing womething wrong.
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Re: Liverpool v Man City > Sun 26 August
2 good results for me today brings me back roughly level for season.Selection Over 2.5 goals Strength 10/10 Date 26/08/2012 Bookmaker/Price Bet365 @ 1.95 Reasoning I see goals in this game. Liverpool are desperate for a result here. They have such a difficult start that they need to attack here. Man City are also capable of scoring goals and wont settle for anything less that a win. -
Re: Staffy's cash poker GAME #3413342751: Texas Hold'em NL $0.02/$0.04 2012-08-26 16:08:20 Table "TURBO" Neede Seat 1: staffyd0g ($3.61 in chips) Seat 3: ryzhlan ($7.18 in chips) Seat 5: evrasia ($1.42 in chips) DEALER Seat 6: luisfef ($3.90 in chips) Seat 8: shuffleyou ($4.83 in chips) Seat 10: YolkFolkPrince ($6.39 in chips) luisfef: Post SB $0.02 shuffleyou: Post BB $0.04 *** HOLE CARDS *** Dealt to staffyd0g [HA SA] YolkFolkPrince: Raise (NF) $0.12 staffyd0g: Raise (NF) $0.40 ryzhlan: Fold evrasia: Fold luisfef: Fold shuffleyou: Fold YolkFolkPrince: Raise (NF) $1.08 staffyd0g: Raise (NF) $3.61 YolkFolkPrince: Call $2.53 *** FLOP *** [sK C6 D3] *** TURN *** [HK] *** RIVER *** [sQ] *** SUMMARY *** Total pot $6.80 Rake $0.48 staffyd0g: Mucks [HA SA] YolkFolkPrince: Shows [CA CK] YolkFolkPrince: wins $6.80
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Re: Stoke v Arsenal > Sun 26 August
Happy with that. Still 10 points down for the season but getting it back.Selection Stoke or Draw Strength 10/10 Date 26/08/2012 Bookmaker/Price Unibet @ 1.70 Reasoning I dont think Arsenal are anywhere near as good since the loss of RVP. Stoke at home always do quite well and were unlucky not to win last week. I do think Stoke can get something out of this game especially being at home. -
Re: Staffy's cash thread This thread proves that I am really fooooking ****e poker player.
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League 2 > September 8th
in Championship Predictions
Posted
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[TR] [TH][/TH] [TH=class: firstColumn]Saturday 8 September 2012[/TH] [TH]Home[/TH] [TH]Draw[/TH] [TH]Away[/TH] [TH=class: bppWidth]BPP[/TH] [/TR] [TR=class: row0] [TD]