Subzero
-
Posts
77 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by Subzero
-
-
Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results
That's ok mate, you made a decision based on your research, and its always hard to find out that your other selections would have been winners. Happens all the time, remember the Monaco-Bordeaux match? 0-0 at halftime not a single scoring chance for both teams but in finished 0-6...... but i'm sure you pick some winners next couple of weeks. Now personally i didn't follow this bet because it involved OFI Crete, 1 of the few teams in Greece which is not a team to bet in my opinion, because they seem to have more surprising results than any other team. But on the other hand you have picked so many winners which i followed in recent months that you really don't have to apologize for picking 1 loser. Keep up the good work :okApologies for the late update but i've been lying in a darkened room for 24 hrs after yesterdays result
5-1 , yes 5 feckin 1 
What made it that harder to bear was the other results of the games i had flagged up.
JABLONEC 2-0
ZIZKOV 2-0
IRAKLIS 1-1
With good old hindsight maybe the IRAKLIS game was the better choice as they had 9/12 UNDERS in league games [ same as LARISA ] but they had played 3 previous fixtures.
1st Time i've felt the need to apologise , hope minimum damage was done if you followed 
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results 3/4 yesterday, but again: the one i risked 4 units was lost. Still a small profit. Saturday's results: Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe 2-0 :lol Deportes Tolima - Atletico Nacional 1-2 :@ Le Mans - Rennes 1-1 :lol Sochaux - Nancy 1-1 :lol Winning bets: 55/82 Previous Bank: 120,36 units New Bank: 121,91 units Sunday's picks: Botev Plovdiv - Pirin Blagoevgrad @ 1.55 Deportes Pereira - Deportivo Cucuta @ 1.787 (4 units) Envigado - Atletico Huila @ 1.917 (4 units) PAS Giannina - Pierikos @ 1.55 Kallithea - Chaidari @ 1.57 Maccabi Netanya - Maccabi Haifa @ 1.55 Arezzo - Gallipoli @ 1.57 Salernitana - Perugia @ 1.60 Sorrento - Pisoiese @ 1.60 Beira Mar - Trofense @ 1.55 Vizela - Portimonense @ 1.55 Slavia Prague - Bohemians @ 1.847 (4 units)
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results Friday's results: CSKA Sofia - Spartak Varna 3-2 :@ Angers - Sedan 1-1 :lol Guingamp - Reims 2-1 :@ Calais - Tours 1-2 :@ Cherbourg - Creteil 4-2 :@ Pau - Laval 0-0 :lol Polonia Bytom - Korona Kielce 0-2 :lol Really dissapointing yesterday, as in 2 matches the 3rd goal was scored in injury time :$ Winning bets: 52/78 Previous Bank: 127,66 units New Bank: 120,36 units Saturday's picks: Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Beroe @ 1.70 Deportes Tolima - Atletico Nacional @ 1.75 (4 units) Le Mans - Rennes @ 1.60 Sochaux - Nancy @ 1.55
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results Tuesday result: Lens - Lille 1-2 :@ 2 goals is last 7 minutes...:wall Winning bets: 49/71 Previous Bank: 130,66 units New Bank: 127,66 units Friday's picks: CSKA Sofia - Spartak Varna @ 2.10 (4 units) Angers - Sedan @ 1.60 Guingamp - Reims @ 1.57 Calais - Tours @ 1.55 Cherbourg - Creteil @ 1.55 Pau - Laval @ 1.60 Polonia Bytom - Korona Kielce @ 1.70
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results Viva Colombia! 3/3 to start in with in this league, and including the Panathinaikos game 4/4 when staking 4 units yesterday. 9/13 for the day. Sunday's results: Atletico Nacional - La Equidad 0-1 :lol Deportes Pereira - Deportes Quindio 2-0 :lol Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellin 1-1 :lol Asteras Tripolis - Ergotelis 1-1 :lol Panathinaikos - Larissa 2-0 :lol Cavese - Venezia 2-0 :lol Foligno - Paganese 0-0 :lol Pro Patria - Cittadella 0-0 :lol Verona - Foggia 1-0 :lol Perugia - Pescara 2-1 :@ Sangiovannese - Crotone 3-1 :@ Naval - Leixoes 2-1 :@ Castellon - Granada 2-1 :@ Winning bets: 49/70 Previous Bank: 120,07 units New Bank: 130,66 units 1 pick on tuesday, a derby in northern France. Lille has played 3 straight 0-0 matches away, let's see if they can continue this when they visit their neighbours in a relegation battle. Tuesday's pick: Lens - Lille @ 1.57
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results 5/8 Saturday for a small loss with another 4 unit bet lost. But also some good news: I won my first bet in Poland :tongue2 Saturday's results: Belasitsa Petrich - CSKA Sofia 1-3 :@ Toulouse - Sochaux 1-2 :@ Martigues - Romorantin 3-0 :@ Bnei Saknin - Maccabi Netanya 1-1 :lol Maccabi Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem 0-1 :lol LKS Lodz - Cracovia Krakow 0-0 :lol Nacional Madeira - Sporting Braga 0-1 :lol Ejido - Sevilla Atletico 2-0 :lol Winning bets: 40/57 Previous Bank: 121,46 units New Bank: 120,07 units Now for sunday 13 matches coming up, including a new league: Colombia. Average goals a match is a low 2.12 with 61% unders after 6 games in the season. Compared with other leagues with these stats odds are really good, so let's gamble a little and stake 4 units for these matches. Sunday's picks: Atletico Nacional - La Equidad @ 1.885 (4 units) Deportes Pereira - Deportes Quindio @ 1.98 (4 units) Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellin @ 1.82 (4 units) Asteras Tripolis - Ergotelis @ 1.55 Panathinaikos - Larissa @ 1.75 (4 units) Cavese - Venezia @ 1.60 Foligno - Paganese @ 1.65 Pro Patria - Cittadella @ 1.55 Verona - Foggia @ 1.60 Perugia - Pescara @ 1.55 Sangiovannese - Crotone @ 1.60 Naval - Leixoes @ 1.55 Castellon - Granada @ 1.62
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results Polish football, what have i done to you to threat me this way? For the 2nd week in a row a last minute goal and again Legia is involved. 0/3 so far in a league with 60% unders:unsure Friday results: Brest - Dijon 0-0 :lol Clermont - Troyes 1-2 :@ Sosnowiec - Legia 2-1 :@ Winning bets: 35/49 Previous Bank: 125,75 units New Bank: 121,46 units Saturday's picks: Belasitsa Petrich - CSKA Sofia @ 1.80 (4units) Toulouse - Sochaux @ 1.55 Martigues - Romorantin @ 1.55 Bnei Saknin - Maccabi Netanya @ 1.55 Maccabi Haifa - Beitar Jerusalem @ 1.60 LKS Lodz - Cracovia Krakow @ 1.60 Nacional Madeira - Sporting Braga @ 1.55 Ejido - Sevilla Atletico @ 1.571
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results It's Friday night, again we go to France 2nd division but we also have a match from Poland. France-2 has been good for me so far but in Poland i am 0/2. Let's improve my results in the far east ;) Friday's picks: Brest - Dijon @ 1.57 Clermont - Troyes @ 1.65 Sosnowiec - Legia @ 1.70
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results Finally, the perfect day :cow Sunday results: Chernomorets Burgas - Belasitsa Petrich 0-0 :lol St. Etienne - Nice 0-0 :lol Aris - Atromitos 2-0 :lol Naval - Nacional Madeira 1-1 :lol Vizela - Feirense 1-0 :lol Winning bets: 34/46 Previous Bank: 115,25 units New Bank: 125,75 units
-
Re: Betting on over/under streaks La Serena - Deportes Concepcion 2-4 :@ Osorno - Melipilla 3-1 :lol Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara 0-0 :lol Winning Bets: 4/10 Previous Bank: 92,40 units New Bank: 92,82 units Sunday's picks: Chile: Nublense - Cobresal @ 1.935 under Nublense has 3/3 unders at home Mexico: Santos Laguna - Monterrey @ 1.98 over Santos Laguna has 3/3 overs at home Toluca - Pachuca @ 2.02 over (3 units) Pachuca has 4 straight overs overall, and also has 3/3 overs away
-
Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results nice job jtw :ok 2 matches just 1 goal, you should have bet under 1.5 ;)
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results
Yes but after half an hour of play i saw this loser coming. Legia - LKS Lodz was a game between the nr.2 and nr.15 in the standings(that explains the good odds), so i expected a 1-0 or maybe a 2-0 home victory since both teams are low-scoring. After 15 minutes Lodz took a surprising lead but 15 minutes later they got a red card. So i thought this game is doomed to finish 2-1...and it happened by goals in the 65th and 85th minute. So close to a perfect day...;) Saturday's results: Cherno More Varna - Pirin Blagoevgrad 1-0 :lol Lorient - Nancy 0-0 :lol Cannes - Sete 1-1 :lol Maccabi Netanya - Bnei Yehuda 0-0 :lol Legia - LKS Lodz 2-1 :@ Racing Ferrol - Albacete 1-1 :lol Winning bets: 29/41 Previous Bank: 110,79 units New Bank: 115,25 units Now for sunday we have a realtively quiet day, no football in Italy Serie C. Chernomorets Burgas - Belasitsa Petrich @ 1.885 (4 units) St. Etienne - Nice @ 1.60 Aris - Atromitos @ 1.62 Naval - Nacional Madeira @ 1.55 Vizela - Feirense @ 1.55 Today the return of my favourite under team, Nacional Madeira. They have a current streak of 11! straight unders, and for the season they are 18/20. Last couple of weeks i didn't select them because they clashed with high-scoring teams but they just keep on playing unders, even when they meet top-ranked teams Benfica and Porto(actually, they beat Porto 1-0 and held Benfica to 0-0 in Estadio da Luz). Still i was able to find a bookie that offered 1.55 so we have a bet here. Now you maybe wonder, where are the Greece division 2 matches? I selected 4 this weekend but the odds on unders for these matches are dropping fast last couple of weeks, sometimes as low as 1.35. And some bookies even don't offer it anymore. Eventually it was inevitable bookies find out that this is a crazy league, with 74% unders and average scoring of just 1.80. But i really need 1.55 minimum so no bets for me. I know it sounds crazy, but this league really need some overs :loonand as always the one you risked the most was the loser :spank -
Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results JTW, what minimum odds you need if you place a bet? 1.5?
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results Friday results: Guingamp - Sedan 2-1 :@ Montpellier - Angers 1-0 :lol Winning bets: 24/35 Previous Bank: 112,08 units New Bank: 110,79 units Saturday's picks: Cherno More Varna - Pirin Blagoevgrad @ 1.55 Lorient - Nancy @ 1.55 Cannes - Sete @ 1.55 Maccabi Netanya - Bnei Yehuda @ 1.60 Legia - LKS Lodz @ 1.893 (4units) Racing Ferrol - Albacete @ 1.57
-
Re: Betting on over/under streaks Friday result: Union Espanola - Santiago Morning 0-1 :@ Winning Bets: 2/7 Previous Bank: 94,40 units New Bank: 92,40 units Saturday's picks: Chile: La Serena - Deportes Concepcion @ 2.025 under(3 units) La Serena has 3/3 unders at home Osorno - Melipilla @ 1.76 over Osorno has 3/3 overs at home Mexico: Cruz Azul - Chivas Guadalajara @ 1.95 under Chivas Guadalajara has 3/3 unders away
-
Re: Betting on over/under streaks
Thanks mate. But i bet very low stakes so its more for fun. But when i run bad for example lose 20 units i will take your advise:ok Now, for today we have 1 pick and its from Chile, also 6 matches played there so i have some stats. Friday's pick: Union Espanola - Santiago Morning @ 1.70 over Santiago Morning has 3/3 overs awayAs a Mexican (and residing in Mexico City) I strongly advise you NOT to bet on our league, it is truly unpredicatble from one week to the other and past results don't tell anything about future performance. Only Guadalajara has shown some consistency, and it's no wonder it's one of your two winners. Best luck to you though :hope F. -
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results
This is not completely true. In the beginning i was staking 2,3 or 4 units. But the majority of bets in which i staked 3 or 4 units were lost. So i decided to flat betting 3 units, so when i hit a bad run it doesn't hit me as hard when i use the staking plan used before. Because of this adjustment i decided to reset the bank at 100 units, to get a good overview of my results with the new staking plan.How does this work then? You lose 15% of your bank on this strategy, then you 'reset' your bank under the premise of a 'staking plan change'? You havent changed the selection process, nor added any filters to the system, so isnt it (at best) misleading to reset the bank to 100, only because youve done a minor change to the staking? To make it even worse, you deviate from your new staking plan after ONE week, and do the same staking as you did before the bank reset. At best its a mistake, and at worse it seems like misleading. Certainly not enough to warrant wiping out all the loses the system had beforehand. Imagine if there was someone who followed your picks with rereal money, from the start. Whilst youre showing a heathly 10% profit with your stats, that poor sod still hasnt broken even yet. If there was a change in the system, then fair enough, but doing it because of a staking plan change (which you broke almost instantly, as well) seems pretty shoddy in my opinion. -
Re: UNDER 2.5 goals using previous results
Chaidara 6 home matches in which were scored an amazing total of 4 goals. Pierikos 7 away matches in which were scored an amazing total of 6 goals. Result 0-0...what could it be else? Do they have smaller goals in Greece? Anyway good pick guys :okjtw1, look at CHAIDARI-PIERIKOS(Greece2)- wonderful statistics/:loon I'm gonna:beerit -
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results Wednesday result: Kerkyra - Panthrakikos 0-0 :lol 4 other games from Greece-2, which i DID NOT bet in the end because of low odds all ended under...:wall But hey, we have a winner so why am i complaining? ;) Winning bets: 23/33 Previous Bank: 110,37 units New Bank: 112,08 units After a bad start with this strategy i have some confidence now, of course helped by the latest results and the adjustments i made. So let's move on to France for 2 games in the 2nd division. Friday's picks: Guingamp - Sedan @ 1.57 Montpellier - Angers @ 1.57
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results 1 pick for tomorrow in Greece 2nd division, i could have picked 5 but the odds for this league are so low that i had to skip 4 games. Wednesday's pick: Kerkyra - Panthrakikos @ 1.57
-
Re: Betting on over/under streaks Sunday results: America - Santos Laguna 0-1 :lol Puebla - Morelia 4-0 :@ Winning Bets: 2/6 Previous Bank: 94,50 units New Bank: 94,40 units
-
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results Sunday results: Toulouse - Olympique Marseille 0-0 :lol Iraklis - AEK Athens 0-1 :lol Xanthi - Larissa 1-1 :lol Paganese - Foggia 0-1 :lol Ancona - Sorrento 1-0 :lol Juve Stabia - Lanciano 3-1 :@ Perugia - Sambenedettese 1-0 :lol Rio Ave - Vizela 1-0 :lol 7/8 winners today...looks like we're finally get something going on here. Winning bets: 22/32 Previous Bank: 100,89 units New Bank: 110,37 units
-
Re: Betting on over/under streaks
Hi Lunatism, Yes i only look at 1 team. Reason for that is some teams have streaks of for example 6 unders, no matter who they play. Only exception is that if 1 team has for example 3 straight home overs, and the other team has 3 straight away unders, in that case there is no bet because 2 teams meet with streaks going in opposite directions. Actually, that is why i had to skip 1 game(Pumas UNAM - Necaxa). I will try this strategy for some weeks, there's always time to adjust when i run bad. And don't worry, i play small stakes. Saturday results: Chivas Guadalajara - San Luis 2-2 :lol Jaguares Chiapas - Tecos UAG 2-0 :@ Pachuca - Cruz Azul 1-4 :@ Winning Bets: 1/4 Previous Bank: 98,00 units New Bank: 94,50 units Sunday's picks: America - Santos Laguna @ 1.95 under America has 3/3 unders at home Puebla - Morelia @ 1.81 under Puebla has 3/3 unders at homedo you only look at the one team? of course, i will always look into system i see on here, and try and point out ways to possibly improve....something i noticed straight away from your first selection, is that despite 3 unders for veracruz at home this season, last season, they ended with 5 in their last 6 games..... also in Toluca's last 3 away games, 2 of these finished over, and finally, in their last 9 head to heads, there were 6 overs (4 of them finishing 3-2/2-3).... so what i suggest is that you consider more than just the one team, sites like soccerway list the head to heads, past games of both the home and away team, etc you may reduce your number of selections, but hopefully it would improve you yield/strike rate.......... but hey, it's early (very very early) days yet and who knows what could happen :ok -
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results Saturday results: Strasbourg - Sochaux 0-2 :lol Nimes - Creteil 1-1 :lol Agios Dimitrios - Kallithea 0-2 :lol Widzew Lodz - Odra Wodzislaw 4-3 :loon:loon:loon:loon:loon:loon:loon Slovan Liberec - Teplice 4-0 :@ Winning bets: 15/24 Previous Bank: 101,73 units New Bank: 100,89 units Sunday's picks: Toulouse - Olympique Marseille @ 1.56 Iraklis - AEK Athens @ 1.60 Xanthi - Larissa @ 1.60 Paganese - Foggia @ 1.55 Ancona - Sorrento @ 1.60 Juve Stabia - Lanciano @ 1.57 Perugia - Sambenedettese @ 1.65 Rio Ave - Vizela @ 1.60
Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Re: Under 2.5 strategy based on stats and recent results Sunday's results: Botev Plovdiv - Pirin Blagoevgrad 0-0 :lol Deportes Pereira - Deportivo Cucuta 0-2 :lol Envigado - Atletico Huila 1-1 :lol PAS Giannina - Pierikos 3-3 :@ Kallithea - Chaidari 2-2 :@ Maccabi Netanya - Maccabi Haifa 0-2 :lol Arezzo - Gallipoli 3-2 :@ Salernitana - Perugia 2-2 :@ Sorrento - Pisoiese 1-0 :lol Beira Mar - Trofense 1-0 :lol Vizela - Portimonense 1-1 :lol Slavia Prague - Bohemians 2-1 :@ The return of 2 Greek division 2 games was a big dissapointment, with 2 overs in a league with 73% unders. A last minute goal in the Slavia game gave me a small loss for sunday :eyes Winning bets: 62/94 Previous Bank: 121,91 units New Bank: 121,13 units Now for wednesday, lets go to Bulgaria for 3 matches. I selected 4 but that also included a match between Vidima and CSKA Sofia. Odds are 1.85 but this is also a matchup between the last and the first of the table, so i decided to skip this one. Wednesday's picks: Lokomotiv Ploviv - Levski @ 1.70 Belasitsa - Litex @ 1.85 (4 units) Spartak - Vihren @ 1.55