zekikum
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Re: Turkish Cup (Feb 27-Mar 1)
Sport Football (Turkey) Event Gençlerbirliği-Fenerbahçe Selection Gennçlerbirliği (DNB) (Asian Handicap) Strength 10/10 Date 01/03/2007 Bookmaker/Price 10bet @ 2.00 (Back) Reasoning these odds totally wrong! This year in Turkey 3 big clubs lost a number of record points of last 25 years, noone especially in a game like this deserves these odds. Plus its an away game, morale is too low for the visitors, they argued with fans, fans chased them to their hotel and protested there. Fenerbahçe will play with several reserves, this is a gamble movement from Mr. Zico. Alex, Olcan, Volkan (goalkeeper) is not in squad, Appiah, Ketzman probably will be on the bench Gençlerbirliği is a good team, they run and fight alot, they have several very talented players and they traditionnally play very well against big clubs. In their last 2 cup meetings of these teams, Gençlerbirliği eleminated their rivals, they can repeat it even though they lost first leg 1-2. I have to repeat that with these odds, this is a must take bet for me, even i lose. after seeing official line-up of Fener, i can take straight home win, if odds doesnt change. But i am sure they will drop fast. -
Re: Turkey Super League 23-25/02/2007
mate you are right... i used comma not points...:$I don't think writing first to the forum has anything to do with that. Maybe you used comma instead of point (2,48 instead of 2.48) while writing the odds I can't think of anything else it must be a bug. -
Re: Turkey Super League 23-25/02/2007 for the first time i wrote my tips as this site's tipster but i guess i am making a stake... my tip's odds are 2,70-2,80 and i write it correctly but efter submitting them, i see all tip's odds as @2,00 another mistake is; i should probably write my tips, than write down them to forum, but i wrote them firstly to forum... i am sorry if i coused any mess, some help would be very appreciated... thank you...
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Re: Turkey Super League 23-25/02/2007 Trabzonspor-Beşiktaş Beşiktaş cant play away games with this mentality. In their home games with the support of their hot fans they get some ambition and motivation so that they can perform. Players like; Ricardinho, Delgado and Nobre are the exact examples. In away games they are lost! Trabzonspor changed a bit. Ayman, Risp, Ceyhun brought team new atmosphere. More important for me; Erdinç is in defence and loser Fatih Akyel is gone. Their scorer Umut (even i dont rate him even average player) scored 3 goals last week so his confidence is back. Yattara is again on top his form. Trabzon has the morale and motivation advantage here. Besides their squad is most suitable one for counter attacks, i believe if they score first, they can humilate Beşiktaş, only if their coach Ziya Doğan takes Yattara out in about 60. minute to save the lead. pick: Trabzonspor odd:2,80 stake: 6 pick: (-1) Trabzonspor 1 odds: 6,00 stake: 2
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Re: Turkey Super League 23-25/02/2007 Sakaryaspor-Bursaspor pick: under 2 goals odds: 3,30 stake: 3 this is a "to be or not to be" game for Sakaryaspor, if they cant win, they will surely go to second league. They play well, but they cant score. They dont have real strikers even attackers. Bursaspor is without their captain Egemen and Frasieaneu both important players... Sakarya will have huge support from their hot fans, Bursa will play for draw, this game is likely to end 1-0 my other pick: (-1) Sakaryaspor X odds: 4,20 stake:3
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Re: Turkey Super League 23-25/02/2007 Sivasspor-Konya pick: under 2 odds: 2,70 stake: 3 Sivasspor is without Balli, key player of almost their all attack. Konyaspor will be satisfied even with a draw. Snow is expected during game time. If one of them scores, all they gonna do is to try the lead.
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Re: Turkey Super League 23-25/02/2007 İ will give you very important statistics (at least for me) about our league, to see what is going on... I wont include, 3 big names Fener, Galatasaray and Beşiktaş, to see what are Anatolian teams doing whit each other... In second half of season; games played: 25 games under 2 goals: 16 (%64 of games) games under 2,5 goals: 20 (%80 of games) if we include those 3 teams; games played: 38 games under 2 goals: 20 (%52,6 of games) games under 2,5 goals: 27 (% 71 of games) bookies gives average of @2,80-@2,60 for under 2 bets since the begining of season, they dont change it and it became a very value odd according to this stats. but we need more than stats to place our bets, so here are few plus reasons to support this bet; 1- weather; snow, rain and cold is back, it surely effects players, pitch and the game! 2- "not to lose" became more important since relegation zone is too mixed up and everything is possible for each team. Another stat for it; 20 of 38 games ended by one goal margin! 3- defensive minds of coaches after world cup so; i believe odds like 2,70 are value for under 2 goal bets, i took a lot of in recent weeks but just stopped last week, now for a few weeks i will stuck on it Rizespor-Ankaraspor pick: under 2 odd: 2,80 stake: 3 pick Ankaraspor (dnb) odd: 2,45 stake: 3 Rize started well to second half, Ankaraspor is just the opposite but in this game Rize will miss Ferdi, Anderson, Viktoria and Tolga. All of them are regulars and important players. This game should be recovering game for Ankaraspor as they are not bad as their latest results.
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Re: Turkey Liga A (Feb 18 ) Eren (important) and İbrahim is missing for Altay, Serkan Bensol (important) is missing for Malatya
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Re: Turkey Liga A (Feb 18 ) best bet is Malatya (dnb) @1,85 this game will take place behind closed doors, Malatya maybe the best team of this league... they changed coach 7 weeks ago after that they got 6 wins, 1 draw. Their new coach is ex-coach of Altay (he was fired) My team Altay; neither fans nor our coach knows what to expect from them... they can lose or win against any team in this league.
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Re: Turkey Super Ligi (Feb 16-18)
by stats, it looks under but odds were set considering this so i cant see any value in over/under bet... personally i dont think beşiktaş can lose this game... btw; odds for Gala is low imo... Antep not an easy place to play... Vestel is the best pick of this round...I think I go at Konya-Besiktas Under 2.5 ?Can somebody help me with this match? Thanks:clap -
Re: UEFA Cup Matches (Feb 14 - 15) Fenerbahçe-Az Alkmaar I am sure you read enough of missings of both team in here and many forums, so no need to mention about it. There are 3 effective things for me in this game; 1-) Well today is Valentine's day, Fener has programed special events for today; first rose shower in stadium, than a concert for 45 minutes just before the game as everything goes perfectly for Fenerbahçe team... this situation reminds me Rocky movie
Besides its effect on players concentraiton, these activies aim to hide something else imo; "the anger of fans"! Fener lost 5 points in 3 games of 2nd half of season, more important than losing; players didnt run and fight as its expected from them. Temper amoung fans are getting high. In this game, just from the start they will be ready to get angry every single "easy mistakes", "losing balls" etc... so Fener players will have hard time to contrate and maybe 1-2 of them will lose temper easily.
2-) Rain! i have been waiting for wheather forecast and it seems a rainy night in İstanbul which is a great (maybe the biggest)advantage for visitors. Az is much stronger physically than Fener, technical power of Fener will be limited by rain, players like Alex, Tümer, Ãœmit and Deivid will have time to do what they want to do on pitch.
3-) Midfield; Alex and Tümer doesnt press, plus the lose ball easily. Also Deivid doesnt help, Tuncay tries to do something but limited so only Appiah left on midfield and he cant hold it by himself only. I expect easy and fast counters from visitors.
besides all this odd is high for me...
pick Az (dnb)
odd: 2,35
stake: 5
1-3
0-2 will do;) -
Re: Turkey Super League 10/11/02.2007 Ankaragücü-Kayserispor Kayserispor didn't lose first 2 games of the second half of season but in those games, they didnt play good imo. Besides in this game important defender Aydın will be missing, another important defender Toledo just came yesterday from Colombia national team, besides other 4-5 players of them with national teams during mid-week so we can see some physical weakness in Kayserispor. Add these; very bad performance of their top scorer Gökhan (he had the record of ball losing in last game) For home team; Ankaragücü lost last game against Ankaraspor in derby, last week but they played nearly with one net during the game and missed 6-7 very good chances. This time they will have grat fan support behind them. Besides i see players over-ambitious cause everybody is saying; "Ceyhun is gone, Ankaragücü is nothing now", i believe in this game they can prove this statement is not true at all. pick: Ankaragücü (DNB) odds: 1,95 stake: 6 not official, personal bet; (-1) Ankaragücü 1 odds: 5,70 stake: 2 Rize has been tradionally hard place to play for Fenerbahçe. Fener has 2 important missings in defence; Lugano and Önder. Besides; their game plan do not suit against teams; who run and fight a lot cause it forces technical Fener players to lose ball easily. Despite the home advantage, there is a few advantage for home side; Fener has to win! That can bring Rize open spaces behind their rival's defence and ex-Fener player Zefer, who is very ambitious for this game can bring 3 points. This odd worths a try. g.l pick: Rize (dnb) 0dds: 3,75 stake: 2 Rizespor-Fenerbahçe I just can't resist this offer 1- home side will be very happy with one point 2- before very important UEFA game, Fener just needs 3 points. They dont care about playing good, scoring much etc. They dont want to lose this game plus a player due to injury. 3- this game wont be an open game, with nice football, it will be a hard physical fight till the end so in this kind of game i do not expect many goals, even there will be, this odd really worths a try, regretless. g.l pick: under 2 goals odds: 3,50 stake: 3 Beşiktaş plays well now. Bobo, Nobre duo begun to find easy goals, especially at home games. Ricardinho and Delgado looks like, they found their form. Last game Beşiktaş draw 0-0 with Gaziantep in away match bet they missed many chances. Denizlispor looks up-side down in these days, they probably will defend and play man to man with several Beşiktaş players. They can get many yellow and even red cards in this game which will weaken their press and force. When it comes to Beşiktaş, only medium stake will do. g.l pick: (-1) Beşiktaş 1 odds: 1,95 stake: 6 With their new coach Bülent Korkmaz, Erciyesspor plays totally different now. They play as a whole team and very positive football. In fact their performance in the first half of season was a suprise. Erciyesspor beat Bursaspor 4-1 in cup game, draw 1-1 with Fenerbahçe and 0-0 with Bursa again in league. In those games they could win with just a small luck, they can easily find goal chances now. Ankaraspor managed to beat Ankaragücü last week but, in fact they could lose 3,4-1, Ankaragücü missed alot of chances. In this game they will miss important player Hürriyet. Stadium will be full of 20.000 people, due to club campaign, with this odd, its a must bet game for me. g.l pick: 1 odds: 2,40 stake: 6 pick: -1 home odds: 4,60 stake: 2 From 2nd league Samsun-Elazığ very strong home team who can score easily and a rival who conedes very easily. With their new transfers home team begun second half with 2 wins, i think they will continue their up-trend. i can take a risk in this game and i choose handicap win. pick: (-1) home odds: 2,95 stake: 7 g.l
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Re: UEFA Cup - (Nov 23) hi all, first post here... i wouldnt touch Fener with these odds.. they have inner problems... Alex makes the squad was written by all media during week... players have problem with each other it seems... besides many fener backers depend on power of fans as i read here.. i suggest dont! cause weather is not good, match is on t.v, do not wait 50.000 fans or something... fener can win but there is not even a single value here... in fact its all about away side; if they want to win, they can do it easier than they thought... bet365 gives 4,50 for away win and in fact its the real value captain Ãœmit and g.k Rüştü is injured btw.. g.l
Turkish Cup (Feb 27-Mar 1)
in Other European Leagues Football Predictions
Posted
Re: Turkish Cup (Feb 27-Mar 1) when i was writing my pick,again i wrote 2,71 instead of 2.71 thats why my tip's odd seems likw 2,00 but in fact its 2,71!!! same happened with my weekend pick, it was correct and i got 2,00 again instead of 2,85 :unsure so i got only +8, instead of 14,80 for my winner pick:gimme