JohnSax
-
Posts
9 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by JohnSax
-
-
The Jupiler League was never one of my favorites since these games ,especially lately, tend to turn out like NHL hockey games.
No defence whatsoever and most teams are Jekyl and Hyde from week to week.
If anyone wants to find value in these games (before blowing his bankroll on this league) look in Combo markets and final result DRAW.
Just a moment ago and to my suprise Club Brugge was blown away 6-1 from Gent like a lousy NHL team with it's goalie on a bad day.In a span of 5 minutes 3 goals.
-
One final play for tonight
Peterborough-West Brom BTTS & O 2.5 @2.22
-
Adding a few more picks that I like today
Middlesbrough-Blackburn X2 & O2.5 @2.77
Millwall-Blackpool BTTS @ 2.00
QPR-Coventry DRAW @ 3.20
-
-
As expected CSKA basically choked in the final minutes against Zenit..it would have been my banker play yesterday but (thankfully) I opted to pass.
Two plays I like today (based on my model)
Khimki-Niznhy Novgorod X2&BTTS @3.15
Dynamo Moscow-Lokomotiv Moscow 2 @3.30
A Lokomotiv win is my multi-unit play for today.Lokomotiv at such plus money while the odds indicate that the most likley result is a draw..is a MUST.
Dynamo has defeated Ural,Rostov,Ural which are a combined 2W 4D 10L
Both teams have managed to defeat CSKA while Lokomotiv has also a quality draw (1-1) against Zenit.
Dynamo has lost to Akhmat
Lokomotiv has defeated Krasnodar
Another game I'm iffy about is Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan
I'm even liking the straight up win for Rubin Kazan @5.00 but the following things worry me about placing a bet heck even double chance Rubin Kazan
- So much favoritism for Krasnodar (odds ¬1.65)
- Rubin Kazan will most likley be without perhaps it's best player Kvaratskelia
- Krasnodar is coming off a loss against Lokomotiv,they've struggled early therefore they'll probably go all out to get a win.
- Past h2h matches Rubin Kazan has 1D and 9 L @Krasnodar ( this isn't factored in heavily,but still something to think about)
Therfore I'm going to stay away from this game.
-
Hello everyone!
We are already running past five weeks of action on the Russian Premier League and it seems to be a good time to start placing bets.
Today I have eyes set on 3 of the 4 games available.Though I'd like to bet on CSKA for DoubleChance I'll avoid this game since it's been a long time since CSKA hasn't lost to Zenit plus Zenit dropped points the previous week...so PASS.
I expect Ufa to win narrowly today.These guys hung in there against Zenit the previous week ..they should be ale to win this.
Ufa-Krylya 1 @2.72
Spartak-Sochi is going to be a dogfight and have this penciled as a draw.
Spartak-Sochi DRAW @ 3.35
Expecting both teams to score in Akhmat vs Arsenal Tula...two teams playing better than expected.
Akhmat Grozny-Arsenal Tula BTTS @2.12
-
harry_rag great call on Ben Yedder!
Monaco really bounced Shakhtar like a rag doll yesterday but couldn't finish the job.From the odds yesterday it seemed that it was expected Monaco to flip the switch (which indeed happened especially in the first half)
Changes most likely coming for Monaco .
-
Hello everyone!
These games are really hard to cap.Betting models so early in the season are thrown out the window.Today I wil try to approach a game I like (Shaktar vs Monaco) using common sense by studying both teams production so far.
Let's take a look at Shakhtar Donetsk as it's the team that has the most official games ,under it's belt, so far in the season (8) as opposed to Monaco (6),
Shakhtar's 6/8 games have produced >2.5 goals.
Shakhtar's 4/8 games have ended in BTTS & Over 2.5
Shakhtar is currently riding a 3 game clean sheet streak.
Shakhtar has scored in each game so far.
Monaco on the other hand have been atrocious in Ligue 1 yet managed to manhandle Slavia Prague in two games in the previous CL qualifying round.
Currently they are being heralded as slight favorites on various booking sites at around 2.30 which makes you wonder....considering how bad they've been the past days.
Monaco hasn't managed to score in it's last three games despite the talented players they have.
Monaco has no choice but to attack early and I find it unlikely they go scoreless for a 4th consecutive game as well as I find it unlikely Shakhtar keeps a clean sheet for a 4th consecutive game.
Based on their recent performance and in order to chase value we'll have to pick a bet from other markets from the usual ones(At least that's what we found out yesterday after the 0-0 stalement of PSV-Benfica where veryone was expecting goals.)
Monaco just does not convince me that they will all of a sudden flip the switch and beat Shakhtar which is a team that is playing very well and has experience in the competition.Keep in mind that Shakhtar is playing for two results (Win or Draw gets them through) and they seem to have the talent to attack and counter attack.
If I were to make a bet today I'd focus on
BTTS & Over 2.5 @2.12 for 0.5 unit
and/or
Shakhtar 1X && BTTS @ 2.65 for 0.5 unit
Good luck to everone and looking forward to discussing about this season's betting challenges.
First Division A Predictions > Aug 27th - 29th
in Belgian Football Predictions
Posted
Genk-Anderlecht X2 & Under 4.5 @2.10