ArthurDaley02

My first toss at this, could be a nice little earner otherwise there be claret all over the manor.
 
Going to identify games where:
- The expectation of games being over 0.5 goals at HT is over 75%
- I can acquire odds of 1.50 or over during the half (in play)
 
I'm going to do as many games each day that I see qualify, keeping my stakes to £2.
I will try and update it each day but if I fail to do so I will screenshot the activity from my Betfair account for the days that are missed.
My target is 100 bets.
Wish me luck, stand on me.
 
***Edited table below so you can see the header of each column***
DAY 1:
Placed Description Type Odds Stake (£) Bonus (£) Liability (£) Potential Profit (£) Status 08-Oct-20
14:34:17 Vandra Vaprus v Kohtla-Jarve
Over 0.5 Goals - First Half Goals 0.5
Betfair Bet ID 1:213366514150 Back 1.50 2.00 -- -- 1.00 Unmatched 08-Oct-20
14:33:20 OHiggins v Cobresal
Over 0.5 Goals - First Half Goals 0.5
Betfair Bet ID 1:213366435364 Back 1.50 2.00 -- -- 1.00 Unmatched 08-Oct-20
14:31:59 FC Elva v Flora Tallinn II
Over 0.5 Goals - First Half Goals 0.5
Betfair Bet ID 1:213366342995 Back 1.50 2.00 -- -- 1.00 Unmatched 08-Oct-20
14:30:54 Esbjerg v Silkeborg
Over 0.5 Goals - First Half Goals 0.5
Betfair Bet ID 1:213366261418 Back 1.50 2.00 -- -- 1.00 Unmatched

In order to become a successful bettor you need to understand 2 concepts.

1) Probability
2) Value
 
Every game has X probabilities for home to win Y for a draw and Z for away to win. The professional bettor needs to do the following:

1) Find what is the true probability of home to win, draw or away to win,based on statistics
2) If for example home has 50% to win then you need to bet on odds above 2.0 in order to be long-term winner.

The difference between the true probabilities and odds is the profit of a professional bettor.