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agourbet

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  1. How long you run this project harry_rag? Thanks
  2. There is an excellent discussion about value betting, together with analysed data from thousands of value bets. These people went that deep that already found value traps created by bookmakers. It is a situation when you think you have value, but in reality you dont. https://arbusers.com/index.php?topic=7205.0 Other bettors also posted their experience, some of them claiming having 100.000 Euros value bets. Very insightful and food for thought.
  3. For me the greatest market to trade is NBA. I love the way that they create entertainment and make a game very volatile with a lot of ups and downs.
  4. I totally recommend this product. It is an excellent statistical analysis software that you can find whatever match you want. Very good job!
  5. Hello, can you recommend any online platform in order to play poker? Thank you
  6. In order to become a successful bettor you need to understand 2 concepts. 1) Probability 2) Value Every game has X probabilities for home to win Y for a draw and Z for away to win. The professional bettor needs to do the following: 1) Find what is the true probability of home to win, draw or away to win,based on statistics 2) If for example home has 50% to win then you need to bet on odds above 2.0 in order to be long-term winner. The difference between the true probabilities and odds is the profit of a professional bettor.
  7. It isn't very difficult to create a new strategy or system. You just need to have experience in order to do it correctly. There are communities on internet that give good strategies and system for free, not need to buy one.
  8. Sport betting is like any trading business, you just buy a contract that will give you a payout instead of T-shirt for example. Of course T-shirt doesn't expire,like the bet that you make, but it does go out of fashion. In my opinion you need to treat sport betting like any other business with revenue and liabilities. Sport betting,investing and trading is the same thing in my opinion, you just change the time frame.
  9. Professional bettors using only asian bookies or betting exchanges because they will not get limited there(at least most of them). Of course there are occasions that even these bookies limit them, because they cannot find bettors to bet on the other side of the trade. If you are living completely by betting, you will always find a way to make your bet. In my opinion it is a business like any other, you just have much more obstacles to overcome than if you have a bakery for example.
  10. Backtesting is the way to check if your assumptions are true(your theory works) for a specific period in time.Professionals use it in order to check if their strategy was working in the past. So if it was working they assume that it will work in the future,but there is no guarantee about it.
  11. @zabadac based on your experience using the ELO rating, have you seen any value in it. Does ELO create any advantage to probability calculation to the player? Thank you
  12. Hello, i always keep the results on my excel because i can easily calculate probabilities with my betting history later on.