May I wish you all a Merry Christmas and a Happy and Healthy New Year. - PercyP
Week Sixteen NFL Results
With end of season results being so unpredictable, my NFL bets for 2024/25 came to an end this week, with another 3-2 performance. I was slightly disappointed as the Jags led going into the fourth quarter and the Eagles were winning until the final seconds of the game.
P5 W3 L2 staked 30 pts, returned 7.12 pts for a weekly loss of 22.88 points.
YTD P80 W41 D2 L37 Staked 480 pts, returned 488.71 pts = YTD profit of 8.71 pts
(1) Green Bay Packers to win ATS -14.0 points @ 10/11. Packers shut out Saints 34-0 WON.
It is freezing in Green Bay (minus 6). In New Orleans the temperature is a pleasant 19 degrees. Going to Lambeau field will be a big shock for a Saints team who play in a dome. The Packers losses have come to only the Eagles, Vikings and Lions, who have a combined record of 36-6. A win for Green Bay guarantees a place in the play-offs.
The Saints are without a recognised QB. Compare that to Jordan Love who has not thrown a pick in his last four starts, where he has 7 passing TDs, and the Packers have scored 30+ pts in all four games. Packers score 30+ points again. Saints did not enjoy the cold conditions.
(2) Eagles to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11. Eagles led with nine seconds remaining, lost 33-36 LOST.
The Eagles are on a ten game winning streak with Hurts in top form. Hurts has 14 pass TDs, 1 INT and 12 rushing TDs.
The Eagles defence has also been on fire.
Pass defence is allowing 173 yards per game, the best mark in the NFL.
Rush defence is allowing 102.2 yards per game, 7th-best mark in the NFL.
The Eagles have dominated Washington lately. They are 12-3 SU in their last 15 meetings dating back to 2017, including 6-1 SU in their last seven trips to D.C. A concussion for Hurts and a defensive meltdown in the fourth quarter (surrendering 22 points) saw Washington pull off a surprise win.
(3) Bengals to win ATS -8.5 points @ 10/11. Bengals win 24-6 WON.
The Broncos defeat on Thursday opens the play-off door for the Bengals. The Bengals will need to win all three of their final games including defeating the Bronco’s. They should start by defeating the Browns who could only score seven points in the reverse fixture. Burrow has dominated bad opponents in his career, going 16-7 ATS vs. teams below .500 SU, including 12-3 ATS since the start of the 2022 season. Browns only got six points this time. Bengals easy win.
(4) Ravens to win ATS -6.5 points @ 20/21. Ravens pull away for a 34-17 victory WON.
With lots of injuries in the Steelers camp, previous trends favouring the Steelers may not be as relevant. Lamar Jackson is 1-4 SU and 0-5 ATS vs. Mike Tomlin and the Steelers in his career. A win for the Ravens here will see both teams go 10-5 in the fight for the AFC North. These games are often decided by one score, however, Steelers injuries told in the second half.
(5) Jags to win Moneyline @ 21/20. Raiders win 19-14 LOST.
This is the worst game of the season. Raiders are on a 10 game losing run. All Raiders fans will want their team to continue to tank and get a favourable draft pick. Jags are playing competitive and are 8-3 ATS on the road as an underdog. Jags led after three quarters but failed to hold on. Raiders stop losing run.