LaMunxo
-
Posts
124 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Posts posted by LaMunxo
-
-
Re: 20 fold accumulator i once saw ticket like urs but with like 50 matches and 1 was wrong in the end. and the winnings were crazy, well zero, but with that one would be...
-
Re: The Alchemistical System this seem like just money management to me. but anyway, 20 bets means nothing, u cant prove system is good or bad in 20 bets, u cant do it even with 100 or 200, depends on system. well just aremark on ur last msg.
-
Re: World footballer of the year lol. shevchenko has nothing to do in that list he didnt do a S all year long. its all crap but anyway,i owuld like to see c.ronaldo get something. i disagree zidane is out of question beacuse of what he did in final, he can still get it this his last year,but i doubt it'll be first place. my secret tip is definately drogba. but totaal crap this is there is hundreds more players as good as those clowns above.
-
Re: Testing -----
-
Re: Champions League 17/18 October 2006
about hilario, exactly, mourinho is god in my eyes. excelent strategy. what a pitty villa didnt give hatrick... but fine i dont need to double my bank everyday... heheheGreat performance by Chelsea tonight. Hilario had to do... nothing, and Chelsea could have quite easily score 3 or 4 on another night. barca were very dissapointing IMO, didn't show anything going forward, and never looked ike getting anything out of the match. Well done to allwho backed Chelsea, I never did, just enjoyed the match with a few beers. -
Re: Luck Factor - Bankrupcy Math ok thanks. i will look at this aswell.
-
Re: Champions League 17/18 October 2006 valencia-1.5 werder-2 these two should be most straight forward developement
-
Re: Luck Factor - Bankrupcy Math i'm bumping this thread, anyone know above formula including odds parameter ?
-
Re: Champions League 17/18 October 2006 lyon randal,... : lyon is probably very high on confidence but as i explained above, kyiv is no outsider, they have much experience in CL, they did beat big teams home.. lot times... lyons form is little too good lately, to good to be that high forever and i think it may end tonight (not win). tbh, i didnt see the A-1 odds, they actually are lot better than A-0.5.
-
Re: Champions League 17/18 October 2006
In league, Jo is their top scorer however, they have whole lot of top players that can do goals, Forwards: Vagner Love, Olic backed by very good midfield: Carvalho, Dudu, Krasic, really some firepower there i also saw them play, works well...I'm on Real tonight. I expect Capello to get a reaction after the defeat at the weekend. And, as you say 2.18 is value. Also in the process of deciding whether or not to take Arsenal to keep a clean sheet at 2.52. They have only conceded one in their last 5 games. CSKA seem somewhat toothless to me, especially missing Jo. Although Love could be dangerous. -
Re: Champions League 17/18 October 2006
gr8, thanks real went from 2.0 to 2.18 now. 2.18 is well worth shot for that price. definately more than lyon,benfica,arsenal,milan,manchester which are imo crap bets tonight.I remember reading somewhere that Jo will be out for a while. I'm sure he injured. -
Re: Champions League 17/18 October 2006 CSKA Jo Not playing anyone can confirm this ???
-
Re: Champions League 17/18 October 2006 cska-arsenal over @ 2.6 this can go either way and cska can easily win this big as well (3.85 sure with value). for me cska has as good offesinve as any other cl team (incl barcelona, in fact i like it more)... both teams have very solid defense as well but i think this will be offensive game and 2.6 would be sin not to take so irather take it. man too little odds, -2 too low odds, -2.5 not worth taking in CL (or would require some more thinking but i dont want to think now,r eally really no) i fancy porto dont think lyon will come and win 2:0 in kyiv, may be very tight game in kyiv and actually as i see kyiev for 5.9 is good bet,funny odds. they are very very strong home. they beat fenerbahce anyone else can get it as well. maybe theres half team injury but i dont know about that so 5.9 seem good to me and so on and so on oh and also chelsea GK wont mean much,if chelesea have good lineup they can win, and if barcelona has good night they would win even if they had 3 keepers in their holy gate .....
-
Re: simple horse racing schedule question oh, so nov-may is equallygood for betting as may-nov and nothing stops ??
-
i dont know much about horses can someone explain whats main horse season ? i guess its something like may-october for UK but can someone be more precise ? also when uk is over is there enough options, like in australia then, isaw AUS markets be quite unused on betfair? if someone from horses can explain a little what do you bet and whats season for that i'd appreciate it so i can know a little more. thank you.
-
Re: Potential System - Help Required first... i dont htink xscores have that info football-data however has some indepth stats and for premiership they even got some neat things like corners, shots, etc... soccerway.com/betexplorer.com are another two worth a shot... hoever easiest data is from football-data
-
Re: Luck Factor - Bankrupcy Math slapdash:thanks for answer.
yes this is half of what i'm looking for, however can u upgrade that formula with Odds variable ? also, what staking doest the above formula use ? thank you((1-H)/H)^N -
Re: Even total goals. 34% yield. 12 bets.
oh lol i was looking at that and didnt understand... now i do,, only 7 loosing months is very good indeed........so 7 losing 'months' and 94 winning ones. -
Re: NeuroTennis have you backtested this system on previous seasons ? results ?
-
Re: Even total goals. 34% yield. 12 bets. muppet: about graphs, nice, they quite show the drops when martingnale needs bigger stakes, the profit however look too uniform to me, are u sure u dont have error somewhere ? gl
-
Re: Even total goals. 34% yield. 12 bets.
b) :) yea u altered it according to past but u not know what future will bring, thats why martingnale never work. imo its better to take 6% yield and make heavier stakes.hi huckleberry mate. i am well aware that this is martingale. this has been discussed earlier. for those who keep asking, my point is this: (a) i think i have an edge over the bookies with the SYSTEM - example - whn applying level 1pt stakes i get 6% yield over 1106 bets over 13 and a bit seasons. this eliminates the martingale like staking. please read post 31. (b) i have looked at how often i would have gone to each level and altered the stakes accordingly, so that i can afford it. i have assessed as best as i can the risk. please read post 6 and 9. -
Re: Even total goals. 34% yield. 12 bets. huckleberry, ur not right that way you can boost yields problem is size of stakes.
-
Re: Even total goals. 34% yield. 12 bets. ok. level stakes mean flat stakes right ? even 6% @ 1.9 is nice then... my point is that if u apply long enought martingnale on any system u'll boost the yields but as in 93/94, 03/04 may not be able to actually take the risk anyways, gl with this..
-
Re: Even total goals. 34% yield. 12 bets. 1. i dont fully understand ur staking plan, some progressive staking when u multiply on losses -- martignale basicaly, this somewhat never works or needs extremely large banks...every run has bad runs in any length... u prolly know that... anyway, i wonder can u post the upper info with flat staking ? the upper results are very good i wonder if its not much affected by the staking which u use 2. yes betdaq has markets and odds are definately beter than b365, 1.98+ instead of 1.9 u should get at no prob. i think, betfair actually will open these markets soon if enough ppl hammer them about it, as u said some of their current markets are really funny already... 3. last thing, the yields are very stable over seasons, how stable are you doing over months ? gl
Backing top teams in poor form: __ bets : yield: __%
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Re: Play top teams in poor form Pitmaster, You are just wasting your time cos you will not prove anything here. If you want to prove if your idea is right or not get a back data from football-data (for a good example) and test on thousands of matches. If you paper trial here and ur doin 30% or -30% yield after 30-50-100 tips you are not proving anything. if you want to test for real, do a back test. gl.