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Showing results for tags 'rugby'.
A simple premise, as of 1st Jan I'll start posting an indicative stake for all the selections I post on here (whether in a personal quest or the thread for a specific sport) and I'll track the performance in here so I know whether or not they've been profitable. I've been posting a few more footy bets lately and, after a bit of a barren spell, have found a few decent winners. Rather than having a general sense of my posted bets doing well or badly I thought I'd track them so I know for sure. I'd expect them to be profitable over the course of a year (ever the optimist) but will expose the performance for all to see either way.
Not too much activity on the thread for last year's comp but thought I'd post my early thoughts rather than keep them to myself. Would welcome any views on the following (especially re drop goals) or any other aspects of the tournament. 1: Outright market: Best prices are as follows with the "true" odds based on the Rugby Vision ratings in brackets. Ireland 5/6 (11/10) England 4/1 (12/5) Wales 11/2 (11/2) Scotland 18/1 (17/1) France 22/1 (55/1) Italy 1500/1 (>1000/1) Ireland clear favourites, but a suggestion that they are a little too short. If you agree, I saw 11/10 "the field" with one firm or you could obviously lay Ireland. The RV ratings may flatter England suggesting they should be that short but there might be a case for backing them at 4/1 or better. The only bet I've had so far is to take 13/2 for Wales (Lads were 6/1 when I first looked and I was able to apply a price boost). Wales are actually above England in the World Rankings and, although they have 3 away games this year, they do host both Ireland and England. Nothing particularly floats my boat on the spreads outright but I'd buy Wales at 25 if you gave me a free bet to use (pays 60-40-20-10-5-0 for 1st to 6th places). I could've make a case for 5/6 no Grand Slam and 7/4 no Triple Crown but I'm not inclined to bet in either market and both have shortened slightly now.