valuebets
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Posts posted by valuebets
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We also like Crystal Palace.
Aston Villa-Crystal Palace:
Aston Villa’s situation is extremely difficult. Team is in freefall and supporters are turning against the club. Overall Villa is not statistically as bad as the table reveals but it’s hard to turn tables when the confidence among the club is long gone. Villa will need good bounces a plenty to get confidence and even theoretical chance to survive back. This game suits Palace’s strengths well. Palace will defend deep and wait for opportunities to counter attack. Villa’s players with low confidence are very vulnerable for losing possession.Our pick here is Crystal Palace +0 goals (draw no bet/money line) odds 1.79. Correct odds 1.71 (probability 58.5%).
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Yes, they did. It was again very well executed game plan. They isolated Sturridge against Caulker and it worked nicely. Ok, their finishing was from other world (expected goals little bit over 2 goals by our model) and Stekelenburg didn´t have the best night but still it looks like that if Sturrdige stays healthy Liverpool has a good chance for top-4.
BR,
Premium Value Bets
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Liverpool is resting some their key players like Coutinho and Clyne. Our updated estimations for Southampton with different betting lines:
Southampton -0.5 2.27
Southampton Money Line 1.64
BR,
Premium Value Bets
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Southampton vs Liverpool
Liverpool will be playing their third game in the span of six days. The visitor will get some of their best players back from the injury as Coutinho, Sturridge and Henderson are probably in the starting eleven tonight but they won’t be playing the whole 90 minutes if not absolutely necessary. Liverpool is still missing their best central defender Sakho and fullbacks Moreno and Clyne have played a ton of minutes lately. Southampton will be missing their captain Fonte but Caulker is a decent replacement. Striker Pelle is eligible to play after suspension. Southampton played well in the second half against Manchester City and the home side has tools to play through Liverpool’s high press. Klopp has done a wonderful job in his first weeks at the helm and Liverpool’s team shape without the ball is already excellent. Still we think that Southampton is little more fresher here and extremely motivated to win silverware from League Cup or FA Cup.
Our pick here is Southampton Money Line odds 2.04 with SBOBET.com. Our correct odds 1.85 (probability 54%).
You can learn more about our reserach and analysis from valuebets.fi
Premium Value Bets was founded in 2015. It focuses on sports betting research and analysis.
The company was created out of the joint ambition of a group of sports betting professionals to create a clear, high class, and elegant sports betting service.
Our main function is to analyse sporting events for investing targets, with a positive return of investment in liquid sports betting markets.
Premier League > Jan 12th & 13th
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Newcastle-Man United is very hard game to analyze. Newcastle's deep-lying stats are third worst and not much better than Sunderland's or Villa's. They still possess quality in their squad and for example Wijnaldum is way too good to play against relegation. Team is not well organized and they left huge chunks of space in front of their defensive line and really can't pressure the opponent when they are defending deep. Schneiderlin is statistically so important for United that it's a good question why he isn't always the first man in Van Gaal's starting line-up. United's shot volume is too low for TOP-4 team. They are very vulnerable against much lesser sides if they can't get the shot volume and goal expectation up. Our correct odds for the game at the moment: 4,76-3,77-1,905. We are expecting that Coloccini and Schneiderlin will play from the start.