aussiepunta
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Posts posted by aussiepunta
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As I have said elsewhere, I think South Africa are a value bet because they defeated India last time 2-0, with the third game abandoned. That should give them a huge psychological advantage. T20 cricket is also a fickle beast, and any small advantage that is exploited can be the difference between winning and losing.
I'm not saying that India are false favourites at all, they deserve to be. What I am saying is that I find value in South Africa, I hate betting on favourites unless there is a really, really good chance that they will win, even under the worst circumstances possible. In T20 cricket, I don't see that very much.
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Sorry, it won't happen again. I want to contribute.
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I don't think Australia will win. I think India has a good chance to win, but I won't be backing them at those short odds.
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Re: Australian Melbourne Carnival Ratings (Cox Plate Ratings Now Up) I find that it's always hard to rate overseas runners, when you have a set list of variables and tons of info about Australian horses, getting the same info from overseas and trying to work them into a compatible ratings system isn't easy. I also find that ratings are much better in lesser quality fields. When trying to put ratings on near a whole field of potential winners, the difference between top rated and a horse in the middle of the pack isn't so pronounced. Thanks for keeping us up to date with your ratings, I look forward to seeing more. Cheers
Australian Horse Racing Betting
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
2016 Coolmore Classic Betting Tips
Number 7 – Azkadellia – With Brett Prebble on board, 11 starts with 5 wins and 6 placings, 3rd up this run and has won 3rd up in the past. Finished strongly last start and has had the perfect preparation here. If you can get odds over $5, I’d take those any day of the week.
Number 12 – Ghisoni – It’s hard to go past the favourite at the moment given her low weight here, she deserves to start as favourite even in this good field. She’s had 3 starts for 3 wins so far in her career and she should be improved from her last first up run. Very promising young filly who I’d like to see get a good start and lead from the front in the Coolmore.
My best bet: Boxed trifecta with the numbers 7, 12, 1 & 6. Must show respect for the top weight Lucia Valentina and Peeping has had a good preparation for this race.