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Freddie Mac

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Posts posted by Freddie Mac

  1. I'm backing over overs in Millwall - QPR. QPR have gone over in 24 of 40 games and Millwall has gone over 19. Millwall has 3 overs in the last 5 games and QPR has 4 in the last 5 games. Millwall needs a win to distance themselves from relegation and QPR needs to put an end to their poor form. Therefore the O 2.5 odds should be below 2 but at the moment you can get 2.06 on the Betfair Exchange or 2.04 on Unibet. I predict a 2-1 game and I really fancy this odds.

  2. Esbjerg- Midtjylland O 2.5 @ 1.73

     

    Based on the circumstances I believe we will get an offensive game and a lot of goals are likely. These two teams both need a win really bad in the upcoming game in the Championship Group. Esbjerg still has the chance to get a spot in the Europa League or the Europa League qualifiers and Midtjylland are just one point behind FC Copenhagen. Therefore both teams will likely go on the offensive since a draw will not really help either team. During the regular season, Esbjerg went over 2.5 12 times and under 14 times, but Midtjylland went over 2.5 22 times and under just 4 times. Esbjerg has gone over in 6 of their last 8 home games, and Midtjylland has gone over 7 out of 8 on the road. If the odds feels to low the courageous can try over 3, but a likely result in this games is 1-2 as Midtjylland is the better team. 

  3. Re: UEFA Euro 2016 Qualifiers > Sunday March 29th Hungary to beat Greece looks like a good bet according to me. Greece lacks offensive power and lost against Faroe islands in the last game. They miss Samaras, Gekas, Mitroglou and Salpingidis and should therefor have huge problems in the offensive part of the game. Given that hungaary aren't all too bad the odds on a hungarian win should not be as high as the 2.74 i got earlier not sure what they stand at currently.

  4. Re: UEFA Euro 2016 Qualifiers > Saturday March 28th

    Kazakhstan have done pretty well so far. Held Latvia' date=' gave Czech Rep a game (2-4) and somehow got until ten from the end at 1-1 at Holland, with ten men too. Iceland are very impressive, with their resources, but it's situations like this, where they're expected to win, that teams like this struggle.[/quote'] I agree with you on somethings. Teams like Iceland often struggle against teams like Kazakhstan but personally I dont think that will be the case here. Iceland manged to beat Latvia with 3-0 away and have a good and balanced team combined with an experienced coach that I belive that they will be to good for Kazakhstan. Lagerbäck managed to get Sweden to 5 straight bigger tournaments and knows how to win this type of game. Nothing is certain though but I would give Iceland a 60 % chance to win this one.
  5. Re: UEFA Euro 2016 Qualifiers > Saturday March 28th Iceland looks like a decent bet to me. Lars Lagerbäck has really turned them into a good team. This is the type of game that his teams most often wins. Given that they have beaten both Holland and Turkey they are a good bet at 2 times the money. The odds are rising though, probably beacuse Kazakhstan is often a bit underrated and Iceland hasn't recived it's full recognition yet.

  6. Re: Denmark > Superliga > 2014/15 Not a thread with much activity but I've found a decent bet today. Hobro +0.5 vs Esbjerg. Hobro has had a very good season, they are newcomers but have managed to earn 20 points in 14 games and even beaten FC Copenhagen. Today they do not misss any important players and they are a team that have lost only 4 times in 14 games, better than anyone could have expected. Esbjerg lack two starting players and are 5 points after Hobro. Given that Esbjerg is 2-4-1 at home and Hobro is 2-3-2 away this should be a tight match. Pinnacle offers 2.61 on Hobro +2.61 and that is according to me a very good odds.

  7. Re: Finland » Veikkausliiga » 19-20 July I unfortuneatly I do not speak finnish but what i could understand from an translation they same to say that they rest a lot of players from this weeks game. But when I looked into Mariehamns page (swedish) they said that they belived it to be a PR stunt, so its hard to say but i do belive kore in RoPS than Mariehamn. In Mariehamns local media it says that RoPS wills send their reserve team so it is more likely true than not since both media and RoPS says so.

  8. Re: Champions League Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg - Tues 15th & Wed 16th July The odds on Malmö -1.5 loooks very good. Malmö is a very strong side and eventhough Jansson and Albornoz left and Mollins is injured. They are the strongest team in Sweden and Ventspils are from the latvian leuage that is a lot weaker then the swedish league which Elfsborg proved when they crushed Daugava Daugavaspils last year. The diffrence between Malmö and Ventspils is just to big for Malmö to fail. malmö -1.5 is available at Paddypower to 1.91 or marthon to 1.89.

  9. Re: Sweden Allsvenskan > 2014 If you're going to bet on a draw on the Djurgården match you should be aware of that Djurgården sold it's top player Daniel amartey who have been crucisal for the Djurgården defence. Djurgården also miss Martin Broberg who have been quite good this season. The team have only played one match for the last match wich was a friendly against Midjylland which ended in a 2-0 loss and the trainer Pelle Olsson were very unsatisfied with the play. I personally belive that elfsborg will win this match and I would not trust the Djurgården defence without Amartey who have been extremly important.

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