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gereqi

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Posts posted by gereqi

    Calculation of combination bet 1X2 Result And Over/Under 2.5 ?

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Hi to all, Again, I am wondering how bookies odds are generated for game type "1X2 Result And Over/Under 2.5" For example, we have these matches today: Swansea - Everton (1X2) 2.50 - 3.30 - 2.95 (O/U 2.5) 2.00 - 1.75 Combination Swansea to win and Over 2.5 goals scored coef.: 4.10 Combination Everton to win and Over 2.5 goals scored coef.: 5.00 Combination Swansea to win and Under 2.5 goals scored coef.: 5.00 Combination Evertonto win and Under 2.5 goals scored coef.: 6.00 Another example: Tottenham - Aston Villa (1X2) 1.57 - 4.00 - 5.5 (O/U 2.5) 1.75 - 2.00 Combination Tottenham to win and Over 2.5 goals scored coef.: 2.40 Combination Aston Villa to win and Over 2.5 goals scored coef.: 9.25 Combination Tottenham to win and Under 2.5 goals scored coef.: 4.10 Combination Aston Villa to win and Under 2.5 goals scored coef.: 11.50 How the hell are they calculating these to get the combination bet? I have been trying to figure this out for the past two months but still can not get a clear idea. Tried to sum odds and then divide sum by 0.7 but is not the same for all the matches. Tried to sum and divide by odds aggregate, still result is different. Please someone to shed some light for me

    Soccer Half Time / Full Time odds relationship with HT and FT result?

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Re: Soccer Half Time / Full Time odds relationship with HT and FT result? Thanks for your reply Paparazzo, I understand that the bookies add the extra juice for their own profit, but in my tried formulas (one of which I have shown as example) it's closer than others, but still a lot different product from the bookies offer, even when I take in account the extra part of bookie... This challenge is driving me crazy as I was hoping to get it right in my mind and have it clearer

    Soccer Half Time / Full Time odds relationship with HT and FT result?

    in Betting Systems & Strategy

    Posted

    Hi folks, I have been searching a lot over Google and into this forum, but haven't got a clear explanation and maybe a formula of HT/FT odds if they have any relationship at HT and FT. I have been reading through www.betgps.com and http://forum.punterslounge.com/threads/108005-Half-time-Full-time-odds?highlight=half+time+full+time etc etc. but was able just to get a partial idea... Maybe you can explain me a little bit better why for example, in the tomorrow's match the odds are like this at HT/FT: Arsenal FC - West Ham United FT Home (1): 1.4 (probability 0.71) Draw (X): 4.6 (probability 0.22) Away (2): 6.75 (probability 0.15) HT Home (1): 1.85 (probability 0.54) Draw (X): 2.45 (probability 0.41) Away (2): 6.25 (probability 0.16) HT/FT: 1/1 : 2.05 X/1 : 4.05 2/1 : 22.00 1/X : 17.50 X/X : 7.75 2/X : 19.50 1/2 : 50.00 X/2 : 15.00 2/2 : 13.00 I have been trying to reproduce the formula given:

    Quoting user JENSPM ... The chance of a win is, 1-(A+(B*C)) Where: A = the chance of Marseille winning or grabbing a draw at HT B = the chance of Chelsea winning at HT C = the chance of Chelsea losing the match IF they are winning at HT the correct odds would then be 1/(1-(A+(B*C))) ...
    but I should be getting them wrong because I can not reproduce not even closer any of the odd types of HT/FT like 1/1 or X/1 etc. Maybe someone can help me and give me a hint or a lead?
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