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tarantino

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    Malmö FF v Olympiacos > Wednesday October 1st

    in Champions League Predictions

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    Re: Malmö FF v Olympiacos > Wednesday October 1st Malmö FF The confidence has never been higher, this is a great opportunity to earn the first points in the group stage. What is positive is that Malmö will be seen as underdogs against everyone, so they have really nothing to lose. Some examples, at home versus Prague they were priced around 4-5x, versus Salzburg as high as 6-8x and they proved the odds wrong on all occasions. Though, to put the hype in perspective - Malmö sold out all 3 home games in 15 minutes, that's around 70 000 tickets divided in 3 matches. The form is great, confidence flying high for all reasons. Let's add that Malmö are 12 games unbeaten at home, winning eight during that time. Moreover: They are unbeaten at home in 7 games in UEFA competition, having kept a clean sheet in each of them. That being said, a home factor is huge when Malmö plays. Not saying they are favorites, but the city and stadium will boil like never before. Forget Salzburg or Prague, this can be another chapter that earns Malmö more respect. Rosenberg have hit top form right in time, along with winger Forsberg. Also the tall striker Thelin is a good target player who will win a lot of duels in the air like he did versus Salzburg. I do not doubt Malmö's quality, and truth is that every time you get Malmö at home as underdogs - it's an auto play. Especially against a pretty "even" opposition, at least Olympiacos are 'easiest' opponent to face in the group, and Malmö need to take advantage of that. Olympiacos Since September 2000, Olympiacos have played 42 road games in Champions League with a record of 7-7-28 (7 wins, 7 draws, 28 losses) which is actually a terrible record for a Champions League team of their caliber regarding how regular they play this tournament. Sure, they opened up strong with a home victory over Atletico Madrid, but that was at home. The result have made the money move to Olympiacos here, quite confidently. How did they follow up the victory though? Two victories in the league, but before this trip to Sweden - By losing versus Atromitos on the road in the Greek League. Player by player, the team is better than Malmö, but we have seen this before and how money means nothing. The poor road record is a factor, actually to only have won 7 out of 48 road games is below average for a team like this. Greek teams are defensively solid, but offensively a little doubtful. Malmö have kept several clean sheets in a row now, in European competitions, they will have a crowd of 23 000 backing them, Malmö have an ability to make better teams look bad. I won't discuss whats good and whats bad with the teams - truth is that this is another attempt, hopefully just as successful as the previous Malmö plays. To see them in +300 at home is a joke, but I understand - they are not justified as a good home team yet. It's a bet equally divided by heart and brain. Tail on your own risk. Plays Malmö PK @ 3.00 (1/10) Malmö +0.5 @ 1.91 (2/10) Malmö win to nil @ 6.00 (0.5/10)

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