dontbegreat
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Posts posted by dontbegreat
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Re: Kempton 17/07/07 Kempton 20:45 Romany Nights 8/1 Finished 1st and 2nd for the last two starts. Both at this track and distance. Has Seb Sanders on board and a good price of 8/1 @ Ladbokes. Has two career wins on standard ground and they are both over CD. Mr Cellophane 15/2 Lifetime All Weather form looks good for an e/w bet. In 4 starts it's finished 2nd twice, once 3rd, and has one win. :hope:hope
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Again going with those who posted their best RPR from LTO for a high class event. There are only three that qualifies so the "top two rule" is out. Current Betfair win/place prices MARZELLINE 105 15.00/3.15 SAMIRA GOLD 96 5.90/1.81 DANCE OF LIGHT 87 8.20/2.24
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There seems to be a trend today....Horses with a the on their names are winning..so far they are 2 for 2..The History Man won @ 5/1 and Thewhirlingdervish won @ 7/2..let's see how the rest goes.. The Dark Distroyer (IRE) 19:05 Killarney The Graig 21:15 Kempton The History Man (IRE) 15:45 Beverley won @ 5/1 The London Gang 20:25 Yarmouth The Middle Piece (IRE) 21:05 Killarney The Red Fellow (IRE) 18:05 Killarney Theflyingscottie 20:55 Yarmouth Thewhirlingdervish (IRE) 16:15 Beverley won @ 7/2
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Re: National Hunt - RPR
Missed to add Osprey View who raced on July 10th..TS selection with a 106 and also had an RPR high of 110 but somehow forgot to add it here. Bets: 24 Wins: 7 Placed: 14 Profit: -4.37 Yield: -17.48%15-Jul 2:10 Pert Harcas Won @ 5/2 15-Jul 3:10 Pert Middleton Dene Won @ 2/1 15-Jul 4:00 Stra Loita Hills Placed -
Re: National Hunt - Topspeed
Bets: 22 Wins: 4 Placed: 10 Profit: +0.25 Yield: +1.14%15-Jul 3:10 Pert Pigeon Island Placed 15-Jul 2:30 Stra Neutrino Unplaced 15-Jul 4:00 Stra Loita Hills Placed -
Re: Flat - RPR
Bets: 50 Wins: 17 Placed: 29 Profit: -2.67 ROI: -5.33%15-Jul 3:20 Hayd Stamford Blue Unplaced -
Re: Flat - Topspeed
Bets: 45 Wins: 11 Placed: 20 Profit: -11.35 ROI: -25.22%15-Jul 3:20 Hayd Stamford Blue Unplaced -
Re: TS & RPR lay system Yeah I know but it's my last day here today. So just something for all to work with if they want to.
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Re: TS & RPR lay system just a bump..zero views on the files :unsure
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Re: The spreadsheets - get your copy (Topspeed&RPR systems) 15 July-The End
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Re: Flat - RPR 15-Jul 3:20 Hayd Stamford Blue
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Re: Flat - Topspeed 15-Jul 3:20 Hayd Stamford Blue
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Re: National Hunt - RPR 15-Jul 2:10 Pert Harcas 15-Jul 3:10 Pert Middleton Dene 15-Jul 4:00 Stra Loita Hills
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Re: National Hunt - Topspeed 15-Jul 3:10 Pert Pigeon Island 15-Jul 2:30 Stra Neutrino 15-Jul 4:00 Stra Loita Hills
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Re: Question about Newmarket I'd ask the RP for you but they've formed a habit to not answer my e-mail(s).... -http://www.attheraces.com/course.asp?CID=4 ROWLEY MILE COURSE This is used in the Spring and Autumn for the first two Classics and then for some major two-year-old races which set the standard for the following year’s Classics. Both legs of the Autumn Double (the Cambridgeshire and Cesarewitch) are run on this extraordinary course. Set in the wide-open space, the Rowley course runs for 2½ miles — the last mile and a quarter being straight. Speed, stamina and class are the main ingredients for success here but experience is also at a premium — frequently in juvenile races a horse with experience will have an advantage over a newcomer — no matter how talented the debutant turns out to be in subsequent races. JULY COURSE Less formal than the Rowley Mile Course, the July Course is steeped in atmosphere — just visit the pre-parade ring under the beech trees to experience it. Despite the relaxed surroundings the requirements for success here are just as demanding. One of the high points of the summer season is the three-day July Meeting. It is fascinating to see how the horses that took part at Royal Ascot the previous month progress (or not). The course is 2 miles 24 yards in length and has a right-hand bend leading in to the final Bunbury Mile. Sir Mark Prescott regards this as the stiffest final furlong in the country. -http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Newmarket_Racecourse The Rowley Mile Course has a straight of 1 mile 2 furlongs (2,012 m) with minor undulations towards 'The Bushes', two furlongs (400 m) out. The penultimate furlong (200 m) is downhill and the last is uphill, forming 'The Dip'. Races beyond the distance of 1 m 2f (2,012 m) start on the 'Cesarewitch' or 'Beacon' course which turns right-handed into the straight. The July Course has a straight of 1 mile, known as 'The Bunbury Mile'. After two furlongs (400 m), there is a long downhill stretch before the uphill furlong (200 m) to the finish. This course also uses the 'Cesarewitch/Beacon' course for longer distances, again turning right into the straight. The Rowley Mile is used for racing in the Spring and Autumn, while the July Course is used in Summer.
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Re: Flat - Topspeed
Bets: 44 Wins: 11 Placed: 20 Profit: -10.35 ROI: -23.52%14-Jul 2:15 Asct Baffled Unplaced 14-Jul 3:25 Asct Archived Unplaced 14-Jul 4:00 Asct Purus Placed 14-Jul 5:40 Asct Sohraab Placed 14-Jul 8:50 Hami English City Non Runner 14-Jul 6:35 Sali Taurian Unplaced 14-Jul 8:05 Sali Cape Hawk Unplaced -
Re: Flat - RPR
Bets: 49 Wins: 17 Placed: 29 Profit: -1.67 ROI: -3.40%14-Jul 2:15 Asct Baffled Unplaced 14-Jul 4:00 Asct Purus Placed 14-Jul 5:40 Asct Sohraab Placed 14-Jul 6:35 Sali Taurian Unplaced 14-Jul 8:05 Sali Cape Hawk Unplaced -
Re: Saturday NAPS 14/07
un...placed.
TS & RPR system selection. Not bothered to NAP the previous runners racing the 3yo only handicaps from the TS system since the win of The Grey Berry (July 7th). Following selections both won - King's Apostle and Rosbay. Those three runners combined for a profit of 11 pts - 2/1, 6/1, 3/1 winners. Overall, it falls in the catgory of 3yo only Hc for the TS system. Opened 9/2 at bet365 and betfred - currently as low as 5/2 with stanjames.14-Jul 8:05 Sali Cape Hawk -
Re: Flat - RPR2
Bets: 26 Wins: 5 Placed: 10 Profit: -9.25 ROI: -35.58%14-Jul 3:25 Asct Barbarossa Unplaced -
Re: Saturday NAPS 14/07
TS & RPR system selection. Not bothered to NAP the previous runners racing the 3yo only handicaps from the TS system since the win of The Grey Berry (July 7th). Following selections both won - King's Apostle and Rosbay. Those three runners combined for a profit of 11 pts - 2/1, 6/1, 3/1 winners. Overall, it falls in the catgory of 3yo only Hc for the TS system. Opened 9/2 at bet365 and betfred - currently as low as 5/2 with stanjames.14-Jul 8:05 Sali Cape Hawk -
Re: Ascot 14/7 Ascot 14:50 Sony Summer Mile Stakes (group 2) Highest Class of the day so I'll use the RPR for this race. Taking whoever had their best RPR from LTO. Two are tied with 113 for the best and those are.. Dunelight (IRE) & Royal Oath (USA)
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Found a lay system...using the ratings of TS and RPR...it's very simple. Any runners that is top rated in TS AND RPR that is under 80 for both sections is a lay. Best for 2yo's because the result shows a loss of 51.10 from 64 qualifers (4 winners, 29 placed). The last 45 runners have not had a winner. Avg SP is 10.97 (includes one 100/1 shot...the highest SP's are 100, 66, 66, 66, 33, 33, 25, 20, 18, 14, 12, 12, 10 with the rest 9 or under... Copy of the spreadsheet is attached to this message. I suggest to only lay the 2yo's...you'll see.
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Re: Lay Of The Day 14th July Found a lay system...using the ratings of TS and RPR...it's very simple. Any runners that is top rated in TS AND RPR that is under 80 for both sections is a lay. Best for 2yo's because the result shows a loss of 51.10 from 64 qualifers (4 winners, 29 placed). The last 45 runners have not had a winner. Avg SP is 10.97 (includes one 100/1 shot...the highest SP's are 100, 66, 66, 66, 33, 33, 25, 20, 18, 14, 12, 12, 10 with the rest 9 or under... Copy of the spreadsheet is attached to this message. I suggest to only lay the 2yo's...you'll see.
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Re: The spreadsheets - get your copy (Topspeed&RPR systems) 14 July Problems with OpenOffice so that version is not here..only Excel Can you all manage to do this sytem without me? Gotta leave next week and the week after, repeat, repeat, repeat, you get the idea... so ask if any part needs help.
The spreadsheets - get your copy (Topspeed&RPR systems)
in At The Races - Racing Forum
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Re: The spreadsheets - get your copy (Topspeed&RPR systems) Encore Excel file :ok