Moog
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Posts
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Posts posted by Moog
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Re: Ligue 2 > August 29th - September 1st The odds drift on the Sochaux game. Dijon is the favourite to win. I don't understand this.
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Re: Ligue 1 Orange > August 22nd - 24th Can't believe at the 40 minute mark that live odds for Caen win were higher by 0,5 than Reims. That's weird.
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Re: Ligue 2 > August 15th - 18th Another 1-0 home lead thrown away by Nancy late in the game :D
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Re: Ligue 2 > August 8th & 9th Went for the Dijon win at evens some days ago. GL all!
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Re: Ligue 2 > Friday August 1st Dijon with probably one of the goals of the season. No shame in losing money like that.
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Re: Europa League 1st Qualifying Round Second Legs > Tuesday 8th and Thursday 10th Ju Any love for MYPA @ 1,60 against IF? They won the first game at home only 1-0 because of bus parking by the Faroese team. I think the home team maybe needs to open up a bit if they at least want to try to get through and consequently will be punished by a team class above them. Any info?
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Re: Polish Supercup 09.07 Read that Legia will field a weaker/youngster squad for this game. Market has reacted accordingly, value on Zawisza dropping. Any news?
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Re: Ligue 2 > March 14th - 17th can't bet on Troyes, I always lose. They just can't perform against worse teams.
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Re: Slovenia > PrvaLiga NZS > 2013/14 Any love for ND Gorica today?
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Re: Ligue 1 Orange > December 20th - 22nd
Thanks for this! The odds were just too generous. Almost thought Monaco weren't going to score to top it off with a shit missed penalty by Falcao but they did. Deserved win for Valenciennes, they played their hearts out in defence in the second half.I should have added that the odds are the main reason I like BTTS. If it was around 1.80 - 2.00 I probably wouldn't take it. -
Re: Serie B > December 20th - 22nd Pescara win seems logical and decent value, but for me Pescara seem to struggle against teams that don't open up much. Padova is probably going to park their bus and play on the counters here and Pescara is a team that gets most of their goals from quick counter attacks when the opponent loses the ball. Maybe this is the reason for their bad home form?. I'm not saying that Pescara is a counter attacking team, but they aren't a possession playing team which is somewhat logical given their 3-4-3 formation. Pescara have improved dramatically the last few games so this well might be a 2 goal beating. I'm a bit conflicted about the bet, but the odds are pretty high for HW for some reason so the bookies seem to have some faith in Padova. Just an observation and a no bet for me.
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Re: Ligue 2 > 20th - 21st December Caen and Clermont home win values are pathetic. Bastia DC is 3,00, Brest's DC is 2,80. I think one of them will not win at home. Caen - Brest U 2,75 @ 1,70; u 2,5 @ 1,95; u 3 @ 1,50. I don't see Brest take a beating here so unders might be a good idea but Caen defence seems shaky at best. Nancy HW has some value imo, Laval has been playing above their level recently and this might well end here. Just some thoughts, haven't backed any of them yet.
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Re: Ligue 2 > December 13th - 16th The Troyes game is a carbon copy of their last home game against Laval that they managed to lose by the same result. They just can't handle the bus parking. Sadly I stepped on the same rake twice. Oh well.
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Re: Ligue 2 > September 27th - 30th Caen HW @ 2,0 seems pretty good and a bit overpriced, what's the reason behind this? Many key players out? Can't find adequate info of this particular match.
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Re: Serie A > Tuesday 24th September Meh, Udinese's attack looked very very poor or it was Genoa who came to play a 0-0, I don't know. Bet won through a nicely placed header by Genoas striker Calaio. I don't trust this Udinese though, attacking players don't connect at all.
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Re: Special Note Regarding Sassuolo
Thank you Moog' date=' I appreciate your feedback. Tell me, is this new Stadium out of the way from the region of Sassuolo ? And did the manager play the high defence line in the previous 3 matches ??[/quote'] It's not very far from Sassuolo, google says about 20 km. I haven't watched other Sassuolo's games, but purely from the statistics I've seen, they have have been equal to their opponents (possession, shots on goal) if not better, except Inter of course. -
Re: Serie A > Tuesday 24th September Important Genoa's missing players: Manfredini (defender) due to suspension, he has started in all the previous games Antonelli (defender) injured, started in the first rounds till injury Kucka (midfield) injured, one of their best players last seasons Full Genoa squad: Antonini, Bennati, Bertolacci, Biondini, Bizzarri, Calaiò, Centurion, Cofie, De Maio, Fetfatzidis, Gamberini, Gilardino, Konate, Lodi,Matuzalem, Perin, Portanova, Sampirisi, Santana, Sokoli, Stoian, Vrsaljko,Zima. Udinese only important missing is Domizzi (midfield). Full Udinese squad: Benussi, Kelava; Basta, Bubnjic, Danilo, Douglas, Gabriel Silva, Heurtaux, Naldo, Widmer; Allan, Badu, Fernandes Bruno, Lazzari,Mlinar, Pereyra, Pinzi, Zielinski; Di Natale, Maicosuel, Nico Lopez, Muriel,Ranegie. A win for Udinese @ 1,8 is a must for me. Genoa are really poor, especially away. Their derby win against Sampdoria was a fluke I think.
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Re: Special Note Regarding Sassuolo One of the reasons might be that they play their games in another stadium (Reggio Emilia) than last last year in Serie B (Modena). For example, during their home game with Inter, there were probably more Inter fans present, so that may add a little bit to their awful form. Also their manager played a very stupid high line defence against Inter which is why they conceded in every Inter attack. But I think their coach will probably adapt and play more defensive from now on, so don't go crazy with the overs or handicaps.
Ligue 2 > October 31st - November 3rd
in French Football Predictions
Posted
Re: Ligue 2 > October 31st - November 3rd Such pathetic odds of HWs this round as you said. Tomorrow's Niort - Nancy has Niort win @ 2,1 in most bookies at the moment?! Should be at least >2,5 imo.