dusan.pinturicchio
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Posts posted by dusan.pinturicchio
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Re: Eurocup 2013/2014 Cedevita - Lietuvos 83:84 - 167 points Bamberg - Sassari 83:72 - 155 points First and third quarter fu**ed over on Bamberg - Sassari...
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Re: Australian Open 2014 Jerzy Janowicz - Pablo Andujar over 36 @1.93 Pinnacle 5/10 My main sport is basketball, but sometimes I bet on tenis, mainly on Grand slams... Today I will take this bet for medium stake... Imho Janowicz won't win this match easy... I don't see 3-0 for Janowicz and because of that I will take over in this match... Andujar is solid player, and his style does not fit to Jerzy... Janowicz is very nervous player, with great service, but with much unforced errors per match... He is very impatient, and Andujar should use that, and try to keep ball in the ground... I think that Andujar can at least take one set here, and in this case over should be sure...
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Re: Eurocup 2013/2014 Two picks for tomorrow... 20:00 Cedevita - Lietuvos Rytas over 152,5 @1,95 Pinnacle 6/10 With coach Petrovic Lietuvos play very fast basketball, with much attempts for 3 point... They have really good shooters, so this style of basketball is good for them... Cedevita with Repesa play slow basketball, but tomorrow they will need to adapt on Lietuvos style... They have very good players, good shooters, and imho this match will go in an easy over... 20:00 Bamberg - Sassari over 161 @1.96 Pinnacle 6/10 I think that everybody know how this two teams play... Both teams play very fast basketball, with much transition and attmepts for 3 point... I expect few points higher line tomorrow, so I will take this bet now...
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Re: ABA League 2013/2014 21:00 Partizan - Zadar, first half (-8.5) H1 @1.87 Bet365 5/10 Partizan play very good in first two matches ABA league in Pionir... They destroy Igokea and Mega Vizura. After that, they play away against Krka, in Novo Mesto, and play terrible, especially in ofence... On thursday they play Euroleague, against Barcelona in Blaugrana, and again play really great in defence, but with big problems against Barcelona's strong defence... Zadar is solid team at home, but in away matches they are one of the weakest teams in Adriatic league... I already say that it will be big surprise for me if they get 2 or more away wins... In Pionir, with great fan support, and great defence which Partizan play, i think that they will have double digit at half time...
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17:00 Szolnoki (-6) - Siroki H1 @1.95 Pinnacle 6/10 Szolnoki is classic ''home team''... They play very good at home, in Hungary, in front of their fans... They have solid team, much stronger then last year... Siroki is one of the weakset teams this year... They made big surprise in first round when they defeat Red Star... Against Olimpija they was favs and win, but both teams play terrible in that match... Szolnoki have better roster, and with home advantage i expect easy win with more than 6 points...
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Re: Euroleague 2013/2014 Euroleague (3W-0V-2L) +8.88 Nice Euroleague week, it can be even better that Milano cover +6.5... In paid service I have Bayern -1.5 @1.88 max stake (10/10), but i can't post that here... There will be some tips during weekend, hope that somebody else will post some bball picks...
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Re: Euroleague 2013/2014 Yesterday +1.7 units with 1 pick pending... I find too late info that Armani went in Istanbul without David Moss and Kristijan Kangur... Sorry for that pick 20:30 Olympiakos (-9) - Unicaja Malaga H2 @1.75 Marathonbet 6/10 Olympiakos sell few very important players from last season... They sell Papanicolau, Dorsey and Hines, players who was very important for team... They sign good players, but they will need time to adapt on team, and coach Bartzokas will need some time to interplay team... Against PAO we can see that they are very good in defence, but in ofence they still need to work... Unicaja have great roster for this season... After Barca and Real, Valencia and Unicaja have strongest team in Spain... Few very good signs made Unicaja, they have big ofence potential and i don't think that they will lose easy today... Sorry for late pick, but i need first send him to my subscribers...
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Re: Euroleague 2013/2014 Anadolu Efes (-6.5) - Armani Milano H2 @1.90 Pinnacle 5/10 ; ML 2 @3.55 Marathonbet 1/10 I think that this is big value, but i have very bad expirience with Milano and because of that stake won't be so big... Milano spend much money and sign some great players... For the first time, they havegreat players on all positions... Moss is big sign for them, great play in ofence and defence and i don't understant why Siena let him to go... Last year they have big problems with coach, I already say that Scariolo is one of the most overestimated coachs in Europe... Efes have some squad problems... They lose against Galatasaray in first round of TBL by 18 points... Planinic and Vasiliadis are good signs, but their bench is very poor... I see nice value in this handicap, and also i will try with AW for 1/10 Fenerbahce ML + Real Madrid ML + CSKA ML @1.90 Bet365 3/10Zalgiris don't have strong squad like in few past years... Real is very strong, they have simillar squad like last year and they are big favourites here... CSKA shouldn't have and problems in France and i put them to rise odds...
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Budivelnyk (+6.5) - Fenerbahce H2 @1.96 Pinnacle 8/10 84:102 Fenerbahce have on of the strongest rosters in Europe... They spend much money in this summer, but they made great team... They sign Kleiza, Bjelica, Zoric, Vidmar... From last seasson, in team are one of the best guard in Europe Bogdanovic, McCalebb, Preldzic, Onan, Savas... Imo, their best and biggest transfer is sign of best coach in Europe, Zeljko Obradovic... Budivelnyk have solid roster, but they are in very hard group and they will fight with Partizan and Nanterre for 4th place and passing in top 16... Obradovic will require from his players max engagement till the end and imo they will beat them with double digit...
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Re: Eurocup 2013/2014 Eurocup so far: (2W-0V-1L) +3units I made mistake with putting biggest stake on Cibona, so at the end only +3 units... This is their 17 defeat in a row in Europe... I can't belive how much stupid mistakes they made... Also, they have shoot for over time and they miss... Sorry again for that pick...
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Re: Eurocup 2013/2014 18:00 Cibona - Le mans ML 1 @1.75 Pinnacle 6/10 76:78 It's really late, so I will be shourt... Cibona is very good team, they have nice roster and good coach... All important players from last year stay and they made some good signs... Le Mans is good also, but they are much more stronger at home... I see nice value here, and i supose that odds will go down untill match start...
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20:00 Oldenburg - Sassari , over 161 @1.90 Bet365 5/10 77:96 - 173 points Two very good teams meet in Eurocup... Oldenburg play qualifications for Euroleague, but they lost against Lietuvos Rytas in semi final (tournament play in Lithuania)... They have big attack potential and like to play very fast... I think that everybody know how fast Sassari play... They are one of the best teams in Europe for over points... This year, Sassari have even better team for run & gun play then last year... Diener stay with team, and they sign PG Green and SF Thomas, bot great ofence players... IMO both teams can easy go over 80 and on this line i see nice value in over... 18:00 Maccabi Haifa (+5) - Unics Kazan H2 @1.90 Bet365 5/10 67:75 I need to say that I don't like Maccabi squad... They have few very good players, but other aren't on their level... Also, they was on US tour and two days ago they play against Memphis... That is big mistake for me, because they will be very tired... Unics have great roster this year... Also, coach is very important imo in basketball and they made great job when they sign Trinchierri... He has great results with Cantu, and I like style which he prefer... With much more stronger roster, great coach and rested players Unics is big favourite for me...
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15:00 Astana (-4.5) - Triumph H1 @1.85 5/10 Bet365 Take early this pick because odds might drop untill tomorrow... Kazaks have big boudget and made really nice squad for this season... They have 5 American players, and all of them already prove their qualityin Europe. They have great Latvian player, Blums... Problem for them can be not high quality of players from bench... They have 9-10 players in rotation, but this is begining of season and players are full of energy... Triumph have young squad, most of their players are young Russian tallent... They have 3 foreign players, very good centers Rakovic (Serbia) and Landry (Canada) and guard Chappell (USA)... Home team is clear favourite imo and should cover this spread... 95:76 VTB so far (1W-0V-0L) +4.25u
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Re: Basketball Picks Philippines - Japan Pick: Under 150 Odds: 1.87 Pinnacle Stake: 5/10 This will be short preview because match start for 25 minutes. This two team play 5 matches on Asia Cup and only one was over this line. Very important match for both teams, I don't think that teams will let easy points... Japan play very agressive in defense, even if Philippines try to play faster, Japan will do everything to slow down... Under 150 is best choice on this game for me...
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Re: Basketball Picks
66-72 +29.6u Total: 3W/0V/0L +37uEstonia - Portugal Pick: Portugal ML ; Portugal +7.5 Odds: 4.20 Marathonbet ; 1.93 Pinnacle Stake: 3/10 ; 7/10 -
Re: Basketball Picks
67-52 ; +7.4 units Estonia - Portugal Pick: Portugal ML ; Portugal +7.5 Odds: 4.20 Marathonbet ; 1.93 Pinnacle Stake: 3/10 ; 7/10 Estonia will play this qualifications without some very important players. They will be without Kristijan Kangur, Sander Venne and Tanel Sokk. Kristijan Kangur is their best player and that will be big absence for Estonia. They lost game against Netherland few days ago. Portugal play with Germany, about 15 days ago and lose by 27 points, but Germany is two class above both teams... I see great value in this pick, and I think that odd and handicap on Portugal will go down... GL!International friendlies Slovenia - Serbia Pick: Slovenia ML Odds: 1.93 @Pinnacle Stake: 8/10 -
International friendlies Slovenia - Serbia Pick: Slovenia ML Odds: 1.93 @Pinnacle Stake: 8/10 This is friendly match, preparation for European Championshio Cup in Slovenia. Match number two in this preparation tournament, and both teams win in their first matches. Serbia win Turkey and play really great in that game. Slovenia beat Latvia, but both teams doesn't play good... Serbia have big problems, we will be without some very important players on this EC, because Teodosic, Macvan, Velickovic, Savanovic and Micov won't play... Today against Slovenia we will be also without Micov and Lucic, so 1.93 on HW are great value...
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Re: UEFA Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round 2nd Leg > 25th July Vojvodina will play in Hungary, against Honved, without best player Oumaru... They probably will defend the advantage from first game, so under 2.5 @1.90 may be good bet... Crvena Zvezda travel to Iceland more that 30 hours... Odds on away win is ridiculous small and that game is NO BET for me...
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Re: European Championships U20 Basketball Latvia - Montenegro Pick: Latvia -6.5 Odds: 1.96 @Marathonbet Stake: 9/10 This is Quarter Finals game of European Championship for man U20. Latvia has great roster, and play good on this tournament. They lose only one game, against France in last round. Latvia love to play run & gun and that will be problem for Montenegro who love to play slow... They have great shooters, and they have 6-7 players who can score 20 points... Montenegro also play good on this tournament, but not like Latvia... For me they are one level under Latvia... Montenegro have great player Mugosa, but except him and Nikolic, other players aren't on Latvians level... Also, one of their best players from that generation, Ivanovic, don't play on this tournament... Latvia -6.5 is great pick for me!
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Re: July 15 - July 21
Rus - Meusberger Pick: Rus ML @4.60 Pinnacle 2/10 ; Rus -1.5 sets @9.20 Pinnacle 1/10 This odds are just crazy to me. Arantxa is young player who played best on clay. She beat Torro Flor and Cabela in first two matches on this tournament, even if in that matches she also been huge underdog. Meusberg has 30 years old and she's motion is very bad. She has two easy wons in first two rounds, and play great in that matches, but this odd is huge value for me. Also, Rus is left hand player, and that might be some problem for Meusberger...Pospil - Duckworth Pick: Duckwort +3 @1.96 Marathonbet 3/10 Lopez - Mayer Pick: Lopez ML @2.37 Pinnacle 3/10 -
Re: Europa League 2nd Qual Round - 17th July
-1.15u :wallDinamo Minsk - Lokomotiva Zagreb 1 @2.12 Marathonbet 5/10 1:2 Vojvodina - Honvend 1 @1.77 Marathonbet 5/10 2:0 Hajduk Split - Turnovo over 3 @1.88 Marathonbet 6/10 2:1 Good luck to everyone! -
Re: July 15 - July 21 I'm sorry, but when i post that I was hurry to play something in our local bookie... I write analysis...
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Re: July 15 - July 21 Pospil - Duckworth Pick: Duckwort +3 @1.96 Marathonbet 3/10 Pospil is overated player. I watched him in first round against Przsziezny and he had problems in first two sets agains Poland player. In third set he started to play better, but still that wasn't something brillyant... Duckwort play great in first round and destroy Bedeme... He serve great, and he have great forehand. This is first match between this two player, and it is 50/50 so +3 games on Duckworth is big value for me. Lopez - Mayer Pick: Lopez ML @2.37 Pinnacle 3/10 H2H - Feliciano Lopez leads 3:1 Pretty much close match, Lopez serving well can give a lot of pressure to Mayer and to be honest the Spanish cannot be so underdog, value 100% on him
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Re: Europa League 2nd Qual Round - 17th July
This will be first game for Red Star new coach. They sell some players who was important for team last seasson, but also they led some players, but i'm not sure in their quality. One of the biggest football managers in Serbia, Stojadinovic, is in managment of the club and he led some of his players. They sell some of his important players, some of the best players from last seasson... They sell Spajic (CD, Toulouse), Cadu (MD, Sheriff), Mudrinski (CF, Greuter Furth), Mijailovic (DM, Kayserispor). They led some Stojadinovic's player, but except Milos Ninkovic, I don't know much about their qualitys... I don't know much about away team, but Red Star has win against much better teams than IBV on Maracana. Red Star probably will win this, but at 1.20 there is no value. Stadium will be sold, but as i said, i don't know much about new Red Star players and because of that this is NO BET for me.Any thoughts on the Red Star Belgrade v IBV match from Serbs? Will it be as one sided as the odds suggest?
Australian Open 2014
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Re: Australian Open 2014
4:6 7:6 7:6 6:3 - 45 games Marin Cilic - Gilles Simon Cilic -5 games @2.05 Pinnacle 4/10 Cilic was very bad in first 2 sets in first round, but then he start playing better... Simon is injured, and after very hard match against Brands, I don't think that he will have enogh power to cope with Cilic today... He win 3:2 in that match against Brands, but his ankle is in bad condition... Cilic is great server, so I really don't see how Simon can endanger his service... I've been thinking about under 40.5 games and this handicap, but at the end I take handicap because Simon may take set... Sorry for bad english, but I hope that you understand me...